634x258 Spot the Differential
5 March 2016 2363 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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Our Saturday morning scour for overlooked Fantasy options leads us to City’s talismanic Spaniard this time around. We also call upon a couple of options from Bournemouth and West Brom as the pair look to maintain momentum in their respective bids for safety.

David Silva

Since returning from a lengthy injury layoff back in Gameweek 14, David Silva (9.8) has struggled to recapture early-season form that harvested six assists in five starts. Although the Spain international is clearly far from his best, having registered just one goal and an assist across his previous nine outings, back-to-back fixtures against Villa and Norwich could act as the antidote for Silva’s current malaise, elevating his status in the high-priced bracket.

First up for the Sky Blues is a home clash against Villa, who rank fourth for goals conceded in away matches (28) and shipped 11 goals in the last four Gameweeks. Looking beyond that promising head-to-head, Manuel Pellegrini’s troops travel to face a Norwich outfit that rank top for big chances conceded at home (28). Incidentally, Man City go up against the Canaries in a Gameweek where only 10 sides are guaranteed a fixture at present, augmenting Silva’s differential potential.

Although the Sky Blues suffered defeats at the hands of the top two in their most recent showdowns at the Etihad, they’ve still chalked up eight more home goals (35) than any team in the league. Certainly, with Manchester United now breathing down their neck and their title aspirations fading with each passing week, it would come as little surprise if Man City delivered a statement of intent on Saturday, with Silva at the forefront of their efforts.

Salomon Rondon

Salomon Rondon’s recent upturn in form suggests that the Venezuelan frontman is now better acclimatised to the unique rigours of the Premier League. Tracking back to Gameweek 24, the 6.5-priced forward has produced attacking returns (three goals, one assist) in all four of his starts, helping West Bromwich Albion defeat the likes of Crystal Palace and Everton. Owned by just 0.5% of all Fantasy managers, Rondon could well reward the intrepid few who are willing to explore his short-term prospects.

Upon scrutinising the underlying statistics, it becomes apparent that the Baggies’ upcoming home tie against Man United could play into the hands of Rondon. While the Red Devils still boast the best home defence, they’ve been far more generous on the road: only five sides have surrendered more goals (19) in away fixtures. Furthermore, Man United’s callow and makeshift defence looked vulnerable over the past four Gameweeks, placing fourth for shots inside the box conceded (43) and joint-third for big chances conceded (10).

West Brom’s attack has flattered to deceive this term, yet the fact they ranked third for shot-conversion rate (17.6%) over the last four Gameweeks is a positive sign. It’s also worth noting that the West Midlanders have strung together a three-match unbeaten run since Saido Berahino reclaimed a starting berth, indicating that they’re a more balanced outfit with his industry in midfield and pace on the counter.

Matt Ritchie

With one goal and three assists in his previous five outings, Matt Ritchie (5.3) is finding some rhythm following a spell that was defined by blanks and injury. The calibre of Ritchie’s performances have cemented his starting slot on the right flank, limiting the risk of rotation – brought on by the Cherries’ wealth of wide options – that previously tempered our interest. In addition, Max Gradel’s return to action increases our confidence in an attack that’s been hamstrung by injury.

With regards to Ritchie’s attacking threat across the last four Gameweeks, the Scottish winger ranked joint-fourth among midfielders for attempts (12) and joint-third for shots inside the box (six) – despite clocking just 45 minutes when Stoke City visited the Vitality Stadium. As for his assist potential, he charts second among his midfield team-mates for key passes (31) and has executed more than 20 more successful crosses (33) than the next best, Junior Stanislas (13).

Fresh from a convincing 2-0 home victory against a resilient Southampton unit, Bournemouth are primed to cause Newcastle United a host of problems when they make the trip to St James’ Park. The south-coast club will be heartened in the knowledge that the Magpies conceded nine goals in their last four matches, while Ritchie’s prospects are heightened by the fact that Steve McClaren’s men have allowed the third-most shots inside the box (108) on home turf.

