[sbu_large_image] Scout Betting
19 September 2015 1602 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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On paper, this looks to be a Gameweek that deals in fine margins. While Sergio Aguero should be heavily backed for the captaincy, doubts over his pitch time against West Ham and them emergence of reliable mid-price returns has dented his dominance in the race for the armband. Elsewhere, a slew of strong home fixtures suggests that clean sheet returns could be plentiful.

Where do we put our faith? Let’s get Paddy Power’s odds in the mix as another variable.

Before we examine their assessment via the Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet markets, those of you hankering for a flutter this weekend should know about the special offers laid on by our bookmaker friends.

For the tasty early kick-off, new Paddy Power accounts can get Chelsea to win at 9/1 or 8/1 on an Arsenal victory at Stamford Bridge, with your cash back as a free bet if you lose out.

Paddy also have a special for Sunday’s tea-time clash at St Mary’s, with odds of 8/1 on offer for a Man United win over Southampton – plus £10 of free bets for the rest of the season.

Finally, this weekend’s accumulator special finds Paddy dangling 30/1 on wins for Man City, Leicester, Atletico Madrid and PSG with your money back as a bet if you miss out.

Be sure to check the teams and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 6

Player Team Odds
Aguero MCI 1.40
Bony MCI 1.66
Iheanacho MCI 1.83
Benteke LIV 1.90
Wilson BOU 2.10
Sterling MCI 2.10
Kane TOT 2.10
Sturridge LIV 2.10
Costa CHE 2.20
Toure MCI 2.29
De Bruyne MCI 2.29
Murray BOU 2.40
King BOU 2.40
Gomis SWA 2.50

With Manuel Pellegrini confirming that his Argentine hitman is 100% fit, it’s no surprise to see Sergio Aguero (1.40) rated as Paddy’s most fancied to score. Despite clocking just 312 minutes this campaign, the former Atletico Madrid man ranks joint-third among forwards for shots inside the box (12) and joint-fourth for shots on target (seven), statistics that help him maintain his seemingly permanent tenancy at the top of the Anytime Goalscorer odds.

With City joint-top for goals scored this campaign (11) and second for shots on target (36), back-up strikers Wilfried Bony (1.66) and Kelechi Iheanacho (1.83) round off the top three slots in Paddy’s odds. Further down, Rahem Sterling (2.10), Yaya Toure and Kevin De Bruyne (both 2.29) also occupy the top 15, illustrating the Sky Blues’ unmatched attacking depth and Paddy’s confidence that they will dish out a beating to visiting West Ham at the Etihad.

Pitched at 1.90, Christian Benteke (1.90) is fancied to build upon his Goal of the Season nominee at Old Trafford with another strike at home to Norwich City. Although the Reds have recorded just three goals so far this term, their recent record against the Canaries (21 goals in five meetings) bodes well for a high-scoring encounter. Daniel Sturridge (2.10) only just returned to full training last week but is handed short odds in case of a surprise cameo.

A quartet of Bournemouth players are handed skinny odds ahead of their home clash against Sunderland, with Callum Wilson (2.10) pinpointed as the main threat. Glenn Murray and Joshua King (both 2.40) also feature in the top 15, perhaps no surprise given that the Black Cats rank second for goals conceded (11) and shots inside the box conceded (57).

Harry Kane (2.10), Diego Costa (2.20) and Bafetimbi Gomis (2.50) round off the list of likely scorers, despite all three drawing a blank last time out. Kane is yet to record this campaign but faces an Eagles’ rearguard that’s conceded the most shots inside the box (58), while Costa netted a confidence-boosting strike in Chelsea’s Champions League opener. Gomis, meanwhile, has scored in every home match so far ahead of Everton’s trip to the Liberty Stadium.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 6

Team Odds
Manchester City 2.10
Liverpool 2.10
Aston Villa 2.20
Bournemouth 2.29
Tottenham 2.62
Manchester United 2.70
Newcastle 2.87
Swansea 2.87

The Clean Sheet rankings are keenly contested, with Paddy’s odds suggesting that there could be ample defensive returns on offer.

Man City and Liverpool are neck-and-neck at the summit of the clean-sheet table, with Paddy offering odds of 2.10 for both sides to shut out their opposition in their respective home encounters.

The Sky Blues boast five straight clean sheets and are yet to concede a big chance at home, while the Reds have conceded just one big chance at Anfield having started the season with three straight shut-outs.

Aston Villa (2.20) come next, despite claiming just one clean sheet to their name this term. They are no doubt favoured by Paddy by virtue of the fact that opponents West Brom rank bottom for shots on target (five) in away matches. Elsewhere, Eddie Howe’s Bournemouth (2.29) play host to a Sunderland outfit that’s crafted only two big chances on their travels.

Tottenham (2.62) have not conceded in their previous two league outings and restricted Everton to just three shots on target last time out at White Hart Lane, although given Palace’s away form under Alan Pardew, these odds seem generous.

