Scout Betting
15 May 2016 1849 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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For the last time this season, we skulk outside Paddy Power’s door in an attempt to extract a final few strands of information to guide our deadline decisions.

Before we scan Paddy’s odds for Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheets, a reminder that, if you’re yet to secure your own Paddy Power account, you can do so today and snap up one of several enhanced new customer offers.

Today’s acca tops the bill with odds of 25/1 on wins for Man City at Swansea, Man United over Bournemouth, Southampton against Crystal Palace and Spurs at Newcastle.

There’s also a final day double which offers the same odds of 25/1 on wins for West Ham at Stoke and Liverpool at West Brom.

If you’d rather chance your arm on individual matches, you can get 12/1 on Leicester to win at Chelsea, or 14/1 on a victory for Sunderland at Watford.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

Player Team Odds
Aguero MCI 1.57
Sanchez ARS 1.61
Giroud ARS 1.61
Lukaku EVE 1.72
Long SOT 1.83
Pelle SOT 1.83
Rooney MUN 1.83
Walcott ARS 1.90
Iwobi ARS 1.90
Kane TOT 1.90
Deeney WAT 2.00
Rashford MUN 2.00
Martial MUN 2.00
Ighalo WAT 2.10
Sturridge LIV 2.10
Benteke LIV 2.10
De Bruyne MCI 2.20
Mane SOT 2.20
Iheanacho MCI 2.20

Paddy have again earmarked Sergio Aguero (1.52) as the most likely scorer in the Gameweek. Given that the former Atletico Madrid marksman has netted in his previous six starts, it’s perhaps no real surprise. He’ll be striving to breach a Swansea City back line that has conceded nine goals in four match-ups but, while Manchester City are looking to stave off United’s challenge for fourth spot, it remains to be seen if Manuel Pellegrini’s men will go for goals or settle for the point they need.

In light of Arsenal’s potentially profitable home encounter against Aston Villa, Alexis Sanchez (1.61), Olivier Giroud (1.61), Theo Walcott (1.90) and Alex Iwobi (1.90) all feature very highly in Paddy’s assessment, with goals expected at the Emirates. Although the Villains’ defensive travails are well documented, it’s worth noting that the Gunners have bagged just six strikes in their last five outings. Nonetheless, Paddy are backing them strongly to rout Eric Black’s relegated side.

Perhaps optimistically, Romelu Lukaku (1.72) ranks fourth before Everton’s Goodison Park meeting with Norwich City. The Belgium international is in the midst of eight successive blanks and is playing for a team that charted third-bottom for key passes (46) across their previous quartet of match-ups.

Southampton’s Shane Long and Graziano Pelle have all been tipped at 1.80 for Crystal Palace’s visit to Southampton. The Saints have notched more goals than any team (11) in their last four fixtures and will face an Eagles squad that is surely focused on next weekend’s FA Cup final. Sadio Mane is also included in Paddy’s top bracket, ranked at 2.20 for an anytime goal – only Arsenal’s cast of options can better those odds amongst midfielders.

Talking of midfielders, having switched to a deeper role for United, it’s surprising to see that Wayne Rooney (1.83) ranked so highly ahead of his meeting with Bournemouth at Old Trafford. Rooney has failed to grace the scoresheet since Gameweek 24 and both Marcus Rashford and Anthony Martial (2.00) look stronger prospects.

Harry Kane betters the odds of that United pair ahead of Tottenham’s trip to St James’ Park. Kane has scored an impressive six goals in his last four road trips, while Mauricio Pochettino’s men have the incentive of holding off the challenge of Arsenal for runners-up spot, ensuring that Spurs and Kane should show intent on Tyneside.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

Team Odds
Arsenal 1.61
Southampton 1.90
Manchester United 2.00
Manchester City 2.62
Watford 2.75
Tottenham 2.80
Everton 3.00
Chelsea 3.50
West Ham 3.60

Aston Villa have drawn blanks in six of their last nine fixtures, ensuring that Arsenal (1.61) are clear favourites for a shut-out at the Emirates with some of the shortest clean sheets odds we’ve seen this term.

Southampton (1.90) claim the silver-medal berth as they attempt to silence a Palace attack that’s registered three blanks in five league ties. The Eagles are expected to field a much-changed side for the south coast trip, while Ronald Koeman’s side are the Premier League’s in-form outfit along with champions Leicester.

Paddy clearly fancy Man United (2.00) to suppress Bournemouth, who have mustered just six goals in their last seven outings. United’s home defence is the best in the league and with David de Gea bidding for the Golden Glove, Louis van Gaal’s men have every incentive to earn a shut-out as they look to claim an unlikely Champions League berth ahead of rivals City.

