[sbu_large_image] Spot the Differential
1 March 2016 2529 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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With less than a couple of hours before Gameweek 28 is thrust upon us, we roll out a trio of overlooked alternatives for your consideration. Liverpool’s fit-again playmaker, United’s new goal sensation and Sunderland’s rampaging left-back all make the grade this time around.

Philippe Coutinho

Although Philippe Coutinho (8.0) has delivered attacking returns on a sporadic basis this term, there’s no doubting his capacity to post big scores when he’s in the mood – despite being sidelined for eight matches, the Brazil international still boasts five double-figure hauls. Since returning from injury, there are signs that Coutinho could prove a superior option to team-mate Roberto Firmino, with the former Inter Milan man serving up two goals and a trio of assists in three domestic starts.

Looking at the FPL numbers, Coutinho’s average of 5.4 points per game has been bettered by only four regular midfielders this season and sits just below the likes of Dimitri Payet and Kevin de Bruyne, with 5.5 apiece. Given that his average of 19.6 minutes per attempt is surpassed only by Sergio Aguero (19.3 minutes), the Brazilian’s eye for goal could come to fruition as Jurgen Klopp looks to finish strongly in his first season at the helm.

Next up for the Merseysiders is a home tie against a Manchester City side that thwarted their efforts to claim a record ninth League Cup. Notwithstanding the outcome of that head-to-head, the Sky Blues are reeling in the wake of back-to-back defeats against fellow title challengers, exposing a defensive vulnerability that Liverpool and Coutinho already proved they could exploit by way of their 4-1 triumph in the reverse fixture. Although the Reds have a blank Gameweek 30, the prospects of two doubles further down the line will surely keep their little Brazilian on many managers’ plans for the run-in.

Marcus Rashford

Having complemented his brace against Danish minnows FC Midtjylland with another just three days later against Arsenal, Manchester United teenager Marcus Rashford (4.6) has been thrust into the limelight. Rashford’s auspicious start to life in the top tier brings to mind Harry Kane’s rise to prominence as a budget pick-up, ensuring that the 18-year-old ranks top for “transfers in” this week. Indeed, the nominal nature of his fee limits the inconvenience of the Red Devils’ blank in Gameweek 30, allowing investors to explore his immediate potential.

Although Anthony Martial has recovered from his hamstring injury in time to face Watford on Wednesday, Louis van Gaal will be loath to displace the red-hot Rashford right now. Instead, we reckon it’s likely that Memphis Depay will miss out in such a scenario, with Martial reverting to a wide role and allowing the in-form youngster to torment the Hornets backline.

Across the last four Gameweeks, Man United ranked joint-top for goals (eight), third for shots on target (23), top for shot accuracy (45%) and second for shot-conversion rate (15.7%), which suggests that now could be the time to reconsider that’s been devoid of viable pick-ups for much of the campaign. With a Watford outfit that’s mustered just two road clean sheets next on Man United’s agenda, there’s certainly scope for Rashford to compose another chapter in this emerging fairy tale. Whether he retains that role for the remainder of the season is very much questionable but for those looking for a Gameweek 28 gamble, the youngster may well fit the bill.

Patrick van Aanholt

With four goals and two assists to his name over the past eight Gameweeks, Patrick van Aanholt (4.7) represents the most potent defender in the second half of the season. Ultimately, the Dutch full-back has suffered from the fact that the Black Cats rank joint-bottom for clean sheets this term (three), yet they displayed signs of resilience across the their last quartet of match-ups (a period that included meetings with both Manchester clubs and Liverpool), which bodes well for their shut-out prospects on the eve of a fixture shift.

Exploring the underlying statistics, Van Aanholt charted joint-second among defenders for attempts (seven) across the previous four Gameweeks, with only the out-of-position Eric Dier unleashing more efforts (nine). Moreover, the ex-Chelsea recruit ranks second throughout the entire campaign for attempts (29), illuminating his penchant for marauding bursts down the left flank.

Given that Crystal Palace make the trip to the Stadium of Light on Tuesday evening, the Wearsiders will fancy their chances of securing their first shut-out in 14 outings; the Eagles rank bottom for goals since Gameweek 18 (six), while only five teams have conceded fewer goals at home (14) than Sunderland. In addition, the visitors placed joint-second for goals conceded (eight) and joint-third for big chances conceded (nine) over the last four Gameweeks, revealing their current inability to stifle opponents.

2,529 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. DV8R
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    A) Stanislas -> Arnie - bench Alli
    B) Payet -> Eriksen - play Alli

    Which option please?

    1. sozopol
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      A

  2. keano
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    keep firmino or get barkley

  3. FionnMac
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Pick 2 to play:

    A) Wolly
    B) Toby
    C) Alli.

