Pro Pundits - Andy
17 July 2020 3051 comments
andy85wsm andy85wsm
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Ownership is often discussed within the Fantasy Premier League community.

Is a player so highly owned that it’s a risk to sell? Does a player have low enough ownership to consider them as a true differential? These are just some of the conversations FPL managers will have over 38 Gameweeks.

A lot of the time FPL managers will look for differentials under 10% ownership, or preferably under 5% ownership, but I think a player can have 30-40% ownership and still be considered a differential.

At that level of ownership, every six or seven managers out of 10 don’t own that player – that’s still big in my books, especially if the player mentioned is a reliable heavy hitter. When you factor in captaincy, you could be onto a winner.

In this article, I’m going to look at the top 10,000 ownership levels from Live FPL to see if we can determine who might be some of the best differentials going into the final two Gameweeks of the season.

I’m using top 10,000 ownership is I think that’s a better indicator at this stage of the season of active FPL manager ownership than overall ownership, which may include some teams that are no longer active.

Additionally, it’s where a lot of people are striving to finish by the end of the season.

It’s also worth noting that these ownership levels are taken from Gameweek 36+. Any transfers before Gameweek 37+ won’t be included so it’s possible that ownership levels could be higher or lower, especially if a player has performed well, or poorly in the recent Gameweek, and of course dependent on upcoming fixtures. But either way, it’s still a good indicator.

Lets take a look at some of the most popular teams first.

FPL Lessons Learned From Gameweek 36+

3,051 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. balint84
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 10 days ago

    TC Fernandes or Salah?

    1. Saint Tim
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      Bruno

    2. fc_skrald
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      Mr Salah

    3. @johnnyteams
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      Salah

  2. OptimusBlack
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 10 days ago

    Differential C for GW 37 !!

    1. TheDragon
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      Foden 😉

      1. Moderately content penguin
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 10 days ago

        With VC on ....

    2. StayoutheSpiceZone
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      Salah

    3. The Wizard of Ozil
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      Thinking Ings again

    4. Brazooka
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      Jiminezzz

  3. Dynamic Duos
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 10 days ago

    0 bonus for Antonio

    1. FPL Pillars
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      Yup

    2. KAPTAIN KANE SERVES THE PAI…
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      Needs at least 4 to get bonus (the new Salah)

  4. royals forever
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 10 days ago

    Help is needed please

    Which transfer would you do as a 1 week punt (FHing in 38)

    Pulisic > Antonio

    or

    Azpilicueta > VVD

    Rest of Team

    Pope Ramsdale

    Boly Egan Fernandez Stevens xxxxxxxx

    KDB Martial Foden Fernandes xxxxxxxx

    Jesus Rashford Ings

    Any ideas would be welcomed

    1. FDMS All Starz
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      I’d get Tarkowski, Burnley are almost guaranteed a CS and he is a threat in corners

  5. PMz
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 10 days ago

    I’m 30 points behind in my ML with BB and TC still in the bank (my opponent has neither left). 0.0 ITB, is the right strategy to BB GW37 and do Taylor > Bardsley/Long. Then TC a City player in GW38?

    Ederson

    Azpi Lundstram Saiss Bednerek Taylor*

    Martial Fernandes KdB Pulisic Salah

    Ings Greenwood Jesus

  6. Bubz
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 10 days ago

    Are West Ham safe from relegation now?

    1. Moderately content penguin
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      Yep

      Goal difference

    2. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      Infinitesimally small chance of being relegated.

  7. Moderately content penguin
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 10 days ago

    Nice statting from Barney Ronay in the Guardian

    Apparently Kane has 31 goals in 38 matches this year when you factor in England. Also apparently that’s better than Messi et al.

    England must be good 🙂

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      This year or this season?

      1. Moderately content penguin
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 10 days ago

        Season

      2. The Count of Monte Cristo
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 10 days ago

        Must be this season - nobody is playing 38 games in 2020 with COVID around haha.

  8. CBonci
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 10 days ago

    Crazy to TC Ings this week? Bournemouth have to go for it and Ings is always ready to pounce

  9. Drexl Spivey
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 10 days ago

    Is it reasonably safe to assume Charlie Taylor won't make it back for GW38?

    Pieters the obvious replacement?

    1. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      I got Long. Hoping he scores a header vs Norwich

    2. Botman and Robben
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      Yup, sell.

  10. OverTinker
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 10 days ago

    Foden to Pulisic? yes or no?

    1. Rinseboy
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      what? most people want rid of Pullisic and more city players?

      1. OverTinker
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 10 days ago

        its all because of PEP

    2. Saint Tim
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      No way jose

  11. Cok3y5murf
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 10 days ago

    Which pair scores more in GW38?

    A) Mane + Ings
    B) Mahrez + Auba (-4)

    1. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      A

    2. Saint Tim
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      A

    3. CBonci
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      I would go A

  12. JURGENAUT
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 10 days ago

    Mourinho regarding Aurier (pre-match presser)

    Jose Mourinho has admitted he is unsure at present if Serge Aurier will take part in Tottenham's game against Leicester City on Sunday.
    "Let's see, let's wait."
    "If he comes back tonight to train tomorrow morning he will be, I don't know, he will be available."
    "He did it in very difficult circumstances against Newcastle. Now he goes to France, to see family, comes back."
    "Let's see. It'll be always Serge's decision, it'll be him opening his heart and let us understand his conditions."

    What do you predict from that?

