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6 December 2017 1215 comments
Prokoptas Prokoptas
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Regular readers of the Technical Area articles will no doubt be familiar with expected goals (xG), a key metric introduced to the Fantasy Football Scout Members’ area this year as a means of estimating goal scoring returns on the basis of chance quality.

This week, however, we are flipping our focus to examine the top goalkeepers over this year’s campaign and to introduce, for the first time, our related keeper-specific metric: expected goals prevented (xGP).

In brief, this data tallies the quantity and quality of chances a goalkeeper is faced with, in order to calculate a baseline of their expected goals conceded. From this number, we subtract the true number of goals that have beaten each goalkeeper, in order to determine the expected goals they have personally deterred.

This week’s Technical Area will be running the rule over how FPL’s highest-owned goalkeepers have performed in this particular metric thus far.

We also take a wider view of the position as it now stands, in light of the recent uncertainty surrounding the pitch time of budget-friendly options such as Rob Elliot and Julian Speroni.

  1. Gaffers
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    What's everyone's gut feel on the Silva injury? I think the (non) description of the injury suggests that it's a load of cobblers

  2. EspanYOLO
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 10 days ago

    I’m toying with the idea of a 4 5 1 formation.

    Would give me:

    Pope Ward Moreno azpi (4.0)

    Hazard, Sanchez, Coutinho, Salah, Richarlison

    Morata (diouf, 4.5)

    Would be ditching Aguero and sterling.

    I know that seems like madness but they have definitely dipped slightly in form and I feel they will be rotated loads around Christmas.

    Coutinho and hazard probably not as prone to it.

    Thoughts?

    1. HashAttack
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      gw 12 was my last week with Kun, Kane and Morata ... now just have Morata (with Rooney and DCL as subs)

      This week is going to be the first that I am expecting to play 4-5-1, as often I might prefer my 2nd striker to my 4th defender or 5th mid - Mids this week are KDB, Salah, Hazard, Coutinho, Richarlison

      Happy with the change over but it does feel bad for a little while after selling both Kun and Kane

  3. stat
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Thoughts on this move for a 4 pt hit?

      Azpi -> Kiko Femenia
      Surman -> Ramsey
      Abraham -> DCL

    • Salah'd n Sauce
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      GTG ?

      Courtois
      Daniels / Mee / Maguire
      GroB / Richarlison / Mahrez / Salah / Sterling
      Kane / Morata

      Elliot / Abraham / Bavies / Moreno

      1. FPL ZB
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Lacking Hazard
        Play Moreno and Bavies over Daniels and Mee

        1. Salah'd n Sauce
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 10 days ago

          Hazard is in the pipeline. I'll move for him shortly.
          Moreno is a shout possibly over Mee But Daniels against Palace. I think i'll keep that one as is.

          1. GENERATION X
            • 12 Years
            8 years, 10 days ago

            Salah was in my pipeline but by the time I checked the pipe all the oil had leaked out...

    • Sims
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      What's the word on ffs cup qualifying score,

      1. The Wise Owl
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        55 I think

    • Donny_Rover
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Currently with:

      Begovic - Elliot
      Otamendi - Gomez - Alonso - Ward - Naughton
      Salah - Sterling - Mane - RLC - Gross
      Kane - Morata - Wilson

      Really want to get Hazard in this week - thinking either Sane & Morata > Hazard & Vardy, or downgrade Alonso to Christensen and keep Morata.

      Thoughts? Or would I be better off improving elsewhere?

    • Super Pav
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Thoughts on doing a -4 to change...

      RLC Salah _Sane_ Hazard _Richarlison_
      _Kane_ Morata Niasse

      to

      RLC Salah _Sterling_ Hazard _Coutinho_
      _Jesus_ Morata Niasse

      Leaves 1.4 ITB

      1. Davidinho
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Not for me. I'd want to keep Kane

    • EspanYOLO
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Would you do:

      Aguero + RLC —> Hazard Calvert lewin

      Calvert lewin will be my first or second bench.

    • Smurf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Play Daniels or Loftus-Cheek?

      1. Rik Waller
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        RLC for me

        1. Smurf
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 10 days ago

          Thanks.

    • The Overthinker
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Bench looks okay?

      Elliot otamendi Francis niasse

    • The Overthinker
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Which player/s have managed to be in your team from gw1 ?

