Spot the Differential
13 May 2018 3273 comments
James H James H
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Sunday offers us a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

In recent seasons we’ve witnessed a goal rush in Gameweek 38, so we’ve opted for two French threats from Manchester United and Arsenal, while Liverpool’s cut-price full-back also finds a place in our selection as a result of his attacking prowess.

Alexandre Lacazette

While team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is the most transferred in-forward this week, it shouldn’t be forgotten that Alexandre Lacazette has also been in sensational form for Arsenal.

The French striker has produced five goals and one assist over his last five appearances and, after being rested for the 3-1 defeat to Leicester City, he should return for today’s trip to Huddersfield Town.

Lacazette is likely to start as the central striker for the Gunners, with Aubameyang playing from an inside-left position.

Interestingly, Lacazette has the edge in terms of minutes per shot between the two, averaging an attempt every 31.7 minutes, slightly superior to Aubameyang’s 33.

Although Arsenal have failed to win a single point on their travels in 2018, the fact the Terriers meeting is Arsene Wenger’s final match in charge of the club should provide strong motivation to end the season on a high.

The party atmosphere at the John Smith’s Stadium in light of Huddersfield securing Premier League safety could also be a factor.

The Gunners registered an emphatic 5-0 win when the two teams met earlier in the season, with Lacazette on the scoresheet.

Priced at 10.3 in FPL and ending the campaign full of confidence, the striker looks to have the platform to produce a third consecutive double-figure haul.

Owned by only 7.4% of managers, Lacazette is a player who has the potential to be a game-changer, particularly if he is also considered for the captaincy.

Anthony Martial

With Jose Mourinho revealing that Anthony Martial will be in his line-up today, the midfielder enters the equation as a final day gamble.

The France international has had limited first-team opportunities since the arrival of Alexis Sanchez in January, but the Hornets match-up looks crucial if he is to prove he has a long-term future at Old Trafford.

Martial has produced nine goals and six assists this season, while his average of a goal every 175.7 minutes is only bettered by Marouane Fellaini (153 minutes) among United players.

Watford travel north with just a single point gained from six away matches since Javi Gracia took charge, and having conceded ten goals in away defeats to top-six sides Arsenal, Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur.

Available at 7.8 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), Martial may be an option for managers who can afford to upgrade underperforming players such as Chelsea’s Willian.

With an ownership of 2.5%, the Frenchman represents a major differential for Gameweek 38.

An impressive record against Watford adds to his appeal. He has produced a goal and an assist in the corresponding fixture last season, which Mourinho’s side won 2-0, while he also netted in a 4-2 victory in the reverse fixture in November.

With a point to prove and an FA Cup final spot to play for, Martial fits the profile of a potentially explosive differential.

Trent Alexander-Arnold

While an extended run in Europe has blunted Liverpool’s attack of late, their defensive record at Anfield remains resolute.

Jurgen Klopp’s side have recorded four successive home clean sheets ahead of a visit from a Brighton side that rank joint-bottom for goals scored (ten) on the road.

With that in mind, we’re turning to Trent Alexander Arnold (5% ownership) as our final selection.

Having started only four of the last seven Gameweeks, the youngster’s acquisition admittedly comes with a slight caveat.

But with the Champions League final against Real Madrid taking place 13 days later, we reckon that the Reds’ manager will field a full-strength line-up to ensure a top-four finish.

This should see Alexander-Arnold return to the back-four, having been stationed in central midfield against Stoke City and Chelsea.

Over his last four at Anfield, the right-back is second only to Mohamed Salah when it comes to key passes (seven to eight) for the Reds.

Compared with other defenders over their respective last four home matches, he is placed fourth for both key passes and crosses (28).

Handily, his FPL output has profited from those underlying numbers – Alexander-Arnold has served up 29 points in his last four home fixtures, bagging maximum bonus on two occasions.

Second only to Patrick van Aanholt for transfers-in among defenders, a cost of only 4.4 looks ideal for those seeking to free up cash while recruiting a player with the potential for double figures.

  1. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Best midfield option for £10m or less?

    A - Zaha
    B - Sane
    C - Arnie

    Ryan
    Alonso - Long - Lowton - Naughton
    Sterling (c) - Eriksen - Son - X
    Jesus - Vardy

    DDG - GroB - Morgan - Barnes

  2. Grounderz
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Receiving reports on Twitter that Son to start...

    1. Richd
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I’d maybe punt over zaha

    2. yakirh
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      That would be great.
      Link?

  3. The Great Statuto
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    One past push - Rasford, Firminho or Giroud guys?

    1. The Great Statuto
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Last

  4. tisza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Start Mawson or Long?

  5. ooooo
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Any of these worth a -4?
    A) smalling to VVD
    B) DDG to Romero.

  6. Boxwoods
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    1FT

    A. Pogba or mane to martial (J Ayew first bench)
    B. Smalling out (Tark first bench def)
    C. Just stick.

    1. yakirh
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Stick?? 1FT final gameweek???
      Do A

  7. barracuda
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Play:

    A- Lowton
    B- Fernandez

    Already playing Fab and Long.

    Cheers fellas

    1. yakirh
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      A

  8. Pariße
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Can't afford a hit:
    A) Son ➡ Ramsey
    B) Vardy ➡ Giroud
    C) De Gea ➡ Romero or another GK

    1. Hy liverpool
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      c karius

      1. Pariße
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Not a bad bet, would've had to play Ryan otherwise.

  9. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    If spurs team is legit?

    Who is getting walker peters?

    1. CloudSky
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I have him. In draft.

    2. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I would if I needed a defender

    3. Pariße
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Where is it?

    4. Kingtekkerz
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Do you have a link to that team?

    5. Scapegoat Salah
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      What is this Spurs team?

      Thanks

  10. sambyy
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Any news if Ederson will play for City?

