Spot the Differential
13 May 2018 3273 comments
James H James H
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Sunday offers us a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

In recent seasons we’ve witnessed a goal rush in Gameweek 38, so we’ve opted for two French threats from Manchester United and Arsenal, while Liverpool’s cut-price full-back also finds a place in our selection as a result of his attacking prowess.

Alexandre Lacazette

While team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is the most transferred in-forward this week, it shouldn’t be forgotten that Alexandre Lacazette has also been in sensational form for Arsenal.

The French striker has produced five goals and one assist over his last five appearances and, after being rested for the 3-1 defeat to Leicester City, he should return for today’s trip to Huddersfield Town.

Lacazette is likely to start as the central striker for the Gunners, with Aubameyang playing from an inside-left position.

Interestingly, Lacazette has the edge in terms of minutes per shot between the two, averaging an attempt every 31.7 minutes, slightly superior to Aubameyang’s 33.

Although Arsenal have failed to win a single point on their travels in 2018, the fact the Terriers meeting is Arsene Wenger’s final match in charge of the club should provide strong motivation to end the season on a high.

The party atmosphere at the John Smith’s Stadium in light of Huddersfield securing Premier League safety could also be a factor.

The Gunners registered an emphatic 5-0 win when the two teams met earlier in the season, with Lacazette on the scoresheet.

Priced at 10.3 in FPL and ending the campaign full of confidence, the striker looks to have the platform to produce a third consecutive double-figure haul.

Owned by only 7.4% of managers, Lacazette is a player who has the potential to be a game-changer, particularly if he is also considered for the captaincy.

Anthony Martial

With Jose Mourinho revealing that Anthony Martial will be in his line-up today, the midfielder enters the equation as a final day gamble.

The France international has had limited first-team opportunities since the arrival of Alexis Sanchez in January, but the Hornets match-up looks crucial if he is to prove he has a long-term future at Old Trafford.

Martial has produced nine goals and six assists this season, while his average of a goal every 175.7 minutes is only bettered by Marouane Fellaini (153 minutes) among United players.

Watford travel north with just a single point gained from six away matches since Javi Gracia took charge, and having conceded ten goals in away defeats to top-six sides Arsenal, Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur.

Available at 7.8 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), Martial may be an option for managers who can afford to upgrade underperforming players such as Chelsea’s Willian.

With an ownership of 2.5%, the Frenchman represents a major differential for Gameweek 38.

An impressive record against Watford adds to his appeal. He has produced a goal and an assist in the corresponding fixture last season, which Mourinho’s side won 2-0, while he also netted in a 4-2 victory in the reverse fixture in November.

With a point to prove and an FA Cup final spot to play for, Martial fits the profile of a potentially explosive differential.

Trent Alexander-Arnold

While an extended run in Europe has blunted Liverpool’s attack of late, their defensive record at Anfield remains resolute.

Jurgen Klopp’s side have recorded four successive home clean sheets ahead of a visit from a Brighton side that rank joint-bottom for goals scored (ten) on the road.

With that in mind, we’re turning to Trent Alexander Arnold (5% ownership) as our final selection.

Having started only four of the last seven Gameweeks, the youngster’s acquisition admittedly comes with a slight caveat.

But with the Champions League final against Real Madrid taking place 13 days later, we reckon that the Reds’ manager will field a full-strength line-up to ensure a top-four finish.

This should see Alexander-Arnold return to the back-four, having been stationed in central midfield against Stoke City and Chelsea.

Over his last four at Anfield, the right-back is second only to Mohamed Salah when it comes to key passes (seven to eight) for the Reds.

Compared with other defenders over their respective last four home matches, he is placed fourth for both key passes and crosses (28).

Handily, his FPL output has profited from those underlying numbers – Alexander-Arnold has served up 29 points in his last four home fixtures, bagging maximum bonus on two occasions.

Second only to Patrick van Aanholt for transfers-in among defenders, a cost of only 4.4 looks ideal for those seeking to free up cash while recruiting a player with the potential for double figures.

