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11 March 2016 1466 comments
Paul Paul
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Friday afternoon continues with our usual pre-Gameweek members article, as we cast an eye over the captaincy conundrum ahead of the weekend’s five fixtures. As always, we analyse the Opta data for the main contenders and assess the team statistics and Rate My Team’s reckoning, before rounding off with our opinion on the current poll standings in light of the data analysis, including our view on differential captains.

The Captain Poll

Once again, Sergio Aguero is the clear leader in our poll. After bagging a brace in City’s 4-0 thrashing of Villa, the Argentine has collected over 56% of the votes cast ahead of a trip to a Norwich side that’s shipped 12 goals in their last four at Carrow Road.

Somewhat surprisingly, Harry Kane has been earmarked by just 20% for a trip to Villa. The Tottenham frontman has netted four times in his last quartet of road trips and is now up against a dire defence that’s conceded 15 times in four and have one foot in the Championship.

Below that duo, Riyad Mahrez (7%) and Jamie Vardy (5%) are shaping us as major armband differentials for Leicester’s home encounter with a Newcastle outfit that’s lost six on the bounce away from home. Whilst Vardy has struggled for returns of late, with a goal and assist in five, Mahrez has stepped up his consistency and produced points in five of the last seven Gameweeks, including an 11-point haul at Watford last time out.

Beyond them, the likes of Josh King, Gylfi Sigurdsson, Christian Eriksen, David Silva and Dele Alli are have the potential to spring a surprise, with 2% or less backing so far.

Are these current standings backed by the underlying statistics?

Let’s start breaking down the player and team data for their respective last four matches and shed a little more light on the situation.

Paul Is certain he won't make the same mistakes next season. Follow them on Twitter

1,466 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Need to make a transfer with dgw in mind ???????

    2ft 1m itb

    Butland
    Simpson - Wolly - Kompanu
    Arnie - Mahrez - Alli - Ayew
    Kane - Vardy - Aguero (C)

    McCarthy - Williams - Bellerin - Ozil

    1. fickle
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Wolly or williams to Clyne

  2. Latchmere Wave Machine
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Is the feeling wijnaldum maybe of some use In the run-in now wally has left the toon?

    Anyone else worth considering?

    1. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 8 months ago

      The reverse. Shelvey.

      1. Nomar
        10 years, 8 months ago

        This

    2. VS10_
      10 years, 8 months ago

      I would wait and see what happens.

    3. Latchmere Wave Machine
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Thanks all, I'll keep up the search

  3. Bøwstring The Carp
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Bottomed sorry

    Kun v Kane

    Basically FPL is about maximising the chance of gain and lowering the chance of blanks. We do this by taking all factors into account and making decisions based on weighing up the information available to us.

    While City haven't been great on the road, Aguero has not only scored well against the weaker teams lately, as the stats and returns demonstrate, he has scored in three of his last 4 away matches. The concern is that Norwich's underlying defensive stats of late will begin to produce more representative results, coupled with Man City's away form.

    For Kane, he is playing in a Tottenham side that genuinely have a rare shot at the title, hence an added hunger. They have shown they can play well on away days, and come up against a deflated Villa side. Villa's defensive stats coupled with Kane's attacking stats just look too good to ignore at the moment.

    Both options have similar factors, but logically, Kane stands out as the better pick. Aguero has a significant negative factor. I would rather go with the logical choice and let chance be the cause of failure than go against it and have the blame on myself. As it says below, "That's just the dark side of probability".

    All will be revealed this weekend, perhaps Mahrez and Vardy captainers will have the last laugh...

    1. Greenbackbøøg…
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Agreed

    2. The Raging Bull
      10 years, 8 months ago

      The problem is, Kane just seems to miss too many sitters!

      1. Forza
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 8 months ago

        This. Aguero only needs half a chance.

    3. Jazz!
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Kane's a weird fella though.

      1. The Raging Bull
        10 years, 8 months ago

        granted he seems to score well against the relegation fodder this season

    4. Chris_White
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Eriksen captainers* 😉

    5. juggos
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Good points, but I just think more people will be captaining Kun. I'm not chasing as I'm topping my leagues so I'll go with him because I want to preserve my rank and keep my lead. If the kane captainers gain ground so be it

    6. superpav
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Being a Spurs fan, I'll nevertheless go with Kun so as not to get double-disappointment in case we / Kane don't turn up against Villa.

    7. John t penguin
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Hooray someone to blame if it goes wrong 🙂

  4. Lizard Lips
    10 years, 8 months ago

    I can field 11 but should I use my FT (Yaya to Arnie or Ozil to Silva) just in case of another injury or should I save it??