    1. Rinseboy
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      impossible to know. 50/50

    2. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      The fact he played the Newc match suggests he is very keen to continue playing, so I would expect that to continue, but who knows

      1. JURGENAUT
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 10 days ago

        Yeah I was thinking the same... to replace him I'd have to take a -4 hit which I'm not too keen on. I feel like starting him, no bench replacement so its a risk but maybe he starts after all

  13. StayoutheSpiceZone
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 10 days ago

    Gonna take a -4 but for which one

    A) PVA out for Dunk
    B) PVA our for Tark
    C) Pulisic out for David Silva

    My defence is currently VVD and Justin but then I have Azpi, PVA and Dawson. Azpi I plan on playing on the final week.

    I have Jesus and foden for coverage for city currently

    Thanks.

    1. Saint Tim
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      B, c, a

    2. mysteryDave
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      B)

      Leave C) to next week. D Silva may not play this week.

  14. The Count of Monte Cristo
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 10 days ago

    Are there any teams whose players you have not owned at all this season?

    For me it's Watford, Palace, West Ham and Bournemouth.

    1. Drexl Spivey
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      Wham and Watford.

    2. CBonci
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      For me it’s Watford and Palace. West Ham only last 2 GWs during which Antonio has been a stud!

    3. Moderately content penguin
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      Clean sweep

      Managed it by week 23 or so.

      No Rico or Kelly then? Offbeat 🙂

      1. The Count of Monte Cristo
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 10 days ago

        Nope, and I only owned Man Utd post-lockdown!

        1. Moderately content penguin
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 10 days ago

          Didn’t expect to have Newcastle or Watford

          Bit surprised to see Palace recurring here. Really cheap defence that performed well until flip flops - equal almost to SU and had an amazing fixture run

    4. AzzaroMax99
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      Crystal Palace

  15. Dynamic Duos
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 10 days ago

    Actually just found Bournemouth at 11/4 to stay up, want some of that.

    1. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      Could beat Everton final day to stay up tbf

    2. Rinseboy
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      yeah think they beat Southampton

  16. Flaps
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 10 days ago

    This whole article is written upon hope and past tense, listen to what could have happened like the press. Play your own game

  17. nico05
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 10 days ago

    Will Liverpool likely play their strongest 11 now for the remaining two games?
    Best forward 8 mil and below.
    Cheers

    1. @persecuted_by_mods
      6 years, 10 days ago

      Normally I'd say no but they've been so bad that changes must be on the way? I'm hoping that it's just the midfield though

      1. nico05
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 10 days ago

        I specifically had TAA in mind didnt know whether to ship him out to upgrade my forward

  18. fc_skrald
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 10 days ago

    Anything worth doing with a free transfer for this bench boost team? (will use the free hit chip gw38):
    Pope
    TAA, Tarkowsk, Egan
    Pulisic, Fernandes, Antonio, Salah, KDB
    Auba, Ings

    Martinez, Saiss, Lamptey, Greenwood
    0.0 million in the bank

    1. Moderately content penguin
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      Mo to Sterling perhaps if it’s free

      1. fc_skrald
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 10 days ago

        One free transfer - but will captain mr. Salah for one last time

        1. Moderately content penguin
          • 7 Years
          6 years, 10 days ago

          Fair dos

          He’s due and overdue

  19. Fuddled FC
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 10 days ago

    Which one?

    a) Saiss
    b) Tarkowski
    c) Stevens

  20. NATSTER
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 10 days ago

    What to do with Vardy?

    (A) Vardy (tot) -> Jesus (wat) .. but there is FA Cup game for City
    (B) Keep for another week
    (C) Out for someone else

    1. nico05
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      Keep

  21. ralfb
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 10 days ago

    Martínez
    Vvd Doherty aurier lascalles Stephens
    Kdb mane Bruno martial foden
    Dcl Vardy Greenwood

    Have one ft and 3.7 itb
    Any suggestions what transfers to make as not sure which city players play, aurier as well , thanks in advance

  22. michaelington
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 10 days ago

    West Ham nothing to play for against Man United. Brave for anyone not to captain a United player.

    1. CBonci
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      I am between Bruno and Ings for my TC. Due to needing to win for champs league we are confident Bruno starts GW 37 right?

      1. michaelington
        • 16 Years
        6 years, 10 days ago

        He will bar any injury. Bournemouth will be scrapping for their lives so might put me off Ings. I’m thinking Rashford as a slight differential, looks the sharpest out of the United assets.

    2. el polako
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      Their manager got something to prove at Old Trafford...

  23. Dosh
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 10 days ago

    No point to take a hit for a keeper on BB right?

    1. CBonci
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      I wouldn’t no

    2. Drexl Spivey
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      I wouldn't think like that. If it boosts a decent starting 15 then just go for it.

  24. Stimps
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 10 days ago

    Play Long (Burn) or Digne?

  25. JURGENAUT
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 10 days ago

    Surely Walker starts FA Cup and benched for Watford?

  26. Rinseboy
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 10 days ago

    Right can I get as many votes on this. Do you think Dilva starts in 37?

    Yes

    or

    No?

    1. JURGENAUT
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      No

    2. Le _ Professeur
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      I think he starts, I feel he will be benched for the FA cup game and hence starting the Watford game

  27. Mitos77
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 10 days ago

    Who start last 2 games for Man City:
    a)Mendy
    b)Laporte
    c)Walker

    1. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      B

    2. Rash
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 10 days ago

      none

  28. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 10 days ago

    Greenwood -> Wood Y o N?

  29. Who are all Lukakus
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 10 days ago

    Who score more this week

    A. Martial + KDB (-4)

    B. Pulisic + Sterling/Mane

    Who to bench

    1. Foden

    2. Greenwood

  30. Rash
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 10 days ago

    Suggestions on a 1 week punt before I FH in 38..

    Pope
    Stevens lundstram Doherty
    Sterling kdb martial Bruno
    Greenwood jimenez ings

    Henderson pulisic alonso lascelles

    1ft 1.2itb