Spot the Differential
14 May 2016 1881 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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We head into Gameweek 38 with many mini-leagues still on the line, as Fantasy managers seek some last-minute inspiration. This time around, Liverpool’s midweek goal hero is joined by City’s up-and-coming young striker and Southampton’s Senegal marksman in our quest for differential success.

Christian Benteke

Understandably, Jurgen Klopp is primed to name a second-string side for Liverpool’s trip to West Bromwich Albion, given that Liverpool are schedule to clash with Sevilla in the Europa League final on Wednesday. Daniel Sturridge appears unlikely to play any part at The Hawthorns, which paves the way for Christian Benteke (8.0) to spearhead the Reds’ attack. Despite notching just 180 minutes across his previous five appearances, the Belgian frontman mustered three goals and one assist, with a last-gasp midweek leveler at home to Chelsea sure to boost his confidence.

Although Benteke was only granted a 16-minute cameo against the Blues, he charts joint-third for attempts (nine) and joint-second for shots inside the box (seven) among forwards in his last two outings. Taking the season in its entirety, Benteke’s goal frequency (one every 173 minutes) is only bettered by five counterparts who’ve amassed at least 1000 minutes of pitch time. The same can be said of his shot frequency (26.4), which places sixth under the same parameters.

Liverpool’s concluding match-up pits them against a Baggies outfit that’s recorded just five clean sheets at home all term. In addition, only six teams have conceded more big chances on their own turf (30). Liverpool’s attack on the road also measures up favourably – Tottenham Hotspur are the only team that’s chalked up more attempts (272 vs 252) than Liverpool, underlining their swashbuckling style away from home under Klopp.

Kelechi Iheanacho

In the wake of back-to-back braces against Stoke City and Southampton – which boosted his tally to seven goals (695 minutes) for the season – Kelechi Iheanacho (4.8) shot onto our radar as a tantalising budget forward. Having started each of the last three, the Nigerian marksman will be savouring the prospect of taking on a Swansea outfit that’s missing key first-team regulars such as Ashley Williams, Gylfi Sigurdsson and Lukasz Fabianski.

Razor-sharp finishing has been Iheanacho’s most striking attribute, illustrated by the fact that he ranks top among all forwards for shot-conversion rate (31.3%). Moreover, only Sergio Aguero (98 minutes) lays claim to a superior goal frequency (110.7). Illustrating how central he’s become to the Sky Blues’ attack in recent fixtures, Iheanacho ranks joint-second for touches (181) and second for touches in the final third (95) among forwards since Gameweek 35.

Swansea managed convincing victories over Liverpool and West Ham United in their last pair of outings, yet Man City will be heartened that only three teams shipped more goals (nine) in their previous quartet of league ties. The Swans also surrendered the joint-fourth-most shots inside the box (38) and the second-most big chances (13), obliging defensive form that could play into the hands of the league’s top-scoring attack.

Sadio Mane

Given that Sadio Mane (7.4) has recovered from the virus that forced him off early against Spurs, it would be remiss for us not to shine a spotlight on the 5%-owned winger.

Mane – who netted a three-minute hat-trick in the final home clash of last season – boasts five goals in four starts and next faces a Crystal Palace team that will surely be shuffled ahead of their FA Cup final date with Manchester United next weekend.

Scrutinising the underlying stats, Mane ranked joint-top among midfielders for shots on target (seven) across his previous four appearances. It’s also worth noting that, despite registering just 281 minutes, he accrued three more penalty-box touches (31) than any of his midfield rivals. In home matches, the Senegalese wide man ranks second among midfielders for shots inside the box (35) and joint-second for shots on target (18).

Mane has five double-figure hauls to his name this term, which highlights his potential for explosive returns against an Eagles rearguard that places joint-bottom for shut-outs (two) and fourth for goals conceded (31) since Gameweek 20. Alan Pardew’s men will certainly be tested by a Saints attack that bagged 10 goals in their previous trio of home encounters and placed top for goals (11) across their last four outings.

