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11 September 2015 1268 comments
Mathematically Safe Mathematically Safe
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In what has been a largely unpredictable start to the season for Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers, we take a look at the defensive statistics of the first four Gameweeks to review how the performance of the teams is impacting on points tallies to this point.

In many ways the importance of team form is more pronounced for the defensive positions than it is in attacking areas.

Whereas a forward can play in a largely uninspiring team but still nick a goal, the best defenders can have clean sheet points taken away by a single slip from another player. FPL managers look for attacking potential to mitigate this, but stoic central defenders can also be valuable if they are part of a solid collective unit. Therefore, it is important to look at the defence in context of the team’s strengths as well as the individual’s.

For this analysis, we will use the team data available in the member’s area. The following chart ranks the teams by Opta’s metric ‘Bad Touches’ (in ascending order), from the ‘Disciplined’ teams who make limited mistakes and have high concentration, to the ‘Own Worst Enemy’ teams who have recorded many bad touches (see data table for reference below). The size of the circles denotes the rank of teams by crosses conceded, chances conceded, and big chances conceded (small is good, large is bad).

  1. Jeremiah
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Anyone else keeping Diouf & playing him?

  2. jam sandwich
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    1FT

    a) Silva > Sterling
    b) Silva > Pedro
    c) play Westwood and keep Silva

    bought Silva at 10.0 so making 0.1 if I sell

    1. Greenbackbøøg…
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      b

    2. Every Dog Has Its Day
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      D) YYT.

    3. Elijah's Wood
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Between A and C, more inclined to hold the transfer seeing as he's expecting back next week

    4. Man Chest Hair United
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      B or c

    5. the axolotl
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      c all day.

      you'll want him back next week clearly. that goes for everybody. lunacy transfer

      1. Still Unsure
          10 years, 3 months ago

          I was thinking this, but what if you have no Chelsea cover?

          1. the axolotl
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            if you have 2 other city already then maybe silva to pedro is not so ridiculous. i'd still prefer silva tho. don't own him myself as it happens, couldn't afford him

            1. Still Unsure
                10 years, 3 months ago

                Yeah this is my thinking. Currently have kolarov, silva, kun but no Chelsea. Can afford hazard or Pedro but not sure what to do!

                1. the axolotl
                  • 14 Years
                  10 years, 3 months ago

                  honestly i'd hold, if it was me

        • Slam
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          C

        • jam sandwich
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          well despite the advice I did A because 1) I can just get Silva when he's back and don't have to miss having 3 City for any of the nice run 2) I have Morgan playing so don't want to play Westwood and 3) I'm bored and also don't want another mediocre week

      2. Slam
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        My final dilemma. Who to play out of these two?
        Currently on B.

        A) Huth
        B) Francis

        Your thoughts are valued highly 🙂

        1. Every Dog Has Its Day
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          A

          1. Slam
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            1-0
            Cheers

            1. Every Dog Has Its Day
              • 11 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              I can't really see Villa scoring to be honest...

              Look where Norwich are and look where Villa are.

              http://members.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/my-stats-tables/view/7897/

              1. Slam
                • 10 Years
                10 years, 3 months ago

                How have I never looked at this table before… 🙁
                Silly me, Thank so much mate.
                This helps a lot

                  1. Slam
                    • 10 Years
                    10 years, 3 months ago

                    Cheers mate.
                    Really appreciate it

        2. Jazz!
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Toughie.

          B has attacking threat
          A most likely chance of clean sheet but Leicester can't be trusted at the back

          I'd go A

          1. Slam
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            2-0

      3. Every Dog Has Its Day
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        GW5.

        Schmeichel
        Gomez Kolarov Naughton
        Ayew Sán(c)hez Yaya Touré Mahrez
        Gomis Agüero Kane

        (Butland) Westwood Cathcart Richards

        -8.

        Good-luck everyone.

        1. Slam
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Same to you 🙂
          I like it a lot.

        2. Jazz!
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Good luck

        3. BrockLanders
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Looks good. Gomez definitely starts

        4. FrancescoLazio
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          -8 lel

          1. Every Dog Has Its Day
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            How old are you?

          2. Slam
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            What's wrong with that?

          3. Slam
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            'Chelsea look awful in defines now that Courois is out…'
            lel at you for thinking Begovic is a piece of sh*t

            1. Slam
              • 10 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              defence*

        5. Every Dog Has Its Day
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Thanks all.

      4. BrockLanders
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Rooney out of the Liverpool game?

        1. Jazz!
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Not confirmed

          1. km79
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            oh God I'm now contemplating bringing in the big man
            Fellainiiiiiiiiii

        2. Valar(Keith)
          • 16 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          huh? What'd i miss?

        3. Vardy Gras PBFC
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Do go on...

      5. Man Chest Hair United
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        KDB likely to play full game?

        1. BrockLanders
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          I'd say 75mins

      6. HurriKane
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Think there's more value in midfeild than forwards this season .If so is a 3-5-2 better option to deploy ?

