Spot the Differential
13 May 2018 3273 comments
James H James H
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Sunday offers us a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

In recent seasons we’ve witnessed a goal rush in Gameweek 38, so we’ve opted for two French threats from Manchester United and Arsenal, while Liverpool’s cut-price full-back also finds a place in our selection as a result of his attacking prowess.

Alexandre Lacazette

While team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is the most transferred in-forward this week, it shouldn’t be forgotten that Alexandre Lacazette has also been in sensational form for Arsenal.

The French striker has produced five goals and one assist over his last five appearances and, after being rested for the 3-1 defeat to Leicester City, he should return for today’s trip to Huddersfield Town.

Lacazette is likely to start as the central striker for the Gunners, with Aubameyang playing from an inside-left position.

Interestingly, Lacazette has the edge in terms of minutes per shot between the two, averaging an attempt every 31.7 minutes, slightly superior to Aubameyang’s 33.

Although Arsenal have failed to win a single point on their travels in 2018, the fact the Terriers meeting is Arsene Wenger’s final match in charge of the club should provide strong motivation to end the season on a high.

The party atmosphere at the John Smith’s Stadium in light of Huddersfield securing Premier League safety could also be a factor.

The Gunners registered an emphatic 5-0 win when the two teams met earlier in the season, with Lacazette on the scoresheet.

Priced at 10.3 in FPL and ending the campaign full of confidence, the striker looks to have the platform to produce a third consecutive double-figure haul.

Owned by only 7.4% of managers, Lacazette is a player who has the potential to be a game-changer, particularly if he is also considered for the captaincy.

Anthony Martial

With Jose Mourinho revealing that Anthony Martial will be in his line-up today, the midfielder enters the equation as a final day gamble.

The France international has had limited first-team opportunities since the arrival of Alexis Sanchez in January, but the Hornets match-up looks crucial if he is to prove he has a long-term future at Old Trafford.

Martial has produced nine goals and six assists this season, while his average of a goal every 175.7 minutes is only bettered by Marouane Fellaini (153 minutes) among United players.

Watford travel north with just a single point gained from six away matches since Javi Gracia took charge, and having conceded ten goals in away defeats to top-six sides Arsenal, Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur.

Available at 7.8 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), Martial may be an option for managers who can afford to upgrade underperforming players such as Chelsea’s Willian.

With an ownership of 2.5%, the Frenchman represents a major differential for Gameweek 38.

An impressive record against Watford adds to his appeal. He has produced a goal and an assist in the corresponding fixture last season, which Mourinho’s side won 2-0, while he also netted in a 4-2 victory in the reverse fixture in November.

With a point to prove and an FA Cup final spot to play for, Martial fits the profile of a potentially explosive differential.

Trent Alexander-Arnold

While an extended run in Europe has blunted Liverpool’s attack of late, their defensive record at Anfield remains resolute.

Jurgen Klopp’s side have recorded four successive home clean sheets ahead of a visit from a Brighton side that rank joint-bottom for goals scored (ten) on the road.

With that in mind, we’re turning to Trent Alexander Arnold (5% ownership) as our final selection.

Having started only four of the last seven Gameweeks, the youngster’s acquisition admittedly comes with a slight caveat.

But with the Champions League final against Real Madrid taking place 13 days later, we reckon that the Reds’ manager will field a full-strength line-up to ensure a top-four finish.

This should see Alexander-Arnold return to the back-four, having been stationed in central midfield against Stoke City and Chelsea.

Over his last four at Anfield, the right-back is second only to Mohamed Salah when it comes to key passes (seven to eight) for the Reds.

Compared with other defenders over their respective last four home matches, he is placed fourth for both key passes and crosses (28).

Handily, his FPL output has profited from those underlying numbers – Alexander-Arnold has served up 29 points in his last four home fixtures, bagging maximum bonus on two occasions.

Second only to Patrick van Aanholt for transfers-in among defenders, a cost of only 4.4 looks ideal for those seeking to free up cash while recruiting a player with the potential for double figures.

  1. There's Always One!
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    What is people's hopes for today?

    I hope Eirksen does great, Davis plays, Salah outscores Kane and Sane does nothing

    1. JustPark
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      TAA gw top scorer.

    2. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Green arrow.

      1. PDM TOP 1,000 any Season rc…
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Yep a green arrow would be fab !
        VVD to double digit
        Salah to go on a rampage
        Man U CS

    3. Volley127
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Salah blanks
      Arnie blanks
      Kane hauls

      Rest is gravy

  2. JonSnow
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Is mili expected to start for crystal palace and is he still on pens?
    ML rival has him so was going to do
    mahrez -> zaha/mili

    1. Mike82
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Plays every game usually and on pens and free kicks

  3. Hawk Eye
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    To get in Zaha or Arnautovic for a hit

    1. Rik Waller
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Arnie

    2. Sedemuda
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Zaha 35 pts last 4 games
      Arnie 16 pts

  4. _Gunner
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    G2G? (-4)

    Ryan
    Lowton TAA Vertonghen
    Sane Son GroS Salah
    Kane Ayew Jesus

    subs: DDG Lingard Morgan Dunk

    1. Rhodes your boat
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Gtg nice team

  5. Toplad
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Which defender:

    A) PVA
    B) TAA
    C) Cresswell
    D) Robertson

    Thank you !!!