  1. Basil1977
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    In all sorts of trouble this gameweek any advise got a 12 point lead in mini league.
    DDG, Ryan
    Vertonghen, Christian, Smalling, Lowton, Simpson
    Salah (c), Willian, Son, Ferdandhino, Gudmunsson
    Aubameyang, Vardy, Jesus

    0.2 itb

    1. RashFraud
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Looks good imo

  2. AF90
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Ryan,
    Lowton, Fernandez, Vertonghen, Otamendi
    Salah, Sterling, Mili, Son
    Kane, Jesus.

    Bench! DDG, Morgan, Barnes, Kenedy....

    Should I take a -4 for a better bench? Got Morgan coming on if someone doesn’t start & there’s a few doubts there!

  3. Powers106
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Chasing 28 points....

    Arnie c ??

    1. RashFraud
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Oh hell naww

  4. Ha.
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Hennessey
    VVD, Vertonghen, Tarkowski
    Salah (c), Alli, Mili, Sterling, Lingard
    Jesus, Kane

    G2G?

    1FT

  5. John Colby (C)
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    De Gea, Smalling, Chilwell, Carroll (Swansea) and Otamendi owner but no Salah. Defending 17 point lead in mini league. Any suggestions guys? Thinking of going -8 and bringing in Salah.

  6. Desperately Seeking Dusan
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Decided not to take a hit. Replacement for Lingard:
    A) Mili
    B) Gudmunsson
    C) Fernandinho

    1. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Personally A because he is troll for me and I have no palace. Plus they are in excellent form. But if you have no other Burnley, B is a solid pick too.

      1. Desperately Seeking Dusan
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Cheers

  7. Gunned Down
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Repost: Son keep or sell?

    if sell , then for whom? already have Arnie

    Options are martial,zaha,ramsey

    Would probably have to take a hit since i have smalling too!

    1. Viper
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      With that supposed team leak, I'd say keep him

      1. Desperately Seeking Dusan
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Which team leak Viper?

    2. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      keep imo

    3. NATSTER
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I sold for Salah. In your case, I'm leaning to keep.

      1. Patch
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Your grav makes me feel funny

  8. ooooo
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Any of these worth a -4?
    A) smalling to VVD
    B) DDG to Romero

  9. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Loris
    Fernandez smaling azpi lowotn (chilwel)
    Arnie sterling salah son (king)
    Jesus kane (barnes)

    Which?
    A) smaling to robertson/creswell/TAA
    B) smaling son barnes (-8) to TAA gudmundson firmino

    1. Toplad
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      A why not PVA

  10. klavan
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Will Cheek start?

    1. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Got an England place to play for so I should hope so.

  11. Manc
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Just made Hazard to Salah(c)
    I lead 32 points.
    I have:
    Tadic, shakiri, Ramsey, sterling,
    Kane, Jesu, murray
    Second One has:
    De bruyne, son, Kante, Groß,
    Kane, Jesus, rushford.
    Some advice for -4?
    Thanks in advance and good luck

  12. Weasel Boy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Lingard to Ferdandinho?

    1. Junior ⚽
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I would. Not that high of a ceiling but for that price he’s not bad.

      1. Weasel Boy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Yeah thinking that.
        Thanks

    2. Rik Waller
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      And the most boring transfer of the gw goes to...

      1. Weasel Boy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Only got 6.0 to spend.
        Not many options.

  13. Junior ⚽
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Lingard/DSilva to Arnie/Zaha -4 sensible?

    1. klavan
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      yes

    2. Sedemuda
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      yes good moves

  14. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    That Liverpool teamsheet contradicts the leaked Liverpool team sheet earlier with clyne

    One of them is telling fibs

    1. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Was there a previous one?

      1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Yep, posted in the morning from a inside source

    2. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      As long as Milner is in both then I am happy

    3. doublyG
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Where can you find the leak? Cant see anything from Anfield Express?

    4. Rik Waller
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      TAA?

  15. Arceus
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    From a Son owner all most season: He will start.

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Yeah but will he do anything? He hasn't delivered in ages

      1. yakirh
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Assist last GW..