        Players with more than 20 points

        Fowards - 4 players

        Mids - 17 players

      7. FrancescoLazio
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Azpilicueta out for Cresswell or Shaw guys?

        1. Dynamic Duos
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          None

          1. FrancescoLazio
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            great response

            1. Dynamic Duos
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              Ok do NONE of those transfers

        2. BrockLanders
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Azpi

          1. FrancescoLazio
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Chelsea look awful in defence and now lost Courtois, with tough fixtures...

            What do you see I don't?

            1. BrockLanders
              • 10 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              He's a threat in attack. Not sure be many goals in that game

      8. Flynny
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Yaya or sterling for wildcard?....Who do u reckon?...Thanks

        1. Dynamic Duos
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Yaya for me

        2. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Sterling--chance of playing up front with Aguero.

        3. Jeremiah
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Sterling.

      9. Simon March
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Anyone else think Kruddy (Krul & Ruddy) now offers a better rotation than Rutland?

        1. Slam
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Look at Krul and Gomes 🙂

        2. Jazz!
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Or Krutland

        3. Dynamic Duos
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Do you think it's a bad idea to ditch Darmian for Naughton/Dawson/Sagna?

        4. Every Dog Has Its Day
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Hello Simon.

          I like the Kasper and Butland rotation tbh.

        5. Simon March
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Interesting. Thanks guys.

      10. No Pirlo No Party
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Preferred 4.5 GK and 4.5 DF (Other than Francis)?

        Thoughts appreciated. Thanks!

        1. Man Chest Hair United
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          West Bromwich gk wait a week.

          1. No Pirlo No Party
            • 16 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            On WC this week mate. To go alongside Begovic. Purely for backup.

        2. BrockLanders
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Prodl or Huth

          1. No Pirlo No Party
            • 16 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Currently on Prodl.

            Gomes and Huth or Schmiechel and Prodl I guess.

      11. Darth
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Yaya Toure vs Sterling, my head says surely sterling should be more of an attacking threat?

        1. Jeremiah
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Sterling imo.

        2. Slam
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Yaya

        3. Camp No No
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Shirley Sterling appeals to you, but when you think of it, Yaya is the secure route in FPL, isn't he?

        4. Bojaninho
          • 16 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Could go either way with Silva out and KDB new

        5. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Agree--there are times when he might play up with Aguero like two weeks ago, and he has Kolarov feeding him.

        6. Bob.
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Sterling imo

      12. Camp No No
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Does anybody here play the FM games? How did you like the 2015 version?

      13. Rinseboy
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Remember when Westwood got that assist against Leicester last year...

        1. Slam
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          I don't store that sort of stuff in my brain.
          Good to know I guess.

        2. Camp No No
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          No. And if you ain't a Villain, that's a bit sad.

          1. Rinseboy
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Ha! Was just looking at his record last year and saw it!

            1. Rinseboy
              • 13 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              Still a bit sad

      14. RSe
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Those on a WC going with Bego?

        1. Slam
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          I would

        2. Bob.
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Yeah Bego and a 4.0 and then change Bego whenever Cech comes back for me

          1. Bob.
            • 15 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Courtouis* haha

          2. RSe
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Yup was my thinking.

        3. Paulodi.canio
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Yep

          1. km79
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            yes

      15. Vardy Gras PBFC
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Another UFPL pairing question:

        A Cech & Cabaye
        B Krul & Coutinho (have Benteke)
        C Mignolet & Ayew (have Gomis)

        Tempted by B.

        1. Weasel Boy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          How about cech and Sakho?

          1. Vardy Gras PBFC
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Sako? Do you think Liverpool will get better attacking returns between now and New Year than Palace?

            1. Weasel Boy
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 13 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              On current former definitely but former always dip and rise over the course of a season.

      16. Adro3
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Butland Ruddy
        Gomez Mert Kolarov Huth Cedric
        Mane Ozil Sterling Payer Bentaleb
        Benteke Aguero Sakho

        1FT, not sure what to do. Cheers 🙂

        1. BrockLanders
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Ozil to Mahrez

      17. BennyDizzle
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Ozil -> Ayew worth a 4pt hit?

        1. Jazz!
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          No. I see Ozil doing well this week

        2. Slam
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          What was your original transfer?

          1. BennyDizzle
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Benteke -> Gomis
            Clyne -> Kolorov

        3. cravencottage
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          dont think so

        4. mookie
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          no

      18. km79
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        on wildcard and thinking of going with a Watford Bournemouth cheap defensive rotation
        Happy to go with Francis but know NOTHING about the Watford lads!
        can someone point me in the right direction please

        1. Paulodi.canio
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Avoid both imo wbrom seems to be the best cheap option

        2. The Suspended One
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          nyom

      19. Optimus.
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        ............McCarthy
        ...Darmian Gomez Kolarov
        Sanchez Ayew Mahrez Payet
        ...Aguero Benteke Gomis

        Hennessey Targett Coutinho Oxford

        Gonna save transfer and unleash Coutinho gw6

        1. Optimus.
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          This is a good story....Can I eat it?

      20. Paulodi.canio
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        YYT aggy and kola too much city?

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Not if they score well & keep a CS.