City (2.62) themselves are ranked next but are some way behind in Paddy’s reckoning. Manuel Pellegrini’s side will do well to see off a Swans attack that has racked up seven goals in their previous two fixtures.

Watford’s odds have crept in from 3.20 to 2.75, no doubt as a result of talk from Sam Allardyce that he plans to play a youthful Sunderland lineup having seen his side secure top flight safety in midweek.

Tottenham (2.80) have conceded the fewest away goals (15) and match up against a Newcastle side that failed to score at Villa, while Everton (3.00) are priced somewhat generously against Norwich when you consider that they’ve managed a solitary shut-out since Gameweek 26.

1,849 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Cordomver
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    I am playing both Defoe and Payet with Mahrez and Cresswell as 1st and 2nd sub.

    Wise?

    1. Big Sum
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      yeap

    2. Sylas
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Yup.

  2. andymck
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    A) Payet > Tadic
    B) Mignolet > Howard
    C) Both for a -4

    Other keeper is Robles who isn't playing

  3. Milner4eva
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    I need 2 of Payet, Defoe, PvA, and Simpson to start.

    Gonna happen?

    1. Milner4eva
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      3*

      1. The Red Devil
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        I saw 2
        Noway 3 of them start

    2. Bøwstring The Carp
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Simpson should

      Payet unlikely until we see the team bus arrive at the Brittania.

      Defoe/ PvA are 50/50

      1. Milner4eva
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers, seems unlikely then.

        Alli ➡ Mahrez worth a hit to get a full XI and block a rival if Payet is out?

    3. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      2 possibly, 3 is a push.

    4. The Red Devil
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      You're on thin ice 😛

    5. MFC86
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Possibly not, Simpson will, Payet looks to be out and it's Anyone's guess what big Sam will do

  4. Arteta
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Enner Valencia off to France

    https://www.instagram.com/p/BFY6LUry84l/?taken-by=ennervalencia1

    1. Fi_fpl addict
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      At least payet not with him lol

  5. FDMS All Starz
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    rojo and payet to smalling worth -4? I don't have a playing 4/5th defender

    1. P-daddy
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Will Rojo not start?

      1. FDMS All Starz
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Didn't travel it seems

        1. P-daddy
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          Source on that? Who else you buying with Smalling?

            1. P-daddy
              • 12 Years
              10 years, 1 month ago

              Cheers for that, holding a lead with no Utd defence and opponent has DDG & Rojo, was gonna hit for DDG .....

              Hard to advise you with no team linked?

  6. jam
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    David Gold on Twitter:
    Getting ready to leave for Stoke, tough place to go but winnable. Dimitri Payet doubtful. Good luck. dg

    1. Lecky Legs FC
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Yeah just saw it then that all but confirms shipping Payet out won't risk before the Euros

    2. Fi_fpl addict
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Clutching at straws but says doubtful not out

  7. Kevtheotter
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    2 Questions

    1. Mane or Tadic?

    2. Are Simpson, Delaney and Lanzini a good enough bench for Payet, Defoe and PVA?

    Cheers..

    1. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      I did tadic but it's a toss up.

    2. MFC86
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Tadic and yes I hope so as two of them are my back ups for the players you mentioned. Delaney probably not though

  8. Big Ronnie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Tadic or Mane?
    Defoe or Carroll out?

  9. _Gunner
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Coutinho + Payet + Carrol > KDB + Giroud + cheap mid (-8)

    need city coverage and have no Aguero

    Yay or Nay?

  10. DA Minnion (Former great)
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Payet just spotted heading down the wild Atlantic way.

  11. Jazz!
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    I need one of Payet, Defoe and PvA to start or I'm going in with 10.

    1. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      or PvA*

    2. Milner4eva
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Think you'll be fine there

      1. Jazz!
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Hope so! 😀

  12. The Mandalorian
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Swansea are fielding a weak side and resting all key players for the Euros Aguero (c) is a good option.

    1. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Like last week 😆

      • 12 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      That's what they said about Carroll.

    2. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Yeah very good option.

    3. Shakshuka
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Tripple captain 🙂

  13. Giovanni Giorgio
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Morning guys.
    You already discussed this?

    David Gold
    Getting ready to leave for Stoke, tough place to go but winnable. Dimitri Payet doubtful. Good luck. dg

    1. Lecky Legs FC
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Yeah just saw I'm chasing by 48 for 3rd place for money worth me doing a -4 hit on Payet for

      A)Hazard
      B)Tadic

      Already have Mane.

