Scout Betting
11 March 2017 980 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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One Gameweek. Eight teams. Four fixtures. Six words: Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds.

Welcome to another episode of Paddy Says.

We have a small but perfectly formed schedule to talk about today. But before we can do that, we need to do this, ‘this’ being a look at the Enhanced Offers available for new customers signing up with Paddy today.

Such a reduced Gameweek means there’s only one Premier League price on offer and it’s Liverpool 5-1 to beat Burnley.

The Reds were back to their best in the 3-1 win over Arsenal last week and will entertain a Burnley side that currently has fewer points (two) on the road than a driver learning to turn their car around.

Three. They do three-point turns.

Moving on.

As a bit of a bonus, and seeing as it’s an all-Premier League affair, Paddy has also come up with two great prices on Monday night’s FA Cup quaeter-final clash between Chelsea and Manchester United.

The perceived wisdom is that Chelsea will prevail, and you can get a massive 10-1 on that happening.

But should the Red Devils take the spoils, there’s a whopping 16-1 available on that.

Enhanced winnings are credited in free bets. Be sure to check the terms and conditions that apply on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. If you’re going to wager, please always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 28

PlayerTeamOdds
LukakuEVE2.00
ManeLIV2.10
FirminoLIV2.20
CoutinhoLIV2.29
CarrollWHU2.62
HernandezHUL3.00
LlorenteSWA3.10
LallanaLIV3.10
GradelBOU3.10
SnodgrassWHU3.10
BarkleyEVE3.20
KingBOU3.25
NiasseHUL3.50
MirallasEVE3.60
SigurdssonSWA3.75
AntonioWHU3.75


For such a small Gameweek, the winning margin in our captaincy poll was enormous.

It was a Romelu Lukaku landslide, as befits a man who has been bought by nearly 300,000 new Fantasy managers this week, making him the third most popular purchase as Everton welcome West Brom to Goodison Park.

Paddy has duly slapped the lowest Anytime Goalscorer price (2.00) on the big Belgian, with another heavily bought player, Liverpool’s Sadio Mane, at 2.10 to score against Burnley on Sunday.

The most transferred-in player of the week, however, is Swansea hit man Fernando Llorente, who has enjoyed a 305,000+ surge in ownership as the Swans travel to Hull City.

The Spaniard has the form – three goals in his last two starts – and a certain amount of pedigree as three of his last five strikers have come away from home.

Another popular Gameweek 28 buy has been Bournemouth midfielder Josh King. His 3.25 price to score at home to West Ham looks generous for a man with back-to-back goals (and five from his last six starts) who is currently his team’s penalty taker as well.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 28

TeamOdds
Liverpool1.80
Everton2.00
Hull City2.87
Swansea City3.50
Bournemouth3.75
West Ham4.00
West Brom4.50
Burnley10.00


Liverpool top the clean sheet odds despite managing only one shut-out from their last eight matches.

Much of that is down to visitors Burnley, who do less damage on the road than a repaired pot-hole.

Despite all that, Nathaniel Clyne is the only Liverpool defender in the top 30 for transfers-in this week.

Only one defender makes it into the top ten, and it’s Everton’s Seamus Coleman.

The Toffees are 2.00 to blank visitors West Brom this afternoon, which would make it three clean sheets from their last four starts. A lot of Coleman’s appeal, however, comes from his attacking threat – the Irishman has a goal and three assists from his last six matches.

Hull (2.87) and Swansea (3.50) will be taking part in a good old-fashioned relegation dog-fight today.

A point would suit the Swans more, although they haven’t kept an away clean sheet since Gameweek 9, while the Tigers will be looking for their first shut-out since they managed back-to-back blanks in Gameweeks 23 and 24.

Fantasy managers seem wary. No Hull defenders make it into the top 30 for purchases this week, while the two Swansea men who do – Martin Olsson and Alfie Mawson – have a genuine goal threat to add to their appeal.

980 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Holmes
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 20 days ago

    Brought in Coutinho... Another last minute hit, another fail incoming 😡

    1. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Whats wrong with coutinho?

