[sbu_large_image] Dugout Discussion
5 December 2015 2127 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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Saturday’s curtain-closer finds Chelsea playing host to Bournemouth at Stamford Bridge. The Blues are growing in confidence following a dreadful start to the campaign, with two clean sheets under their belt in as many fixtures. The Cherries, meanwhile, have finally discovered their scoring touch, netting five goals in their previous two match-ups.

Chelsea occupy the middle of the pack with regards to attempts (53), shots inside the box (30), big chances (four) and shots on target (14) over the last four Gameweeks. No team racked up fewer goals (two) during that time frame, though, engendering the worst shot-conversion rate (3.8%). On a more positive note, the Blues rank bottom for big chances conceded (one) and third-bottom for shots inside the box conceded (21) since Gameweek 11.

Bournemouth lead the field in terms of attempts (71) over the last four Gameweeks, having mustered nine more efforts at goal than Liverpool and Spurs. Additionally, the south-coast outfit have crafted the second-most shots inside the box (41) and the most key passes (55) across that stretch. There’s still vast room for improvement at the other end of the pitch: Villa (10) were the only team to concede more goals than the Cherries (eight) in their previous quartet of fixtures.

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  1. Elfozzie 42
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 10 months ago

    What score expectations are looking respectable? I'm 69 assuming baps stay the same with just Lukaku to play on Monday.

    1. Davido989
      10 years, 10 months ago

      really good score

    2. ​
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Top 10k average is 49 with 3 to play

      1. andy85wsm
        • Has Moderation Rights
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Jeez! I thought I was doing okay this week but obviously not

        36 (-4) with 4 to go including captain

        1. ​
          10 years, 10 months ago

          *post baps, 38 pre baps.

        2. Rupert The Horse
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          10 years, 10 months ago

          That is a really poor score.

      2. Pochecinno
        10 years, 10 months ago

        With Baps?

        1. ​
          10 years, 10 months ago

          yeah

          1. Pochecinno
            10 years, 10 months ago

            Cheers

      3. twoplustwo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 10 months ago

        wtf

      4. Gnu
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Good job I'm not in top 10k otherwise I'd be getting a red arrow. 🙂

    3. The Enlightener
      10 years, 10 months ago

      On 72 or so with baps with Lukaku, Coleman, Hennessey(if he starts), and either Coutinho or Wij off the bench still to go.

  2. TheOneAndOnly
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Crazy how Mahrez is barely going up in price, just shows how many active players actually have him

  3. Flynny
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Assuming kun is fit, looking forward to finally ditching Francis next week....

    Who is best replacement?......Toby or moreno (don't have any lpool)

    Current defence is

    Ddg
    Kolarov vvd Dawson Francis oshea

    1. Les Bleus
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I'd replace VVD to be honest.

      1. Flynny
        10 years, 10 months ago

        With Toby?....agree vvd also needs to go...

  4. how now brown cow
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Leicester v chelsea next week.

    Who will be favourites with the bookies?

    1. Ayew Serious
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Leicester I imagine

      Both will have stupidly small odds

    2. Chris_White
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Chelsea wins that one, it's typical.

    3. Diva
      10 years, 10 months ago

      If it's not Leicester I might head down the bookies.

      1. ​
        10 years, 10 months ago

        😀 seconded!

        1. how now brown cow
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Thirded.

    4. George Sillett
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I reckon 13/8 Leicester 11/8 chelsea

  5. SweeSwee
    10 years, 10 months ago

    I wonder how sales of Yokohama tyres are doing?

    1. Les Bleus
      10 years, 10 months ago

      😀

    2. Sif
      10 years, 10 months ago

      remember to adjust for inflation.

  6. S.Kuqi
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Mane owners who is your replacement for him? I'm hoping Coutinho to be fit for saturday.

  7. Milner4eva
    10 years, 10 months ago

    So buying Hazard was a mistake, then

    1. Piggs Boson
      10 years, 10 months ago

      35 minutes left.

      But probably.

  8. andy85wsm
    • Has Moderation Rights
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Ivanovic looks okay here

    1. Piggs Boson
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I was thinking that first half.

    2. The Gambler.
      10 years, 10 months ago

      As in for a cleanie or attacking

  9. ​
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Has anyone else been benching lots of Simpson points recently?