  16. Bleach †
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Lads,

    Vardy to Giroud worth for a -4?

    1. Pariße
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      No. WIll he even start?

    2. Hairy Potter
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Wouldn’t for a hit

  17. El-Kloppico
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Best LFC def to get in for Bavies?

    a. VvD
    b. Robbo
    c. TAA

    1. Balotellitubbies
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      B

    2. BbBb
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      B

    3. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      B

  18. Pariße
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Captain:
    A) Kane
    B) De Bruyne
    C) Sterling

    1. Balotellitubbies
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Sterling, Kane vice cap

      1. Pariße
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Is he guaranteed to start?

    2. Bleach †
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Tempted with Sterling but I'll chicken out and go Kane

      1. Pariße
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Feeling the same although kane has been very unimpressive lately.

  19. cheekymonkeytoo
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Desperate for points to finish on decent mark - need more than luck but still change with taking -4 hit. Need to make up dozen points so try anything
    Assuming Smalling wont play > Arnold, then using £ to dump Young for Arni (assuming Young wont play either - dont ask why have him !!)
    ??

  20. arkom
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Smalling to:

    A) TAA
    B) Davies
    C) VVD
    D) Other?

    1. BbBb
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Robertson

    2. Balotellitubbies
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Robertson?

  21. Taking one for the team
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Is Ings likely to start with Mane out?

    1. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Nope

    2. klavan
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      lallana on the wing

      1. the dom 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        no, looks like Lallana, Salah with Bobby in the middle 🙂

  22. Lecky Legs FC
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Worth doing Smalling > VVD for a -4 hit my rival who's second in the ML has used his TC last GW on Jesus I'm using mine on Salah today and I'll be there live I suspect he will throw it on Firmino I'm 7 pts ahead currently what to do?

    1. Reggie Nainggolan
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Who would be playing instead of Smalling if you didn't transfer anymore

      1. Lecky Legs FC
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Wes Morgan

        1. Reggie Nainggolan
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          I would take the hit

  23. Hardly Athletic
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    0FT and 0.2ITB. Good to go?

    Fabianski
    van Dijk- Tomkins - Vertonghen
    Sterling - Arnautovic - Eriksen - Salah (c)
    Kane - Jesus - JAyew

    Subs: McCarthy - King - Dummett - Chilwell

  24. Shack
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    A: McArthur
    B: RLC
    Cheers!!!

  25. Big P
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Start Fernandez (STK) or Baines (whu) ???

    1. barracuda
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Baines

  26. Swinner
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Jonty, Mark are yet to make transfers but AZ has just broken rank!

    Is their any benefit in holding out and of so - where should I be looking for the breaking news!

    I have DDG (rotated) and Kenedy (out!) and D. Silva and Smalling - any definitive news on them?

    1. shirtless
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Same here re DDG Kenedy and Silva. It's Silva>Zaha, DDG>Romero or Kenedy>McArthur for the bench to cover Lingard and Silva...

  27. Reggie Nainggolan
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Worth taking out D Silva for a hit?

    Possible replacement
    Zaha
    Arnie
    Martial

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Zaha

  28. Ceebes
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    bottomed

    Headache - chasing 5 points in ML.

    1. Lingard to Ramsey
    2. Sane and DDG ---> Salah (and captain) and Karius (-4)
    3. Lingard and DDG --> Zaha/Arnie and Karius

    Any help much appreciated!

    1. frenchfries
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Ramsey might not be starting.
      Sane can do real damage.
      Like number 3 best out of those. I went Arnie

    2. Eo_K
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      From those options I would take 3, with Arnautovic

  29. frenchfries
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    GTG?

    Ryan
    Vertonghen Mustafi Lowton
    Sterling Alli Arnie Martial Gudmundsson
    Kane(C) Jesus

    DDG Dunk Morgan Barnes

  30. tisza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    is there a leaked City team? was mentioned earlier but can't find it

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      No Mendy or Yaya

    2. fr3d
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      No