  1. Greenbackbøøg…
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 12 days ago

    Is Payet news reliable??

    1. Mílanista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 12 days ago

      The source is

        1. Mílanista
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 12 days ago

          Yeah I saw last page cheers.

          Did some googling and the tweeter is reliable.

    2. Royal5
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 12 days ago

      What news?

      1. Greenbackbøøg…
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 12 days ago

        injured 🙁

        1. Royal5
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 12 days ago

          Great Scott 🙁

    3. FrankieTheGent
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 12 days ago

      I've Antonio as first sub and my ML rival has Golsing (we both have Payet) so this would actually suit.

  2. HVT
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 12 days ago

    Lads I'm outta here,
    Just a point I've noticed creeping in here:
    Don't come on and just ask a question about your team selection/transfers etc and expect answers, contribute to the site-answer and be helpful to others, write an article or aim for a hot topic,
    Share and care a little more!

    1. Swan - Villa Proud
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 12 days ago

      Amen

  3. JK - Cønt ⭐
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 12 days ago

    with Defoe and Firmino, think a hit might be needed for Payet

    I have Long so

    a) Mane
    b) Tadic
    c) Arnie
    d) Mata
    e) other

    1. Swan - Villa Proud
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 12 days ago

      A

    2. Mílanista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 12 days ago

      Mane

    3. thunder_mike
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 12 days ago

      Mane

    4. Mingles
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 12 days ago

      A

  4. Swan - Villa Proud
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 12 days ago

    Everyone is taking a random tweet as fact?

    1. Swan - Villa Proud
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 12 days ago

      Not convinced

  5. Mílanista
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 12 days ago

    Good thing this Payet injury didn't happen during TCGW37

    1. Odikostar
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 12 days ago

      ?

    2. Mo Mané Mo Problems
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 12 days ago

      Depends if you captained him 😉

  6. Bøwstring The Carp
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 12 days ago

    Tadic v Mané; who will you be going for and why? Personally I'm on the Tadic wagon.

    Tadic
    + High average position lately
    + Set pieces in the bag
    + Assisting and scoring
    + Averaging roughly 10 PPG over his last 4 matches
    + Can rearrange his name to spell "Anus Addict"

    Mané
    + Explosive returns
    + On form
    + Almost a second striker at times
    - Recent illness

    1. JK - Cønt ⭐
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 12 days ago

      not sure whether to get Mane or Tadic now and perhaps get a different striker to Long

    2. Rolls-Royce
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 12 days ago

      Started the season with Mane, will end with him.

      Mane(C) for me.

    3. thunder_mike
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 12 days ago

      Tadic feels a bit more of a reliable to me...

    4. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 12 days ago

      Think Tadic is more consistent while Mane more Explosive.
      Think I'm going Tadic

  7. _Gunner
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 12 days ago

    I have the same exact funds to do Hazard + Payet + Carrol > KDB + Tadic + Giroud (-8)

    Yay or Nay?

    Don't have Aguero.

  8. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 12 days ago

    what's happened to payet? just logged in

    1. Exeter Gently
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 12 days ago

      knock and out of stoke game, reported on twitter by a supposedly reliable source

    2. Jøssy ⭐
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 12 days ago

      Picked up a knock. *allegedly* out for Stoke

    3. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 12 days ago

      FFS 😡

      thanks

    4. Mílanista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 12 days ago

      Head fell off etc etc

    5. Flynniesta
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 12 days ago

      This could be good news for me. Need a push to bring Tadic or Mane in

  9. Jøssy ⭐
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 12 days ago

    Jeez!! New question then. A hit is definitely happening now...

    Gomes
    Bellerin - van Aarnholt - Gabriel
    Sanchez (C) - Hazard - Payet - Townsend - Tadic
    Aguero - Carroll

    Hart - Fuchs - Simpson - Sturridge

    A) Sturridge > Benteke/Deeney/Long
    B) Payet > Mané

    1. thunder_mike
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 12 days ago

      Tempted by Mane, doubling up on Southampton isn't a bad idea.