      1. Tatty Bojangles
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Elliot and Carroll

      2. Smurf
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        I’ve just dumped my final one - Elliott.

      3. Boris Bodega
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Kolasinac and Elliot

      4. Rik Waller
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        RLC and Mee

      5. Speédy
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Elliot,Salah and Mee

      6. FPL ZB
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Elliot, Kane, Carroll

      7. Gnu
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Zilch.

    • ryacoo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Will be playing double Burnley defence (Pope & Mee) if Mustafi doesn't make it. Which midfielder should l play:

      A) RLC (BOU)
      B) Richarlison (bur)

      1. Over Midwicket
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        B

      2. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        B

        1. RAFA THE GAFFA
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 10 days ago

          But spoils the fun a bit I guess

      3. Stef rocks
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        I have exactly the same dilemma, but I dont have Burnley defenders. So imo your answer is clear - play RLC (when you will play him if not at home vs BOR)

    • Rik Waller
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Bottom 3 keepers in these stats are English... We still believe.

      1. redbeard
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Pour yourself a stiff drink 😉

    • Dheeraj Amarnani
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      Wildcard week

      DDG
      Sakho Dunk Mee
      Sane Salah Hazard Richarlison RLC
      Morata Kane(c)

      (Speroni Otamendi Zeegelaar Calvert-Lewin)
      Nothing in the bank.
      Good to go?

      1. Gruu
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Sane to Sterling and upgrade Sakho/Dunk.

    • Boris Bodega
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 days ago

      All this fuss over getting Kane in for the DBL GW, are there not better options in Spurs to consider when you look at the fixtures?

      1. THE SHEEP HUNTERS
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        LLoris

      2. FPL ZB
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Name one? Alli and Eriksen are dreadful atm, the wingbacks rotate, Vert gets booked every game, and they're conceding

        1. Boris Bodega
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 10 days ago

          Personally thinking about defence and Eriksen.

          1. Boris Bodega
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 10 days ago

            oh and Son, but only if he looks like playing both games.

          2. ryacoo
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 10 days ago

            2 games in less than 2 days - will any Spurs play them both other than Kane, Lloris, etc?

      3. GENERATION X
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        That week is a long way away - if say Rose gets injured in the run up (or goes off on one again) I'd be all over Bavies

        1. GENERATION X
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 10 days ago

          ...maybe even Kane, in comes Llorente

      4. Rik Waller
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        No

      5. Gommy
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 10 days ago

        No. I wouldn't advise trying to overthink it either.

        If everyone's fit, Kane/Lloris will be the only two that you could say are nailed for both. After that, you would probably consider Vertonghen/Alderweireld.

        Injuries between now and then may enable others.

    • stat
        8 years, 10 days ago

        Thoughts on this move for a 4 pt hit?

        Azpi -> Kiko Femenia
        Surman -> Ramsey
        Abraham -> DCL

        Would give me this team:
        Fabianski / Elliot
        Dunk / Daniels / Kolasinac / Mee / Kiko
        Salah / Ramsey / Hazard / Sterling / RLC
        Kane / Morata / DCL

        1. DA Minnion (Former great)
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 10 days ago

          Those are the 3 players I took in this week.

          1. stat
              8 years, 10 days ago

              I'm also considering Richarlison and Christensen instead of Ramsey and Femenia. Chelsea are likelier to keep CS than Watford and there's not much in it between Richarlison and Ramsey.

        2. Davidinho
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 10 days ago

          Can anyone give me the lowdown on the Everton striker situation? If DCL plays he seems like a no brainer to accommodate Hazard.

          1. ryacoo
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 10 days ago

            Niasse was inform and looked first choice, then he got banned for 2 games. DCL did well in that time and has kept his place for now.

            1. Davidinho
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 10 days ago

              Thanks. It seems inconclusive then 🙁

              1. Albrightondknight
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 10 Years
                8 years, 10 days ago

                Thing is I assumed Niasse would be the Big Sam type player but DCL is the one with all the headed attempts.
                Time will tell but I own Niasse 🙁 not looking good now but hope he gets his place back.

          2. Mini Mane Mo
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 10 days ago

            New striker coming in Jan

            1. Pocky
              • 16 Years
              8 years, 10 days ago

              Also own Niasse...I think he'll get minutes over the next 2 fixtures, so I'm gonna hold for now and hope things become a little clearer after next Wednesday night.