    1. VS10_
      10 years, 8 months ago

      I have just 11 and saving.

  5. Heavy Soul
    10 years, 8 months ago

    FOSTER / MCCARTHY
    Toby / Fuchs / Daniels (MORENO, Richards)
    SANCHEZ / PAYET / Mahrez, Alli / Arnie
    Kun / Kane / Vardy

    2 FT / .9m

    A) Foster > Hart Sanchez > Siggy or Silva
    B) Foster > Butland Moreno > Williams
    C) Something else?

    Thanks!

    1. Emp
      10 years, 8 months ago

      I like B

      1. Heavy Soul
        10 years, 8 months ago

        Thank you

  6. Ibracadabra´s Spell
    10 years, 8 months ago

    A) Play 10
    B) Ozil ----> Silva, Eriksen or Alli (-4)
    C) Azpi ----> Daniels (-4)

    A, B or C?

  7. The Mandalorian
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Silva has scored only 1 goal in the EPL this season compared to 12 last season. Sterling and KDB must be taking his scoring chances.

    1. Bøwstring The Carp
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Good thing KDB is out and Sterling is fighting for a place atm 😉

    2. KOLASINA(C)
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Biggest disappointment for me this season.

    3. The Raging Bull
      10 years, 8 months ago

      first 8 games of the season, I thought Silva was progressing well to having his pest PL season then that injury pretty much killed his season. Disappointing.

      1. The Raging Bull
        10 years, 8 months ago

        *best

  8. Piggs Boson
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Aguero mins per goal: ..103.2
    Welbeck mins per goal: 106.5

    Arsenal could have won the league with him fit all season 😛

    1. John t penguin
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Wenger would still have benched him

      1. Piggs Boson
        10 years, 8 months ago

        Yeah... he's only started 2 of the last 4. He deserves to be starting. He does so much more than score goals.

    2. QGOONER
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Easy...

    3. Frank Black
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Not with a defense(and team) that has zero mentality.

  9. mental
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 8 months ago

    What's targett chance to start ?

    1. The Handsome Hunk
      10 years, 8 months ago

      I am also keen to know.

    2. DrCongo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Anyone's guess. Fonte being out will likely cause yoshida to come in. Koeman seems to alter the defence with no notice

  10. John t penguin
    10 years, 8 months ago

    -4 for a Stoke defender is stupid right?
    Likely score at best is 6 so -4 to gain 2 doesn't seem worth it

    1. madame shelly
      10 years, 8 months ago

      you got it

    2. Hakuna Juan Mata
      10 years, 8 months ago

      exactly

    3. Rum Ham
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Correct.

  11. Toby Lerone
    10 years, 8 months ago

    play arnie or alli?

    1. Emp
      10 years, 8 months ago

      alli, wish i had your problems!

      1. Sjaugen
        10 years, 8 months ago

        No you don't. You probably have better players benched

        1. Toby Lerone
          10 years, 8 months ago

          my mid at the moment is arnie/alli mahrez silva siggy
          att vardy kane kun

    2. Rum Ham
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Alli.

  12. Jafooli
    10 years, 8 months ago

    How many players you fielding this GW?

    How many subs you have?

    How many hits?

    11
    0
    0

    1. Piggs Boson
      10 years, 8 months ago

      11
      0
      0

    2. The Raging Bull
      10 years, 8 months ago

      11
      0
      0

    3. Ibracadabra´s Spell
      10 years, 8 months ago

      10
      0
      0

      OR

      11
      0
      -4

      Not sure yet.

    4. George Sillett
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Ditto

    5. Chris_White
      10 years, 8 months ago

      11
      1
      0

    6. Optimus.
      10 years, 8 months ago

      11 but that will include Rose

      No hits but the night is young

      1. George Sillett
        10 years, 8 months ago

        Good point . Alcohol induced transfers combined with a degree of incompetence have ruined my season.

        1. Optimus.
          10 years, 8 months ago

          🙂

    7. SPFC
      10 years, 8 months ago

      11
      1
      0

    8. John t penguin
      10 years, 8 months ago

      On 10 at mo thanks to you're
      Expect it to be 8 once unknown benchings happen

    9. Odikostar
      10 years, 8 months ago

      11
      0
      0
      One ft as well

    10. Jazz!
      10 years, 8 months ago

      11
      0
      0

      Rose included though

    11. VS10_
      10 years, 8 months ago

      11
      0
      saving ft

    12. Bøwstring The Carp
      10 years, 8 months ago

      11
      1
      0

    13. Rum Ham
      10 years, 8 months ago

      11
      0
      1

    14. St. Joseph
      10 years, 8 months ago

      11
      2
      0

    15. KOLASINA(C)
      10 years, 8 months ago

      11 0 0

    16. HuttonDressedasLahm
      10 years, 8 months ago

      11
      1
      Saving a FT

    17. Forza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 8 months ago

      11
      0
      1

    18. Artorias
      10 years, 8 months ago

      11
      0
      0

    19. walkman666
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 8 months ago

