[sbu_large_image] Spot the Differential
5 March 2016 2363 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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Our Saturday morning scour for overlooked Fantasy options leads us to City’s talismanic Spaniard this time around. We also call upon a couple of options from Bournemouth and West Brom as the pair look to maintain momentum in their respective bids for safety.

David Silva

Since returning from a lengthy injury layoff back in Gameweek 14, David Silva (9.8) has struggled to recapture early-season form that harvested six assists in five starts. Although the Spain international is clearly far from his best, having registered just one goal and an assist across his previous nine outings, back-to-back fixtures against Villa and Norwich could act as the antidote for Silva’s current malaise, elevating his status in the high-priced bracket.

First up for the Sky Blues is a home clash against Villa, who rank fourth for goals conceded in away matches (28) and shipped 11 goals in the last four Gameweeks. Looking beyond that promising head-to-head, Manuel Pellegrini’s troops travel to face a Norwich outfit that rank top for big chances conceded at home (28). Incidentally, Man City go up against the Canaries in a Gameweek where only 10 sides are guaranteed a fixture at present, augmenting Silva’s differential potential.

Although the Sky Blues suffered defeats at the hands of the top two in their most recent showdowns at the Etihad, they’ve still chalked up eight more home goals (35) than any team in the league. Certainly, with Manchester United now breathing down their neck and their title aspirations fading with each passing week, it would come as little surprise if Man City delivered a statement of intent on Saturday, with Silva at the forefront of their efforts.

Salomon Rondon

Salomon Rondon’s recent upturn in form suggests that the Venezuelan frontman is now better acclimatised to the unique rigours of the Premier League. Tracking back to Gameweek 24, the 6.5-priced forward has produced attacking returns (three goals, one assist) in all four of his starts, helping West Bromwich Albion defeat the likes of Crystal Palace and Everton. Owned by just 0.5% of all Fantasy managers, Rondon could well reward the intrepid few who are willing to explore his short-term prospects.

Upon scrutinising the underlying statistics, it becomes apparent that the Baggies’ upcoming home tie against Man United could play into the hands of Rondon. While the Red Devils still boast the best home defence, they’ve been far more generous on the road: only five sides have surrendered more goals (19) in away fixtures. Furthermore, Man United’s callow and makeshift defence looked vulnerable over the past four Gameweeks, placing fourth for shots inside the box conceded (43) and joint-third for big chances conceded (10).

West Brom’s attack has flattered to deceive this term, yet the fact they ranked third for shot-conversion rate (17.6%) over the last four Gameweeks is a positive sign. It’s also worth noting that the West Midlanders have strung together a three-match unbeaten run since Saido Berahino reclaimed a starting berth, indicating that they’re a more balanced outfit with his industry in midfield and pace on the counter.

Matt Ritchie

With one goal and three assists in his previous five outings, Matt Ritchie (5.3) is finding some rhythm following a spell that was defined by blanks and injury. The calibre of Ritchie’s performances have cemented his starting slot on the right flank, limiting the risk of rotation – brought on by the Cherries’ wealth of wide options – that previously tempered our interest. In addition, Max Gradel’s return to action increases our confidence in an attack that’s been hamstrung by injury.

With regards to Ritchie’s attacking threat across the last four Gameweeks, the Scottish winger ranked joint-fourth among midfielders for attempts (12) and joint-third for shots inside the box (six) – despite clocking just 45 minutes when Stoke City visited the Vitality Stadium. As for his assist potential, he charts second among his midfield team-mates for key passes (31) and has executed more than 20 more successful crosses (33) than the next best, Junior Stanislas (13).

Fresh from a convincing 2-0 home victory against a resilient Southampton unit, Bournemouth are primed to cause Newcastle United a host of problems when they make the trip to St James’ Park. The south-coast club will be heartened in the knowledge that the Magpies conceded nine goals in their last four matches, while Ritchie’s prospects are heightened by the fact that Steve McClaren’s men have allowed the third-most shots inside the box (108) on home turf.

  1. Boss Hogg
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 18 days ago

    Bench two:

    Huth
    Smith
    Toby
    VVD
    Targett

    1. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      Toby Smith. Toby 1st sub

    2. bdwhite91
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      Targett, Smith

  2. Arteta
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 18 days ago

    Arsenal have scored in 41 of the past 42 matches v Spurs in all competitions.

    1. bdwhite91
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      How many have Spurs scored in

      1. Arteta
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        I don't have that information. That's one of the match facts that makes me optimistic.

    2. Art Vandelay
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      Arsenal used to be much better than Spurs.

      1. The Suspended One
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        This!

      2. Arteta
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        I know.

    3. The Suspended One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      I'm starting Dier because of how terrible your schmuck defenders are at set pieces

      That being said, your attack isn't too scary these days

      1. The Suspended One
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        And they are the best def in the league

      2. Arteta
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        Sounds reasonable to me. It's gonna be a hell of a match. Spurs are the favourites.