    1. andy85wsm
      • Has Moderation Rights
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Benched 2 x Huth clean sheets in last 3 games

      1. TheOneAndOnly
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Morgan for me

      2. ​
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Yep, these Leicester away days cleanies keep catching me by surprise

      3. Zasa
        10 years, 10 months ago

        WoolShed & Simpson on the bench, Huth before 😎

    2. Özilla Firefox
      10 years, 10 months ago

      yes

    3. Diva
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Yep. My ticker liked Leicester defensively this week.

      1. how now brown cow
        10 years, 10 months ago

        I think it disliked swansea more to the point!

        1. Diva
          10 years, 10 months ago

          Haha. That's quite possible!

    4. Pochecinno
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Defensive rotation is annoying me. Played Ake over Rose (CS) last week. Played Rose over Ake (CS) this week!

      #firstworldproblems

    5. how now brown cow
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Simpson and Toby on bench. Berty and bell on pitch.

      Not ideal.

  10. Ayew Serious
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Everton blanking would be fekn majestic

    1. Les Bleus
      10 years, 10 months ago

      NO! Barkley and Lukaku(c) here.

    2. SweeSwee
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Nothing would please me more

    3. Somalion
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Can't allow me a Deulofeu goal, no?

    4. The Gambler.
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Lukaku was made for MNF

    5. Woy of the Wovers
      10 years, 10 months ago

      No

    6. ​
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Go 'way.

  11. Optimus.
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Quality defending from Matic

  12. Somalion
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Very sly from Ed, making it look like United wanted Pedro just so Chelsea would buy him. 😉

    1. Holy See
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Noice (c)!

      1. Somalion
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Cheers Holy 🙂

  13. The Gambler.
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Any coutinho news guys?

    Played him over Mahrez

    1. Davido989
      10 years, 10 months ago

      not in the squad apparently.

      1. The Gambler.
        10 years, 10 months ago

        This would be wonderful news mate

        We should beat newcastle without him and i cant see why we'd risk him

        1. Davido989
          10 years, 10 months ago

          agreed

    2. Les Bleus
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I hope he comes on for a 10 minute run out 😉

      1. The Gambler.
        10 years, 10 months ago

        I hope your next sh1ts a hedgehog!

        1. Les Bleus
          10 years, 10 months ago

          My favorite kind.

    3. Somalion
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Might be your lucky day. Reportedly out of the squad for tomorrow (Berbinho's Forehead had the source)

  14. Davido989
    10 years, 10 months ago

    games like this last season with hazard (c) was 22 points

  15. twoplustwo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 10 months ago

    If a bigger number of higher-priced players were firing the Hazard tripe from this week would have been non-existent

    1. Somalion
      10 years, 10 months ago

      If Mahrez and the likes were 10 million the Hazard tripe wouldn't have existed.

  16. Hooky
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Ighalo(c) could have been so much better today with the disallowed goal and other chances. Mustn't grumble though!

    1. Ayew Serious
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I am angry

    2. Scoredelario
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      I feel a bit like that, but then again he could've missed the last 1 too. That late goal was worth 12 points

      1. Scoredelario
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Or ten if we consider the yellow 😳

  17. TheOneAndOnly
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Did anybody captain Mahrez??

    1. Pochecinno
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Vader

    2. Davido989
      10 years, 10 months ago

      my good old buddy somalion

      deserves to be banned for not bragging though

      1. Pochecinno
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Reported

      2. Somalion
        10 years, 10 months ago

        😎

  18. internal error
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Ivanovic...hmmmm

  19. KUN+10
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Chelsea are a disgrace. Are you telling me they cant score against a team that cencoded 30 goals in 14 games?

    1. Somalion
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Yes.

  20. Scoredelario
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Chelsea are going to get destroyed by Leicester next week

    1. Malcolm Tucker for England …
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      they'd get destroyed by Chester.
      they need a bye in the FA Cup somehow

  21. internal error
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Hazard not involved as much with Costa now playing

  22. Hect.OR 98th
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Kane over Ighalo wasn't a good move this week. Are people sure Kane is the better bet over the next few gameweeks?

    1. Davido989
      10 years, 10 months ago

      newcastle home up next

  23. andy85wsm
    • Has Moderation Rights
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Chelsea knocking on the door here

    1. Chris_White
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Yup. The door of hell.

  24. amol
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Berbs, Firmino(c) tomorrow 😉

    1. Davido989
      10 years, 10 months ago

      😎

  25. The Handsome Hunk
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Anybody can help- where Alli was playing ???

    CAM or CM ???