    1. Flying Assassins
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Wolly & Alli

  4. Hardly Athletic
    • 17 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Bench Alli or Payet?

  5. GS456
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Will Simpson play do we think?

    1. yemzinho
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      yes

    2. fiveyears
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Should do, Amartey did okay according to Lestah fans but they missed Simpsons

  6. Dynamic
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    How likely is it that Newcastle have a double gameweek 34?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      As likely as Man City DGW.

      1. Dynamic
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Which is how likely haha?

  7. Jay_
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Score predictions for :

    Bournemouth___V___Southhampton

    Stoke___V___Newcastle

    1. Slartibartfast
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      1-1
      2-1

    2. Moss
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      0-1
      1-0

    3. FFFrog
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Bou vs SOU is on here

      http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/comment/12782108

      1. Jay_
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Nice one mate

        1. Jay_
          10 years, 6 months ago

          Ribbit

  8. FPL ElasticO
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Who to bench??

    Daniels

    Alli

  9. Gabhini Gupini
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    maharez/ozil/vardy

    Whom to cap?

    1. sozopol
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      All are good choices, I have same choice and currently on Vardy. I am leading my mini-league so going for consistency over explosiveness.

  10. Burger
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Chelsea/Everton double pays almost 2/1, surely that's like printing free money?

    1. George Sillett
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      That's a far better call than your Swansea suggestion.

      1. Burger
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Ha, swans is a pure punt, this seems to have legs. At worst should have more than a fair chance if a cash out opportunity.

        1. George Sillett
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 6 months ago

          You got any bets running on who will win the prem ?

  11. VanDerStar
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    start cresswell or daniels?

    1. yemzinho
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      daniels

    2. Flying Assassins
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Daniels

    3. VanDerStar
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      thanks

  12. FDMS All Starz
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Payet/Mahrez/sanchez/Ozil/Alli
    Kane/ighalo/aguero

    0.2itb,2fts, what should I do? Sell ighalo for vardy? Bought him at 5.3

    1. Bobbydhino - ⚒ Saint Slav…
      • 17 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      I would drop Sanchez.

  13. diego_costa
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    sell sanchez or keep him?

  14. Boo Ya Ka Sha
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    I just finished a 3-hour interview so I'm just going to get the point. I have a 45 pt lead in my ML. I'm currently planning on captaining Sanchez. I know his form is whacked but Swansea will leak a ton of chances to Arsenal. My rival has Barkley and Ozil as his differential. I have Arna and Sanchez. Who should I captain? Who are the safe picks.. Aguero, Vardy?

    http://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/54579/event-history/27/

    1. Boo Ya Ka Sha
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      feeling the love

  15. Colonel Shoe 肝池
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    bookies really fancy arsenal v swans ......why so much?

    1. Acquafresca
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Must-win

      1. Burger
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Swans at 10/1 look worthy of a tenner I'd say 😀

        1. George Sillett
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 6 months ago

          I wouldn't . 10/1 pretty accurately sums up their chances

          1. Burger
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 6 months ago

            Arsenal don't fill me with a huge amount of joy tbf.

            1. George Sillett
              • 10 Years
              10 years, 6 months ago

              Me neither but I wouldn't touch that game with a barge pole. Arsenal are just too short but I can't see Swansea winning.

              1. Burger
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                10 years, 6 months ago

                That was a tenner well spent! 😀

                1. George Sillett
                  • 10 Years
                  10 years, 6 months ago

                  Very well done mate. I would never have backed Swansea just shows arsenal are completely imploding

                  1. Burger
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 11 Years
                    10 years, 6 months ago

                    Choking on a level unseen previously, can't believe how they've thrown this all away.

                    Well tonight's win was marred by Bayern ruining a nice accie I had running.

                    Roll on tomorrow.

                    1. George Sillett
                      • 10 Years
                      10 years, 6 months ago

                      You earn great respect from me as you post your selections before they happen. I get fed up of seeing on here people who "after time" , ie announce that they have an acca up but never post their selections first. We know that you take the rough with the smooth and hold your hands up when it goes wrong.

                      1. Burger
                        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                        • 11 Years
                        10 years, 6 months ago

                        Only one person you are cheating there and that's yourself, oh and your bank manager!

                        Nothing wrong with admitting a mistake, at least you can improve.

                        Tonight's double is Barca and Dinamo Zagreb at 2.25's so £250 profit on the line.

                        I'll definitely catch up with you sometime before the weekend to exchange thoughts on the fixtures, it had a chance to look yet.

                      2. George Sillett
                        • 10 Years
                        10 years, 6 months ago

                        Look forward to that mate. Seems you think in the same way as me. If a price is too big it represents a bet. Soon coming to my quiet time of the gambling year. I tend to ignore the last 6 weeks of the footie season as prices get stupidly short and there is no point betting on flat racing until June. Still NH to focus on and esp Chelt Festival though!