  1. Donblaster
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Butland (che)
    Ivanovic (STO) Daniels (new) Huth (wat)
    Yaya (AVL) Ozil (tot) Mahrez (wat) Arnie (che)
    Ageuro (AVL) Lukaku (WHU) Vardy (wat)

    Rudd (swa) Alli (ARS) Toby (ARS) Dawson (mun)

    G2G?? Have 1FT & £1.2m itb if not...

    Thanks!

    1. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      play Alli

    2. Donblaster
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Sorry £1.7m itb

    3. PURPLE-RONNIE
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Arnie to siggy then G2G

  2. bdwhite91
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Need help getting my bench right. 1 FT available.

    Forster

    Virgi Ivan Daniels

    Ozil Mahrez Payet Alli

    Kun Vardy Kane

    Cech Arnie Fuchs Dier

    I wish I could fit Fuchs in. Don't want to bench Daniels though 🙁 Ivanovic is benchable but he's an expensive sub 🙁

    1. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      U must bench fuch

      1. bdwhite91
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Watford have lost form, but Kante out is a big loss

  3. Jafooli
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Midfield watchlist:

    Antonio - unfavourable fixtures
    Payet - not unfavourable fixtures

    😕

    1. Jafooli
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      And does Antonio deserve a £ by his name?

    2. MBK 42
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Payet is fixture-proof because of dead ball duties?

      1. Jafooli
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        True

      2. Albrightondknight
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Payet is fixture proof because he is Payet

  4. Boss Hogg
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Play Alli or Mahrez?

    1. MBK 42
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Close but Mahrez

    2. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      easy

  5. MBK 42
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Bench one please -
    Ozil Alli Siggy Mahrez Payet

    I'm currently leaning towards Ozil; has a habit of going missing in big games (see Barcelona the other week) but scared by his ownership.

    1. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Alli

    2. Fowler23
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Didn't Ozil score a goal and an assist against United?
      I have the exact same midfield. Leaning towards Alli.

      1. MBK 42
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        I said big games 😉

  6. Daniel Exeter
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    I fancy Stoke to score, playing Arnie but also Azpi

    I should sort that right?

    1. Je suis le chat
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Its fine to hedge, a Che cleanie could net you 9 plus 2 points. An Arnie goal in a 1:1 could also net you ~ 11 points.

  7. The Suspended One
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    People want Janmaat, they just don't realize it

  8. Gianfranco Zola
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Kompany vs Otamendi. Who wins if price is not an issue?

    1. 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Kompany until he gets injured

    2. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Kompany

    3. Bibelnissen
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Otamendi.

      Don't understand how people can say Kompany. Please fill me in.

    4. FeverPitch
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      It kind of comes down to what you think's more likely, Kompany getting injured or Otamendi rotating with Mangala (who played well with Kompany earlier in the season). Otamendi has marginally more favourable stats, but Kompany is captain and leader and it's crunch time in the season so I can see him coming up with some crucial goals and big performances etc... Basically 50/50. I went Kompany

  9. Ando
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Used my WC this week, mainly for ML purposes also with an eye on DGWs. How does it look?

    Fabianski

    Fuchs / Rose / Daniels / Williams

    Mahrez / Sterling / Siggy / Silva

    Aguero (C) / Kane

    Bench: Gomes / Vardy / Alli / Flanagan

    1. Sting
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Don't bench Vardy

      1. 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        ^

      2. Ando
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Thanks for your input but I just don't fancy him this week.

  10. Sting
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Dann > Williams or Kompany ?

    1. Ando
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Williams

    2. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Kompany

    3. Zareos
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Tough call, possibly Williams due to his fixtures and he is fully fit

      Either would be an excellent move though

    4. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      kompany, more chance of nowich scoring imo

  11. Zareos
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    I have 10 players due to play next week and 1 FT, so GW30 won't be an issue.

    Pondering Sanchez to Siggy - should I pull the trigger?

    None of my main rivals have either player, I'm just worried that if I ditch Sanchez he'll have that mammoth haul that I was waiting for. Only 20 behind in my ML so every decision is key.

    1. The Suspended One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Saaaaaaaave

    2. Je suis le chat
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I'm probably getting Siggy for Alexis, hard to see Spurs coughing up many goals.

