The Numbers Game - Threat From the Back - Best FPL Tips, Advice, Team News, Picks, and Statistics from Fantasy Football Scout

FPL GW16 Scout Picks - Final Selection

Raya Martin

Lewis-Potter
Chalobah
Andersen

Szoboszlai
Saka
Bruno Fernandes
Eze

Raúl Jiménez
Haaland
Thiago

Dubravka
Spence
Heaven
Le Fée

GW16 Captain Poll

Price Change Predictions

Risers

Fallers

Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Ekitiké	LIV	8.5m	125.2%	Very Likely
Foden	MCI	8.7m	110.3%	Very Likely
B.Fernandes	MUN	9.2m	103.5%	Very Likely
Cherki	MCI	6.4m	99.7%	Likely
Saka	ARS	10.2m	94.5%	Likely
Thiago	BRE	7.1m	92.7%	Likely
Lacroix	CRY	5.1m	90.9%	Unlikely
Watkins	AVL	8.5m	88.5%	Unlikely
Roefs	SUN	4.7m	86.6%	Unlikely
Chalobah	CHE	5.4m	71.2%	Unlikely
Van Hecke	BHA	4.5m	81.6%	Unlikely
Marc Guiu	CHE	4.2m	78.5%	Unlikely
Matheus N.	MCI	5.3m	77.7%	Unlikely
Palmer	CHE	10.3m	66.8%	Unlikely
Truffert	BOU	4.5m	73.9%	Unlikely
Casemiro	MUN	5.5m	74.2%	Unlikely
Dewsbury-Hall	EVE	5.1m	79.8%	Unlikely
Raya	ARS	6.0m	69.9%	Unlikely
Bowen	WHU	7.5m	67.7%	Unlikely
Livramento	NEW	4.9m	67.0%	Unlikely
Mitchell	CRY	5.0m	65.8%	Unlikely
Andersen	FUL	4.6m	65.1%	Unlikely
Rúben	MCI	5.6m	63.7%	Unlikely
Verbruggen	BHA	4.4m	63.6%	Unlikely
Gusto	CHE	4.9m	59.2%	Unlikely
Keane	EVE	4.6m	60.3%	Unlikely
Tete	FUL	4.5m	60.7%	Unlikely
Cullen	BUR	5.0m	57.4%	Unlikely
Cash	AVL	4.9m	53.2%	Unlikely
Romero	TOT	5.0m	55.9%	Unlikely
Dúbravka	BUR	4.0m	56.1%	Unlikely
Tavernier	BOU	5.5m	54.5%	Unlikely
Bruno G.	NEW	7.0m	45.7%	Unlikely
Ballard	SUN	4.6m	53.4%	Unlikely
Dalot	MUN	4.4m	52.9%	Unlikely
Petrović	BOU	4.5m	52.6%	Unlikely
Gvardiol	MCI	5.9m	49.0%	Unlikely
Flemming	BUR	5.3m	47.0%	Unlikely
Van den Berg	BRE	4.5m	46.1%	Unlikely
James	CHE	5.6m	43.9%	Unlikely

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Player	Team	Price	Progress	Tonight
Muñoz	CRY	6.0m	108.4%	Very Likely
Mateta	CRY	7.9m	99.7%	Likely
Longstaff	LEE	4.9m	101.7%	Very Likely
Van de Ven	TOT	4.7m	101.6%	Very Likely
Nallo	LIV	3.8m	101.0%	Very Likely
Gudmundsson	LEE	3.9m	100.3%	Very Likely
Jordan	BUR	4.0m	99.9%	Maybe
Morgan	BRE	4.4m	99.9%	Maybe
Neave	NEW	4.4m	99.7%	Maybe
Rodon	LEE	4.1m	98.3%	Maybe
Muniz	FUL	5.4m	97.4%	Maybe
Bobb	MCI	5.2m	96.9%	Maybe
Fitzgerald	MUN	4.4m	96.4%	Maybe
H.Bueno	WOL	4.4m	97.2%	Maybe
Mbeumo	MUN	8.3m	84.8%	Maybe
Kulusevski	TOT	6.4m	94.9%	Unlikely
Mayenda	SUN	5.3m	93.5%	Unlikely
Okafor	LEE	5.5m	94.5%	Unlikely
Toti	WOL	4.3m	96.0%	Unlikely
Barnes	BUR	4.3m	94.0%	Unlikely
McKenna	BOU	4.0m	93.7%	Unlikely
Tasker	BHA	3.9m	93.0%	Unlikely
Minteh	BHA	6.2m	92.3%	Unlikely
Jair Cunha	NFO	4.3m	94.0%	Unlikely
Colwill	CHE	4.8m	92.3%	Unlikely
Elanga	NEW	6.6m	91.6%	Unlikely
Gunn	NFO	4.0m	91.6%	Unlikely
Webster	BHA	4.4m	90.9%	Unlikely
Balcombe	BRE	4.0m	90.3%	Unlikely
Broggio	AVL	4.5m	91.5%	Unlikely
Yarmoliuk	BRE	5.0m	90.5%	Unlikely
Piroe	LEE	5.0m	90.0%	Unlikely
Bentley	WOL	4.0m	88.5%	Unlikely
Doku	MCI	6.6m	85.1%	Unlikely
Fer López	WOL	5.2m	88.3%	Unlikely
McAtee	NFO	5.1m	87.7%	Unlikely
Kudus	TOT	6.5m	85.2%	Unlikely
Irving	WHU	4.4m	83.0%	Unlikely
Benitez	CRY	4.0m	85.0%	Unlikely
L.Guilherme	WHU	4.9m	88.2%	Unlikely