      11
      1
      0

    20. Lone Wolf FPL
      10 years, 8 months ago

      11
      0
      0
      Targett included

    21. juggos
      10 years, 8 months ago

      11
      0
      0

  13. Lisboa 1967
    10 years, 8 months ago

    sterling or navas ?

    i already have
    Siggy mahrez alli // payet willian

    other suggestions

    planning a -4
    dann -> kompany

    1. VS10_
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Neither.

      1. VS10_
        10 years, 8 months ago

        Kompany is a good move.

    2. Rum Ham
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Definitely not Navas.

      1. Lisboa 1967
        10 years, 8 months ago

        who would be better ? for a -4 need a goalscorer / assist maker
        have 9.3million

        1. Rum Ham
          10 years, 8 months ago

          I wouldn't recommend anybody for a -4 to be honest, but if I had to I'd take a punt on Ritchie.

          1. Lisboa 1967
            10 years, 8 months ago

            thing is i dont have enough players , 1 may play but is it risky ? targett

  14. marquinhos
    10 years, 8 months ago

    So is Mahrez(c) still a good shout in light of their new coach?

    1. Odikostar
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Yes (chelsea fan...)

    2. VS10_
      10 years, 8 months ago

      I wouldn't, but their defensive players are still the same bunch of sh!te 🙂

    3. Rum Ham
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Don't think there's much change, but still think there are better options.

    4. Chris_White
      10 years, 8 months ago

      i'd say so

    5. DrCongo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 8 months ago

      I doubt Rafa will have enough time to sort them out before the end of the season let alone before Monday

  15. Juventino4life
    10 years, 8 months ago

    I have 2 FT and want to replace Payet to field 11. 5.4 ITB.

    Suggestions. I was thinking Silva. Yah or nah.

    1. Magic Bean
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Thinking bringing him in too, terrible away form though

    2. VS10_
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Good.

    3. Rum Ham
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Go for it.

  16. Magic Bean
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Roll over my transfer to next week and play this team? What you lads think?

    Butland
    Daniels, Williams, Wollscheid,
    Mahrez, Siggy, Alli, Albrighton,
    Aguero, Kane, Vardy

    (Ozil, Bellirin, Dann)

    Cheers in advance!

    1. madame shelly
      10 years, 8 months ago

      looks good

    2. superpav
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Yep, save transfer.

  17. Emp
    10 years, 8 months ago

    siggy , arnie or shaq for next couple gw's?. Siggy seems the obvius choice but swans really dont score too many goals at all

    1. VS10_
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Siggy, Villa next weeks edges it.

    2. Rum Ham
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Siggy.

    3. I Member
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Gylfi

      1. Emp
        10 years, 8 months ago

        cheers guys

  18. SPFC
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Which tactical formation will you this weekend?

    I'm in 4-3-3

    1. Piggs Boson
      10 years, 8 months ago

      343

    2. Paganoi
      10 years, 8 months ago

      4-3-3 thanks to Yaya injury.

    3. Jafooli
      10 years, 8 months ago

      3-4-3

    4. Rum Ham
      10 years, 8 months ago

      3-4-3

    5. Artorias
      10 years, 8 months ago

      343

  19. KingNidge
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Yaya injury is a serious pain in the arse

    1. JK - Cønt ⭐
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 8 months ago

      totally

      now forced to take a hit 🙁

      1. KingNidge
        10 years, 8 months ago

        My own fault because i could have waited.. i can still play VvD and go with a strong 3-4-3 but i was really wanting to get rid of this AOA chip this week so Yaya > Silva/Sterling is tempting but with the Yaya likely to be back for next game and il bench him for it il just hold

    2. John t penguin
      10 years, 8 months ago

      * ankle

      1. Jafooli
        10 years, 8 months ago

        😀

    3. Bøwstring The Carp
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Is the news legit? What link/ source?

      1. JK - Cønt ⭐
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 8 months ago

        scout tweets

      2. Art Vandelay
        10 years, 8 months ago

        Straight from the vampire's mouth.

    4. Art Vandelay
      10 years, 8 months ago

      True dat.

  20. Elijah's Wood
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Ok to roll a transfer and play with 10?

    Schmeichel
    Williams VVD Wollscheid
    Mahrez Siggy Alli
    Aguero(C) Kane Vardy

    (elliot sanchez payet moreno dawson)

    Cant afford Moreno -> Kompany, and Rose/Bavies is too risky. Sanchez and Payet will be good to hold.

