634x258 Spot the Differential
1 March 2016 2529 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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With less than a couple of hours before Gameweek 28 is thrust upon us, we roll out a trio of overlooked alternatives for your consideration. Liverpool’s fit-again playmaker, United’s new goal sensation and Sunderland’s rampaging left-back all make the grade this time around.

Philippe Coutinho

Although Philippe Coutinho (8.0) has delivered attacking returns on a sporadic basis this term, there’s no doubting his capacity to post big scores when he’s in the mood – despite being sidelined for eight matches, the Brazil international still boasts five double-figure hauls. Since returning from injury, there are signs that Coutinho could prove a superior option to team-mate Roberto Firmino, with the former Inter Milan man serving up two goals and a trio of assists in three domestic starts.

Looking at the FPL numbers, Coutinho’s average of 5.4 points per game has been bettered by only four regular midfielders this season and sits just below the likes of Dimitri Payet and Kevin de Bruyne, with 5.5 apiece. Given that his average of 19.6 minutes per attempt is surpassed only by Sergio Aguero (19.3 minutes), the Brazilian’s eye for goal could come to fruition as Jurgen Klopp looks to finish strongly in his first season at the helm.

Next up for the Merseysiders is a home tie against a Manchester City side that thwarted their efforts to claim a record ninth League Cup. Notwithstanding the outcome of that head-to-head, the Sky Blues are reeling in the wake of back-to-back defeats against fellow title challengers, exposing a defensive vulnerability that Liverpool and Coutinho already proved they could exploit by way of their 4-1 triumph in the reverse fixture. Although the Reds have a blank Gameweek 30, the prospects of two doubles further down the line will surely keep their little Brazilian on many managers’ plans for the run-in.

Marcus Rashford

Having complemented his brace against Danish minnows FC Midtjylland with another just three days later against Arsenal, Manchester United teenager Marcus Rashford (4.6) has been thrust into the limelight. Rashford’s auspicious start to life in the top tier brings to mind Harry Kane’s rise to prominence as a budget pick-up, ensuring that the 18-year-old ranks top for “transfers in” this week. Indeed, the nominal nature of his fee limits the inconvenience of the Red Devils’ blank in Gameweek 30, allowing investors to explore his immediate potential.

Although Anthony Martial has recovered from his hamstring injury in time to face Watford on Wednesday, Louis van Gaal will be loath to displace the red-hot Rashford right now. Instead, we reckon it’s likely that Memphis Depay will miss out in such a scenario, with Martial reverting to a wide role and allowing the in-form youngster to torment the Hornets backline.

Across the last four Gameweeks, Man United ranked joint-top for goals (eight), third for shots on target (23), top for shot accuracy (45%) and second for shot-conversion rate (15.7%), which suggests that now could be the time to reconsider that’s been devoid of viable pick-ups for much of the campaign. With a Watford outfit that’s mustered just two road clean sheets next on Man United’s agenda, there’s certainly scope for Rashford to compose another chapter in this emerging fairy tale. Whether he retains that role for the remainder of the season is very much questionable but for those looking for a Gameweek 28 gamble, the youngster may well fit the bill.

Patrick van Aanholt

With four goals and two assists to his name over the past eight Gameweeks, Patrick van Aanholt (4.7) represents the most potent defender in the second half of the season. Ultimately, the Dutch full-back has suffered from the fact that the Black Cats rank joint-bottom for clean sheets this term (three), yet they displayed signs of resilience across the their last quartet of match-ups (a period that included meetings with both Manchester clubs and Liverpool), which bodes well for their shut-out prospects on the eve of a fixture shift.

Exploring the underlying statistics, Van Aanholt charted joint-second among defenders for attempts (seven) across the previous four Gameweeks, with only the out-of-position Eric Dier unleashing more efforts (nine). Moreover, the ex-Chelsea recruit ranks second throughout the entire campaign for attempts (29), illuminating his penchant for marauding bursts down the left flank.

Given that Crystal Palace make the trip to the Stadium of Light on Tuesday evening, the Wearsiders will fancy their chances of securing their first shut-out in 14 outings; the Eagles rank bottom for goals since Gameweek 18 (six), while only five teams have conceded fewer goals at home (14) than Sunderland. In addition, the visitors placed joint-second for goals conceded (eight) and joint-third for big chances conceded (nine) over the last four Gameweeks, revealing their current inability to stifle opponents.

  1. BRANISLAV BRANISLIFE
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Will Southampton concede a penalty?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Yeah, Forster saves it though.

      1. BRANISLAV BRANISLIFE
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        So I'm benching Daniels. And I have Forster, so that'd be cool:P

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Just checked crystal ball, Daniels missed completely.

