[sbu_large_image] Spot the Differential
26 September 2015 1801 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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We turn to a trio of midfielders this morning, in our usual search for some overlooked alternatives ahead of the 11.45 deadline.

Theo Walcott looks in line for a fourth successive start as Arsenal head to Leicester, whilst Juan Mata and Victor Moses seem in fine form for plum home clashes against Sunderland and Norwich.

Victor Moses

Many expected Victor Moses to struggle for pitch time in light of Michail Antonio’s arrival at West Ham, yet the Chelsea loanee has been excellent since his summer switch, tallying one goal and assist in his two starts. While the Nigeria international is still a rotation threat, his budget 5.3 price tag limits the risk of riding his current form.

Although Dimitri Payet has garnered the recent attention, it’s worth noting that over the past two Gameweeks, Moses ranks top among the Hammers midfielders for attempts (five), shots inside the box (four) and penalty-box touches (eight). In addition, only three midfielders completed more successful dribbles (seven) than the Crystal Palace academy product, demonstrating his prowess in one-on-one situations.

Ultimately, Moses represents an enticing route into an Irons outfit that ranks joint-top for goals scored (13) this campaign. Their chances of enjoying similar success at home to Norwich today are increased by the revelation that only Stoke (18) have conceded more big chances in away matches (seven), while the Canaries rank fourth for shots conceded inside the box (35). With Sunderland, Palace and Watford also in the next five, the schedule is very much on the Hammers’ side over the upcoming month or so.

Theo Walcott

Arsene Wenger has refrained from rotating his forwards of late, handing Theo Walcott three successive starts in the league ahead of Olivier Giroud. The France international spearheaded the Gunners attack for their midweek League Cup win over Tottenham but failed to impress on the night – fashioning two shots (one on target) throughout the match – strengthening Walcott’s grip on the lone-striker berth.

Walcott netted one goal in those previous three outings but could have bagged a handful. No midfielder tallied more shots inside the box (12) or on target (seven) over that stretch, while only Jesus Navas (22) amassed more penalty-box touches – illustrating the wealth of scoring opportunities that have been presented to the jet-heeled forward.

Priced at 8.5, Walcott comes in at 2.5 cheaper than the out-of-form Alexis Sanchez. Although Arsenal’s partly goal output (five) might deter the recruitment of their attacking assets, the fact that they rank top for attempts (121), shots inside the box (83) and big chances (18) suggests that an improvement in their finishing could promote an influx of goals.

Arsenal’s next test is a trip to Leicester on Saturday. The Foxes have excelled on the attacking front this term – and rank joint-top for goals scored (13) – but Claudio Ranieri’s troops have struggled at the back and are yet to register a clean sheet. Furthermore, the likes of Walcott will be encouraged by the fact that only five sides have conceded more shots inside the box than Leicester (24) in their home matches.

Juan Mata

Anthony Martial’s rise to prominence has overshadowed Juan Mata’s strong start to the campaign; the former Chelsea midfielder boasts two goals and a pair assists in five matches and has recorded just two blanks across six appearances. With Manchester United the top scorers (six) over the last two Gameweeks, Mata offers a stable route into their form attack.

Although Memphis Depay is the most prolific shooter among the Red Devils’ midfielders, Mata (8.7) leads his team-mates with regards to shots inside the box (nine). His accuracy (35.7%) is almost double that of Depay’s (19%), which somewhat explains the latter’s inability to open his account. Coupled to this, Ander Herrera (five key passes) is the closest to Mata in terms of distribution (13), underlining how pivotal he is to the Red Devils’ build-up play.

Man United coverage could prove highly profitable heading into a home tie against Sunderland later today. The Wearsiders place top for goals conceded (13) this season and have failed to register a single clean sheet in six matches.

1,801 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Rhys85
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Morning guys,

    Really stuck on which defenders to play this week, clean sheets don't look likely anywhere!

    At the moment it's:

    Play Bellerin, Cedric, Kolarov
    Bench Francis, Williams (in that order)

    That look ok?

    Thanks for the input!

    1. Gazpilicueta
      11 years, 23 days ago

      I would play Francis over Cedric. well I am doing just that.