    2. Rhinos
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Nope you're the first

  14. Shakshuka
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Do we think any of these 3 will start: PVA, Clyne, Delaney. Or do I need to spend my FT on a defender? Other plan was to do Payet - > Tadic.

    Cheers and good luck to everybody today!

    1. boredjames
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      All looking unlikely.
      Meddle....love that record.

    2. Shakshuka
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Thanks! Clyne - > VVD on the cards then.
      Yeah its really quite special 🙂

  15. andrinho
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Will sturridge & payet start?

      • 12 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      No.

  16. mojoindojo
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Play Iwobi or Payet?

    1. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Payet Iwobi first sub

  17. manbenpig
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Payet and Defoe to Tadic and Long (-4) ?

    Attacking sub is Lingard so likely to get 3pts at best if either doesn't play

    1. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      I'd do Payet > Tadic and gamble on Defoe.

      1. manbenpig
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers

  18. Loser@FPL
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Trailing by 2 points in ML
    Have done Haz > Alexis and Firmino > Mane with a hit.

    My opponent has done a -8 and has Sanchez who he is most likely to Captain.
    Shud i go with Alexis as Capt or take a punt and captain Kun or Martial instead??
    ne suggestions?

    1. mojoindojo
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Go with Sanchez or whoever you think will score most.

    2. Mrm9m
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      If you are sure he will captain Sanchez capt him also since he took a -8 hit

  19. Mrm9m
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    ------------------De Gea-----------------
    ----Bellerin--Van Dijk--Valencia-----
    Tadic--Gardner--Sanchez--Barkely
    ------Martial--Giroud(C)--Lukaku----

    G2G ?

    My rival will captain Aguero hope he doesn't score a hattrick

    1. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      I'm on the same boat

      1. Mrm9m
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Well , lets hope he get sent off

        1. Lone Wolf FPL
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 1 month ago

          would be fantastic 😉

  20. andrinho
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Transfer out Milner,Payet or Mahrez for Tadic

  21. Evasivo
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Anything worth a -4 here?

    Surely I'll be fielding 11:

    Migs
    Gabriel Morgan PVA
    Sanchez(C) Tadic Payet Hazard
    Aguero Lukaku Deeney(vc)

    Darlow Lanzini Simpson Sakho

    1. boredjames
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Lukaku to Giroud would tempt me. But probably not worth a -4

      1. Evasivo
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks James, I'm tempted too

  22. jaco
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Tadic
    Sanchez
    Aguero

    Who to captain, was leaning to Tadic

    1. Cojiro
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Depends on whether you're chasing but I think Tadic is a big enough differential owning him so kun or Sanchez captain. If you're 20 points plus behind, maybe captain Tadic

    2. Kevin Twine
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      Sanchez, depends if you're chasing a ml lead or not though. If leading then definitely Sanchez.

  23. Colonel Shoe 肝池
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Just realised I blew all my chips this year
    That's depressing. Underlines my poor season 🙁

    1. Rhinos
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      how long is this queue? 😯 😆

  24. Niemi
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Payet>Tadic and Lanzini + Evans to come in for Defoe and PVA if they don't play? Or should I take a hit?

  25. @FPLMason
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    darlow
    gabriel bellerin pva
    hazard sanchez mahrez payet
    defoe aguero carroll
    bench: Lingard simpson clyne
    1 FT, 4.2 itb
    a) Lingard---》 Tadic, activate AoA with PvA on the bench
    b) defoe---》 Long
    c) Payet and defoe ---》 tadic and Kane (-4)

    leading ML by 6 with rival having

    1. @FPLMason
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 1 month ago

      with Rival having Kane. replies are very appreciated.

  26. andrinho
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Trailing by almost 40 points in mini-league. Do I captain
    A) Aguero or
    B) Sanchez

  27. KaBoZ: Kids,don't Drin…
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Ok, I lead my ML by 3 points only, my team:
    Mignolet, Robles
    Bellerin, Gabriel, Smalling, Delaney, Cresswell
    Payet, Firmino, Sanchez(c), Mahrez, Townsend
    Caroll, Kun, Defoe

    Options:
    Payet to--->
    A) KDB (already have aguero)
    B) Mane
    C) Tadic
    ----
    D) one of the above + defoe --> Kane/lukaku/gru for a hit (In fear that defoe and firmino both get benched + my ML competitor has him)
    E) one of the above + firmino out too

  28. Kevin Twine
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 1 month ago

    Long or Martial?