    1. Rum Ham
      10 years, 8 months ago

      What about Wimmer?

      1. Elijah's Wood
        10 years, 8 months ago

        Vertonghen back very soon, would want them until GW33 when i wildcard

    2. juggos
      10 years, 8 months ago

      I'd get Daniels and field 11

      1. Elijah's Wood
        10 years, 8 months ago

        Daniels has bad fixtures after this week

  21. Earn your Spurs
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 8 months ago

    When do we expect to hear offically about games rescheduled in week 34 - or can we already work it out ourselves?

    1. Ini
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 8 months ago

      We have to wait until the FA cup games are played over the weekend. Not sure when the official announcement will be.

      1. Earn your Spurs
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks - that makes sense - to know what replays are needed

  22. Ini
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 8 months ago

    I want to get rid of Targett given the risk that he may not start this GW and moving forward.

    I need a 4.2 defender that is not from LEI or TOT. Best option for this week?
    - Cameron/Muniesa
    - BOU defender? I have Daniels.

    1. VS10_
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Not a fan of any of those, would maybe just start Targett and hope he plays.

      1. Ini
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 8 months ago

        I need to get rid of regardless, because we're never sure if he will start. I have 2FT so it's perfect timing.

        1. VS10_
          10 years, 8 months ago

          Not familiar enough with those Stoke defenders nailedness to recommend either tbh.

    2. Odikostar
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Are cameron and muniesa 4.2?? Defo one of em then

      1. Ini
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 8 months ago

        Yup - 4.2 each.

    1. Jazz!
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Good. 🙂

      1. The Raging Bull
        10 years, 8 months ago

        You finally ditched Walker?!

  23. Sithlord007
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Evening

    Already done a 8pt hit, to get 9 playing. Would u put affellay in to get 10.

    Cheers

    1. Odikostar
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Hahaha nooo

  24. ZeBestee
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Alli or Siggy for this gameweek?

    1. mozza
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Play all out attack chip and bench a defender

      1. ZeBestee
        10 years, 8 months ago

        i have already used that. I have 2FT one has gone to Kane and the other Alli/Siggy. Alli seems a safe bet given he has racked big points against strugling teams

  25. Chicken-Mandy
    10 years, 8 months ago

    im sure theres been a lot of talk but ive missed it as ive been in dortmund, so....

    Aguero or Kane captain?

    1. St. Joseph
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Trust your gravatar
      It'll bring u luck

    2. superpav
      10 years, 8 months ago

      I've gone with Kun.

      Was considering Dortmund for the away game but couldn't go in the end. Now have a home ticket for a match that won't mean anything. Was it good fun anyway?

  26. Recoba
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Anyone playing MLS fantasy?

  27. ducksfly2gether
    10 years, 8 months ago

    I don't have a playing goalie or 4th mid this week. I'm also starting Targett as my 3rd Defender

    Please Advise:

    A) Payet & DDG --> Eriksen & Hart

    B) Payet & Hennessey --> Eriksen & Elliott

    C) Payet, Hennessey, Koscielny --> Eriksen, Hart, Williams (-4) (This would give me GK combo of DDG/Hart and .8 ITB)

    D) Payet, DDG, Koscielny --> Eriksen, Hart, Williams (-4) (with 2.4 ITB)

    E) Payet, Hennessey/DDG, Targett --> Eriksen, Elliott/Hart, Williams (-4) (with .2 ITB)

    DDG/Hennessey

    Targett Simpson Daniels Ivanovic Koscielny

    Payet Ozil Mahrez Arnie Siggy

    Kane Aguero Vardy

    1. birdosworld
      10 years, 8 months ago

      I'd go for B

  28. birdosworld
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Got 12 starters and still got 2FTs 0.4ITB
    Team is:
    Butland (Rudd)
    Huth, Dier, Daniels, Kompany (Bertrand)
    Arnie, Mahrez, Alli, (Ozil, Sanchez)
    Kun, Kane, Vardy

    What would you do?
    Thinking either Sanchez to Silva but doesn't seem much point.
    Maybe Rudd for DGW goalkeeper e.g Newcastle's Elliot in preparation for using bench boost. Am I right in thinking Newcastle will have 2 DGW?

  29. emyoueffsee
    10 years, 8 months ago

    I have 10/11 players playing now Yaya is out. Should I use my FT to bring in a player. I like Eriksen but already have Alli and Kane.

    1. birdosworld
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Yes

    2. Rum Ham
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Bring in Eriksen.

      Aston Villa are bad. So so bad.