      1. Holmes
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 20 days ago

        All fart and no poo kind of stuff... Have stats, lets see if he can bring points

        1. Ha.
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 20 days ago

          Don't know about you, but when I fart I shall hope it's not a shart

        2. Business Cat
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 20 days ago

          I for one hope he "follows through" on his underlying stats 😉

    2. Kvothe
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Captain him and you will not regret it

  2. Sergeant Garcia
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 20 days ago

    Any love for Charlie Daniels? Looking for a Pieters replacement.

    Already have: Brunt, Mori, Byram, Pieters & Alonso

    1. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      No. Lanzini will score a hat trick

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 20 days ago

        Has he ever scored a hatrick?

    2. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Bournemouth can't defend

  3. Bubz
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 20 days ago

    It would seem last night after a few ales I made another two transfers. 11 players for this week now. Lol.

    1. Jigger & Pony
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Nice. Who did you get?

      1. Bubz
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 20 days ago

        Llorente and Baines. I also got Coutinho and Lanzini earlier in the week. Hits galore

        1. Jigger & Pony
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 20 days ago

          Lanzini over Antonio?

          1. Bubz
            • 12 Years
            9 years, 20 days ago

            Well at that time I could only afford Lanzini. Bit silly now as Iv sold Aguero for Llorente so could have got Antonio. Both good options I think though. Lanzini in better form

            1. Jigger & Pony
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              9 years, 20 days ago

              True Lanzini has the form

        2. Business Cat
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 20 days ago

          Llorente good...Baines not so sure...I'll be looking to ditch him soon for Rose/Walker

          1. Bubz
            • 12 Years
            9 years, 20 days ago

            So will I to be honest

    2. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Best time to do it.

    3. Gaz Downright
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      -16pts here Bubz

      1. Bubz
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 20 days ago

        Same lol. Although As the cliché goes, its only actually a -8 😉

        1. Gaz Downright
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 20 days ago

          Ah, you're right. Much better.

    4. Sponge-worthy
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      I love ale!

  4. southernpacific
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 20 days ago

    Mirallas to get a game today?

    2 assists in last few

    1. vectorman
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      I've actually got those points last two GW's from the bench, been fairly happy with it.. He deserves a start

  5. Prison Mike
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 20 days ago

    Aguero -> Carroll (-4) for a 1 week punt before bringing in Kane

    Yay or Nay ?

    1. Radebe_5
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Nay

    2. M00N
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      I just did it so yeah

    3. Il Papera
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Yay, who are Bournemouth going to have at the back? With Antonio back, I foresee an aerial bombardment!

    4. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Not for me

  6. Team Cruel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 20 days ago

    Pens down

    1. Jigger & Pony
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      2pm today

    2. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      In 2 hours and 30 minutes

    3. Gaz Downright
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      😆

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 20 days ago

        🙂

      2. Gaz Downright
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 20 days ago

        rip smileys still

    4. Carpe Diem
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      You use a pen to do your FPL team?

  7. Jigger & Pony
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 20 days ago

    Llorente or A.Carroll? Siggy and Olsson owner, no WHU.

    1. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Llorente

    2. Jafooli
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      I went Carroll and now totally regret it......

        1. Jafooli
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 20 days ago

          😥

      1. Sergeant Garcia
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 20 days ago

        Why?

        1. Jafooli
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 20 days ago

          Not sure, wish I got Llorente instead....

          1. Somalion
            • 16 Years
            9 years, 20 days ago

            I'll tell you why:

            1) Llorente is a living Adonis with World Cup and Serie A winner medals.

            2) Andy Carroll once had cornrows.

    3. Business Cat
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Llorente...until I swap him for Gabbiadini in a few weeks

    4. Kvothe
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Carroll

    5. M00N
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Been for Llorente all week, just transferred in Carroll and I don't know why.

  8. Sadio
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 20 days ago

    Pep puts his best team out in the FA Cup? Unbelievable.

    1. Numb
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Why wouldn't that be more a priority than the league? The title's gone and Pep likes trophies - he's not a Wenger happy to consolidate top four.

  9. Jumping Jurgen
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 20 days ago

    Is it worth taking a -16 point hit to get 9 players in??