    2. Theatre_Of_Screams
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 12 days ago

      Sturridge to Long

      or

      Payet to Mane

      Both good options l think

  10. Elly88 > KTR (Kevin The …
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 12 days ago

    Other than bundesliga and EPL do other major european leages end on the same date and time? If yes which ones do you know?

    1. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 12 days ago

      Ligue 1

    2. Billy Gilmore
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 12 days ago

      Ligue 1

  11. thunder_mike
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 12 days ago

    That Payet news is bad, take a hit and get Mane or play Townsend. Already getting in Tadic.

    1. fickle
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 12 days ago

      Play townsend. Don't take hits unless you dont have a bench

      1. thunder_mike
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 12 days ago

        Thanks. Have Firmino, PVA and Cresswell.

        1. Jøssy ⭐
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 11 days ago

          Firmino isn't a viable bench option. He won't play

  12. FPL Panda
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 12 days ago

    Ageuro or Mane captian??

    Chasing a 40 point leader

    1. Mílanista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 12 days ago

      Gotta be Mane then.

    2. Lecky Legs FC
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 12 days ago

      I'm in the same situation too 48 pts behind 3rd in ML for money do Mane (C) and good luck!

  13. @persecuted_by_mods
      10 years, 12 days ago

      Has fpl crashed, why can we stlil make changes?

      1. Billy Gilmore
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 12 days ago

        lol

      2. Shrimpy
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 12 days ago

        ...lol

    • ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 12 days ago

      If payet is out, any other attacking west ham players are useless to have. He controls the game and creates the chances. Donkey carroll isn't doing it himself

      1. Mílanista
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 12 days ago

        Super Manuel to step up to the plate.

      2. drughi
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 12 days ago

        lanzini to step up

      3. Heels_Over_Head
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 12 days ago

        Antonio owner 😎

      4. Jøssy ⭐
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 11 days ago

        I'm gutted I sold Lanzini actually now I know Payet's out. I feel his chances improve

    • Takedog1
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 12 days ago

      payet for tadic or mane?? mmmmm

      1. Konig Luther
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 12 days ago

        tadic

    • tm245
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 12 days ago

      Well, I was looking for another reason to keep my hit streak going...

    • @persecuted_by_mods
        10 years, 12 days ago

        Omg the matches are tomorrow lol fail

        1. Mílanista
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 12 days ago

          😆

        2. Heels_Over_Head
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 12 days ago

          Nice

        3. Swan - Villa Proud
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 12 days ago

          That's classic

      • SineQuaNon
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 12 days ago

        I'm looking to preserve my 12 point lead in my ML. Any tips appreciated!

        Mignolet
        PvA, Bellerin, Smalling, Azpi
        Sanchez (c), Iwobi, Payet (??)
        Aguero, Martial, Carroll

        Subs: Darlow, Coutinho, Antonio, Fosu

        His:
        DDG
        Smalling, PvA, Cresswell
        Firmino, Sanchez, Payet, Fabregas
        Defoe, Aguero, Deeney

        Subs: Gomes, Lanzini, Cathcart, Moreno

        I used my FT for Hazard to Sanchez and now have Payet and Coutinho to shift.
        Opponent presumably used his FT for Sturridge to Aguero and still has Firmino and Payet who are unlikely to play.

        So for a hit?
        A) Payet/Coutinho - Mane
        B) Payet/Coutinho - Tadic
        C) Payet/Coutinho - Mahrez
        D) Payet/Coutinho - ???

      • Elly88 > KTR (Kevin The …
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 12 days ago

        Another please. I want to bet goal goal for strugglers and those awaiting promotion paired together.

        1. VS10_
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 12 days ago

          Russian premier league next weekend

      • Exeter Gently
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 12 days ago

        have tadic and long, thinking abt shipping payet. who to get? thanks!

        a.mane
        b.kdb
        c.arnie
        d.mata
        e.eriksen

        1. gbpearce - AMERICAN DYCHO
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 12 days ago

          B

      • jam sandwich
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 12 days ago

        Payet + Defoe > Tadic + Martial -4?