    2. Cojiro
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Yep, you're looking in good shape

    3. Tommy Wiseau
      11 years, 23 days ago

    4. Nomar
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Same 3 starting Defenders as me.

  2. Cojiro
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Need some help with my defence please. 1FT 0.8 itb

    Schmiechal/ Schwarzer

    Sagna, Muniesa, Gomez, Dawson, Targett

    Want a Chelsea player but can only afford schmiechal to Begovic. What would you do?

    1. Catilo
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Do exactly that

      1. Cojiro
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Thanks.

  3. Nazz
    11 years, 23 days ago

    should i transfer gomez or targett??

    1. Aussie_Toon_Lad
      11 years, 23 days ago

      You're gonna want both out soon so it doesn't really matter, Targett is probably a better chance to start this week though

  4. Tommy Wiseau
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Is Wilson a doubt?

    1. Valar(Keith)
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Yes

      1. Gazpilicueta
        11 years, 23 days ago

        REALLY?

        1. Valar(Keith)
          11 years, 23 days ago

          Yes.. hence why i'm starting Muniesa

          1. Valar(Keith)
            11 years, 23 days ago

            Though i am expecting Wilson to score and disappoint me even though Muniesa will get a start due to Wilson being doubtful 😉

          2. Puyol Pants Up
            11 years, 23 days ago

            Wrong wilson

      2. Tommy Wiseau
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Link

    2. meerlight
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 23 days ago

      marc wilson is a doubt

    3. arthadox
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Ive seen nothing about it. so no as it seems

  5. arthadox
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Odds on Wilson scoring, and a good captain choice?

    1. Gazpilicueta
      11 years, 23 days ago

      I captained him twice in a row, its definitely scary. I dont think he will get 3 any time soon.

      Personally I think there are 4-5 better options

      Martial, Aguero, Pedro, Hazard, Mahrez

  6. ymx
    11 years, 23 days ago

    mane or ayew?

    1. MagicMessi
      11 years, 23 days ago

      mane

  7. Rolls off the tongue (BCFC1…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Mata or Hazard as captain?

    1. Gazpilicueta
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Mata for the differential win.

    2. Lallana_
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Haz

    3. Tommy Wiseau
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Mata Chelsea have never won at st james park under mourinho

      1. Eden Hazardous
        11 years, 23 days ago

        *against Pardew at st. james park

    4. Cojiro
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Haz

  8. Valar(Keith)
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Got Aguero captain atm but i just realised i'll have him as captain next 2 GWs also(NEW and BOU) .. time to captain someone else for one week before going back to him i reckon. Sanchez/Martial.. time for a coin toss!

    1. JoeJitzu +42
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 23 days ago

      If you have Martial then I'd back the boy

    2. HVT
      11 years, 23 days ago

      If I had Martial I would (c) him over everyone this week.

      1. Nomar
        11 years, 23 days ago

        This.

        Totally and utterly this.

    3. Rhinos
      11 years, 23 days ago

      dont toss a coin its absolving responsibility, just work it out in your head, id go Martial

    4. Valar(Keith)
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Hmmm.. cheers. Martial does seem a bigger punt than the rest to me though atm. Will leave it on him for now and ignore my Aguero/Sanchez comfort blankets

    5. Helia
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Aguero could score big against any team really

      1. Valar(Keith)
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Yup.. 🙁 .. highest points ceiling in the league and hits it consistently

  9. JoeJitzu +42
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Kolarov Richards (Darmian Gomez Targett)

    Ami right to take a hit this week to get rid of one of Gomez and Targett and then next week get rid of Darmian?

    Looking at Azpil, Zouma, Cresswell, Williams, Evans or Dawson?

  10. MagicMessi
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Play Mahrez or Wilson ?

    1. Cojiro
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Tough one, Wilson

  11. si
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Sturridge would be a tasty differential this week.

    1. Lallana_
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Doesn't look as sharp as Ings

      1. HVT
        11 years, 23 days ago

        I'd add half the premier league to that 😉

  12. The 12th Man
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Bench 1.
    C.Wilson, Ayew, Mahrez

    Am I crazy to bench Mahrez?

