Podcast

FPL Breakfast Club – Episode 8 – Hazard a Guess

3 November 2018 951 comments
DavidMunday815 DavidMunday815
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Join us for another episode of Breakfast Club today as we prepare for the Gameweek 11 deadline.

You can watch the show either on our YouTube channel where we will be live from 11:15am until 11:30am.

Joe will be joined by FPL General and Luke today to discuss plans for the next weekend of FPL action, with likely a debate over what to do with Eden Hazard (£11.3m) after Maurizio Sarri’s comments yesterday.

The General is coming off the back of some tricky weeks, his Gameweek 8 transfers coming back to bite him particularly viciously.

Meanwhile, Luke will update us on his 2018/19 journey after a technical problem ruled him out of this week’s Scoutcast.

We will also have the team news for Manchester United’s lunch-time trip to Bournemouth.

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951 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Jafooli
    8 years, 4 days ago

    Anyone here still use the internet? So 2005......

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    1. Differential C (Mark)
      8 years, 4 days ago

      Whats that? Im currently using the Arpanet, is that similar?

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      1. ZeBestee
        8 years, 4 days ago

        You mean Address resolution protocol ?

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  2. Dosh
    8 years, 4 days ago

    Sterling captain.. game on!

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    1. Holmes
      8 years, 4 days ago

      nope, its tommorow

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      1. Jafooli
        8 years, 4 days ago

        So game might still get postponed?

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      2. Dosh
        8 years, 4 days ago

        Lol I'll come back tomorrow to say this

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    2. HurriKane
      8 years, 4 days ago

      nice. fancy him to really well this gw

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  3. Team Cruel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    8 years, 4 days ago

    Anyone else start Hamer over Patricio?

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    1. Differential C (Mark)
      8 years, 4 days ago

      Hamer's League.-One quality. Nowhere near PL level.

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    2. potatoace
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      8 years, 4 days ago

      o/

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    3. andywalks5300
      8 years, 4 days ago

      Love your confidence in pat if you've played a non playing keeper over him 😉 I had both but shipped pat this week as I've got Doherty and needed to mitigate some risk

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    4. Dosh
      8 years, 4 days ago

      o/

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    5. Cilly Bonnolly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      8 years, 4 days ago

      I started him over Alisson.

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  4. It’s gonna Ben Mee
    8 years, 4 days ago

    Went Ryan instead of Fabianski. Pretty sure that will come back to haunt me.

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    1. Regin
      8 years, 4 days ago

      dumb move. west ham play at home to burnley.

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      1. It’s gonna Ben Mee
        8 years, 4 days ago

        Yup, very dumb

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  5. Federico
    8 years, 4 days ago

    Vardy (C), no City up front. Dear god, what have I done? Second in my ML pre GW.

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    1. twoplustwo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      8 years, 4 days ago

      Well it's bold...

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      1. Federico
        8 years, 4 days ago

        Felt like my team is full of people deserving one last chance. Richarlison, Mitrovic etc.
        Left 3.1 unused in the bank. Will be good with 2FT.

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    2. It’s gonna Ben Mee
      8 years, 4 days ago

      Could work out. Remember that GW when Kane was essential?

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      1. Federico
        8 years, 4 days ago

        Yeah, I didn't have him 😉

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    3. Obi-1 Kenobi-0
      8 years, 4 days ago

      Very bold. No telling how Leicester will react, but hopefully they'll come out and put on a good show.

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      1. Federico
        8 years, 4 days ago

        Fingers crossed. Good luck to you!

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    4. altan8797
      8 years, 4 days ago

      I will pray for you brave man

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    5. Cilly Bonnolly
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      8 years, 4 days ago

      That’s a bold strategy Cotton. Let’s see if it pays off for him.

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  6. twoplustwo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    8 years, 4 days ago

    Laca to Arnie -4 for this week. Feels pretty good!

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    1. La Roja
      8 years, 4 days ago

      Same here

      Cue Arnie blank and Laca haul

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      1. twoplustwo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        8 years, 4 days ago

        Yes, exactly

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  7. Jafooli
    8 years, 4 days ago

    Okay, serious question......has any mathematicians or statisticians worked out what percentage of FPL is luck? Will increase in player/team/game data, I’m sure it’s slowly reducing season on season, but still not by much. I reckon 70-80% of FPL is luck.

    Please show your workings.

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    1. Respect My Authoritah
      8 years, 4 days ago

      You'd be lucky to get a correct answer

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    2. La Roja
      8 years, 4 days ago

      You’re pushing your luck here...