Only Leicester City (zero) have conceded fewer big chances in their away match-ups than Man United (one), who are priced at 2.70 to earn clean sheet from their trip to Southampton.

Further down, both Newcastle United and Swansea City come in at 2.87 for their respective home ties. The Swans have conceded just one big chance at home ahead of their showdown with Everton, while the Magpies square up to a Watford outfit that’s tested the opposing keeper on just five occasions in two away ties.

1,602 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Egg noodle
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Mahrez captain. Come on lad

    1. @ocprodigy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Albrighton to make the headlines this time.

  2. ebb2sparky
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Very tempted by a liverpool defender since i need to sell shaw. Not interested in any rotation risks so i figure it has to be skrtel or clyne. Who would you guys prefer to buy and why?

    I'm swaying towards skrtel at the moment.

    1. Andy1
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      50:50 in my opinion

  3. FantasyFS007
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    1. Depay to Bolasie & Ritchie to Mahrez for a double hit? Would that be crazy??

    1. Odikostar
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      yes, ritchie have a great fixture

  4. Snapes on a Plane
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Start Jagielka or Williams?

    1. Egg noodle
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Williams

  5. Coaly
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Kun or Tek

    Kun:

    +Bookies odds in his favour
    +City on better form
    +Most prolific scorer in the league
    -Hasn't got going yet
    -Tougher opponent?

    Tek:

    +Hit a tasty goal in the week - confidence up?
    +Easier opponent
    +Main goal threat
    +Coutinho back to supply him
    -Liverpool not creating much

    1. Coaly
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      For captaincy

      1. Andy1
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        I have benteke, but think I am going to change

    2. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Kun

    3. Chenku╰☆╮
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Norwich are a good side give them some credit...

      1. Coaly
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        The question mark after tougher opponent for Kun is their credit

    4. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Pool not creating much is a big - for me

    5. Egg noodle
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Why has Aguero "not got going yet" but Benteke has? Bentekes first goal was offside. They've both scored only 1 goal each apart from that.

      1. Coaly
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Tek scored more recently and it could be the start of him 'getting going' whereas Kun scored then didn't follow it up

    6. Gaz Downright
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      there's a whole article about this

      1. Coaly
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Link?

    7. DannyBoy....
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Huge difference it talent should be the main factor.

  6. jfxm
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Start 3:

    Kolarov (WHU H), Darmian (SOU A), Richards (NOR H), Gomez (NOR H), Muniesa (LEIC H)

    1. Cesc in the city
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      1,3,4

    2. Tmel
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Kolarov, Gomez, Darmian, Richards and Muniesa in that order

    3. Still Unsure
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Kolarov, Gomez, Darmian

    4. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Kola Darmian Gomez

  7. Egg noodle
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    No hits, 2 FT, WC used, and rank 2.7 mill... FML

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Cheer up Leicester

      1. Egg noodle
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        😀 Mahrez heals my wounds every week 🙂
        Good luck this weekend bud

    2. @ocprodigy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      At least Leicester are doing well! It's been a tough season so far. Really, really tough :/ I've just begun climbing up.

      1. Egg noodle
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        I keep telling myself that things will eventually normalise, only a matter of when.
        Hopefully green arrows all round this weekend, good luck mate

  8. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Boring bench transfer done - Richards > Evans.

    Good luck this week everyone!

  9. Snapes on a Plane
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Captain benteke or augero?

    1. Sponge-worthy
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I'd like to know the answer to this also.

    2. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Kun.

      Though it's answered on every page.

    3. Cristi@no R7
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Mahrez

  10. INDIANPUNDIT
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Play target ....united won't score

  11. @ocprodigy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Can someone please explain why I brought in Schlupp over say, a West Ham defender last night? What kinda foolishness.

    1. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Yeah you messed up there. Most were selling Leicester defenders lol

      1. @ocprodigy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        I even looked at the tracker and somehow decided it was a good idea (just needed Shaw out and wanted to upgrade Pelle to Benteke).

        Looks like I'll be wasting another transfer on that in a week or so.

        1. Make United Great Again
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Should have gone Dawson.

    2. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      You certainly don't need a West Ham defender this week anyways

      1. @ocprodigy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        I know, mainly for future planning though. I always like to make a transfer that I'll keep for 3-4 weeks (barring any injuries/suspensions).

        This was short-sighted, I'm not even playing him this GW and Leicester don't do clean sheets.

    3. Egg noodle
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Both are equally bad choices I'd say 😀
      West Ham have been more unpredictable than Chelsea this season.

  12. Milner4eva
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Message to non Agüero cappers:

    There is still time! Repent before it is too late!

  13. Sponge-worthy
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Hazard and Azpil to Skrtel and Mahrez, bye Chelsea!

  14. tim
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Morning lads!

    g2g?

