Spot the Differential
13 May 2018 3273 comments
James H James H
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Sunday offers us a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

In recent seasons we’ve witnessed a goal rush in Gameweek 38, so we’ve opted for two French threats from Manchester United and Arsenal, while Liverpool’s cut-price full-back also finds a place in our selection as a result of his attacking prowess.

Alexandre Lacazette

While team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is the most transferred in-forward this week, it shouldn’t be forgotten that Alexandre Lacazette has also been in sensational form for Arsenal.

The French striker has produced five goals and one assist over his last five appearances and, after being rested for the 3-1 defeat to Leicester City, he should return for today’s trip to Huddersfield Town.

Lacazette is likely to start as the central striker for the Gunners, with Aubameyang playing from an inside-left position.

Interestingly, Lacazette has the edge in terms of minutes per shot between the two, averaging an attempt every 31.7 minutes, slightly superior to Aubameyang’s 33.

Although Arsenal have failed to win a single point on their travels in 2018, the fact the Terriers meeting is Arsene Wenger’s final match in charge of the club should provide strong motivation to end the season on a high.

The party atmosphere at the John Smith’s Stadium in light of Huddersfield securing Premier League safety could also be a factor.

The Gunners registered an emphatic 5-0 win when the two teams met earlier in the season, with Lacazette on the scoresheet.

Priced at 10.3 in FPL and ending the campaign full of confidence, the striker looks to have the platform to produce a third consecutive double-figure haul.

Owned by only 7.4% of managers, Lacazette is a player who has the potential to be a game-changer, particularly if he is also considered for the captaincy.

Anthony Martial

With Jose Mourinho revealing that Anthony Martial will be in his line-up today, the midfielder enters the equation as a final day gamble.

The France international has had limited first-team opportunities since the arrival of Alexis Sanchez in January, but the Hornets match-up looks crucial if he is to prove he has a long-term future at Old Trafford.

Martial has produced nine goals and six assists this season, while his average of a goal every 175.7 minutes is only bettered by Marouane Fellaini (153 minutes) among United players.

Watford travel north with just a single point gained from six away matches since Javi Gracia took charge, and having conceded ten goals in away defeats to top-six sides Arsenal, Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur.

Available at 7.8 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), Martial may be an option for managers who can afford to upgrade underperforming players such as Chelsea’s Willian.

With an ownership of 2.5%, the Frenchman represents a major differential for Gameweek 38.

An impressive record against Watford adds to his appeal. He has produced a goal and an assist in the corresponding fixture last season, which Mourinho’s side won 2-0, while he also netted in a 4-2 victory in the reverse fixture in November.

With a point to prove and an FA Cup final spot to play for, Martial fits the profile of a potentially explosive differential.

Trent Alexander-Arnold

While an extended run in Europe has blunted Liverpool’s attack of late, their defensive record at Anfield remains resolute.

Jurgen Klopp’s side have recorded four successive home clean sheets ahead of a visit from a Brighton side that rank joint-bottom for goals scored (ten) on the road.

With that in mind, we’re turning to Trent Alexander Arnold (5% ownership) as our final selection.

Having started only four of the last seven Gameweeks, the youngster’s acquisition admittedly comes with a slight caveat.

But with the Champions League final against Real Madrid taking place 13 days later, we reckon that the Reds’ manager will field a full-strength line-up to ensure a top-four finish.

This should see Alexander-Arnold return to the back-four, having been stationed in central midfield against Stoke City and Chelsea.

Over his last four at Anfield, the right-back is second only to Mohamed Salah when it comes to key passes (seven to eight) for the Reds.

Compared with other defenders over their respective last four home matches, he is placed fourth for both key passes and crosses (28).

Handily, his FPL output has profited from those underlying numbers – Alexander-Arnold has served up 29 points in his last four home fixtures, bagging maximum bonus on two occasions.

Second only to Patrick van Aanholt for transfers-in among defenders, a cost of only 4.4 looks ideal for those seeking to free up cash while recruiting a player with the potential for double figures.

3,273 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. nevins84
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Chasing a 14pt lead....

    McCarthy
    Naughton Chamb Bavies Masuaku
    Salah Sterling Erikson Zaha
    Lacazette Jesus
    Subs:DDG Perez Cedric Kennedy
    1ft 0.1itb

    Worried McCarthy might end up with 0pts...

    A)DDG to Romero/Karius ft

    B)DDG&Kennedy to Adrian&Ramsey -4

    C)DDG&Perez to Adrian&Rashford -4

    D)DDG&Kennedy to Adrian&Mata

    1. RichRover
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      What GK does he have?

      1. nevins84
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        None without a hit.. No hit yet..