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    3. Holmes
      8 years, 4 days ago

      depends what luck is...

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    4. IRBOX ⚽
      8 years, 4 days ago

      To how many decimals?

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    5. FPL Daniel
      8 years, 4 days ago

      Same debate as poker

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      1. twoplustwo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        8 years, 4 days ago

        Yes, which is why it's amusing to see how wild people get over a poor score in 1 GW.

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    6. Dr. Mantis Toboggan
      8 years, 4 days ago

      This would be an absolute nightmare to attempt, and at the end of the day it would be barely more than guesswork.

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      1. twoplustwo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        8 years, 4 days ago

        If you have a good sample of years (i.e. finishing top 10k consistently) you can estimate whether or not a player is running hot, cold etc.

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    7. twoplustwo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      8 years, 4 days ago

      Much like poker, markets etc.: the edge against poor players is massive, but the variance keeps them interested. Between two expert players over the course of 1 season I would expect the difference in score to be almost purely down to randomness (assuming 1 player doesn't have a tendency to take rash hits every week!).

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    8. RoysCallerAnne
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      8 years, 4 days ago

      41% luck.

      I can't show you my workings as it involved maffs with no numbers but loads of those Greek letters. Some of the Greek letters are smaller and are perched on the top right hand corner of the other Greek letters.
      There are also various types of brackets around some of the Greek letters.

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    9. Ligdon
      8 years, 4 days ago

      https://www.google.ie/amp/s/amp.reddit.com/r/FantasyPL/comments/4f1dg8/the_fundamental_theorem_of_fpl/#ampf=undefined

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    10. Corgz Dark side of the Loon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      8 years, 4 days ago

      100% Skill..............well in my case it is

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    11. Brosstan
      8 years, 4 days ago

      Depends on the skill difference between players. Complete casual noob versus someone taking it seriously, its 99% skill. Two experienced players playing one season against each other its probably at least 90% luck.

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  8. Dynamic Duos
    8 years, 4 days ago

    We all own Aguero anyway and we all want a big haul , just not as big as the (c).

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    1. IRBOX ⚽
      8 years, 4 days ago

      If you didn’t captain, you don’t want him to haul at all. EO will kill you

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      1. FPL Daniel
        8 years, 4 days ago

        2 letters: E.O.

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      2. Dynamic Duos
        8 years, 4 days ago

        Not even if your (c) scores higher

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        1. IRBOX ⚽
          8 years, 4 days ago

          Nope

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          1. Dynamic Duos
            8 years, 4 days ago

            That makes no sense and you are wrong

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            1. IRBOX ⚽
              8 years, 4 days ago

              Ok. I don’t have time to go into deep mathematical analysis here.. but I beg to differ

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    2. Ligdon
      8 years, 4 days ago

      Lol i dont 🙂

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    3. Obi-1 Kenobi-0
      8 years, 4 days ago

      I've always wondered what the ideal situation for non-captaining owners is. Typically like them to get a goal/assist but that's it. Gives a little boost over those who don't own, but gives room for my captain to outscore quite easily.

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      1. Dynamic Duos
        8 years, 4 days ago

        Yeh as long as your (c) gets more points then it is a net +

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        1. Obi-1 Kenobi-0
          8 years, 4 days ago

          You say that, but I'd rather Aguero get 6 and Salah get 20 points, than Aguero get 19 and Salah get 20. Means you've gained more of a benefit by choosing the correct captain.

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        2. the axolotl
          8 years, 4 days ago

          Lol no it isn't if their EO is over 100%

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    4. altan8797
      8 years, 4 days ago

      hope jesus starts

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  9. FPL Daniel
    8 years, 4 days ago

    Great breakfast club lads...

    On another note isn't this period kind of annoying when we can't access out teams and start tinkering next week already?

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    1. FPL Daniel
      8 years, 4 days ago

      *out=our

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    2. Holmes
      8 years, 4 days ago

      its relaxing, dont have to think about team for 15-20mins...

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      1. Old Wulfrunian
        8 years, 4 days ago

        Liar

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  10. Old Wulfrunian
    8 years, 4 days ago

    Jose has explained @RomeluLukaku9's absence to BT Sport:

    "In training yesterday, after the press conference, he felt something that needs to be studied in the next couple of days. So Lukaku has not come and we decided to start with Alexis."

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    1. Rogue Todd
      8 years, 4 days ago

      His cock?

