Spot the Differential
13 May 2018 3273 comments
James H James H
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Sunday offers us a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

In recent seasons we’ve witnessed a goal rush in Gameweek 38, so we’ve opted for two French threats from Manchester United and Arsenal, while Liverpool’s cut-price full-back also finds a place in our selection as a result of his attacking prowess.

Alexandre Lacazette

While team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is the most transferred in-forward this week, it shouldn’t be forgotten that Alexandre Lacazette has also been in sensational form for Arsenal.

The French striker has produced five goals and one assist over his last five appearances and, after being rested for the 3-1 defeat to Leicester City, he should return for today’s trip to Huddersfield Town.

Lacazette is likely to start as the central striker for the Gunners, with Aubameyang playing from an inside-left position.

Interestingly, Lacazette has the edge in terms of minutes per shot between the two, averaging an attempt every 31.7 minutes, slightly superior to Aubameyang’s 33.

Although Arsenal have failed to win a single point on their travels in 2018, the fact the Terriers meeting is Arsene Wenger’s final match in charge of the club should provide strong motivation to end the season on a high.

The party atmosphere at the John Smith’s Stadium in light of Huddersfield securing Premier League safety could also be a factor.

The Gunners registered an emphatic 5-0 win when the two teams met earlier in the season, with Lacazette on the scoresheet.

Priced at 10.3 in FPL and ending the campaign full of confidence, the striker looks to have the platform to produce a third consecutive double-figure haul.

Owned by only 7.4% of managers, Lacazette is a player who has the potential to be a game-changer, particularly if he is also considered for the captaincy.

Anthony Martial

With Jose Mourinho revealing that Anthony Martial will be in his line-up today, the midfielder enters the equation as a final day gamble.

The France international has had limited first-team opportunities since the arrival of Alexis Sanchez in January, but the Hornets match-up looks crucial if he is to prove he has a long-term future at Old Trafford.

Martial has produced nine goals and six assists this season, while his average of a goal every 175.7 minutes is only bettered by Marouane Fellaini (153 minutes) among United players.

Watford travel north with just a single point gained from six away matches since Javi Gracia took charge, and having conceded ten goals in away defeats to top-six sides Arsenal, Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur.

Available at 7.8 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), Martial may be an option for managers who can afford to upgrade underperforming players such as Chelsea’s Willian.

With an ownership of 2.5%, the Frenchman represents a major differential for Gameweek 38.

An impressive record against Watford adds to his appeal. He has produced a goal and an assist in the corresponding fixture last season, which Mourinho’s side won 2-0, while he also netted in a 4-2 victory in the reverse fixture in November.

With a point to prove and an FA Cup final spot to play for, Martial fits the profile of a potentially explosive differential.

Trent Alexander-Arnold

While an extended run in Europe has blunted Liverpool’s attack of late, their defensive record at Anfield remains resolute.

Jurgen Klopp’s side have recorded four successive home clean sheets ahead of a visit from a Brighton side that rank joint-bottom for goals scored (ten) on the road.

With that in mind, we’re turning to Trent Alexander Arnold (5% ownership) as our final selection.

Having started only four of the last seven Gameweeks, the youngster’s acquisition admittedly comes with a slight caveat.

But with the Champions League final against Real Madrid taking place 13 days later, we reckon that the Reds’ manager will field a full-strength line-up to ensure a top-four finish.

This should see Alexander-Arnold return to the back-four, having been stationed in central midfield against Stoke City and Chelsea.

Over his last four at Anfield, the right-back is second only to Mohamed Salah when it comes to key passes (seven to eight) for the Reds.

Compared with other defenders over their respective last four home matches, he is placed fourth for both key passes and crosses (28).

Handily, his FPL output has profited from those underlying numbers – Alexander-Arnold has served up 29 points in his last four home fixtures, bagging maximum bonus on two occasions.

Second only to Patrick van Aanholt for transfers-in among defenders, a cost of only 4.4 looks ideal for those seeking to free up cash while recruiting a player with the potential for double figures.