        1. RichRover
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          A, Romero

  2. Slitherene
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Ederson*
    Smalling - Vertonghen* - Sakho* - Cresswell*
    Willian* - Salah (C) - Arnautovic* - Sterling - Zaha*
    Kane

    Bench : J.Ayew* - Naughton* - Perez*

    * - Differentials

    Chasing a 36 point lead. Good to go?

    1. Neebster
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      gtg

  3. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    How do we think WBA will do away to Palace now that they know they're down? Do we expect the defensive resilience to continue or will Palace blow them away?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Palace are crap though.

      1. Jet5605
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Are they? Roy has arguably turned them around from the crap that they were at the start of the season.

      2. Brosstan
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Palace stopped being crap when Benteke finally got relegated to the bench.

    2. MTPockets
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I think palace will win or low scoring draw.

      1. si
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 17 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Or lose.

  4. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Report:

    A) DDG + Mahrez -> Adrian + Salah (-4)

    B) DDG + Mahrez + Lingard -> Karius/Romero + Salah + Gudmundsson (-8)

    1. nevins84
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

    2. AdamJ91
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I like A.

    3. The Sundance Kid
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Id go for a. Not worth an extra 4 point hit

    4. Neebster
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      a. -8 excessive

    5. caldracula
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I actually prefer B

    6. caldracula
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I think Karius scores more than Adrian and also dance gud today

    7. caldracula
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Fancy

    8. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Thanks lads

  5. The Sundance Kid
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Best way to get Salah in?

    A. Eriksen + Jesus > Salah + Firminho
    B. Eriksen + DDg > Salah + Romero
    C. Son + DDG > Salah + Adiran

    Other keeper is Pope, other striker is Kane

    1. The Sundance Kid
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Any suggestions?

  6. AdamJ91
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Which one looks better?

    A) Firmino & Ramsey
    B) Salah & Perez

    1. Pariße
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

    2. nevins84
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

    3. Neebster
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      A

    4. MTPockets
      8 years, 2 months ago

      b

    5. The Sundance Kid
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Assume you've already got Arnie... If not I'd pick him ahead of Ramsey.

  7. Weeb Kakashi
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Juan Foyth could start? If that Happens then who misses out? Vertonghen or Sanchez or Alder?

    1. Numb
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Toby maybe

    2. Collie01
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Nobody knows

    3. Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      My guess would be Vertonghen. Seen some Spurs fans on reddit and the forums wanting to rest him as he looked a little off the pace.

      Whether that actually happens, though...

  8. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    A point between my rival and I, here are our differentials below based on expected starting XI:

    Me:
    Ryan, Tark, Lowton, Vert, Naughton, Gross, Salah

    His:
    Lloris, Long, Tomkins, Smalling, D Silva, Pogba, Zaha

    Do I captain Kane (we both have) or Salah (only I have)?

    1. Positive vibes
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Smalling, D Silva maybe not play. Surely he will C Kane?

  9. ppv
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Bavies to start, stay on bench or get end of the season 1 minute run out?

    1. nevins84
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Im playing him so a 1pt run out...

      1. ppv
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers. Not sure whether to take him out for TAA or Lowton

        1. nevins84
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          I wouldnt see changing him for a hit paying...

          1. ppv
            • 15 Years
            8 years, 2 months ago

            Thanks but have FT to use

  10. lespaul
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Someone on blue moon just posted they've not seen Silva at the hotel

    1. Collie01
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      He's in Spain

      1. Desperately Seeking Dusan
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        It was posted on Blue Moon he came back to England this week.

      2. lespaul
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        But he was on a flight on friday

        1. MTPockets
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Flight to where?

          1. lespaul
            • 16 Years
            8 years, 2 months ago

            Likely the uk

  11. DMil
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Lacelles + Vardy > Firmino + Long (-4)? Need a differential in ML, expect most to captain Salah and i’m going Kane.

  12. Desperately Seeking Dusan
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    1) Lingard to 6.1 Gud, Shaqiri or Mili
    2) downgrade DDG (Ryan is sub) and bring in a more expensive Lingard replacement (-4). Can ditch Maguire too to free cash for a -4

    Defending a ML lead from three people 19-25 points behind. Only I have Salah. Two have Erik and one Zaha. We all have Kane, Jesus and Sterling.

    1. BIGREDDOG
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      DDG to Romero, Lingard to Zaha/Arnie/Martial ?

      1. Desperately Seeking Dusan
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers BRD.. I have Arnie but do like the idea of blocking Zaha.

        1. BIGREDDOG
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 2 months ago

          Good plan

    2. si
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Confirmed attacking starters are Rash, Martial and Mata? There is still a space for Lingard to play.

      1. Desperately Seeking Dusan
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        You think? Have been reading he won’t start.