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      1. Jafooli
        8 years, 4 days ago

        😮

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        1. lespaul
          8 years, 4 days ago

          He's not come

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      2. ClassiX
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        8 years, 4 days ago

        Definitely needs to be studied if he's not come...

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    2. Greenbackbøøg…
      8 years, 4 days ago

      lol nice excuse

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  11. Game of Throw_ins
    8 years, 4 days ago

    Did Holebas+Maddison+Wilson ➡ Mendy+Barkley+Arnie for -8.
    Hoping it pays back in next 2 GWs.

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  12. altan8797
    8 years, 4 days ago

    whatever happened to lukaku

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    1. Rogue Todd
      8 years, 4 days ago

      Something to do with his cock apparently

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      1. Pep Pig
        8 years, 4 days ago

        Haha even funnier second time lol

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    2. HurriKane
      8 years, 4 days ago

      became mark henry 2.0

      guy needs to shed some serious weight.

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  13. Tsparkes10
    8 years, 4 days ago

    Fab
    TAA, Mendy, Alonso
    Fraser, Hazard, Salah, Schurlle
    Vardy, Aguero (C)

    (Speroni, Doherty, AWB, H-Odoi)

    I do not know why i started Jimenez over Doherty but owells. Did Schmeical to Fab whilst drunk even though a bit sideways. Hopefully atleast 60 points

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  14. gaurava1216
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    8 years, 4 days ago

    Richarlyson Captain... What have i done...

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    1. Surfeit of Lampteys
      8 years, 4 days ago

      Missed out on a load of points?

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      1. Obi-1 Kenobi-0
        8 years, 4 days ago

        You're a little bundle of joy aren't you. All of your recent comments are taking jokes badly, being negative towards people or correcting grammar.

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        1. ClassiX
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          8 years, 4 days ago

          You forgot the ? after "....aren't you."

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          1. Obi-1 Kenobi-0
            8 years, 4 days ago

            😆

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    2. Klein
      8 years, 4 days ago

      Omg what have you done???

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  15. Ha.
    8 years, 4 days ago

    Aguero and Maddison > Salah (c) and Murray?

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    1. It’s gonna Ben Mee
      8 years, 4 days ago

      Wouldn’t lose Aguero. Must be another way.

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      1. Ha.
        8 years, 4 days ago

        Only brought Aguero in for this fixture. Would much rather Salah.

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  16. It’s gonna Ben Mee
    8 years, 4 days ago

    Come on update...

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  17. Chenku╰☆╮
    8 years, 4 days ago

    Lukaku captain fail then.. welcome kun..

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    1. Old Wulfrunian
      8 years, 4 days ago

      Aye,right.

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    2. Brosstan
      8 years, 4 days ago

      Do you ever post something thats true?

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      1. La Roja
        8 years, 4 days ago

        Nothing is true on internet

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        1. Ha.
          8 years, 4 days ago

          This is true...or is it?

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          1. Chenku╰☆╮
            8 years, 4 days ago

            All suspect

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  18. Gobigorgohome
    8 years, 4 days ago

    Aguero and Maddisom to Mane and Vardy?

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  19. onceuponatyne
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    8 years, 4 days ago

    Why the Hazard exodus?
    He's gonna play 45mins or so.
    Aguero's one of the most owned players in the game, and he's lucky to get more than 60 any week.

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    1. Greenbackbøøg…
      8 years, 4 days ago

      People are impatient by nature

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      1. onceuponatyne
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        8 years, 4 days ago

        It is easy to swap Haz for Sterling or someone for a week - get him back...
        I just think it's bizarre SO many have ditched. Sterling/Aguero/Mahrez .etc might not even get as many minutes as Haz.

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        1. Obi-1 Kenobi-0
          8 years, 4 days ago

          Easy? Hazard has gone up nearly a million in price. People who bought at 10.5 are throwing away TV if they remove him.

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          1. altan8797
            8 years, 4 days ago

            this

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          2. onceuponatyne
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            8 years, 4 days ago

            Well, that's kind of my original point - I don't get it.
            Here, I meant it's tempting (better phrase than easy) to do a one week swap if you've transfers to spend.

            He's had a lot of transfers out this week, I'd say an excessive amount even if he was injured for the week. He's going to play 45mins or so, so I don't get it.

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            1. Obi-1 Kenobi-0
              8 years, 4 days ago

              Agreed. If we're happy to keep Hourguero playing 65 mins each week, why wouldn't we be happy to keep Hazard playing 45 for one week only.