    1. Helia
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Probs ayew... Its a toughie.. Id hate to bench mahrez and everybody else gets his points if he scores

      1. The 12th Man
        11 years, 23 days ago

        True. Thanks

    2. ducksfly2gether
      11 years, 23 days ago

      I'm in the same boat but I transferred ayew - Paget. I have sako on the bench normally but playing him and benching Wilson. Starting kun and diof up top with 5 mid

  13. Helia
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Silly to captain aguero over martial?

    Stekelen
    Kolorov nyom darmian
    Pedro Kdb payet mahrez
    Aguero(c) martial gomis

    Sinclair gomez oxford

    Dont wanna miss out on an aguero big bang

    1. Rhinos
      11 years, 23 days ago

      its never gonna be silly to cap the best striker in the league

      1. Helia
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Not according to all the ppl that commebted on my post the other day

        1. Rhinos
          11 years, 23 days ago

          why ask again then

          1. Helia
            11 years, 23 days ago

            Why think about your captain choice again? Why ever get a second opinion? Lol sorry i wasted your time

    2. thegaffer82
      11 years, 23 days ago

      And here's me wishing I had Martial so I could stick the armband on him without question.

      I've been waiting for Agueros big bang for a loooong time

      1. Helia
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Without question? I find it hard to see that... I know its sunderland and he has a great chance but 2 games makes him a better option than the epls best striker against a team his scored 8 goals in his last 4 against them

        1. Rhinos
          11 years, 23 days ago

          you obviously want to captain Kun. Just do it already

        2. thegaffer82
          11 years, 23 days ago

          It's Sunderland & Martial is on fire. He's my number one captain choice, just wish it wouldn't take a -8 to get him.

          Kun has been burning me week after week. And the sad thing is I'm gunna have to captain him again due to a lack of alternative options

          1. Helia
            11 years, 23 days ago

            If his going to do that good then maybe its worth a -8 for (c)?

    3. Catilo
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Not silly at all.

      Me captain KDB

  14. HVT
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Will Jones start for United?

    1. Cojiro
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Most likely id say, 60% chance I'd guess

    2. Costa in Wengerland
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Phil* jones

      1. HVT
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Yea - you reckon it's
        Darmo/Smalls/Jones/Blind??

  15. YouReds
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Benteke and Targett to? 2FT

    A) Ighalo Azpi
    B) Martial Evans
    C) Wilson Azpi/Evans

    1. Cojiro
      11 years, 23 days ago

      B

    2. GREENDREAMS11
      11 years, 23 days ago

      a). United have tricky fixtures ahead so not B.

  16. tipster
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Is it worth a hit to trade out Silva?
    If so who for?

    1. Helia
      11 years, 23 days ago

      I did to kdb

      1. GREENDREAMS11
        11 years, 23 days ago

        this or even Theo if u want an oop Arsenal player

    2. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Injured so yes trade out. I had the funds to upgrade to Hazard but KDB or Mata are good choices

  17. Takedog1
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Triple captain boost martial

    1. Big Bad Barry
      11 years, 23 days ago

      ooooosh! Wish I was that brave

      1. Takedog1
        11 years, 23 days ago

        I just think who else would I be confident on putting it on.

        Martial confidence high against a honking Sunderland team

        1. Big Bad Barry
          11 years, 23 days ago

          he who dares

    2. thegaffer82
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Hipster

    3. Gazpilicueta
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Winner winner!

  18. GoonerByron
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Save FT the best choice this week? Would really like Zouma in but not sure if it's worth Cedric or Richards out?

    Begovic
    Cedric - Kolarov - Evans
    Hazard (c) - Ozil - Yaya - Mahrez
    Aguero - Pelle - Wilson

    Rudd - Sinclair - Richards - Huth

    1FT, 0.9 in the bank

    1. PSEBJ27
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Richards out, Zouma in

  19. AMP
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Hi all

    whom to bench pls help...

    Ayew, Wilson or Gomis???

    1. PSEBJ27
      11 years, 23 days ago

      I'd say Ayew but that's a toughie

  20. PSEBJ27
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Okay guys, I need some advice. Specifically, captaincy advice.