  1. FPL DONKEY
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Who's gonna start in goal for West Ham this week? Have exact money for:

    DDG + Lingard -> Adrian + Sane (-4)

    1. There's Always One!
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      You would imagine Adrian

      1. FPL DONKEY
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Cheers!

  2. Don Kloppeone
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Anything of any substance behind everyone dumping Son? I had him as a good pick this week

    1. Art Vandelay
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      He has been in poor form - I think thats it. I am worried enough to be considering ditching him..

  3. Spike ⚽️
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Looking at -16 pts just to put a decent 11 players out. Had - Ddg, Pope, Smalling, Kenedy, Barnes and Kompany in my original team. Final rank not an issue anymore )-;

  4. Weeb Kakashi
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Is that Irish twitter account reliable?
    Lineup looked strange to me without Hendo

    1. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Link?

  5. Legomané
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    A. Eriksen Vokes
    B. Gudmundsson Jesus

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      A

  6. klavan
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    best mid under 4.7m
    A)RLC
    B)Ki
    C)McArthur
    D)Carrick

    1. Balls of Steel
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I'm going for RLC

  7. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Is powell here?Do u have leaked chelsea lineup??

  8. Steve Stiffler
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Chasing ML by 11 points and I have TC to try win league who to captain?

    Salah (he will probably captain him)
    Aub
    Sterling

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      B or C

      1. Steve Stiffler
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Is Salah not safe bet though epic?

        1. RashFraud
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Safety don’t mean anything when you’re chasing in the last week

    2. RashFraud
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Auba

  9. Old Wulfrunian
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Should i start Lowton or Fernandez?

    1. Steve Stiffler
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Lowton

    2. Ceebes
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      lowton

    3. Old Wulfrunian
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      thanks

  10. Cocky Spaniel Alves
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Zaha or Jesus captain?

    Trying to make up over 20 points gap.

  11. Daghe Munegu
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Ryan
    Robertson Vertonghen Lowton
    Sané Son Sterling Zaha
    Kane Jesus Ayew

    DDG Smalling Mustafi King

    Son + DDG > Salah + Romero - 4?
    Yes or no?

  12. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Ditch Willian or GroB?

    Willian likely to be benched and GroB likely to get a two pointer.

    1. Pork Pie Sausage Roll
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Willian. Can only score points if on the pitch, and at least Groß provides that.

  13. OldBenKenobi
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Defending my ML by 19 points and chasing in 2 other ML by 6 points

    Bauer & Willian > TAA & Arnautovic -8?

    1. reeceon
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Can you just do the latter for -4?

      1. OldBenKenobi
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Yes. Just not confident with Bauer and Stoke not to mention I’m playing J.Ayew also

    2. GOTHAM City F.C.
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Yes looks good

    3. ZeBestee
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Willy to Arnie is enough.

    4. doy
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Dooo itt.

  14. Zladan
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Start Masuaku or VDH?

    1. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Masu.

  15. reeceon
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Lots of rotation risks in my team, what would you do?

    Smalling > Robertson?

    DDG
    Lowton Vert Davies Smalling
    Salah Sterling Pogba Son Grob
    Jesus

    (Ryan Vardy Morgan Barnes)

    1. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Barnes to Jayew.

      1. reeceon
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        and bench grob?

    2. RashFraud
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Why would you bench vardy?

      1. RashFraud
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Pogba starting today?

      2. reeceon
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        because i have 2 spurs defenders and I'm chasing

  16. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Son/Silva/Vardy -> Salah/Zaha/Rashford [-8]

    Would leave me with:

    Ryan
    Alonso - Davies - Long
    Salah - Sterling - Arnautovic - Zaha
    Kane - Jesus - Rashford
    (DDG -- Lowton - VDH - L Cook)

    Thoughts? TAA worth another - 4?

    1. reeceon
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      id just do silva > Zaha and play lawton over vardy, hoping son will start

  17. Kante Touch This
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    D.Silva most likely out (https://forums.bluemoon-mcfc.co.uk/threads/southampton-a-pre-match-thread.334433/page-26)

    Replacements:

    1. Arnie
    2. Martial
    3. B.Silva

    Thoughts?

    1. klavan
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      2

    2. Toplad
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      1

    3. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Tony.

