| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Up |  Alisson | LIV | C, Vs |
| Up |  Kelleher | BRE | C, Vs |
| Down |  Raya Martin | ARS | C |
| Up |  Martinez | AVL | A, Vs |
| No Change |  Petrovic | BOU | B, Vs |
| No Change |  Dubravka | BUR | C, £ |
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Up |  van Dijk | LIV | A, Vs |
| Down |  Gabriel Magalhães | ARS | B |
| Up |  Hill | BOU | A, Vs, £ |
| Up |  Andersen | FUL | C, Vs |
| No Change |  Mukiele | SUN | B |
| No Change |  Marc Guehi | MCI | B |
| No Change |  Muñoz | CRY | C |
| Up |  Kayode | BRE | C, Vs |
| No Change |  Cash | AVL | C, Vs |
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Change |  Bruno Fernandes | MUN | A |
| Up |  Salah | LIV | B, Vs |
| No Change |  Rogers | AVL | B, Vs |
| No Change |  Semenyo | MCI | A |
| No Change |  Wilson | FUL | B, Vs |
| Up |  Dango Ouattara | BRE | B, Vs |
| No Change |  Ismaila Sarr | CRY | B |
| Down |  Rice | ARS | B |
| Up |  Rayan | BOU | A, Vs |
| No Change |  Anderson | NFO | B, £ |
| No Change |  Ndiaye | EVE | B, VsX |
| Player | Club | Factors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| No Change |  Haaland | MCI | B |
| No Change |  Thiago | BRE | C, Vs |
| No Change |  Ekitiké | LIV | B, Vs |
| No Change |  Bowen | WHU | A |
| No Change |  Watkins | AVL | B, Vs, Rest |
| No Change |  Kroupi | BOU | C, Vs, Rest, £ |
| No Change |  Calvert-Lewin | LEE | C |
J0E After taking a look at defenders priced 5.0 and under and midfielders costing no more than 8.0, our batch of members articles now focuses on the men up front.
With the Fantasy Premier League market in overdrive due to Sergio Aguero’s three-match ban, we cast an eye over the strikers worth considering in the sub 8.0 category.
Just doing some Baseline BPS stuff(will publish results/an article during the next international break, 3 weeks is not enough data) and forget Valencia, forget Shaw, Blind is the one to own if you want a United defender.
Bailly very close behind him.
Yeah.
Shaw's 2 bonus points in gameweek 2 was the product of a penalty assist.
Valencia's 3 bonus points in gameweek 3 was from just a crazy amount of ball volume, doubt we'll see such a thing again.
Valencia will be a crossing machine for as long as Mata plays right wing... He drifts in and leaves the space for Valencia to bomb forward
Valencia's numbers will be good, but he won't attempt 14 crosses too frequently. You're paying for pure attacking potential with Valencia, solid defensive numbers with Blind.
Look forward to your analysis
Exciting time to be a Utd fan... Bring on Saturday lunch time 🙂
As I said though, 3 weeks is too early to draw strong conclusions, especially with many teams yet to play with their summer signings among the backline.
Hopefully i'll have enough time to look at CBI, ball recoveries, passing stats, crossing stats etc. for most of the 'good' teams and make long-ish term conclusions.
Good stuff
Both good options though.
Plenty of reason to think Mourinho may be about to go down the wingless wonder route after his last comments...with Valencia and Shaw providing the width.
Most likely, Mkhitaryan will be playing off the right soon, even better for Valencia, maybe. I think if you want a differential, Blind could be a good one with only 3.5% ownership.
I'm hoping Rooney and Mata get dropped leaving Mkhi to play number 10 and Rashford on the right... Can't see it happening for a while though 🙁
Until he gets rotated with Smalling
I thought the same but Bailly-Bind just compliment one another so well at the moment that I can't see Mourinho changing a winning formula in the near future.