    Begovic

    Kolarov Bellerin Dawson

    Sanchez Mahrez Yaya Ayew

    Kun(C) Wilson(VC) Gomis

    subs. McCarthy Cedric Westwood Targett

    CHEERS!

    1. Still Unsure
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Gtg

  15. Stats Don\'t Lie
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Either of these with a ft?

    A)Mane > shaqiri
    B)Kane > benteke

    1. DV8R
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      A

    2. Jaffalicious! #SomosCubanos
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      B

  16. Liastro ⭐️
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    All set or anything worth a free? 1.7m in the bank...

    Butland

    Kolarov - Dawson - Francis

    Hazard - Ozil - Mane - Mahrez

    Aguero (C) - Benteke (VC) - Wilson

    Subs: Ruddy - Huth - Wanyama - Coates

    1. Jaffalicious! #SomosCubanos
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I'd swap Mane for a City mid or Coutinho but you could probably get away with saving this week.

    2. Chenku╰☆╮
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      sell koates...bring in premium def imo..

  17. Jaffalicious! #SomosCubanos
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Morning folks!

    Bellerin over Dawson for the next 6 weeks?

    1. Egg noodle
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      No way

  18. 7923dos
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Two free transfers and no ideas...

    Butland / Ruddy
    Huth / Francis / Kolorov / Gomez / Richards
    Pedro / Mahrez / Sanchez / Silva / Westwood
    Aguero / Gomis / Wilson

    Any suggestions?

  19. Chenku╰☆╮
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    i can see a big score this afternoon.. 4-4 chelsea arsenal..

    1. El Berbossa - \\\"El b…
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Hazard x 4

      1. Chenku╰☆╮
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        wont happen but if it did that would drive ppl insane! lots of fpl account deletion..

    2. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Hopefully. I have Costa and Sanchez

    3. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Sanchez quadruple.

      1. Alittude
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        hazard time

      2. Jafooli
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        *no assists

    4. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      5-3 to Arsenal with Sanchez hattie

    5. Rolls-Royce
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      3-3

      Costa x3
      Sanchez x2

  20. DV8R
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Silva (C) anyone?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Decent option

  21. The Man Pastore
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Diouf --> Tekkers for -4pts, Yay or Nay?

    1. DMil
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Who would you play from your bench?

  22. snowman
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Depay > Payet

    or

    Gomis > Wilson

  23. internal error
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    They finally got rid of that useless presenter on soccer am

    1. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      That shows been awful for a while now

      1. internal error
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        It has and thats why i havent watched it for ages and why i just changed the channel

  24. Fernando Torres
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Kolarov in for Kompany for a hit? Stupid?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Yeah.

      1. Epic Fail
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Unless your replacement defender is shite or you don't have one.

        1. Fernando Torres
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 10 months ago

          It's Dawson/richards

      2. Fernando Torres
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Why so?

    2. Milner4eva
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Don't do it

  25. FPL Daniel
    • 17 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Repost due to no replies. AOA or not AOA?

    Here is my RMT logic. (sorry members)
    RMT predicted pts for this week:

    Gomez 3.79
    Coutinho 4.77
    Shaqiri 4.47
    Pedro 3.13
    Barkley 3
    Sako 2.21
    Cazorla 3.33
    Benteke 5.63
    Diouf 2.84

    Those are all the players I am considering playing or transferring in them this week. Plenty of decisions I know.
    RMT verdict is:

    Sell Pedro and Diouf, bring Benteke and Shaqira and play AOA, benching Gomez

    Watch out this professor my eyes are all on you. I worked out and playing Gomez and benching one of Barkley/Sako but looks like AOA according to RMT has higher potential .

    Thoughts..?

    1. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      AOA may boost your points, but there still might be a better time to use it. Yoiu could boost it more at a different time.

      I say no. Gomez is a decent shout.

    2. @ocprodigy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      In my opinion AOA is a pointless chip, so if you ever have a squad where you think you'll benefit from it - go for it.

      1. Epic Fail
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        This

      2. FPL Daniel
        • 17 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        I agree it's pointless. Just done with it and go on. 80% I am going for it

  26. OptimusBlack
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    I have Pedro & am Keeping Him so which is best option ?

    A- Westwood > Coutinho and Bench Pedro

    B- Play Pedro and save FT

    🙁

  27. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Hoolihan to get his normal hatrick vs Liverpool?

  28. Mytteristen
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Who the **** should I bench?
    Ayew
    Yaya
    Coutinho
    Sanchez
    Mahrez
    Agüero
    Wilson
    Diouf

    1. The Man Pastore
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Diouf easy

  29. Garfield1001
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Play 2 of the following:

    Darmian (sot)
    Huth (sto)
    Gomez (NOR)
    Targett (MUN)

    Opinions appreciated! Thanks

  30. Lyonnais
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Benching order:

    Westwood | Muniesa | Ward ?

    Or Muniesa ahead of Westwood ?

    1. The_Colonel
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Right the first time

      1. Lyonnais
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 10 months ago

        thanks!