    4. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      So what you sayin'?

      1. Arteta
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        We'll score again.

          • 10 Years
          10 years, 18 days ago

          Nothing last forever and it's been a long time since Spurs were that good and Arsenal in such a bad form.

          1. Arteta
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 18 days ago

            True. I'd take an ugly 1:0 win today impetuous.

    5. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      I remember the one that had no goals quite well. Palacios first game for Tottenham and Keanes first game back too I think. We should have won that day.

      1. Arteta
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        Good luck today and may the better team win! 🙂

  3. Art Vandelay
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 18 days ago

    Ditch Payet or Sanchez for Siggy/Silva/Yaya

    Thinking of keeping Sanchez, despite form, due to much better fixtures post blank.

    1. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      keep Payet

      1. Art Vandelay
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        Blank then tough fixtures.

        You are probably right though...

    2. edfiasco
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      I ditched Payet

      1. Art Vandelay
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        Cheers. Very tempted myself.

        Who did you bring in?

  4. Sergeant Garcia
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 18 days ago

    Who to play?

    A) DDG (wba)
    B) Elliot (BOU)

    1. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      A

  5. RSe
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 18 days ago

    Bellerin to Kompany for free and play instead of Cedric? Yay or nay?

    1. Daniel Exeter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      Who else do you have?

      1. RSe
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        Ivan and Simpson, Woll on bench

    2. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      yay

  6. Lizard Lips
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 18 days ago

    Considering Alexis and Stanislas to YYT and Siggy. Would mean benching Alli and concerned this is the week Alexis scores well. Would you make these transfers?

    1. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      keep Sanchez

    2. The_Colonel
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      Just Stan to Sigg possible?

    3. Art Vandelay
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      Not sure mate. I am torn over who to ditch out of Payet / Sanchez. I presume you cannot simply afford the Stan upgrade to Siggy?

      If so, do that, otherwise...

      Probably worth the double grannies if not for a hit.

      1. Art Vandelay
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        *transfers not grannies 😆

        I am not Wayne Rooney...

    4. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      Alexis hit the bar and post the other night so was unlucky not to score. The NLD is normally high scoring too so I think it worth holding on to Alexis this week.

      1. @persecuted_by_mods
          10 years, 18 days ago

          He usually does f all in nld though

      2. Mr. Blonde
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        I like em both. Happy to bench Alli personally

    5. foreverton
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      Bournemouth have a better CS chance than M.City. I'm putting Daniels in over Kompany.

      1. The_Colonel
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        Bold

      2. Epic Fail
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        They don't.

      3. 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        good luck

      4. bdwhite91
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        Why have Kompany then. I'd ditch him for Williams if you have no other pressing issues.

      5. Lone Wolf FPL
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        dont do it

      6. Albrightondknight
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        All I will say is hope you call it for a diff

    6. dhamphiir
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      Play 3 of them
      A. Alderweierld (Arsenal - Home)
      B. Azpilicueta (Stoke - Home)
      C. Daniels (Newcastle - Away)
      D. Fuchs (Watford - Away)
      E. Van Djik (Sunderland - Home)

      Bench one of them
      1. Alli (Arsenal - Home)
      2. Payet (Everton - Away)
      3. Ozil (Tottenham - Away)
      4. Sigurdsson (Norwich - Home)

      1. JamesFG
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        BCE, 3

        1. The Suspended One
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 18 days ago

          I thought this really, just cant bench him

      2. The Suspended One
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        Bce
        1

      3. Lone Wolf FPL
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        B D E
        1

      4. Pat Bonner
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        BCE and 1

      5. simosalminen
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        B, E and hmmm... D

        1

    7. The_Colonel
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      Pick one from each

      VvD or A.Williams
      Yaya or Siggy

      Thanks

      1. bdwhite91
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        Williams if you have Forster

        Siggy

        1. The_Colonel
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 18 days ago

          I don't have Forster or any SOU coverage

      2. Lone Wolf FPL
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        W
        S

      3. Mr. Blonde
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        VVD
        Cake chaser

    8. Chippo, Hadji, Aloisi.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      Payet Ozil firmino Mahrez Eriksen
      Aguero Vardy Kane

      Bench who?

      Currently Payet.

      1. Lone Wolf FPL
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        hmm. Ozil

    9. FortunesAlwaysHiding
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      Play Cedric or Cahill this week chaps?

    10. Gianfranco Zola
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      What is the probability of a Man City DGW in GW 34?

      1. 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        0.5

    11. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      If Iheanacho can score a hattie away to Villa in the cup then Aguero should at least match that today, right?

      1. 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        If only

      2. simosalminen
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        With Kun, it could be anything between 5 minutes and a broken hammy and 5 goals and 2 assists. Captaining him for sure though.

        1. FortunesAlwaysHiding
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 18 days ago

          Do you think Iheanacho might even start?