          1. BRANISLAV BRANISLIFE
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            Oh. Clean sheet then?

    2. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      - and, my Mother replied:
      "Que sera,sera ..."

  2. diego_costa
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Who to cap from this lot:

    A) Kun
    B) Arnautovic
    C) Vardy
    D) Lukaku

    1. BRANISLAV BRANISLIFE
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Toss a coin. Thrice.

    2. Donhush
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Vardy is probably the safest and most reasonable but Kun is Kun

  3. Scratch
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Any truth to these reports of Alexis being dropped against Swansea?

    Have to play him or Alli. Or sell Alexis

    1. AlCapwnUK
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Where's this rumour coming from?

      1. AlCapwnUK
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        just googled it...

  4. GS456
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Hardest captaincy decision of the season, and the whole day before the deadline is not helping.

    a) Ozil
    b) Sanchez
    c) Vardy
    d) Aguero

  5. BENOIT
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Start Daniels or Morgan?

    1. Flying Assassins
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Morgan

  6. Eric Banternaaa
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Payet to:

    A Siggy
    B Khazri
    C Arnie

    1. AlCapwnUK
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      A

    2. Donhush
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Payet to Siggy is a better option next GW...

  7. SamH123
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Is Funes Mori likely to be dropped?
    (seems to have a low expected points in RMT)

  8. DV8R
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    A) Stanislas -> Arnie - bench Alli
    B) Payet -> Eriksen - play Alli

    Which option please?

    1. sozopol
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      A

  9. keano
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    keep firmino or get barkley

  10. FionnMac
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Pick 2 to play:

    A) Wolly
    B) Toby
    C) Alli.

    1. Flying Assassins
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Wolly & Alli

  11. Hardly Athletic
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Bench Alli or Payet?

  12. GS456
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Will Simpson play do we think?

    1. yemzinho
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      yes

    2. fiveyears
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Should do, Amartey did okay according to Lestah fans but they missed Simpsons

  13. Dynamic
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    How likely is it that Newcastle have a double gameweek 34?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      As likely as Man City DGW.

      1. Dynamic
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Which is how likely haha?

  14. Jay_
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Score predictions for :

      Bournemouth___V___Southhampton

      Stoke___V___Newcastle

      1. Slartibartfast
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        1-1
        2-1

      2. Moss
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        0-1
        1-0

      3. FFFrog
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Bou vs SOU is on here

        http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/comment/12782108

        1. Jay_
            9 years, 9 months ago

            Nice one mate

            1. Jay_
                9 years, 9 months ago

                Ribbit

        2. FPL ElasticO
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Who to bench??

          Daniels

          Alli

        3. Gabhini Gupini
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          maharez/ozil/vardy

          Whom to cap?

          1. sozopol
            • 14 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            All are good choices, I have same choice and currently on Vardy. I am leading my mini-league so going for consistency over explosiveness.

        4. Burger
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Chelsea/Everton double pays almost 2/1, surely that's like printing free money?

          1. George Sillett
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            That's a far better call than your Swansea suggestion.

            1. Burger
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              9 years, 9 months ago

              Ha, swans is a pure punt, this seems to have legs. At worst should have more than a fair chance if a cash out opportunity.

              1. George Sillett
                • 10 Years
                9 years, 9 months ago

                You got any bets running on who will win the prem ?

        5. VanDerStar
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          start cresswell or daniels?

          1. yemzinho
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            daniels

          2. Flying Assassins
            • 13 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            Daniels

          3. VanDerStar
            • 14 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            thanks

        6. FDMS All Starz
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Payet/Mahrez/sanchez/Ozil/Alli
          Kane/ighalo/aguero

          0.2itb,2fts, what should I do? Sell ighalo for vardy? Bought him at 5.3

          1. Bobbydhino - ⚒ Saint Slav…
            • 16 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            I would drop Sanchez.

        7. diego_costa
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          sell sanchez or keep him?

        8. Boo Ya Ka Sha
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          I just finished a 3-hour interview so I'm just going to get the point. I have a 45 pt lead in my ML. I'm currently planning on captaining Sanchez. I know his form is whacked but Swansea will leak a ton of chances to Arsenal. My rival has Barkley and Ozil as his differential. I have Arna and Sanchez. Who should I captain? Who are the safe picks.. Aguero, Vardy?

          http://fantasy.premierleague.com/entry/54579/event-history/27/

          1. Boo Ya Ka Sha
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            feeling the love

        9. Colonel Shoe 肝池
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          bookies really fancy arsenal v swans ......why so much?