      21. Demí
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Sucks not having anyone in the Monday night game. 4 gameweeks out of 4 now for my squad

        1. Jazz!
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Same here 🙁

        2. Valar(Keith)
          • 16 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          I am still hitting myself for swapping Sakho for Benteke last week.. would've loved owning Sakho this week. Sigh

        3. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          lol@ . . . ummm . . . people who don't buy Sunday players?

        4. HamezMace
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Part of the reason I'm keeping Sakho for another week

      22. ol
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Has Pulis said who his no 1 is going to be? WBA have some nice fixtures and I did have Myhill. I'm on a wildcard so can swap Lindegaard in if he is starting.

        1. Bob.
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Hard to know really. Dont think Linde signed to sit on the bench, but not sure if Pulis will drop Myhill straight away for him, or wait until he makes a mistake/loses form.

          1. ol
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            I agree with you. Myhill is short term option at best I would have thought. He could put Linde straight in, but more likely wait for a mistake. Annoying for us!

        2. cravencottage
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          He hasnt indicated

        3. The Suspended One
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          linde will play, hopefully not for a couple weeks, I would DEFINATELY move him out on WC

          Butland after this week, Begovich if you are worried about this week

      23. The_Socca_Philosopha
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        With Silva out now and no FTs, should I take a hit? I have Ashley Westwood (lei) on the bench, but I don't know if he's gonna get any points. I am considering taking the hit to bring in either KDB or Sanchez. City still have good fixtures, but Sanchez looks primed to explode against Stoke. That being said, Arsenal are still Arsenal and don't have the greatest fixtures coming up.
        Any advice would be dearly appreciated!

        Cheers!

        1. The Suspended One
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          I'd hold silva, expected back in mid week

      24. Harvey Specter
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        A) Myhill and a 4.8 Def. (Not Gomez, Targett or Oxford)
        B) Begovic and a 4.3 Def.

      25. cravencottage
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Some feedback would be great

        Begovic McCarthy
        Kolarov Shaw Dawson Gomez Morgan
        Mahrez Pedro Sanchez Ayew Sako
        Gomis Aguero Wilson

        Thanks!

        1. The Suspended One
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          lions suck, theres your feedback

          1. cravencottage
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Hope you know more about FPL than you do about NFL

            1. The Suspended One
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              I know a thing or two about winning our division every year

              13 NFL Championships, how many do the Lions have?

              Is never a number?

        2. BrockLanders
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Looks very good

        3. The 12th Man
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Nice.
          Is that Russell Wilson ; o)

      26. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Mark on talksport now

        http://tunein.com/radio/talkSPORT-1089-s17077/

        1. Spike ⚽️
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          I wonder how many on here will call it Talk Shite now ?

      27. The Suspended One
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        A) Hazard to Sanchez for Free
        B) Myhill to Begovich
        C) Start Hazard and Myhill, and save FT (Myhill to Butland next week)

        1. Jazz!
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Č

          1. Jazz!
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Or A now that I think about it

            1. The Suspended One
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              lolz

      28. Gazpilicueta
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Last opportunity for you to share your valuable advice with me this week!

        Butland, Ruddy

        Kolarov, Cedric, Huth, Francis, Coates

        Hazard, Silva, Chadli, Mahrez, Ibe

        Pelle, Wilson, Aguero

        0.5 in the bank, 1 free transfer, here are the options I am currently considering

        A) Silva to Ayew, keep it simple, free transfer done

        B) No transfers, play Francis and huth with Kolarov and Cedric, Silva is important for the future.

        C) Coates to Ollson, not much funds here but I need to get rid of him at some point

        D) Ibe to someone who will play, but again, would only have 5.4 to spend (get through this week)

        E) 2 transfers, not sure which 2

        D) 3 transfers! -8 is worth it, fix the team!

        E) Wildcard.....this late in the week I know its silly. but Im struggling

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Too many Ds and Es

          1. Gazpilicueta
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            lol ahaha, sorry im tired....

      29. Jazz!
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Have a player playing in every single match except the MNF Football game 🙁

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          What's your 11?

          1. Jazz!
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 3 months ago

            Myhill

            Kolarov - Darmian

            Mahrez (C) - Sanchez - Ayew - Chadli - Pedro

            Gomis - Wilson - Aguero

            1. Jazz!
              • 10 Years
              10 years, 3 months ago

              If Myhill starts of course 🙁 Then Butland off the bench