      3. Weasel Boy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        Even if he does it will have little affect on your OR as everyone and there granny will captain him today.
        Unless you triple cap of course

    12. GrumblyBlowfish
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      Bench
      A) Alli
      B) Giroud

      1. 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        donkey

      2. Lone Wolf FPL
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        B. he will start on the bench

    13. Connor's Calling
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      Just a quick thank you to everyone for their help this week.

      Still a bit worried about the outcome but good luck everyone!

    14. shady4revr
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      Sanchez to Silva or Yaya?

      1. 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        for free?

        1. shady4revr
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 18 days ago

          yes

      2. Lone Wolf FPL
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        dont do it

    15. Dr Kenneth Noisewater
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      Which one to start?

      A) Francis (new)
      B) Dier (ARS)
      C) Bellerin (tot)

      1. Lone Wolf FPL
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        A

      2. 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        a

    16. Christina.
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      The problem with a Citeh milf is well will all want KdB soon.

    17. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      Why do you lot think that Swansea are all of a sudden gonna stop being crap?

      1. Daniel Exeter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        This

        But those three plum fixtures are inviting

        1. Camp No No
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 18 days ago

          This

        2. Epic Fail
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 18 days ago

          Aye, plum for their attack, but they aren't good enough not to concede.

          1. Camp No No
            • 12 Years
            10 years, 18 days ago

            Yeah. I can see 0-0 in that Villa match though. Both teams horrid going forward. There have been a lot of goals in the Norwich match historically.

      2. Mílanista
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        Are Norwich going to stop being crapper? And Villa in 2 weeks 😉

      3. Christina.
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        because I thought Khazri was the best thing since sleeping with missus epic fail

        1. Camp No No
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 18 days ago

          Frankly, sleeping with your missus wasn't so good that it would set the standard.

      4. edfiasco
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        They haven't been crap all season.

        1. FortunesAlwaysHiding
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 18 days ago

          They just beat Arsenal away for heaven's sake.

      5. Revival
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        Norwich are rock bottom of the form table do ( last 5 games )

      6. Art Vandelay
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        Just beat Arsenal and put in a creditable performance against Spurs

    18. Mílanista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      10 GWs to go, 118 points and 340,000 places from the top 10k. Let's do this.

    19. Ped doggy woof
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      Good to go lads?

      Forster
      Dawson Kompany Dier
      Mahrez Payet Özil Firmino
      Lukaku Agüero (c) Vardy

      Subs: Hennessey, Bellerín, Alli, Simpson

      1. JamesFG
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        I'd shift Bellerin to last on bench

    20. Shrimp On The Barb
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      Start Smith or Alderweireld?

      1. madame shelly
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        smith

      2. 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        smith

    21. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      Wimmer nailed till ?

      1. Art Vandelay
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        Vertonghen indicated that he would be back after international break. However, he could be longer and who is to say he would get in the team straight away if Spurs defensive form is good.

      2. Van der Faart
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        End of March

    22. FPLord
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      For what its worth, siggy (c)! (100p behind in ML)

    23. Sergeant Garcia
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      Anyone worth benching instead of Arnautovic?

      DDG
      VvD / Daniels / Fuchs
      Ozil / Eriksen / Siggy / Mahrez
      Kane / Aguero / Vardy

      Bench: Arnie / Toby / Baines

      1. madame shelly
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        out of those, nope

      2. 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        nope

      3. Sergeant Garcia
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        Thanks guys!

    24. madame shelly
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      alli or arnie

      vvd or daniels

      1. bdwhite91
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        Alli, Virgil

      2. 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        alli vvd

    25. How's Your Gowl
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      Thinking of Sanchez, Payet and Lingard to Yaya, Silva and Siggy (one hit).

      One transfer too many? Which one would you not do?

      1. Energetics
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        Sanchez and Lingard to one of Yaya and Silva (Yaya for me) and Siggy, get rid of Payet next week if you want, could easily outscore the others so definately not worth a hit to get rid!

        1. How's Your Gowl
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 18 days ago

          Yeah agreed I think, can't bring myself to ditch Payet against a Martinez side. Appreciate the reply, man!

    26. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 18 days ago

      Anyone getting rid of ozil ?

      Temptedto get in a man city mid

      1. Daniel Exeter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        Nope

      2. Epic Fail
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 18 days ago

        I haven't got him.

    27. @persecuted_by_mods
        10 years, 18 days ago

        What's everyone doing with sanchez? Thinking Silva

        1. Epic Fail
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 18 days ago

          Sterling

          1. @persecuted_by_mods
              10 years, 18 days ago

              Good shout, was considering him before silva but not sure if sterling won't be dropped for kelehi

            • Arvin-ation
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 18 days ago

              Really?

        2. Energetics
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 18 days ago

          Play one

          A. Toby
          B. Simpson

          1. 1
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 18 days ago

            b

          2. Sergeant Garcia
            • 11 Years
            10 years, 18 days ago

            B