    1. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      He starts

  11. AzzaroMax99
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Hennessey
    Mustafi Lowton Vertonghen
    Salah(C) Sterling Zaha Arnie
    Kane JAyew Firmino

    DDG Kenedy* Morgan Mbemba

    G2G or go for another hit? On -4 already

    1. frenchfries
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      GTG

  12. Legohair
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Has Jose said anything about Smalling?rested maybe?just thinking should i sell him for a hit or just play Willian instead???

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Yes might be rested

      1. Legohair
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Would you sell him for a hit or just play Willian?

    2. NATSTER
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      He didn't but mentioned about starting other CBs.

  13. Greenbackbøøg…
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    That spurs team twitter account looks dodgy.. not verified and some questionable tweets

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Never tweeted a team sheet in his life

      1. Greenbackbøøg…
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Don't think it's real, can't find anything about Jamie stinton other than that account

        1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
          • 15 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          Underscore in his name too. Dodgy

  14. CloudSky
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    There is going to be some major scenes in an hour. 😀

    1. Guru Mediation
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      One last hurrah

  15. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Loris
    Fernandez smaling azpi lowotn (chilwel)
    Arnie sterling salah son (king)
    Jesus kane (barnes)

    A) smaling to robertson/creswell/TAA
    B) smaling son barnes (-8) to TAA gudmundson firmino (343, ferndnez bench)
    C) smaling chilwel to TAA creswel (-4) (442, fernandez bench)
    D) smaling king to gudmundson TAA (-4) (352, fernandez bench)

  16. Puzzle
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    DDG & Lingard to Arnie & Karius/Romero for -4? Ryan is my keeper sub.

    1. Ceebes
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      also in same position considering this, leaning towards Karius.

  17. Rabbinton
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Have a non playing bench.

    Best to use free transfer on

    a) Ibe > Loftus-Cheek
    b) Smalling > VVD

  18. Victor6359
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Would you do Eriksen to Zaha for -4? Zaha’s In form, Eriksen’s not.

    1. Puzzle
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      No way.

    2. Thiga
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Personally I wouldn't but the logic is sound

    3. yemzinho
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      not in a million years

      1. Victor6359
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Cheers fellas

    4. Hairy Potter
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Not sure I’d do it for free never mind for a hit

    5. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Wtf no

    6. The Nuttmxn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      No.

  19. ooooo
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Any of these worth a -4?
    A) smalling to VVD
    B) DDG to Romero,

    1. reeceon
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      No, unless your bench is non-existent

  20. barracuda
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Merson a bit of a twat, no?

    1. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Why whats he done

      1. barracuda
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        I just think he is a waste of space on the show. Can't provide with any valuable points about the sport. I may be wrong...

    2. Hairy Potter
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Don’t like him, but blame Sky for employing someone who acts like they’ve just got out of bed, hasn’t done any research for their punditry and brings all their bias and cliches from their playing career to their “insights” on tv.

    3. DJ1000
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Love Merson. Like a geezer down the pub

  21. _figu
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Have Davies, Alonso, Pogba.

    Worth taking any of them out for -4? 1st sub Cork if no shows.

    Won't catch in ML so only playing for best possible OR.

    1. reeceon
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      the problem is you gamble on which one to take out, use the FT transfer to strengthen your bench imo

    2. Jersey
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      no.

  22. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Any utd leaks guys?? Waiting until last moment to make transfers 🙂

    1. Ibracadabra
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      No but 7 starters have already been named and DDG/Smalling out with Lingard/Sanchez extremely doubtful.

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        What about pogba ?thanks for reply 🙂

    2. Guru Mediation
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      José has already said who will play. Check team news article

    3. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Here’s who Mourinho said would start this afternoon:

      Sergio Romero
      Daley Blind
      Eric Bailly
      Michael Carrick
      Juan Mata
      Anthony Martial
      Marcus Rashford

  23. Maarrrr17
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Chasing 12 points for Mini League, leader has salah, i dont..

    Fabianski
    Tarkowski, Mustafi, Robertson
    Sterling, Erikson, Silva, Lingard, King
    Ayew, Jesus, Kane

    Silva + Lingard > Son / Arnie /Martial

    Thoughts pls?

  24. Gruu
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Mustafi or one of Burnley defender to TAA/Robertson?

  25. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    A) smaling to robertson/creswell/TAA (442, fernandez play)

    B) smaling son barnes (-8) to TAA gudmundson firmino (343, ferndnez bench)

    C) smaling chilwel to TAA creswel (-4) (442, fernandez bench)

    D) smaling king to gudmundson TAA (-4) (352, fernandez bench)

  26. reeceon
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Surely even if you are 95% sure DDG will not start, you still play him over Ryan just incase he does start?

    1. Guru Mediation
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      No harm in that

    2. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Yes

    3. VDiesel26
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Yes

    4. _figu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Of course

    5. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Yes totes

    6. Runaway
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      If I kept him, I would absolutely start him over Ryan even for a %0.01 chance.

    7. XabiAlonso
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Ryan edges him on recent form imo

    8. Jersey
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      for sure

  27. Bubz
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    These last minute leaks are killing me. Really can’t decide whether to sell Son to Salah. Would be so typical for him to troll me one last time and start and score a brace when I sell him

    1. NATSTER
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I didn't care and made that switch. He might troll me with a brace really.

  28. Guru Mediation
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Is Walker starting in these city rumoured teams?

  29. Sz21
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Tadic or Gross.

    If you had to choose 1 to start who would it be?

  30. Zinadine_Gerrard
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    I have Jesus and 1FT, worth to go Jesus -> Laca to get Arsenal cover. I have Gund in my midfield. Defending first place in my ML