    Would leave me with:

    Jaku
    Olsson Coleman Robertson (Alonso/Stones)
    King Mane Siggy (Eriksen/Cap)
    Lukaku Origi Carrol

    Or a bad idea?

    1. Vinyl78LP
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      ...only if you also need to clear out some deadwood for the run-in. -12 has helped me clear out Stan/Phillips

      1. Gaz Downright
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 20 days ago

        same here

  10. Schwarzer
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 20 days ago

    Would you stick or twist?

    Phillips > Grosicki (SWA)(-4)

    Cheers

    1. fiveyears
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      I've done it, bit of a punt but gotta play catch up at this stage

    2. tokara
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      lanzini

      1. Schwarzer
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 20 days ago

        Thanks guys

  11. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 20 days ago

    Knee deep in hits 😎

    1. Oven Glover
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Swap the h for a t and you would be much better off!

      1. Jafooli
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 20 days ago

        😉

  12. Oven Glover
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 20 days ago

    Big Andy vs Baily Cargill. Interesting to see how that matchup ends.

    1. Numb
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Not well for young Cargill I suspect.

      1. Oven Glover
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 20 days ago

        Not well at all

    2. RED PILL
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Ive seen Cargill play on loan at Gillingham.
      He didnt keep clean sheets in league 1, took along time to get match fit after injuries. IMO dont pick him.

  13. Team Cruel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 20 days ago

    Firmino > Carroll for a hit?

    A) Yes. Allows me to get Kane for free next week. A hit this GW is only worth -2. Will cost -4 if I do it next week.

    B) No. Firmino hasn't been ruled out 100%.

  14. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 20 days ago

    Kaku hatty the day?

    1. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Nah west brom dont concede many away. Always one though

      1. Gaz Downright
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 20 days ago

        we beat them 4-0 at home

        1. Syd.
          • 16 Years
          9 years, 20 days ago

          we also beat them 4-0 at the Hawthornes

    2. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Two -8pts in a row, what a waste! Knew I should have avoided those hits last week, now likely to end up with -8pts pretty much every other week...

      This hits addiction isnt good for health 😛

      1. Holmes
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 20 days ago

        Fail!

    3. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Hattie Hayridge (aka Holly)

      1. Business Cat
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 20 days ago

        Hattie Jacques...carry on scoring Romelu!

  15. Jebiga
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 20 days ago

    lukaku or mane captain ?

    1. Sess!
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Tempted by coutinho over them both

    2. Zareos
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Struggling with this one myself. Right now on Mane

  16. Leaf
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 20 days ago

    Wi gonna mash up dem Lin con fam

  17. Leaf
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 20 days ago

    Any further Firmino rumours today ?

    1. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Heard he's a lesbian

      1. La Roja
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 20 days ago

        Samir Nasri no longer in FPL

  18. Albert_Luque
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 20 days ago

    Is llorente worth a four point hit for defo? Lot of rivals have him and concerned about his potential explosiveness. Yay or nay?

    1. Albert_Luque
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      *defoe. And taking another hit would bring me to -12 in total. Thanks in advance.

    2. Jimmers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      If you have less than 11 playing the hit is effectively only -2. Yay

    3. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      If it's for a non starter then yes

    4. niko mate
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      That's what I did. It's worth the hit, given that I'd field only 7 players otherwise. But I'm not taking other hits.

    5. Radebe_5
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Would you prefer llorente over Defoe in the coming weeks? I'd be tempted to keep Defoe

  19. Gruu
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 20 days ago

    Already taken two hits. Should I do another hits? Which one would you choose for Phillips replacement?
    A. King
    B. Lanzini
    C. Keep Phillips (seriously?)

    Jaku
    Baines Brunt Robertson
    Mane Coutinho Siggy Phillips*
    Lukaku Llorente

    (Grant Costa Valencia Zaha Chambers)
    6.2m ITB

    Cheers!

  20. Syd.
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 20 days ago

    Grav Test

    1. Gaz Downright
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      still blue

      1. Syd.
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 20 days ago

        😎 😎

        Staying that way

    2. The Overthinker
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Error found

  21. The Overthinker
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 20 days ago

    Lukaaaaakkuuuuuuu hits the post. This is the 3rd time he has hit the woodwork.

