Spot the Differential
13 May 2018 3273 comments
James H James H
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Sunday offers us a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

In recent seasons we’ve witnessed a goal rush in Gameweek 38, so we’ve opted for two French threats from Manchester United and Arsenal, while Liverpool’s cut-price full-back also finds a place in our selection as a result of his attacking prowess.

Alexandre Lacazette

While team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is the most transferred in-forward this week, it shouldn’t be forgotten that Alexandre Lacazette has also been in sensational form for Arsenal.

The French striker has produced five goals and one assist over his last five appearances and, after being rested for the 3-1 defeat to Leicester City, he should return for today’s trip to Huddersfield Town.

Lacazette is likely to start as the central striker for the Gunners, with Aubameyang playing from an inside-left position.

Interestingly, Lacazette has the edge in terms of minutes per shot between the two, averaging an attempt every 31.7 minutes, slightly superior to Aubameyang’s 33.

Although Arsenal have failed to win a single point on their travels in 2018, the fact the Terriers meeting is Arsene Wenger’s final match in charge of the club should provide strong motivation to end the season on a high.

The party atmosphere at the John Smith’s Stadium in light of Huddersfield securing Premier League safety could also be a factor.

The Gunners registered an emphatic 5-0 win when the two teams met earlier in the season, with Lacazette on the scoresheet.

Priced at 10.3 in FPL and ending the campaign full of confidence, the striker looks to have the platform to produce a third consecutive double-figure haul.

Owned by only 7.4% of managers, Lacazette is a player who has the potential to be a game-changer, particularly if he is also considered for the captaincy.

Anthony Martial

With Jose Mourinho revealing that Anthony Martial will be in his line-up today, the midfielder enters the equation as a final day gamble.

The France international has had limited first-team opportunities since the arrival of Alexis Sanchez in January, but the Hornets match-up looks crucial if he is to prove he has a long-term future at Old Trafford.

Martial has produced nine goals and six assists this season, while his average of a goal every 175.7 minutes is only bettered by Marouane Fellaini (153 minutes) among United players.

Watford travel north with just a single point gained from six away matches since Javi Gracia took charge, and having conceded ten goals in away defeats to top-six sides Arsenal, Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur.

Available at 7.8 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), Martial may be an option for managers who can afford to upgrade underperforming players such as Chelsea’s Willian.

With an ownership of 2.5%, the Frenchman represents a major differential for Gameweek 38.

An impressive record against Watford adds to his appeal. He has produced a goal and an assist in the corresponding fixture last season, which Mourinho’s side won 2-0, while he also netted in a 4-2 victory in the reverse fixture in November.

With a point to prove and an FA Cup final spot to play for, Martial fits the profile of a potentially explosive differential.

Trent Alexander-Arnold

While an extended run in Europe has blunted Liverpool’s attack of late, their defensive record at Anfield remains resolute.

Jurgen Klopp’s side have recorded four successive home clean sheets ahead of a visit from a Brighton side that rank joint-bottom for goals scored (ten) on the road.

With that in mind, we’re turning to Trent Alexander Arnold (5% ownership) as our final selection.

Having started only four of the last seven Gameweeks, the youngster’s acquisition admittedly comes with a slight caveat.

But with the Champions League final against Real Madrid taking place 13 days later, we reckon that the Reds’ manager will field a full-strength line-up to ensure a top-four finish.

This should see Alexander-Arnold return to the back-four, having been stationed in central midfield against Stoke City and Chelsea.

Over his last four at Anfield, the right-back is second only to Mohamed Salah when it comes to key passes (seven to eight) for the Reds.

Compared with other defenders over their respective last four home matches, he is placed fourth for both key passes and crosses (28).

Handily, his FPL output has profited from those underlying numbers – Alexander-Arnold has served up 29 points in his last four home fixtures, bagging maximum bonus on two occasions.

Second only to Patrick van Aanholt for transfers-in among defenders, a cost of only 4.4 looks ideal for those seeking to free up cash while recruiting a player with the potential for double figures.

  1. Delima
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Hi,

    1FT
    would you do Mahrez -> Zaha?

    Its the only transfer which i consider for my team.

    Thx

    1. Volley127
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Yeah sounds gd

    2. VDiesel26
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Or Arnautovic

  2. Rhodes your boat
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Really struggling to decide between

    A) Hennessey and laca (form)
    B) karius and bobby (potential)

  3. Trippier Hazard
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    As Otamendi is out (forums.bluemoon-mcfc.co.uk/threads/southampton-a-pre-match-thread.334433/page-26) I've got Yedlin in, worth a hit to replace, if so best defender for 6.3?

    1. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Yedlin can keep a cleanie, so not worth a hit

  4. tm370
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Any Liverpool team news guys?

