Opinion
17 December 2016 2988 comments
Mark Mark
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For a moment, we were beginning to believe it would never happen.

But Jonathan Moss had other ideas, perhaps, like me, he had been silly enough to overlook Diego Costa in his Fantasy Premier League squad.

We can’t claim that the Chelsea striker’s fifth yellow card and resultant one-match ban sent shockwaves through the Fantasy Football community – we were already in the brace position.

However, having navigated 11 domestic matches without an indiscretion, it looked as though Costa v2 was capable of making the Gameweek 19 curfew.

Now we have to consider our options.

The impact of the suspension is perhaps amplified by the fixture involved; the Boxing Day meeting with AFC Bournemouth at Stamford Bridge was potentially a platform for Costa to produce a big haul.

Then again, there was always the possibility that Antonio Conte would preserve the striker, if not in Gameweek 18, more likely for the visit of Stoke City that followed.

The Blues travel to Spurs in Gameweek 20 and, perched on the suspension tightrope; it would have been prudent for Conte to keep Costa out of the Potters clash and protected.

That’s perhaps a philosophical perspective on the current scenario – speculation to soften the blow.

Typically, Zlatan Ibrahimovic has a say in all this – he is now at the forefront of the Costa fall-out.

The Swede’s brace of goals at The Hawthorns has elevated his status and taken him to an impressive 54 points over his last six Gameweeks.

Even Costa, with his unerring consistency, pales in comparison, returning 42 over his last six starts.

The United striker had already built a case prior to his latest goals; he soared to the top of the “transfers in” column within an hour of Costa’s booking.

Clearly, with United facing Sunderland, Middlesbrough and West Ham before the FA Cup break and Jose Mourinho playing down fears the striker will be rested, Ibrahimovic appears poised to maintain his current output.

But for those who adopted Costa early, maximising his price increase, the decision is far from straightforward.

To move to Ibrahimovic now could force them to stick by the United striker beyond Costa’s return in Gameweek 19, should funds limit their option.

Arguably, Ibrahimovic deserves our faith, even if it does mean shedding Costa.

But benching the Chelsea man also has to be an option.

For many, that tactic will depend on the strength of their existing reserves or if they are willing to part with four points to strengthen in order to absorb Costa’s loss.

Certainly, with Ibrahimovic in the mood, the Old Trafford meeting with Sunderland looks a daunting prospect for his non-owners.

Similarly, should Harry Kane and Romelu Lukaku deliver double-figures in their Gameweek 17 matches, they will doubtless attract some Costa traffic.

Kane visits Southampton while Costa sits in the stands, perhaps an unlikely venue for the Spurs striker to return heavily.

But Lukaku makes a trip to Leicester City who will be without both Christian Fuchs and Robert Huth in their already suspect defence. Surprisingly, the Everton striker is already fourth for transfers in before kicking a ball in Gameweek 17.

Costa has shed 50,000 owners at the time of writing. Clearly, an exodus of sorts is under way, presumably made up of those who can either avoid a big loss of funds or who are willing to suck it up, driven by the appeal of the Ibrahimovic form.

It will be interesting to see just how much of his 52% ownership will be lost and just how quickly Ibrahimovic can climb in the nine days until the next deadline.

But there is perhaps an added twist.

When you consider that Sergio Aguero’s return coincides with Costa’s in Gameweek 19, the option of climbing the Ibrahimovic rises as a means of earning precious extra funds offers an intriguing possibility.

Costa to Ibrahimovic and then to Aguero is just one potential route on the crossroads created by today’s events.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

  1. jose249
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    GW 18

    Courtois
    Rose / Clyne / Ward
    Sanchez / Hazard / Lallana / Zaha / De roon
    Ibra / Kane

  2. NATSTER
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    Two strategies in consideration.

    A) Fixed Heavy upfront from GW 20 : Ibra + Costa + Kun
    FT will be used to rotate MF by form / fixtures and DF if needed.

    B) Two heavy + One mid-range : Ibra + Costa + one who play poor defence
    FT will be used to rotate 3rd FW week by week.

    I have been thinking about B for a while but never really tried it.
    It could be hit & miss like Rondon's hat-trick and Carroll's blank.

    Which one would you see better ?

    1. Licious Lizard
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 2 months ago

      I just tried tinkering with a team with the premium strikers (Kun, Costa, Ibra) and I have to say I am tempted by it. Especially for teams with a higher team value than my, I can see it being the way to go.

      For inspiration 🙂 :
      http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2016/12/17/the-knee-jerk-gameweek-17-2/?hc_page=20#hc_comment_14682018

      1. Kiwivillan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 2 months ago

        Philips 3rd mid? Yuck. Too much value in near premium mids to go that top heavy

        1. Licious Lizard
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 2 months ago

          I disagree, as I think he can be great value GW 20-27 with those fixtures. Or Zaha if he doesn't go to AFCON.
          I guess it wouldn't be fun to play if we all agreed 🙂

          1. Kiwivillan
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 2 months ago

            Look at the top defenders and midfielders. Too much money tied up especially the way Ibra and Man U score. I'm getting Ibra for 4 weeks and reassess. My premium defenders locked

            1. Licious Lizard
              • 13 Years
              9 years, 2 months ago

              Perhaps you are right that premium defenders are the way to go now as CS isn't such a rarity anymore. I just think it perhaps could pay off to stick with a core of 5 big hitting attackers all season and using FTs to get in budget def and mids with good short-mid term run of fixtures.

              1. Kiwivillan
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                9 years, 2 months ago

                Atm I have Sanchez Hazard Eriksen and Kane Ibra(sold Costa for him today) There's enough potential cheaper forwards to fill 3rd spot imo and without looking Alonso/Azpi probably not far off Costa last 4 weeks say. I definitely plan to get Kun Burnley on

                1. Licious Lizard
                  • 13 Years
                  9 years, 2 months ago

                  Looks good.

                  Thanks for your input - will definitely continue to tinker and consider my strategy. Good luck to you...

              2. tisza
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                9 years, 2 months ago

                I might be wrong on this.
                Was a Costa owner until last night.
                But if you're going Kun & Ibra you're most likely going to captain one of them. You'd hardly ever captain Costa. Costa has accumulated pts all season but has only one 2 goal game. Kun & Ibra seem far more likely to get 2s or 3s.
                For point accumulation Chelsea defenders are doing much the same at a much lower price.

                1. Odikostar
                  • 11 Years
                  9 years, 2 months ago

                  You've got a point

  3. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    Can anyone tell me what Didier N'Dong's strengths are? I honestly don't know what he does in a game. Sunderland paid a big fee for him too. I would offload in January if I were Moyes

  4. JustPark
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 2 months ago

    Kane, Eriksen and Sanchez for double digit hauls please!