    My current team is:

    De Gea(SUN)
    Kolarov(TOT) Dawson(EVE) Cresswell(NOR)
    Payet(NOR) Sanchez(LEI) De Bruyne(TOT) Sako(WAT)
    Aguero(TOT, vc) Martial(SUN, c) Wilson(STK)

    McCarthy(WAT) Mahrez(ARS) Gomez(AVL) Oxford(NOR)

    My captaincy is a big concern. De Bruyne, Martial, Aguero, Sanchez, and Payet are all viable options. A little worried about Mahrez on the bench, but I can't see Leicester faring well against Arsenal, and they haven't played a team that good yet.

    What do you guys think? How is my team, and who should I captain?

    1. Rhinos
      11 years, 23 days ago

      just go with your gut, no one is Nostradamus and he was full of s**t anyway

      1. PSEBJ27
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Cheers hahaha

    2. thegaffer82
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Captains spot on imo. Tough call between playing Mahrez or Wilson. On pure form alone, I'd go 3-5-2 and play Mahrez

      1. PSEBJ27
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Cheers, I went for the fixture rather than form...though Wilson has been in form too.

  21. Sideshow Luiz
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Cedric out,

    1. Sideshow Luiz
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Whoops, meant this as a reply to above^

    2. GoonerByron
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Think this was to me, cheers! 🙂

  22. VT9
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Yaya to KDB
    OR
    Gomis to Martial
    OR
    Sanchez to Walcott/Mata
    OR
    Upgrade Gomez

    Just realised I have 2 FT (1.3 itb)
    Cheers!!

    1. Dosh
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Upgrade Gomez and save 1 FT

      1. PSEBJ27
        11 years, 23 days ago

        I'd say make the Martial move and captain him

  23. Gazpilicueta
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Transfer Silva out for a hit (Cant decide who to)

    Keep Silva and play Cedric

    Use my wildcard over the next 3 hours and fix 6 other players I need to get out.

    1. GREENDREAMS11
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Theo?

  24. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
    11 years, 23 days ago

    So who captained hazard and who captained kun?

    Martial could make or break my weekend but should probably not play the full game with champs league next week..Sunderland fan for the day here

    1. Gazpilicueta
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Hazard will probably get 1 assist, 1 goal, or nothing. I think each of these are 33% likely

  25. Evasivo
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Best 2 goalkeepers at present? Budget of around 9mil

    1. HVT
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Myhill/Macca - play TPG every week 🙂

      1. Evasivo
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Tpg?? And guessing Macca being Mccarthy

    2. GoonerByron
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Begovic/McCarthy

    3. Big Bad Barry
      11 years, 23 days ago

      But and Gomes

  26. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Have captained Kun the last 3 weeks but am removing the armband from him this week so he guaranteed to score now.

    1. Captain Blanks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Thanks, putting back on now.

  27. MagicMessi
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Sorry to cause any nervousness to anybody but San(C)hez will score big !

    1. Evasivo
      11 years, 23 days ago

      I'm going Wilson (C)

      1. MagicMessi
        11 years, 23 days ago

        iam benching Wilson ,, current : Mane - YAya - Payet -Sanchez - Mahrez

        1. GREENDREAMS11
          11 years, 23 days ago

          benched here too,

    2. S.Kuqi
      11 years, 23 days ago

      If I hadn't Martial I would probably captain him.

    3. Rhinos
      11 years, 23 days ago

      ok oracle

  28. Godfather Bandit 42
    11 years, 23 days ago

    Yaya, Mahrez, Wilson.

    Can you kindly bench one please?

    1. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 23 days ago

      I have benched Mahrez.

      1. Godfather Bandit 42
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Cheers Doosra

      2. Captain Blanks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Sacrilege

    2. Captain Blanks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Tough one, probably wilson just about over yaya. Never bench mahrez. NEVER.

      1. Godfather Bandit 42
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Cheers Captain Blanks. Ha ha

    3. Jinswick
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 23 days ago

      That's tricky. I think I'd bench Wilson.

      1. Godfather Bandit 42
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Cheers Jinswick He's currently benched...

  29. Dirty Harry
    11 years, 23 days ago

    All good to go lads?