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      2. IRBOX ⚽
        8 years, 4 days ago

        I wonder why that is inheritantly part of a majority of biological DNA, yet the old adage goes ‘good things come to those who wait’

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        1. Corgz Dark side of the Loon
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          8 years, 4 days ago

          not to mention the money you lose for selling Haz and what it cost to bring him back......madness

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        2. IRBOX ⚽
          8 years, 4 days ago

          Inherently*

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    2. RoysCallerAnne
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      8 years, 4 days ago

      saw it as an opportunity.

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      1. potatoace
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        8 years, 4 days ago

        Mahrez?

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        1. RoysCallerAnne
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          8 years, 4 days ago

          yes and Arnautovic and Chilwell and a -8 😳

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          1. potatoace
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            8 years, 4 days ago

            Oh..may the best man win.
            Nirv div1.

            I did awb > balb

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            1. RoysCallerAnne
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              8 years, 4 days ago

              Good luck!

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  20. Woy_is_back
    8 years, 4 days ago

    FPL still updating dafuq!? 30 minutes now

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    1. La Roja
      8 years, 4 days ago

      Above reply

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    2. The 5% Team
      8 years, 4 days ago

      always is 30 min or so , is it not?

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    3. Old Wulfrunian
      8 years, 4 days ago

      Every Saturday.

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    4. It’s gonna Ben Mee
      8 years, 4 days ago

      https://i.imgur.com/pyFY72V.gif

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      1. La Roja
        8 years, 4 days ago

        😀

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    5. altan8797
      8 years, 4 days ago

      Im pretty sure everything is same as you left

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  21. 1zverGGadeM
    8 years, 4 days ago

    Updated

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  22. JELLYFISH
    8 years, 4 days ago

    Thinking of doing Mane > Salah for gw12 on a FT.

    Yes/no?

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    1. Ha.
      8 years, 4 days ago

      No

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  23. Dynamic Duos
    8 years, 4 days ago

    My gwk doesn't start till 2pm 🙁

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    1. Holmes
      8 years, 4 days ago

      0 from 0 would be a nice score to brag after this game

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      1. Differential C (Mark)
        8 years, 4 days ago

        Likely, with Troy being injured.

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        1. Differential C (Mark)
          8 years, 4 days ago

          Reply fial lol

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  24. EgyptianKing
    8 years, 4 days ago

    Success should start?

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  25. Chenku╰☆╮
    8 years, 4 days ago

    If the man city lineup rumours are true it is going to be a blood bath..

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    1. Brosstan
      8 years, 4 days ago

      😆

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    2. Tshelby
      8 years, 4 days ago

      Not this again

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    3. Gerd Mueller’s thighs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      8 years, 4 days ago

      What rumors?

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    4. Srv210
      8 years, 4 days ago

      What are these rumors??

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  26. Differential C (Mark)
    8 years, 4 days ago

    Jose Mourinho on Valencia:

    "He put something funny on his Instagram. He says he 'work, work, work'. He should say he 'work, work, work alone because I am injured and cannot train with the team'. He is working really really hard without the ball and without the team."

    Oh Jose. . . .

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    1. JJO
      8 years, 4 days ago

      what an idiot

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    2. Witty Pun: Not good at this…
      8 years, 4 days ago

      To be fair if you put the rest of the quote in and the context of the question nit isn't nearly as bad

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      1. Differential C (Mark)
        8 years, 4 days ago

        Not saying its bad haha, just funny. Forgot to put "xD" in my comment haha

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  27. Mreidfelt
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    8 years, 4 days ago

    Wish you all a good game week...I wish for Barkley to not get attacking points, Mendy to be rotated and Deulofeu to get a brace...sounds a tall order lol

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    1. Differential C (Mark)
      8 years, 4 days ago

      Cheers, good luck to you too!

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  28. Brosstan
    8 years, 4 days ago

    I have a feeling Leicester will disappoint today. Cardiff win on the cards.

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    1. Holmes
      8 years, 4 days ago

      boring 0-0 would be nice

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    2. Old Wulfrunian
      8 years, 4 days ago

      I bought Chilwell so i hope not.I think Leicester will win.

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  29. diesel001
    8 years, 4 days ago

    Liking the Utd line-up other than Mata (prefer Rashford). Would be a very mobile and quick front three with Rashford-Sanchez-Martial and a powerful midfield with Fred-Pogba-Matic. Good blend of attributes.

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  30. french holiday
    8 years, 4 days ago

    sanchez bandwagon incoming?

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