    Thanks !!!! 🙂

    1. how now brown cow
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Cam behind kane

      1. The Handsome Hunk
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks !!!! 🙂

  26. Ha.
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Desperately need some Utd coverage. Any real options other than DDG or Smalling?

    1. Piggs Boson
      10 years, 10 months ago

      No, not really.

      1. Ha.
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Butland > DDG worth it? Smalling just so expensive XD

        1. yemzinho
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          10 years, 10 months ago

          no way

          1. Ha.
            10 years, 10 months ago

            Would have to do Bolasie > Alli and Koscielny > Smalling. Have 2FT. Worth it?

    2. Mr. Grv
      10 years, 10 months ago

      No

    3. Royal5
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Darmian looked good today. 2 baps as well.

      1. Ha.
        10 years, 10 months ago

        Hmmm, Darmian tempting.

    4. Konig Luther
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Darmian maybe

  27. Özilla Firefox
    10 years, 10 months ago

    (C)ane next week

  28. mental
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Name the top 5 players you would want in your team for the festive period.

    1. Malcolm Tucker for England …
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      pele, maradona, messi, Best and Guy Demel

  29. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
    10 years, 10 months ago

    Last week I touched on the topic of 'effective ownership'. The original post can be found here:

    http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/comment/11965699

    I thought it would be interesting to take a look at the EO of players week on week, as ownership and captaincy % changes.

    In my initial post, I detailed EO as being the following:

    Ownership % + Captaincy %

    Whilst this is true, there is a more accurate way of working out EO. This factors in the number of times a player is triple captained, but more importantly, whether they are being played or not. Of course, if a player is stuck on the bench, their points do not count. The new equation looks like this:

    Ownership % + Captaincy % + Triple Captaincy % - Benched %

    So, with this in mind, here is how the EO of players looks for this week:

    Overall:

    ‣ Vardy = 68.2%
    ‣ Mahrez = 59.7%
    ‣ Lukaku = 59.3%
    ‣ Ozil = 54.3%
    ‣ Barkley = 38.5%
    ‣ Kane = 35.9%
    ‣ Kolarov = 33.1%
    ‣ De Bruyne = 31.2%
    ‣ Cech = 30.2%
    ‣ Smalling = 29.7%

    Top 10k:

    ‣ Lukaku = 109.2%
    ‣ Ozil = 105.8%
    ‣ Vardy = 100.5%
    ‣ Mahrez = 79.5%
    ‣ Barkley = 67.5%
    ‣ De Bruyne = 61.2%
    ‣ Kolarov = 49.3%
    ‣ Ighalo = 48.5%
    ‣ Kane = 41.0%
    ‣ Cech/Smalling = 40.6%

    As one would expect, no players in the overall game have an EO of more than 100%. This is due to the number of dead teams, and dare I say 'casuals'.

    The top 10k is a different story. This week, Ozil, Lukaku and Vardy all have an EO of more than 100%. This means that for every point they score this week, you lose out, unless you captained them. Of course, if your captain outscores them you are better off, but it is interesting to note that you can still lose ground for every point a player scores, even if you own them.

    This is currently only the case for those lucky enough to occupy a place within the top 10k, somewhere we all aim to be come the end of the season.

    What I found interesting was the fact that 3 players have an EO of over 100% this week. If they were to all score hauls (Ozil and Vardy both got an assist, but not a haul), and you were to captain someone who blanked, you could well see a significant drop in rank, despite owning them.

    What I also found interesting is an obvious template emerging. There are 4 players in each position (defenders, midfielders and forwards) with significant EOs, with the rest reasonably lower.

    These players are:

    GK: Cech
    Defenders: Kolarov, Smalling, Alderweireld, Bellerin
    Midfielders: Ozil, Mahrez, Barkley, De Bruyne
    Forwards: Vardy, Lukaku, Ighalo, Kane

    Whilst it is tempting to stray from the crowd, picking punts with low ownerships, it could be costly.

    Whilst some of the players have EOs of greater than 100 (from that list), others do not. This means you still gain a significant advantage for every point they score. Many are against the 'template' team, or highly owned players, but they offer the security of rarely (or never) having a detrimental week, with lots of steady rises.

    1. Les Bleus
      10 years, 10 months ago

      The most 8 owned players in my team 😀

    2. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Feel a repost coming.

    3. Ayew Serious
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Can you make this a weekly thing?
      It's very helpful

    4. Pochecinno
      10 years, 10 months ago

      +442

    5. ​
      10 years, 10 months ago

      Jesus, Ozil's EO is crazy high!

      Thanks Roda.