Mourinho has said he's gonna shake things up a bit with increased fixtures (League cup and Europa) starting in sept. I agree they've been great together, but Smalling is too good not to get his chance... Been one of the best cb in the pl the last 2 seasons
Big Mike has been top drawer but looking very much like a EL man at present Blind has been exceptional to be fair to him
With Smalling lurking I dunno.
😘
😛
Doing week-by-week baseline scores this year, gunna be lit. Might even add in consistency ratings and stuff.
On more important matters, what did you think of the draft last Sunday? Reckon you're ready for Week 1?
Mate, player density plots are where its at.
http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2016/04/27/double-gameweek-bonus-potential-the-defence/
And NFL can jump in a hole if that's what you're referring to 🙂
This stuff is good.
Do you keep the minutes played BPS in the baseline scores?
Nope, yanked time played bonuses along with goals, assists, cleanies, peno saves, own goals and red cards.
Cool, i've also had to add a new column just for Baines' penalty miss. I do, however, remove yellow cards for an initially small sample size.
I think it's time to invent an expected bonus point metric and get really ahead of the curve.
I was on the fence with yellows, decided to keep them though as they're no bigger a skew than big chances created and yellows are common enough and repeatable enough to be considered part of a players baseline performance IMO.
Tip though, find a publisher who doesn't overedit or gives you a chance to review the edits before publication.
Yeah, I think i'll put it out somewhere else and link to it, ffs word/character limit doesn't allow for much #analysis
Always ahead of the game Balders... Got any new pearls of wisdom?
There's little to be learned after three weeks, especially with so many late arrivals from the Euros and new signings. Hazard's back though.
I really don't understand how these players are 'so affected' by their contribution in Euros. Is it genuinely just more of a holiday than resting from fatigue? The game time seems insignificant for most, not to mention it was ages ago, but a lot of these players didn't start a single game or even play a single game for that matter. Super intense training?
I think there are other dynamics at work. Things like failed transfers, new managers, new formations etc etc etc
Bailey getting 22 BPS and Blind 23 without a clean sheet in GW 1 says enough about how solid their bonus potential is. Still think Valencia makes enough crosses per game and has enough assist potential with Ibra in the team to be right up there. The most switched on managers will be doubling up on a Utd fullback + CB when they go on a run of fixtures.
A few things to consider here. I believe Mou said that Blind wouldn't be used as a centre-back in preseason, which obviously contradicts his current game time but we have to expect Smalling to be part of the team, don't we? Also I strongly believe the total BPS figures will be skewed more in favour of Shaw or Valencia if they keep up the attacking form and get a decent number of assists.
RMT (WC) - finally stopped tinkering 😉
Heaton, Pickford
Shaw, Stones, Evans, Lowton, Francis
Sterling, Antonio, Hazard, Sanchez, Zaha
Negredo, Benteke, Ibrahimovic
Plan is to save two transfers for GW6 and then:
Sanchez > Snodgrass
Benteke > Aguero
Thoughts?
Robinson instead of Pickford 😉
You can only play 7 of your 8 attackers so who will you bench and why have wasted £££££ on the bench ?
Yeah good point. Was planning on benching Zaha GW4 (mid) and Negredo GW5 (eve).
Should I swap Zaha for Capoue to get £0.8 ITB?
Yes imo. Benching headaches eventually lead to depression 😛
You could upgrade Negredo to Bony with the .8, or upgrade a defender to give yourself some rotation choice with 4 decent defenders ?
If on a WC, would you do Shaw to Valencia right now? Price rise looking likely...
Not for me. Shaw's had a long time out injured and once he gets a decent run of games together, I think he'll overtake Valencia.
I prefer Valencia
Yes from me.
both good picks.
ive got Tony V
Bottom twice in a row. That's skill
Taking one for the team Ayew, I'm sure he appreciates it.
Is anyone leaving enough ITB for a direct Kun transfer when ready? I feel like i will really struggle to drop a premium midfielder to make way for him. Especially if they score well from now til then.