          1. Acquafresca
            • 14 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            Must-win

            1. Burger
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              9 years, 9 months ago

              Swans at 10/1 look worthy of a tenner I'd say 😀

              1. George Sillett
                • 10 Years
                9 years, 9 months ago

                I wouldn't . 10/1 pretty accurately sums up their chances

                1. Burger
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 10 Years
                  9 years, 9 months ago

                  Arsenal don't fill me with a huge amount of joy tbf.

                  1. George Sillett
                    • 10 Years
                    9 years, 9 months ago

                    Me neither but I wouldn't touch that game with a barge pole. Arsenal are just too short but I can't see Swansea winning.

                    1. Burger
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 10 Years
                      9 years, 9 months ago

                      That was a tenner well spent! 😀

                      1. George Sillett
                        • 10 Years
                        9 years, 9 months ago

                        Very well done mate. I would never have backed Swansea just shows arsenal are completely imploding

                        1. Burger
                          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                          • 10 Years
                          9 years, 9 months ago

                          Choking on a level unseen previously, can't believe how they've thrown this all away.

                          Well tonight's win was marred by Bayern ruining a nice accie I had running.

                          Roll on tomorrow.

                          1. George Sillett
                            • 10 Years
                            9 years, 9 months ago

                            You earn great respect from me as you post your selections before they happen. I get fed up of seeing on here people who "after time" , ie announce that they have an acca up but never post their selections first. We know that you take the rough with the smooth and hold your hands up when it goes wrong.

                            1. Burger
                              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                              • 10 Years
                              9 years, 9 months ago

                              Only one person you are cheating there and that's yourself, oh and your bank manager!

                              Nothing wrong with admitting a mistake, at least you can improve.

                              Tonight's double is Barca and Dinamo Zagreb at 2.25's so £250 profit on the line.

                              I'll definitely catch up with you sometime before the weekend to exchange thoughts on the fixtures, it had a chance to look yet.

                            2. George Sillett
                              • 10 Years
                              9 years, 9 months ago

                              Look forward to that mate. Seems you think in the same way as me. If a price is too big it represents a bet. Soon coming to my quiet time of the gambling year. I tend to ignore the last 6 weeks of the footie season as prices get stupidly short and there is no point betting on flat racing until June. Still NH to focus on and esp Chelt Festival though!

          2. Boo Ya Ka Sha
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            Swans are leaking a ton of chances to the opposition. Arsenal should be able to rebound. They kinda have to.

          3. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            Swans give away a lot in the middle. Arsenal create most ... through the middle.

          4. Colonel Shoe 肝池
            • 14 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            cheers

        10. Flying Assassins
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Maybe I should just flip a coin

          1. TorresMagic™
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 16 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            Best idea

          2. Boo Ya Ka Sha
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            on what

            1. Flying Assassins
              • 13 Years
              9 years, 9 months ago

              VVD or Daniels

              1. Boo Ya Ka Sha
                • 10 Years
                9 years, 9 months ago

                me too. I also have to think about benching Kosc since I have Cech. But tbh dude, Southampton are much better defensively than Bou. Daniels might not even be on pks after his last miss.

                1. Flying Assassins
                  • 13 Years
                  9 years, 9 months ago

                  Thanks

                  1. Boo Ya Ka Sha
                    • 10 Years
                    9 years, 9 months ago

                    VVD then?

                    1. Flying Assassins
                      • 13 Years
                      9 years, 9 months ago

                      Yeah

        11. Kered
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Bench one.

          Toby
          Daniel's
          Simpson
          Ward

          1. Acquafresca
            • 14 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            W

          2. Stats Don\'t Lie
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            Ward

        12. The Wizard of Ozil
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Alli -> Arni or just hope Alli plays? Smith first sub

          1. fiveyears
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            I am hoping Alli plays, benching Payet

            1. Boo Ya Ka Sha
              • 10 Years
              9 years, 9 months ago

              risky.. could end up getting you 10 minutes.

              1. fiveyears
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 9 Years
                9 years, 9 months ago

                You're right, but if he starts I fancy him to get points. Meanwhile Payet isn't picking up many points at home. It's a tough one.

        13. fiveyears
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Been on Vardy (c) since the deadline, suddenly toying with the idea of Kun...

          1. fiveyears
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            Gw27 deadline I mean 😀

          2. Stats Don\'t Lie
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            Go kun

        14. Stats Don\'t Lie
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          2 quick questions:

          1. Captain Kane or kun?

          2. bench wolly or Toby?

          1. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
            • 13 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            1. Kane has a lot more shots on target

            2. Wolly

        15. Lecky Legs FC
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Just curious tell me you captain picks people?

        16. Rolls-Royce
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          No preamble?

        17. keano
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          keep firmino or payet?

          1. Stats Don\'t Lie
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            Payet