    1. Mike82
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      2

    2. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      D

  6. PURPLE-RONNIE
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Start Cedric or switch to TAA worth a -4 lads?

    1. Adams6
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Needs a clean sheet sheet just to break even really. I wouldn't.

  7. Delima
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Hi,

    1FT
    would you do Mahrez -> Zaha?

    Its the only transfer which i consider for my team.

    Thx

    1. Volley127
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Yeah sounds gd

    2. VDiesel26
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Or Arnautovic

  8. pakornk
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    If both get 2 or more goals, Salah gets more points than Kane because he's a midfielder right?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      😐

    2. There's Always One!
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Right!

    3. Brehmeren
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Why is this a question?

    4. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Yeah and clean sheet point

    5. GOTHAM City F.C.
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Not true. He gets more because he plays for Liverpool and Egypt.

    6. Sim Simma
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Sherlock in the house

    7. Coled Brew
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Nope. They changed the rules last week. Apparently, after 37 GWs, the consensus is that Salah has an unfair advantage. All other midfielders still get more points than forwards for a goal. It’s a last-minute kanecession.

  9. Rhodes your boat
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Really struggling to decide between

    A) Hennessey and laca (form)
    B) karius and bobby (potential)

  10. MarkoSD
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    rp

    mahrez or pogba to martial?

    1. VDiesel26
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Pogba as he might not even start

  11. Trippier Hazard
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    As Otamendi is out (forums.bluemoon-mcfc.co.uk/threads/southampton-a-pre-match-thread.334433/page-26) I've got Yedlin in, worth a hit to replace, if so best defender for 6.3?

    1. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Yedlin can keep a cleanie, so not worth a hit

  12. tm370
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Any Liverpool team news guys?

    1. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Klopp on bench 😉

  13. Sancidino
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Sterling, Jesus and Otamendi all to start?

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      mate I bloody hope so 😉

    2. Mike82
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Ota our apparently

  14. Optimus.
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Updating

    1. GOTHAM City F.C.
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      😮

    2. Rik Waller
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Ban ban baaaaaaan

    3. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I changed my captain just as it went to updating. Not sure if it went through.

    4. Optimus.
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      my Facebook status

  15. DA Minnion (Former great)
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    I hate otamendi.

    1. Regin
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Way happened to Otamendi?

  16. Shake n Bake
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Play Ryan or swap de Gea for a -4?

    1. Don Kloppeone
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Question is do you believe you have a keeper to bring in that will score at least 5 more points than Ryan? If not then the answer is no

    2. Adams6
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Play DDG just in case and let Ryan come in.

  17. Abaddon
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Alli and Lingard to Salah (c) and RLC? -4

  18. Dopey44
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    A - Smalling to Robertson
    B - Smalling + VDH —> Robertson + Sakho (-4) + bench Naughton
    C - Smalling + VDH —> TAA + Van Aarnolt (-4) + bench over Naughton

    Fabianski
    Bavies XXX Naughton
    Salah(c) Sterling Sane Son Mili
    Kane Jesus

    DDG Pérez XXX Dummett

  19. bertie
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Oh damn it. I have Otamendi, DDG, D Silva, and Smalling in my side

    1. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      RIP

      1. bertie
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        lol YEp was gonna sell DDG and Smalling for funds, but Silva and Otamensi as well!

    2. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Only for 1 week

  20. MarkoSD
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    rp
    martial or arnautovic?

  21. Cocky Spaniel Alves
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    A) Fernandinho (sou)
    B) Rashford (WAT) -4

    Chasing...

    1. mcrayeps
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      B

  22. aarrgghh
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Zaha,Ramsey or Mkhi?

  23. mcrayeps
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Smalling + Mahrez + Barnes > Robo + Salah + Ayew

    Worth for -8?

    1. JustPark
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Maybe just -4

      1. mcrayeps
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Morgan and fernandinho on the bench

  24. RVP20
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    I have 1FT. Which should I do?
    (A) Kenedy > Milivojević
    (B) Kenedy > McArthur
    (C) Barnes > C Wilson
    (D) Barnes > J Ayew

    1. Roysgotnoboys
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      B

  25. Roysgotnoboys
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Blind or PVA?

  26. Mets
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Who should I play?

    Klavan / Lowton / Milivojevic / Jordan Ayew

    1. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Jordan.. Micheal

    2. Big Sum
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Jordan Ayew

  27. palalmas
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Is DDG & Lingard -> Karius/Romero & Zaha woth -4?

    And Karius or Romero?

    1. FPL Biggie
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      If you have a back up keeper already e.g. Ryan. I don't think it's worth taking the hit on De Gea.

  28. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Sell Willian or GroB?

    1. FPL Biggie
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      GroB

    2. tokara
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      W

  29. FPL Biggie
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Best def and midfield combo for 11.9?

    Arnold/Tomkins and Zaha/Arnie?
    Alonso/Walker/Vertonghen and Milivojevic?

    Any others?

  30. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Loris
    Fernandez smaling azpi lowotn (chilwel)
    Arnie sterling salah son (king)
    Jesus kane (barnes)

    A) smaling to robertson/creswell/TAA
    B) smaling son barnes (-8) to TAA gudmundson firmino