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6 December 2017 1215 comments
Prokoptas Prokoptas
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Regular readers of the Technical Area articles will no doubt be familiar with expected goals (xG), a key metric introduced to the Fantasy Football Scout Members’ area this year as a means of estimating goal scoring returns on the basis of chance quality.

This week, however, we are flipping our focus to examine the top goalkeepers over this year’s campaign and to introduce, for the first time, our related keeper-specific metric: expected goals prevented (xGP).

In brief, this data tallies the quantity and quality of chances a goalkeeper is faced with, in order to calculate a baseline of their expected goals conceded. From this number, we subtract the true number of goals that have beaten each goalkeeper, in order to determine the expected goals they have personally deterred.

This week’s Technical Area will be running the rule over how FPL’s highest-owned goalkeepers have performed in this particular metric thus far.

We also take a wider view of the position as it now stands, in light of the recent uncertainty surrounding the pitch time of budget-friendly options such as Rob Elliot and Julian Speroni.

  1. nicecat
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Anyone knows if Niasse has lost his spot in starting 11 to DCL?

    1. zotter
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Big Sam does

      1. nicecat
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Well if you could give me his phone number, that would be great.

        1. Monkey Hanger
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          Can you ask him about Kenny too?

    2. Viper
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Impossible to know

  2. Drogba Legend
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    G2G?

    Fabianski
    Azpi - Mee - Moreno - Ota
    Hazard - KDB - Salah (C) - RLC
    Morata - Kane

    Elliot - Crouch - King - Hunemeier

    1. zotter
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Captain Morata hazard or Kane tho

      1. Drogba Legend
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        You think pool won't be able to break down a Big Sam bus?

    2. Dreaming of glory
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      On salah c myself from similar team

  3. FPL Maldini
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Who to bench?

    a) Naughton

    b) Daniels

    1. Monkey Hanger
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      B.

    2. Mackans
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Bench Naughton

  4. AdamJ91
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Any suggested changes to make or G2G for this weekend?

    Did consider Abraham > DCL but Swansea have a better fixture than Everton this GW so it gives me an extra week to assess.

    Gomes - Elliot
    Mee - Moreno - Otamendi - Dunk - Kiko
    Hazard - D.Silva - Salah - Richarlison - RLC
    Morata - Kane - Abraham

    0.2 ITB; 1 FT

    1. Drogba Legend
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      No need to make a FT in my opinion

    2. Monkey Hanger
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Silva could miss the derby.

      1. AdamJ91
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Could just be Pep talk, will probably risk it.

  5. royals forever
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Pick one to play from

    Daniels (cry)
    Moreno (EVE)
    Dunk (hud)

    &

    Play two to play from

    Gross (hud)
    Richarlison (bur)
    Abraham (WBA)

    Any ideas would be welcomed

    1. zotter
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Moreno. Gross. Richarlison

  6. Mackans
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Thoughts on this team?

    Hennessey
    Alonso Ward Femenia
    Hazard Salah Sterling Richarlison RLC
    Kane Morata

    Bench: Elliot Kenny Marriappa Quaner
    0 ft right now - 0,0mil IB

    1. ZakAFC_
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Nice mate 🙂

    2. Red Dagger ✪
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Very good. Possibly Alonzo to Christensen and Hennessey to DDG if you can do it...

      1. Mackans
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Yeah good idea! I must uppgrade my keeper anyways

  7. Viper
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    How would this look with 1FT used.

    Foster Elliot (Foster - > Gomes next week)

    Christensen Moreno Mee (Daniels Otamendi)

    Hazard Salah Sterling Groß (RLC)

    (K)ane Morata Wilson

    1. Dreaming of glory
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Spot on

  8. jimmy.floyd
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Play one
    A Duffy
    B Ward

    Have Richarlison

    1. Mackans
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Ward

    2. We Will Klopp you
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Duffy

    3. zotter
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Duffy

    4. Speédy
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Tough one. I think if the Richarlison factor is not considered,Ward is the better option.

    5. Monkey Hanger
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      B. I have Richarlison too, and I'm benching him. I would play both the two above before the Brazilian kid.

  9. The Royal Robin
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Would you take any hits? FT was Jones > Christensen.

    Pope
    Maguire Christensen Alonso
    Salah (V) Zaha Sterling Richarlison
    Kane (C) Morata Wilson

    Foster Moreno Carroll Cedric

    1. zotter
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      No. Nice team

    2. ZeBestee
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Jones looks to be coming back. You might need him back after the derby. Loose Cedric for Kiko maybe

  10. Strchld
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Is Silva really out? Should I do?
    Davies and D.Silva -> Kiko and Coutinho for a -4?