    4. ZeBestee
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      2

    5. Hanniballus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I am faced with the same dilemma, except i already have arna. Maybe going 3 myself.

      1. Kante Touch This
        • 7 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        I'd bring in B.Silva but i don't know how likely he is to start

    6. Eo_K
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Would definitely take 2

  18. There's Always One!
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Play Davis or Mustafi?

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Davies of Spurs yes?

      1. There's Always One!
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Sorry yes Ben

        1. El-Kloppico
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Not starting according to rumours

    2. Positive vibes
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Bavies? He maybe not play so Mustafi will come as sub?

    3. tisza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      see previous page

  19. Sancidino
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    What to do with my city cover?

    A) Sterling out for Salah(-4)
    B)Jesus out for Auba/Lacazette(-4)
    C)Both out (-8)
    D)Just keep

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      D. Why get rid at all!

  20. Toplad
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Which one:

    A) Cresswell
    B) PVA

    Thanks !!!

    1. heyjoshuajames
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      B for me!

    2. Steve Stiffler
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      B fact

    3. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      B.

      1. Toplad
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        PVA it is...cheers !!

  21. Weeb Kakashi
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Chambers Vertonghen.

    Both should be starting isnt it?

    1. Steve Stiffler
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Yeah

  22. Steve Stiffler
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Chasing ML by 11 points and I have TC to try win league who to captain??

    Salah (he will probably captain him)
    Aub
    Sterling

    1. Toplad
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Aub

      1. Steve Stiffler
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Ahhhh so hard to pick, why?

    2. PDM TOP 1,000 any Season rc…
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Safer option is to mirror his (c) choice and pray your remaining X do you proud.

      1. Steve Stiffler
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        yeah that’s what I was thinking, Salah it is then thanks

        1. PDM TOP 1,000 any Season rc…
          • 16 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          If Salah goes nuts your laughing !

          1. PDM TOP 1,000 any Season rc…
            • 16 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            (You’re)

  23. Desperately Seeking Dusan
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Is Fernandinho in that leaked city team?

    1. klavan
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      yes

      1. Desperately Seeking Dusan
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Cheers

      2. tisza
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        link please

    2. rdamjan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      leaked city team?

    3. fr3d
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      There isn't a leaked city team, so no.

  24. heyjoshuajames
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    A) KDB -> Zaha & Austin -> Giroud (-4pts)
    B) Jesus -> Firmino & KDB -> Salah (-4pts)

    Chasing a ML lead by 18pts and he's took a 4pt hit so far!

  25. Optimus.
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Otamendi Smalling Naughton Hoorn Bednarek

    😎

    1. Guru Mediation
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      What's the otamendi rumour? Any word on Walker?

    2. BbBb
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Naughton at risk?

  26. alittlebitoffunman
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Is Jesus a good option for captain...?

    I dropped down to 5th in my mini-league; most of the guys in front of me have Salah, some Salah and Kane (only one has Salah as captain for sure); I'm 40 points behind 2nd place.

    Should I captain Jesus, Sterling, Eriksen, Salah, VVD ?

    My mini league leader took off, he's like 200 points ahead, so I shouldn't worry about him anymore right ?

  27. Richd
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    All these dumb last minute hits.

    You’ll regret them, avoid hits. Play Ryan. CChill.

    1. Patch
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      What you doing with Dilva?

      1. Richd
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        I don’t own him

  28. JoeJitzu +42
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    I have Otamendi and Valencia...
    Do I need to get rid of one??

    1. Positive vibes
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Not for a hit imo

  29. shirtless
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    McCarthy & Zaha
    or
    Romero & Silva (with VDH or Dummett subs)

    Basically who to trade out DDG or Silva?

    1. Positive vibes
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Romero and Zaha?

      1. shirtless
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Only one FT!

        1. Zladan
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Worth -4

  30. Kumpulan link gacor online …
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Barnes is out, does it worth to make extra - 4 to replace. Already have done 3 transfer and have 0. 1 itbI have BB chip, so YES/NO for Barnes transfer to:

    A) Jayew
    B) Peres
    C) keep it like it is

    1. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I did A. They need goals, crap opponents, star man.

      They don't score of course 🙂