    1. zizoo10
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      ban

  22. Zareos
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 20 days ago

    A. Phillips to Lanzni (-4);
    B. Phillips to Coutinho (-4); or
    C. Save, no hits and play 9?

  23. Kyran Glennon
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 20 days ago

    Get rid of Phillips this week for -4?

  24. AusBest11
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 20 days ago

    Have 9 starters. Already have -8 hit.

    Is Holgate to Mori or Crouch to Carol?

    1. Radebe_5
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Think both could be good moves if you would be using them next week also

  25. Radebe_5
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 20 days ago

    Foster or Jaku?

    Have Brunt too

    1. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Jaku

    2. Sponge-worthy
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      J

  26. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 20 days ago

    Personally I think people have went well over the top with hits this week! If you've taken even just a -8, then 4 players blanking in tight games will only break you even.

    Perhaps it's just me 🙂 good luck to everyone 🙂

    1. Numb
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      #effectivelyonlyminustwothisweek

  27. Art Vandelay
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 20 days ago

    Can I remotely justify a hit to get rid of Amat? 10 players playing so, quite acceptable but I just want rid of the layabout.

    1. La Roja
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Would be rude not to.

    2. Sponge-worthy
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      What delay?

      1. Delhidynamo
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 20 days ago

        oh you're way offff

        1. Sponge-worthy
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 20 days ago

          Always someone everywhere who gets the references.. 🙂

      2. Art Vandelay
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 20 days ago

        I'm an Architect... 😆

        1. Sponge-worthy
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 20 days ago

          Not a marine biologist?

          1. Art Vandelay
            • 15 Years
            9 years, 20 days ago

            😀

            I've been rewatching recently and was reminded of this classic moment (non-George) with Bookman!

            https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_zePQavforA

            1. Sponge-worthy
              • 13 Years
              9 years, 20 days ago

              That's a classic.

    3. Business Cat
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Depends who you bring in. If it's for a Coleman or a Clyne, then yes!

      If not, then maybe not.

      1. Art Vandelay
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 20 days ago

        I have three Toffees already. I hadn't though about Clyne but not keen. Was just going to switch to Ollson.

    4. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Great week to get rid.

      1. Art Vandelay
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 20 days ago

        IT would be for a -12? Still think it could be worth it over two or three gameweeks.

        1. Rupert The Horse
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 20 days ago

          Forget the other hits. This is a -4, or basically a -2. When will you get another opportunity for that.

          1. Art Vandelay
            • 15 Years
            9 years, 20 days ago

            Might well go for it. 40 behind in my ML though and he is only taking a -4.

    5. Pocky
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      The way I see it is, Say you bin him for, I dunno, let's say Fernandez, & Fernandez returns you with only 2pts. So it's cost you 2pts to get shot of a player (who you've wanted shot of for ages) to get in a actively playing player who may well come in handy in weeks to come. That, in my opinion is worth 2 pts.

      1. Art Vandelay
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 20 days ago

        Compelling case.

        Will probably go ahead.

  28. Paddy Gooner
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 20 days ago

    Lallana or Antonio?

    1. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Lallana

    2. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      A

    3. Paddy Gooner
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      thanks guys. taking a -8 hit this week thanks to MCI (had 3 stoke plrs, not to mention the others from spurs chelsea etc)

  29. Paddyburns
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 20 days ago

    Cap Mane or Lukaku?

    I am 50 points ahead, and almost everyone have Lukaku?

    Play safe and cap Lukaku?

    1. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Take a risk go with Mane

    2. tokara
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      play safe

  30. Valar(Keith)
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 20 days ago

    Not taken a hit in 5 weeks.. made 5 transfers last night 🙂 .. Siggy Coleman Coutinho Llorente King .. just need a goal and a CS/assist from that lot to make a profit. Liking my odds. Come on!

    1. Radebe_5
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Look like decent transfers

    2. Fitzy.
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Noticed you near the top of the Hits Imminent table...

      1. Valar(Keith)
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 20 days ago

        Haha 🙂

    3. Fred54
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 20 days ago

      Convinced me to take my 3rd hit for the GW (4th over last two GWs)...