If other players continue to do well then do we really need Aguero?
Hes quality and fantasy prospect in the last 5 seasons in undeniable
I'll enjoy Kun's hat-trick as captain in gameweek 6 all to myself, then.
No, no ill definitely have him in the second he is ready. Just saying i would prefer to do a direct swap rather than downgrade a heavy hitter midfielder
This is how you should think of it, then. No point giving yourself the headache, taking hits, removing good players etc. for the sake of two weeks.
Of course you do. Best striker in the prem playing in the most attacking team in the prem makes him a nailed on pick and a damned near nailed on captain pick.
I'm not getting him though.
Didn't see Bolasie in WC teams,got 6.0 to spend on 4th mid any beeter option?
better*
Snodgrass
Capoue
Got Capoue as 5th mid
Cattermole.
I've gone with Bolasie.
People have forgotten the hat-trick he scored away at Sunderland last season...
I can see it, pretty tempted to bring him in on WC TBH
things is 3 Neverton players (have Luk & Baines) feels very very wrong
Thanks all
It comes down to this
A) Bolasie + Firmino
B) Shodgrass + Mane
Has Pickford lost his spot? If so no other 4.0 keeper is nailed on correct?
Maybe not straight away, but he's by no means nailed on any longer. Once Mannone comes back, he's likely to make way anyway. If you're on a W/C this week then it may be best to avoid him as he just isn't a long term option.
Spend £0.5m more and get a keeper that rotates reasonably well with your first choice. No point having £4.0m wasted on the bench.
Who is likely to get fewer minutes because of CL? Sanchez or Ozil?
Sanchez plays when fit, Wenger is scared of him! 🙂
I think Pickford will be okay until Mannone returns. Is he worth holding on a WC? Mannone has twittered he'll be back sooner than originally estimated.
Jaku maybe at risk from Marshall... Robinson is only viable if you go Heaton.
Pickford is out of favour today but he's still a good option imho.
Foster/Jankupovic
Shaw/Valencia/Stones/Evans/Friend
Hazard/Barkley/Redmond/Ramirez/Capoue
Aguero/Zlatan/Gray
2FT £1.6m ITB
What would you do?
Aguero + Remond or Ramirez > Lukaku, Tekkers or Bony + Ozil or Sanchez
im at work so cant listen to scoutcast. what was the conclusion re PVA vrs Kone?
Pva better pick, plenty more attacking potential but depends on funds as is 0.5 more expensive.
Both good options imo
I chose Williams over pva for his decent fixtures
Kone, mainly because PVA is to expensive, but worth monitoring especially if Sunderland go 352
Foster
Valencia Stones Kone
Lamela Hazard Sanchez Barkley
Ibra Negrado Lukaku
Jakupovic Capoue Friend Amat
With Friend a doubt, Lamela probably rested and Amat playing Chelsea.
Should I
a) Play Capoue and stick to plan of WCing GW6 (-4 taken already)
b) WC now and get Antonio, Tekkers + better defenders.
Ta
I'd probably stick to your plan if I were you so a)
Thanks
Play Capoue
Cheers
It would seem the time is now, need to cement this decision.....
Aguero and Tadic to....
A) Lukaku and Ozil (1.9)
B) Lukaku and Sanchez (0.4)
At this stage I am leaning towards A based on Ozil's consistency and the fact that the 1.9 makes getting Aguero back in that bit easier (don't have a settled plan here yet).
Would be great to get some thoughts (and yeah sorry I know this question or similar has been done to death), cheers
I currently have Sanchez but leaning towards Ozil and even Cazorla tbh for this very reason.
A
Cheer Le God
I'm on A (1.8) atm.
It's tricky and I dunno tbh. The cautious side of me says stick, but the devil in me says go for it, get ruddy Costa, Sanchez & Baines and stop faffing around.