  12. The Suspended One
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Help...!

    Forster Elliot
    Dier Jags Ward Simpson Kosc
    Silva Payet Alli Siggy Mahrez
    Kane Kun Vardy

    A) Dier, Simpson
    B) Dier Alli AOA
    C) Simpson Alli AOA

    1. Cojiro
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      C

  13. Cojiro
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    A) Toby+Barkley> Kompany and Siggy
    or
    B) Bellerin+ Payet> Kompany and Siggy

    1. Sting
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      B

    2. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      A

    3. JamesFG
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      B

  14. Christina.
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Wait a minute.There are 2 David Bowie gravatar's on here now...

    😕

    1. Jafooli
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      That's not Bowie in my grav

      1. Epic Fail
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        This

      2. Lone Wolf FPL
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        R U sure?

  15. Q--
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Repost:
    Is Barkley or Payet --> Siggy worth a hit or better wait for bext week ? And which one to sell ?

    1. Daniel Exeter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I'm gonna wait myself

  16. Daniel Exeter
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Pages be flying

    9:30am

    1. The Suspended One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      1:30am

      1. Daniel Exeter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Ouch! Get to bed

        1. The Suspended One
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Half tempted to stay up for NLD

  17. Camp No No
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Flappyhandski v. Dandruff?

    1. Daniel Exeter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Hart

      1. Camp No No
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Honestly, I'm not keen to spend on GK, particularly not on a one from a team from which I might want some field players... the only oddity is that right now City is not that kind of team, surprisingly.

    2. Jafooli
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Flappers

    3. Defcons are for Kinnear
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Dandruff

      1. Camp No No
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        For the DGW certainty? It is an appealing argument: he's at least sure to play both matches.

        But Flappy might be getting better points until then, and when does KDB return again?

    4. Camp No No
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      ...and why?

      1. Jafooli
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Flappers.

        1. Camp No No
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          😆

          Why flappers? Cheaper and as good fixtures + save point potential, until DGW34 where Hart can have two matches?

      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Hart because you might want to WC in week 36.

      Did you see the Comoli link I posted the other day?

  18. FPL ElasticO
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Who is the best captain option??

    Aguero Kane Vardy

    On Aguero at the moment

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      The one who is dominating the captaincy poll.

  19. Epic Fail
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    BINGO

    1. Jafooli
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Close

  20. French Gooner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Pick one to replace Sanchez

    A)Yaya
    B)Silva

    1. McQueen
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I'm doing Siggy.

  21. Defcons are for Kinnear
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Payet to Eriksen or carry 1ft? Arsenal are there for the taking

    1. Fowler23
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Save

  22. AYLD28
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    For this gameweek what moves (if any) would you make? Sanchez out for silva/yyt? Ivan to Kompany?

    Forster (sun)
    VVD (sun) Ivan (stoke) Daniels (new)
    Sanchez (spurs) siggy (nor) payet (eve) lingard (wba)
    Aguero (villa) kane (ars) vardy (wat)

    Subs: Schmeichel (wat) fuchs (wat) alderwiereld (ars) Arnie (che)

    Is my starting 11 correct?

  23. davies
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    A) Payet > Silva/Yaya (-4)
    B) Do it for free next week

  24. oscardo
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    play Alli or Ozil? Kane already starting in my team... Cheers 🙂

  25. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Norwich have conceded 12 goals in their last 5 away games.

    Payet > Siggy it is so!

    1. The_Colonel
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      I was thinking this, but now considering Yaya instead

  26. dejarik
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Play Arnie or Alli?

  27. The_Colonel
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Would you rather bring in Southampton or a Swansea defender for the next 3 games?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Saints

      1. The_Colonel
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Thanks Epic, VvD being the standout option?

    2. Daniel Exeter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Hey Colonel

      Close one - three plum fixtures for Swansea but they could concede anytime
      SOT for me

      1. The_Colonel
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Thank Dan, hope you're well

  28. Tsssst
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    who to bench?

    alli or arnautovic?

  29. McQueen
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Play Toby or Cresswell?

  30. jfxm
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    G2G?

    -----------------

    De Gea

    Huth, Azpi, Van Dijk

    Yaya Toure, Eriksen, Mahrez, Firmino

    Kane, Aguero (C), Vardy

    Bench: Hennessey, Alli, Moreno, Wollscheid