    1. Strchld
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Have already Firmino and Silva only city assets.

  11. Old Wulfrunian
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    First team from Liverpool.Everyone is playing.

    1. Old Wulfrunian
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Except from Mignolet.

    2. Klopptomist Scott Jelly
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Would expect the same for the derby, rests next midweek probably

  12. Junior âš½
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Sane/Azpi to Hazard/6.0.

    Best £6.0 defender?

    1. Tmel
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Ota?

      1. Junior âš½
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Owned him before but don't fancy his next 3. No cleans in 6.

    2. jimmy.floyd
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Christensen, Otamendi

      1. Junior âš½
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Chelsea tripled up already.

    3. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      What JF said

      1. Junior âš½
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Above and above.

  13. shearer9
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Where can I get updates on Cedric’s injury?

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      You still have Cedric!! 😯

      Presser later in week

  14. Tmel
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    a) DDG Pereira Kiko Tarkowski
    b) DDG Speroni Zeeg Mee

    1. Junior âš½
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      B

    2. Klopptomist Scott Jelly
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      I'd do DDG Pereira Zeeg Mee

      Keep the 0.1 ITB, never know when you might need it

    3. jimmy.floyd
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      B

    4. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      B with Kiko not possible?

  15. Drogba Legend
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Captain one:

    A) Kane
    B) Morata
    C) Hazard
    D) Salah
    E) KDB

    Most votes gets my pick

    1. royals forever
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      A or C

      1. jimmy.floyd
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        This

    2. Mackans
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      A

    3. Legohair
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      A

    4. I Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      C

    5. Runaway
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      A

  16. Salah’s Sonnet
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Hiya lads,

    Elliot + Mustafi + Wilson > DDG + Zeegelaar + DCL worth a -8?
    (Alternatively i could do Ward > Mbemba and keep Mustafi)

    Have exact cash to do this, Kane going down in price, Elliot dropped, Zeegelaar rising. will be priced out otherwise, just looking for more opinions.

    For Context, my team is:

    Elliot
    Christensen - Otamendi - Mustafi
    Richarlison - Hazard - Salah - Sterling
    Kane - Morata - Wilson
    ______________________________
    Krul: Ward, Moreno, RLC

    1. Salah’s Sonnet
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Cheers everyone

  17. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Which 3 would you Bench? Or play BB?

    Fab
    Ota / Christensen / Kiko / Ward / Duffy
    Salah / Richarl / Hazard / Coutinho / RLC
    Kane / Morata / DCL
    (Elliot / XXX / XXX / XXX)

    1. Clifford☯
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Duffy RLC & DCL

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Thanks! Duffy at Hud! Surprised at that one

        1. Clifford☯
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          I'm also benching Dunk this week atm. Look out for CS odds later this week.

          1. RAFA THE GAFFA
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 9 days ago

            Yeah G Wizz is the man!

    2. We Will Klopp you
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Don't bench boost, would bench RLC, DCL and Kiko

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Thanks mate! Really struggling on who to pick this week! A good headache I guess

  18. J âš’ Gimme ur Mané
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    LIVERPOOL TEAM NEWS

    Team to play Spartak Moscow: Karius, Gomez, Lovren, Klavan, Moreno, Can, Wijnaldum, Coutinho, Salah, Mane, Firmino

    Subs: Mignolet, Alexander-Arnold, Milner, Henderson, Oxlade-Chamberlain, Solanke, Sturridge

  19. @FPL_liverbird (liverpoolfa…
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Following the Scoutcast thoughts on Kane out after brighton and bringing in a like for like (high cost) mid replacement, I decided to look at the finances behind these moves.

    Now for example, I would switch GW18 - Carrol + Kane > Sanchez (most exp mid) + Calvert-Lewin

    Then in GW22 - Niasse + Sanchez > Kane + Loftus-Cheek

    In doing this move since I have had Kane so long, I would lose .2m. I'd also lose .2m (diff between Niasse and DCL), and .2m (diff between loftus cheek and Carrol).

    In total with my current 1m ITB, that would be reduced to .6m following the moves and gains/losses on certain players. This is obviously subject to increases and decreases on price which makes it very tight IMO with the fixture list coming up.