    2. Boo Ya Ka Sha
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Swans are leaking a ton of chances to the opposition. Arsenal should be able to rebound. They kinda have to.

    3. Doosra - ☭BowenOfRice☭
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Swans give away a lot in the middle. Arsenal create most ... through the middle.

    4. Colonel Shoe 肝池
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      cheers

  16. Flying Assassins
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Maybe I should just flip a coin

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Best idea

    2. Boo Ya Ka Sha
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      on what

      1. Flying Assassins
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 6 months ago

        VVD or Daniels

        1. Boo Ya Ka Sha
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 6 months ago

          me too. I also have to think about benching Kosc since I have Cech. But tbh dude, Southampton are much better defensively than Bou. Daniels might not even be on pks after his last miss.

          1. Flying Assassins
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 6 months ago

            Thanks

            1. Boo Ya Ka Sha
              • 11 Years
              10 years, 6 months ago

              VVD then?

              1. Flying Assassins
                • 13 Years
                10 years, 6 months ago

                Yeah

  17. Kered
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Bench one.

    Toby
    Daniel's
    Simpson
    Ward

    1. Acquafresca
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      W

    2. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Ward

  18. The Wizard of Ozil
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Alli -> Arni or just hope Alli plays? Smith first sub

    1. fiveyears
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      I am hoping Alli plays, benching Payet

      1. Boo Ya Ka Sha
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 6 months ago

        risky.. could end up getting you 10 minutes.

        1. fiveyears
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 6 months ago

          You're right, but if he starts I fancy him to get points. Meanwhile Payet isn't picking up many points at home. It's a tough one.

  19. fiveyears
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Been on Vardy (c) since the deadline, suddenly toying with the idea of Kun...

    1. fiveyears
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Gw27 deadline I mean 😀

    2. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Go kun

  20. Stats Don\'t Lie
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    2 quick questions:

    1. Captain Kane or kun?

    2. bench wolly or Toby?

    1. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      1. Kane has a lot more shots on target

      2. Wolly

  21. Lecky Legs FC
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Just curious tell me you captain picks people?

  22. Rolls-Royce
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    No preamble?

  23. keano
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    keep firmino or payet?

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Payet

  24. Gaffa914
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Barkley captain locked in

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Good luck

    2. TheSteel
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Not locked in yet

  25. George Sillett
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    After much deliberation in the captaincy lottery I have gone for Kun out of Ozil , Barclay , Mahrez , Vardy and Kane. Hope it doesn't come back to bite me.

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      I'd say it's the safe choice

  26. Toby Lerone
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Who to captain . Vardy mahrez arnie sanchez augero?? Dilemma indeed. Anyone in this situation

    1. mahone24
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Think everyone is - for my ten cents im going Kun

    2. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Flip a coin between kun and arnie

    3. ACE IN THE HOLE
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Vardy is the safe bet imo

      Sanchez for a differential.

      I'm on Vardy or Ozil.

      1. Toby Lerone
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Ahhh my head hurts. I'm 30 points behind top in mini league he has ozil I have sanchez... no arnie for him tho!

        1. ACE IN THE HOLE
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 6 months ago

          30 points isn't too far off! Play it safe and let him make the mistake/take the risk. He may go Ozil (if he doesn't have lukaku or vardy) so you should go for Vardy.

          At the end of the day, you probably have a good idea of how your rival plays...

          1. Toby Lerone
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 6 months ago

            Thanks you've just convinced me nice one!! Vardy it is... I had him initially just got twitchy fingers

            1. ACE IN THE HOLE
              • 11 Years
              10 years, 6 months ago

              No probs... I have my own dilemma with Ozil and Vardy.

              Think im going with my instincts and sticking with Ozil. Not much to choose between them though!

  27. My name is an echo
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Decided to captain Barkley although Ozil seems a safer choice.

    I am regretting seeing Dann on my bench though.but it would mean benching Bellerin, Fuchs, Fonte or Payet (at a stretch)

  28. Fpl Richie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Play one of...

    A) toby
    B) dann
    C) Smith
    D) man up and do AoA in hope Alli plays

  29. ACE IN THE HOLE
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Top of my league and a good rank.

    Who to captain?

    Vardy or Ozil?

    1. Aladdin Sané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Vardy. Play it safe if you're not chasing, that's the (good) advice I got.

      1. ACE IN THE HOLE
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 6 months ago

        I wonder if no Kante will have an effect on how well and how often Leicester City counter attack.

    2. Boo Ya Ka Sha
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      I just switched from Sanchez to Vardy. Because of this comment.

      1. ACE IN THE HOLE
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 6 months ago

        I wonder if no Kante will have an effect on how well and how often Leicester City counter attack.

  30. Aladdin Sané
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Following the Arsenal game, would you rather have:

    A) Rose, Alli, Kane
    B) Alli, Eriksen, Kane

    ?

    1. Boo Ya Ka Sha
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      A