  13. mr messi
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Morgan or Dunk first sub?

    1. Carcetti
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Morg

    2. Aladdin Sané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Dunk

    3. Runaway
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Dunk

  14. Shultan
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Which team do you guys think has the best chance of winning the FPL title?
    I hope bharat wins it, seemed a genuine nice on scoutcast plus beeb leading so long but his mudfield seems a bit weak u feel like one the guys behind might just pip him to the title

    1. Desperately Seeking Dusan
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      I think and hope he does it for the reasons you give.

    2. Pariße
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      He's still got the best chance imo. He knows wha he's doing.

    3. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Faisal time...

    4. Ógie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Making a scoutcast appearance spells doom to your chances of winning it.

      I reckon he will be piped.

  15. Carcetti
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    A) Pogba Out, Ramsey In (-4)

    B) Vardy Out, Lacazette In (-4)

    Chasing the leader by 20-points, however leading by 9 points from 3rd.

    1. Positive vibes
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

  16. Gentle_Turks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Chelsea fans - Will Christensen play?

    1. si
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      No chance.

  17. Runaway
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Last decision of the year, please help:

    A) Ryan + RLC / Mili
    B) Adrian + Willian
    C) Adrian + Zaha - 4

  18. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Adrian or Romero?

    1. Runaway
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Romero

    2. nevins84
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Money no option romero..

  19. Jokesy87
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Good luck today all.

    A) Smalling > rudiger
    B) Smalling > VVD

    Lead by 8pts, rival has Rudiger so do I match to limit difference or go for VVD and hope to outscore/Match score?

    I worry he has Auba and Firmino compared to my Jesus and Vardy

    1. HamezMace
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      B

  20. Alli
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    DDG - Hennessey
    Davies - Smalling - Tarkowski - Lowton - Kiko
    Sterling - D.Silva - Salah - Arnautovic - Milivojevic
    Kane - Jesus - J. Ayew

    1 FT - 0.2 ITB

    A. Smalling > VVD (Play Milivojevic)
    B. D.Silva, Smalling > Zaha, VVD (-4)
    C. D.Silva, Smalling > Sané, PVA (-4)

  21. Hairy Potter
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Off to get some popcorn to have during the inevitable carnage here when the teams are announced.

    1. Desperately Seeking Dusan
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Lol this

  22. FDMS All Starz
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Urgent help needed, What would you do to this team?

    DDG*-Ryan
    Vertonghen-Sanchez-Lowton-Christensen*-Morgan*
    Gross-Mahrez-Arnie-Willian*-Pogba
    Kane-Jesus-Barnes*

    1FT...0.1itb

    * = Issues

    1. Desperately Seeking Dusan
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      You’re in all kinds of trouble. You chasing or defending?

    2. Big Sum
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Morgan->TAA

  23. Desperately Seeking Dusan
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    My autocorrect always replaces Lingard with Lingered which is appropriate given he’s lingered around my team like a bad fart for too long.

  24. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Is the stage set for Zaha to once again troll everyone who got duped into bringing him in again after two big hauls at home?

    1. Hairy Potter
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Troll? I’ve had him since GW31 and been happy with his scores.

  25. Pariße
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    2pts ahead of a rival for the country title. I feel he's going to bring in Salah for Mahrez, best no to take any hits and go another direction right?

    1. Pariße
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      *Can't get Salah, unless it's for a hit.

      1. ZeBestee
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Depends on the rest of your team.

    2. ZeBestee
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Which direction?

      1. Pariße
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        Not getting Salah.

  26. Syd.
    • 17 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    So and so could start

    Thingy me bob might not start

    Yer man didn't travel

    Big No9 wasn't spotted at the team hotel

    1. lespaul
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      What about whatshisface ?

    2. Desperately Seeking Dusan
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      🙂

    3. Eddie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      But the training pics.

  27. Sidekick_08
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Which transfer do i spend my FT on?

    A. Son -> Zaha

    B. Smalling -> Robertson

    1. brianutd-why always we? 20
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Smalling won’t start so bin him

  28. Legohair
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Willian to Ramsay worth to take hit?im 0.1 too short to Zaha...

    1. Desperately Seeking Dusan
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      No

  29. Numb
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Will Ramsey start?

  30. Weeb Kakashi
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 2 months ago

    Son Alonso > Salah TAA (-4)??

    1. Sidekick_08
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Yes I'd do it

    2. Robin Cook
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Why selling Alonso? 😮

      1. Desperately Seeking Dusan
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        To fund Salah I guess

    3. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 2 months ago

      Selling Alonso for a hit 😆

      1. Desperately Seeking Dusan
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 2 months ago

        And to get salah