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FPL Fixture Ticker

Watchlists

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Raya Martin	ARS	C
No Change	Alisson	LIV	C
No Change	Donnarumma	MCI	C, Sus
Up	Kelleher	BRE	C, Vs
Down	Ramsdale	NEW	C
No Change	Dubravka	BUR	C, £

Last updated: 13 Dec, 2025 10:16am

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	van Dijk	LIV	C
No Change	Jurriën Timber	ARS	C, Inj
No Change	O’Reilly	MCI	C
Up	Andersen	FUL	C
Up	Marc Guehi	CRY	A
Up	van den Berg	BRE	C, Vs
No Change	Thiaw	NEW	A
No Change	Milenkovic	NFO	C
No Change	van Hecke	BHA	A
No Change	Mukiele	SUN	C, £

Last updated: 13 Dec, 2025 10:28am

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Saka	ARS	B
No Change	Bruno Fernandes	MUN	A
No Change	Foden	MCI	A
No Change	Semenyo	BOU	C
Up	Szoboszlai	LIV	C
No Change	Minteh	BHA	B
No Change	Bruno Guimarães	NEW	A
No Change	Schade	BRE	C, Vs, Sus
No Change	Anderson	NFO	B, £

Last updated: 13 Dec, 2025 10:34am

	Player	Club	Factors
No Change	Haaland	MCI	B
No Change	Thiago	BRE	A, Vs
No Change	Mateta	CRY	C
Up	Ekitiké	LIV	B
Down	Welbeck	BHA	C, Rest
Down	Woltemade	NEW	B

Last updated: 13 Dec, 2025 10:43am

GW16 Free Transfer Poll

GW16 Chip Poll

Members

The Numbers Game – Threat From the Back

16 October 2012 1690 comments

Paul

Last but not least, the third article in our series focusing on attacking potential takes a look at the defenders. We’ve already ran the rule over the midfielders and forwards in the past couple of days and now the men at the back come under analysis. Highlighting the top 10 performers in terms of threat in our own ICT Index, we also list the top 20 for goal attempts so far and cast an eye over their underlying stats to ascertain their possible Fantasy value going forward:

This content is restricted to Chief Scout Members. Click here to register and get access to industry-leading stats from Opta and StatsBomb including Defensive Contributions data, the Rate My Team tool, Points Projections, 150+ Member-only articles, exclusive Team Reveals, a customisable Season Ticker, two Transfer Planners... and more!

1,690 Comments Login to Post a Comment

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Dr Dream
13 years, 2 months ago
Fascinated by some of the reasons for transfers on here...one thing i've not seen is transfers based on value alone...I flogged Tevez a couple of weeks ago when he was up at 9.9 and Michu when he was high at 7.4...and both leaking owners even now...How much milage is there in playing the values game for a better second half to the season...?....In paticular looking at players coming back from injury or bans...Young...Sagna...Rooney...Terry etc...or is it a waste of time ?
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1. P&F
  13 years, 2 months ago
  It is a decent ploy, I did it last year and finished about 2000, finished with about 112 mil.
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  1. Dr Dream
    13 years, 2 months ago
    Wow....so did you get better as the year went on due to more finance...?..or was it a consistent year ?
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Sess!
13 years, 2 months ago
Football betting really is crazy. Germany did me. Bookies must be rolling in it tonight with germany and spain drawing. How many accumlators would have been lost in dying mins. A lot of pissed off punters!!
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KakiBangku
13 years, 2 months ago
HOW DO YOU LOSE A 4 GOAL LEAD????
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1. Bouncebackability
  13 years, 2 months ago
  Concede four goals.
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  1. KakiBangku
    13 years, 2 months ago
    Apparently this is a record. Since ever. Disgusted.
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    1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius�…
      13 years, 2 months ago
      Was Mertesacker playing?
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Will.I.Am
13 years, 2 months ago
How's this wild card team look compared to my old team?

Jussi Begovi

Baines Rafael McCartney Demel Gorks

Hazard Piennar Sterling Cazorla Bale

Ba Tevez Berbatov

Could get in Rooney for Ba if I drop Piennar and Bale for HBA and Morrison (I believe)
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1. Kendog
  13 years, 2 months ago
  Drop hazar. Looks ok.. What is your team?
  
  I have a similar WC team. I think I have settled on the following
  
  Bego, gazza
  
  Baines, sagna, saylor / gorkks nelsen
  
  Bale, Oscar, cazorla, taarabt / Morrison
  
  Rooney, berba, aguero
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  1. Kendog
    13 years, 2 months ago
    It's a gamble, but if Rooney, aguero, Morrison, taarabt, Oscar have a good moth or so I will make up ground
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yasiooo
13 years, 2 months ago
I just came back from stadium. It's unbelieveable how could they leave roof opened. Disgrace. You probably heard chants from the stands. It was "thieves, thieves" in Polish.
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Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius�…
13 years, 2 months ago
Long live Freddie ...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HiB7Be0wNsg
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Zep
13 years, 2 months ago
Giroud 😯

Here we go...
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Kendog
13 years, 2 months ago
Suarez for one week (no city cover > aguero next week)

Or aguero?

What are your predictions on man city back line?
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fridge
13 years, 2 months ago
so I still have Graham, luckily I have 2 FT this week though

Foster Federici
Demel Zaba Baines Hangeland Cuellar
Michu Cazorla Pienaar Ben Arfa Sterling
Suarez RVP Graham

2 FT, 0.5 in bank

Was thinking Zabaleta and Graham to Wilson and Berbatov

Yay or nay?
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JT's Dog
13 years, 2 months ago
http://www1.skysports.com/football/news/12016/8172385/England-U21-defender-Rose-calls-on-UEFA-to-ban-Serbia-after-racist-abuse
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Dr. Rog
13 years, 2 months ago
it would be useful to also display the (FPL) price of the player in these charts
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