Just the two frees for me this week, hopefully hold one next and then have two at the ready to get Aguero back after that
Foster/Jankupovic
Shaw/Valencia/Stones/Evans/Friend
Hazard/Barkley/Redmond/Ramirez/Capoue
Aguero/Zlatan/Gray
2FT £1.6m ITB
Aguero to Lukaku on Friday me thinks.
You're confident Gray will play then?
Anyone on a WC and looking at Deeney as alternative to Benteke? After the next two GW the fixtures open up for Watford.
I need a forward around the 7.0 mark to enable a smooth transition to Kun.
A bit too soon for Deeney I think. No SOT yet, Rondon has good fixtures and hopefully Chadli can help him along.
Agree on Rondon, but WBA are way too defensive away from home.
The stat's from the Palace game were good, unbelievably good.
posting again as didnt get much feedback
A. Sanchez & Redmond
B. Ozil & Sterling
Thanks guys!!
B
anything ITB?
B
B
Looking at % ownership (from fplstats), there are some interesting numbers ahead of this week.
O_Ozil @ 7.6%
Benteke @ 3.8%
Antonio @ 5.5%
Nolito @ 5.4%
Zaza @ 0.3%
Lots of these mentioned here on FFS, but low numbers overall
Ahead of the curve XI.
Im ready for some Ozil points
This
in it for the long haul. Cmon Ozil
Bolasie @ 5.0%
Puncheon @ 1.3%
Also
Payet @ 13.8%
Kane @ 13.7%
^
These two are probably what we refer to as 'due a points return' in the next two weeks.
Add Lanzini @0.1%.
My keepers are Valdes and Jakupovic...should I be worried this GW?
is Holebas nailed? Kenedy looks like he could steal his place at LWB.
Who's been taking free kicks and corners for Crystal Palace?
Looks like a mix of Cabaye and Puncheon for corners. I'm not glued on free-kicks unfortunately.
Cabaye with Puncheon on the odd one
Off topic(ish)
My youngest son is sixteen years old. Next month he's off on a football match romp around Belgium and France with his school team mixed in with visits to WW1 battlefield tours.
WTF. As a registered old fart who's only school trip was a tour of Chester Zoo I wish to express my utmost and unending jealousy of my own son's upcoming adventure.
Grrrrr.
That sounds amazing i'm sure he's buzzing
He is. I doubt I could dream up anything more I'd want to do than the trip he's about to do...and all with his school friends....
Sheesh...
I think I may be able to beat your Chester Zoo visit Dr.
1974, school day trip to Butlins in Ayr on the west coast of Scotland – in November. And yes it was raining – hailstones. Their swimming pool was closed, all the rides/outdoor activities were shut because of the hurricane strength winds and our school dinner ladies had made our packed lunch as Butlins restaurant/canteen was shut for renovations.
I don’t think my primary school liked its pupils.
Can I get some thoughts on this defense please?
Shaw, Williams, Collins, Friend, Marc Wilson
defenders can get you as many points as attackers if not more if they keep a clean sheet..
I know a lot of people are going for a weaker defence to boost there attack but I actually think its worth considering a stronger defence.
Struggling with this dilemma......
A) Ibra, Puncheon, Lukaku
B) Benteke, Antonio, Lukaku
leaving me with either straight swap Ibra to Aguero (Aguero, Lukaku) or swapping Lukaku to Aguero (Aguero, Benteke)
Lukaku & Benteke have great fixtures. Ibra not so much but can you leave him out?
I like B.
With Feghouli in the mix and Payet still very much world class centrally, who is more nailed:
A) Antonio
B) Lanzini
David Sullivan's official comments about Antonio now playing as a winger give me hope, but only so much.
Antonio. But Feghouli is not as good as the others imo, and will be a squad player.
Not to mention the whole "what has he done to start over Antonio who has proven himself"..
I think Feg misses out;
Ant - Lanz - Pay
Yeah, and Feghouli missed his pre-season, so I dont expect he will be in contention to start for a while anyhow.