    That was an example with the most expensive mid and I think that this could be favourable when using a mid replacement less that 11.8m(sanchez), But with having such a small margin of error, I see this plan quite risky IMO.

    It would be interesting to see what people are thinking regarding this move which could as Jonty said, be a successful way to gain valuable places, given Kane's woeful form and tough fixtures in that period.

    1. The Overthinker
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      I am gonna do it

      Gonna double up on pool or get in sanchez for rlc and Murray for Kane

      1. @FPL_liverbird (liverpoolfa…
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        There's one issue I've come up with this. For the DGW you're double transfer is Kane + someone. Now that means if you want to get multiple players playing twice (tot + whu players) you're doing it prior to that gw22 transfer and they don't play gw21. The only way it works is if you take a hit in gw22 to get an extra whu or tot player in and have two players playing double gw. I think there's too much going on and for that reason its not worth it. During this period your focus has to be simplified and this just seems to be a headache to think about.

    2. Monkey Hanger
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Every year I spend time and effort making sure I make as much cash as possible so that in the New Year I have more cash than most. Then moves are done purely for pts. GW22 is Jan1, and guess what? I no longer bother about money, rules are rules.

  20. J âš’ Gimme ur Mané
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    TOTTENHAM TEAM NEWS

    Starting XI: Vorm, Aurier, Sanchez, Foyth, Rose, Winks, Sissoko, Dele, Nkoudou, Son, Llorente

    Subs: Gazzanigga, Davies, Vertonghen, Walker-Peters, Amos, Dembele, Sterling

  21. CloudSky
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    #THFC: Vorm (C), Aurier, Sanchez, Foyth, Rose, Winks, Sissoko, Dele, Nkoudou, Son, Llorente. #COYS

  22. THE SHEEP HUNTERS
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    City, Spurs, & Real @ 9/2

    Seems Big. C'mon!

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      How much did you put on?

      1. THE SHEEP HUNTERS
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Just a Pony. 🙂

        1. Epic Fail
          • 15 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          Animal cruelty reported.

          Enjoy your ban.

          1. THE SHEEP HUNTERS
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 9 days ago

            😯

    2. DAZZ
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Does look good that

  23. ★Kuntheman★
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Foden 🙂

  24. Junior âš½
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Sakho £4.9m a good differential?

    1. Smurf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Yes I think so and I’ve brought him in this week for Simpson.

  25. ★Kuntheman★
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Would've benched Sane for Diaz personally, can't really complain with the rest

    1. Smurf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Surely Ederson should have been given the night off too?

      1. ★Kuntheman★
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Mate if we give Ederson the night off we might as well forfeit the game instead and give everyone a night off

  26. FOMFF
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Bench one of:
    Kiko (BUR)
    Daniels (CRY)
    RFC (BOU)

    1. #FPLBhuna
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Rfc.. Ruben fried chicken. Probably should bench Daniels.

  27. ZakAFC_
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    How many GW's before the 1st wildcard expires?

  28. Mackans
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Rate this team 1-10

    Hennessey
    Alonso Ward Femenia
    Hazard Salah Sterling Richarlison RLC
    Kane Morata

    Bench: Elliot Kenny Marriappa Quaner

    1. ZakAFC_
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      You on wildcard?

      1. Mackans
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        No i have this team right now

        1. ZakAFC_
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          Fair enough, agree with the comment below. Great line-up, weak bench.

    2. FPL ZB
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Starting 11 - 9
      Bench - 2

      1. Mackans
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Yeah my bench isn't good

        1. Clump
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          Risk and reward.
          You've got bigger potatoes than me 😉

  29. Syd.
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    CITY XI | Ederson, Danilo, Mangala, Adarabioyo, Fernandinho (c), Foden, Yaya Toure, Gundogan, Bernardo, Sane, G Jesus

    SUBS | Bravo, Walker, Sterling, Aguero, Otamendi, Duhaney, Diaz

    1. ★Kuntheman★
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      -------------Ederson------------
      --Danilo---Mangala----Adarabioyo
      -----Fernandinho-Yaya Toure----
      Bernardo---Gundogan-----Sane
      -----------------Foden----------------
      -----------------Jesus----------------

      That's kinda how I'm picturing that

      1. gwitbrock
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Looks about right to me

  30. Strchld
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Davies isnt starting today so would like to keep him atleast one more week.
    What did Pep say about Silvas injury? Is he really gonna miss derby next week?
    One way could be, Davies and Silva >> Kiko and Coutinho/Mane for a hit.