        1. Heels_Over_Head
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 12 days ago

          Enjoy

        2. Weasel Boy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 12 days ago

          Aye fe*k it.

      • tm245
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 12 days ago

        So how do West Ham line up without Payet, does Antonio move forward?

        1. Numb
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 12 days ago

          I think that Payet story needs corroborating before we start discussing that

          1. tm245
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 12 days ago

            Sensible post amidst a page of speculation!

          2. Mílanista
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 12 days ago

            Numb, didn't you fancy K&N division 2?

            1. Numb
              • 11 Years
              10 years, 12 days ago

              How do you know that? Which division make no difference

              1. Mílanista
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 14 Years
                10 years, 12 days ago

                The year end survey is out on fantrax. Says who's leaving

          3. Swan - Villa Proud
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 12 days ago

            This

        2. Mingles
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 12 days ago

          I'd imagine so

        3. Bøwstring The Carp
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 12 days ago

          ................. Randolph
          Antonio.. Reid.. Ogbonna.. Cresswell
          .................. Obiang ...........................
          ......... Noble ..........Kouyate ..............
          Sakho ......... Carroll ............Lanzini

          Just a guess

      • gbpearce - AMERICAN DYCHO
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 12 days ago

        Maybe luck has turned my way. ML rival had already made 2transfers and now the Payet news.
        Thank goodness for my indecisiveness in knowing who to bring in this week.

      • Sergeant Garcia
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 12 days ago

        Play safe or go full ManU?

        A) Forster + Smalling
        B) DDG+ Smalling

        1. Weasel Boy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 12 days ago

          I have A but think B is better.

        2. Mingles
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 12 days ago

          A

      • Weasel Boy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 12 days ago

        So most gonna take a hit now with Payet news?

        1. Swan - Villa Proud
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 12 days ago

          Not yet. Not convinced atm

        2. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          10 years, 12 days ago

          What's the news?

            1. TorresMagic™
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • Has Moderation Rights
              • 16 Years
              10 years, 12 days ago

              Cheers.

          1. Swan - Villa Proud
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 12 days ago

            Tweet from a fan account saying he got a knock and out for tomorrow. Check last page. Not buying it yet

        3. Weasel Boy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          10 years, 12 days ago

          I'm not doing any transfers til last minute tomorrow

      • JK - Cønt ⭐
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 12 days ago

        so my options now

        take a hit and leave Cresswell and PvA on the bench

        play one them and have only 1 sub

        1. Swan - Villa Proud
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 12 days ago

          I'd play Cresswell

          1. JK - Cønt ⭐
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            10 years, 12 days ago

            I could throw Mahrez in?

            1. Bøwstring The Carp
              • 14 Years
              10 years, 12 days ago

              Similar situation

              I'm gonna play Mahrez. Leicester are back to their attacking ways and Chelsea look ropey at the back with their suspensions and injuries. Mahrez up against Baba (if Ivan is still out) could be awesome

              1. JK - Cønt ⭐
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 14 Years
                10 years, 12 days ago

                I don't have him, but am thinking of throwing him in

                only issue is rival has him and we're really close (3 points if I avoid a hit)

            2. Swan - Villa Proud
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              10 years, 12 days ago

              Yeah that's good too. Only take a hit if you have no sub.

      • Swan - Villa Proud
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 12 days ago

        Well if it's legit, I can go Ali->Mane play 3-5-2 and if Payet doesn't play, let autosubs work

        DDG
        Bellerin Smalling Cresswell
        Sanchez Hazard Mane Tadic Payet
        Kun Carroll

        Kaspar Defoe PVA Moreno

      • Scheister
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 12 days ago

        We aren't positive on the payet thing yet, you know

      • Mingles
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 12 days ago

        Play Cresswell or Defoe?

        1. VS10_
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 12 days ago

          Defoe

        2. Heels_Over_Head
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 12 days ago

          Defoe