I expect his only start in the next few weeks will come in the capital one cup.
Nah tbf Feg pre-seasoned well and looked well on for RW as Ant was still seen as a the RB. But things changed as they often do.
If Antonio loses his spot on the wing you will be getting rid of him anyway because he will have been a dud .
good point
First time for everything 🙂
Great minds think alike! vvv
😮
How long do you think Antonio can be a viable option on the wing for WHM?
Payet, Feghouli & Lanzini are all returning from injury.
Töre is there as well, whilst Ayew has a few weeks left on the treatment table.
Payet seems like the only guaranteed fixture in midfield, with the rest battling for 2 spots.
Noble might be a safer bet...
Surely Antonio is safe for now - what more does he have to do? (I'm saying this more in hope, I have no idea really. But it would be counter-intuitive to replace Antonio right now from Bilic's point of view)
Payet can play Lanzini's spot better than him if you ask me (honestly he SHOULD be there with his playstyle)
Ayew was bought to play striker I think
isn't Noble about 70 years old?
29 if you can believe it!
He'll play more minutes than any of those wingers this season and he's got to be on penalties.
PL goals and assists:
Lanzini - 6 goals and 2 assists in 23 starts and 3 subs
Antonio - 8 goals 3 assists in 23 starts and 3 subs
Payet - 9 goals and 12 assists in 29 starts and 1 sub
keeping in mind that Antonio played about 700 minutes at RB, he blew Lanzini out of the water.
Even so, that was without Töre & Feghouli who are both predominantly right wingers. He's definitely a rotation risk in my eyes.
this makes me think he's the destined starter..even if it shouldn't
http://www.whufc.com/News/Articles/2016/September/1-September/From-the-Boardroom-David-Sullivan
Who is the Burnley backup keeper for Heaton? Read an interesting article on here arguing for Heaton + Robinson/Pope in favour of Heaton + Foster but I can't find the article anymore.
Neither have played a competitive game for Burnley. I'd probably back Robinson out of the two though.
all the article is saying is it's an 8.5m pairing with a built-in backup plan for the starter getting injured
but it's still Burnley
Agreed, I still prefer Foster to Heaton.
WBA kept 2 fewer cleansheets than Arsenal over last 2 seasons. 😉 and last season was an off season for Pulis
Which is best to go with?
A, B or C.
A.
Costa
Bolasie
Collins
Foster (rotate with Heaton)
B.
Costa
Mirallas
Collins
Pickford (Bench fodder)
C.
Lukaku
Lamela
Collins
Pickford (Bench fodder)
What about B, but with Foster instead of Pickford? Not a fan of keeper rotation myself - I'm playing Foster all the time regardless, so the second spot will be occupied by a 4.0.
Currently on B but have Heaton and Pickford?
Would leave me with
Heaton Pickford
Baines Shaw Collins Evans Amat
Hazard Sanchez Antonio Mirallas Capoue
Ibrahimovic Costa Benteke
Hows it look?
Loving that front 8. Very similar to mine overall, so I can't find flaws personally! Not a fan of Collins but that would be nit-picking.
Thanks.
I could potentially downgrade Mirallas 》Bolasie to do Collins 》 PVA and have 0.2m spare in the bank?
Tempting. Not sure where I stand on that. I really like PVA but also don't like Bolasie, so go with your gut.
really nice team Ruddy
Thanks buddy! 🙂
odds Ozil manages another rise after today (assuming he rises today) given there are only two more sets of price changes?
I imagine 0%..
The rate he's rising he'll be 9.7 by the end of the season.
haha
Yeah very slim I would say
he'll rise again...
but only after he provides two assists and scores again this week 😉
Pretty much.
keep falling Mkhi..keep falling..nabbing you at 8.9m or 9m would be an absolute steal
Which would be the best captain choice?
Negredo
well rested after the international break and in form v Palace (H)
OR
Snodgrass
got a hat-trick on international duty and in form v Burnley (A)