        3. stat
            8 years, 10 days ago

            Would you rather have:

            A) Kiko + Ramsey
            B) Christensen + Richarlison

            1. tafrère
              • 9 Years
              8 years, 10 days ago

              B

            2. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 11 Years
              8 years, 10 days ago

              B

          • tafrère
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 10 days ago

            Zeegelaar (4.4 soon 4.5) or Kabasele (4.5) ?

          • jdogg
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            8 years, 10 days ago

            Lukaku and sane

            To

            Hazard and vardy

            Worth-4?x

            1. tafrère
              • 9 Years
              8 years, 10 days ago

              Yes.

            2. Stef rocks
              • 8 Years
              8 years, 10 days ago

              Get rid of both but I would choose Firmino over Vardy

          • Old Wulfrunian
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 10 days ago

            From gw17 who is the best defender pick from Manutd?

            1. stat
                8 years, 10 days ago

                Jones, he should be back soon

              • SUPER 11
                • 8 Years
                8 years, 10 days ago

                Valencia

            2. Saïss Doesn't Mat…
              • 9 Years
              8 years, 10 days ago

              "Warning – fans of the English national team may wish to pour themselves a stiff drink before making it to the bottom of this list:"
              Hahahaha nice touch.

            3. Albrightondknight
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 10 days ago

              Sorry bit out of the loop.
              The Spurs and West Ham blank in 21 and dgw in 22 is caused just by the way the fixtures fall during fixture congestion?
              Has this happened before at the same time of year I can't remember.

              1. tafrère
                • 9 Years
                8 years, 10 days ago

                Nope it's because of logistical problems.

                1. Albrightondknight
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 10 Years
                  8 years, 10 days ago

                  Thanks

            4. Sims
              • 9 Years
              8 years, 10 days ago

              Looks like this is true. 🙁

              http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/comment/17114883

              1. Bury94
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 8 Years
                8 years, 10 days ago

                Oh dear, bad week to have my worst week of the season, knocked out of LMS and not qualified for this

              2. johnnys balloons
                • 8 Years
                8 years, 10 days ago

                When we will know for sure? I got 56 points

            5. PocketZola
              • 8 Years
              8 years, 10 days ago

              So close to selling kane

            6. HurriKane
              • 13 Years
              8 years, 10 days ago

              Nobody considering Shaqiri ?

              - 4 goals and 5 assists in last 11 pl starts.

              - Only 6.1m price and has (bur WHU WBA hud NEW) in 5 of next 6 after spurs

              1. Holmes
                • 12 Years
                8 years, 10 days ago

                Probably going to drop Zaha for him in couple of weeks

              2. Fpldonny
                • 9 Years
                8 years, 10 days ago

                shhhh

              3. Kryten
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                8 years, 10 days ago

                He seems to clash with richarislon at that price difficult to afford in the current template.

              4. Stats Don\'t Lie
                • 11 Years
                8 years, 10 days ago

                Shhhhhhh

            7. PocketZola
              • 8 Years
              8 years, 10 days ago

              Daniels to zeeglar before the price rise?

              1. tafrère
                • 9 Years
                8 years, 10 days ago

                I'm a bit in the same position, if it's not for a hit I say yes.

              2. SUPER 11
                • 8 Years
                8 years, 10 days ago

                Yes ....

              3. Pierce34
                • 10 Years
                8 years, 10 days ago

                Don't think so, I'd rather keep Daniels for this week and sell next.

              4. Stef rocks
                • 8 Years
                8 years, 10 days ago

                Yes

            8. Sillet Bang
              • 16 Years
              8 years, 10 days ago

              Fabianski
              Azpi Kolo Ward Valencia
              Gross Salah KDB
              Kane@ Morata Gray

              Ryan RLC Ferminia Cork

              Can’t make my mind on subs! Any opinions appreciated

              1. redbeard
                • 9 Years
                8 years, 10 days ago

                You have Gray vs Ward so bench Ward and start RLC?

            9. Pierce34
              • 10 Years
              8 years, 10 days ago

              Assuming they both start, would you captain Ben Yedder or Salah in UCL tonight?

              1. Kryten
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                8 years, 10 days ago

                Salah

            10. SUPER 11
              • 8 Years
              8 years, 10 days ago

              Play Pope or Lloris?

              1. Kryten
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 11 Years
                8 years, 10 days ago

                Lloris as Watford look decent this year