    1. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Klopp on bench 😉

  5. Sancidino
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Sterling, Jesus and Otamendi all to start?

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      mate I bloody hope so 😉

    2. Mike82
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Ota our apparently

  6. DA Minnion (Former great)
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    I hate otamendi.

    1. Regin
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Way happened to Otamendi?

  7. Abaddon
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Alli and Lingard to Salah (c) and RLC? -4

  8. Dopey44
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    A - Smalling to Robertson
    B - Smalling + VDH —> Robertson + Sakho (-4) + bench Naughton
    C - Smalling + VDH —> TAA + Van Aarnolt (-4) + bench over Naughton

    Fabianski
    Bavies XXX Naughton
    Salah(c) Sterling Sane Son Mili
    Kane Jesus

    DDG Pérez XXX Dummett

  9. MarkoSD
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    rp
    martial or arnautovic?

  10. Cocky Spaniel Alves
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    A) Fernandinho (sou)
    B) Rashford (WAT) -4

    Chasing...

    1. mcrayeps
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      B

  11. aarrgghh
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Zaha,Ramsey or Mkhi?

  12. mcrayeps
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Smalling + Mahrez + Barnes > Robo + Salah + Ayew

    Worth for -8?

    1. JustPark
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Maybe just -4

      1. mcrayeps
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Morgan and fernandinho on the bench

  13. RVP20
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    I have 1FT. Which should I do?
    (A) Kenedy > Milivojević
    (B) Kenedy > McArthur
    (C) Barnes > C Wilson
    (D) Barnes > J Ayew

    1. Roysgotnoboys
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      B

  14. Roysgotnoboys
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Blind or PVA?

  15. Mets
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Who should I play?

    Klavan / Lowton / Milivojevic / Jordan Ayew

    1. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Jordan.. Micheal

    2. Big Sum
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Jordan Ayew

  16. palalmas
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Is DDG & Lingard -> Karius/Romero & Zaha woth -4?

    And Karius or Romero?

    1. FPL Biggie
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      If you have a back up keeper already e.g. Ryan. I don't think it's worth taking the hit on De Gea.

  17. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Sell Willian or GroB?

    1. FPL Biggie
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      GroB

    2. tokara
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      W

  18. FPL Biggie
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Best def and midfield combo for 11.9?

    Arnold/Tomkins and Zaha/Arnie?
    Alonso/Walker/Vertonghen and Milivojevic?

    Any others?

  19. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Loris
    Fernandez smaling azpi lowotn (chilwel)
    Arnie sterling salah son (king)
    Jesus kane (barnes)

    A) smaling to robertson/creswell/TAA
    B) smaling son barnes (-8) to TAA gudmundson firmino

  20. soup natsi
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Is otamendi not playing?

    1. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      There is a rumour that there is a rumour that he doesn't play.

    2. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      some talk about him not been seen on the team bus but its not 100% confirmed yet!

      1. JustPark
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        It's tinted!

  21. Tauruspt
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Current squad looking iffy at rotation
    And leading
    Do I need to take a -4?

    Loris
    Ota vvd davies monreal
    Sterling salah mili
    Ayew kane jesus
    Dub lingard maguire kennedy

    Risk ota davies monreal
    Do I team change or take a hit?

    TIA

  22. Weeb Kakashi
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Son Alonso > TAA Salah (-4) worth it?

    No other way to get Salah

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      do it lad

    2. Volley127
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      No

  23. Eo_K
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    De Gea - Smalling - Lingard headache...

    Rest of squad: Ryan; Alonso-Vertonghen-Lowton-Morgan; Salah-Sterling-Gudmundsson-A.King; Kane-Jesus-Ayew

    A/De Gea-Romero
    B/Smalling-TAA
    C/Lingard-Townsend
    D/De Gea,Lingard - Romero, Arnautovic (-4)
    E/Smalling-Lingard - TAA, Arnautovic (-4)

    1. Ceebes
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      D and maybe Karius over Romero?

  24. palalmas
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Is DDG & Lingard -> Karius/Romero & Zaha woth -4?

    And Karius or Romero??

    1. Jumping Jurgen
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      yes

  25. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Would you take a -4 hit to get Kane (c) or should I just rely on Sterling (c) and do Willian > Zaha?

    Chasing 14 point gap and leader has no Kane and will likely Salah (c). We both have Eriksen and I also have Son.

  26. N00B
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Repost but I cant decide.

    Best Palace player for this week ?
    - Mili
    - McArthur
    - RLC

    1. Balls of Steel
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Mili if can afford

    2. bertie
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Luka

  27. Positive vibes
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Last options, which one better?
    A. Adrian, Sane, Firmino
    B. Romero, Zaha, Laca

    Thanks 🙂

    1. GOTHAM City F.C.
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      -8?
      B

    2. JustPark
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Not keen on Firmino so B.

  28. MOZIL
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Jesus or Firmino

    1. sunzip14
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Jesus

    2. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Firmino

  29. tbhogal
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Time to get rid of Jesus for Auba ???

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      No

    2. Positive vibes
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      No

  30. Daghe Munegu
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Ryan
    Robertson Vertonghen Lowton
    Sané Son Sterling Zaha
    Kane Jesus Ayew

    DDG Smalling Mustafi King

    Salah + DDG in for Son + Romero - 4?
    Yes or no?

    1. Daghe Munegu
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Salah + Romero in for Son + DDG