    Butland
    Kolarov Darmian Williams
    Pedro Payet Sako Mahrez
    Diouf Martial Kun

    Ruddy Richards Gomez Silva

    0.0 ITB 0FT

    1. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Yep. Good luck!

      1. Dirty Harry
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Thanks champ! Same to you.

  30. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    11 years, 23 days ago

    AOA. Talk to me. Have you played it? Were you happy? 🙂

    1. Rhinos
      11 years, 23 days ago

      chips can't talk 😛

      1. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Hehehe! 🙂

    2. Diva
      11 years, 23 days ago

      I haven't played it but I was tempted this week for the first time this season.

      1. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        11 years, 23 days ago

        I am, too.

        GW 7:

        Butland
        Kolarov*, Koscielny, Francis
        Sánchez(vc), Yaya Touré*, Payet*, Sako
        Pellè(c), Gomis, C. Wilson*

        Schmeichel; Mahrez*, Williams, Gomez … - 4, 6.8 ITB, TC: 96.5, SV: 101.4

        1. Diva
          11 years, 23 days ago

          I know why you are running with Sako Doos, but I think I'd bench him over Mahrez this week. I have Ayew riding the pine for me, which isn't great.

          1. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            11 years, 23 days ago

            But will I regret that on Sunday? 🙂

            1. Diva
              11 years, 23 days ago

              You might, but personally I think that is the least risky play.

        2. Diva
          11 years, 23 days ago

          But I think I should hold it for a week when my defence is in a mess. I'm looking at it more as a "get out of jail free card" than a "it's your birthday, collect £10" card.

          1. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            11 years, 23 days ago

            Yes, I think that you are right, there!

    3. Gazpilicueta
      11 years, 23 days ago

      I havent played it, and Im happy because it wouldnt have been helpful in any GW yet.

      1. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Cheers. 🙂

    4. Jinswick
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Yes, and No. Bloomin Silva last week.

      I think it's a pretty low value chip - first off you need all 8 attackers to start and then they all need to outscore all 3 of your benched defenders. All a bit meh if I'm honest!

      1. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Right. Thank you - good point, there.

      2. Amsterhammer
        11 years, 23 days ago

        If you have a lot attackers vs your defence then you might feel more comfortable fielding an 11 with AOA to mitigate this. Or if you're loading defensive issues (ie you have Targett, Gomez and say Sagna or Darmian for next week) you could use it to delay a defensive transfer a week. I'm holding it for these types of scenario.

    5. Van Klinkert Delarosa
      11 years, 23 days ago

      GW1.

      I'm happy that it is out of my mind now.

      1. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Ha! OK ... 😀

    6. GREENDREAMS11
      11 years, 23 days ago

      I was considering this myself,

      Pedro, Mane, Payet, Sterling, Walcott,

      Wilson, Aguero. Sakho

      1. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Indeed. You gonna captain Theo?

        1. GREENDREAMS11
          11 years, 23 days ago

          I have given it some serious thought, you obviously think its a good idea, dont you?

            1. GREENDREAMS11
              11 years, 23 days ago

              Yeah, he stands out like a sore thunmb in that table but I dont have Kun it it to compare him with and he is currently who I have the armband on.

      2. Rhinos
        11 years, 23 days ago

        don't overthink it, chances are your 3rd defender and 8th attacker will get similar scos anyway. I think just hold in case of random defensive injuries

        1. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          11 years, 23 days ago

          That may be an idea. But my defence is fairly solid ...

    7. Numb
      11 years, 23 days ago

      No, I have Westwood

      1. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Get you. 🙂

    8. GREENDREAMS11
      11 years, 23 days ago

      p.s. Wouldnt it be prudent to keep this for a double gameweek as well because there are usually more than 2 in any 1 season?

      1. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        11 years, 23 days ago

        Maybe. Good point.

      2. GREENDREAMS11
        11 years, 23 days ago

        that was meant to be 2 or more in any 1 season., sorry mate, just woke up.

    9. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Hmmm. Thanks very much, everybody. I shall hold on to it, then. 🙂

    10. Sasquatch Slayer
      11 years, 23 days ago

      Haven't but that's down to who my 5th mid is more than anything else. Still contemplating holding it for the final gw