Pro Pundits - Andy
17 July 2020 3051 comments
andy85wsm andy85wsm
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Ownership is often discussed within the Fantasy Premier League community.

Is a player so highly owned that it’s a risk to sell? Does a player have low enough ownership to consider them as a true differential? These are just some of the conversations FPL managers will have over 38 Gameweeks.

A lot of the time FPL managers will look for differentials under 10% ownership, or preferably under 5% ownership, but I think a player can have 30-40% ownership and still be considered a differential.

At that level of ownership, every six or seven managers out of 10 don’t own that player – that’s still big in my books, especially if the player mentioned is a reliable heavy hitter. When you factor in captaincy, you could be onto a winner.

In this article, I’m going to look at the top 10,000 ownership levels from Live FPL to see if we can determine who might be some of the best differentials going into the final two Gameweeks of the season.

I’m using top 10,000 ownership is I think that’s a better indicator at this stage of the season of active FPL manager ownership than overall ownership, which may include some teams that are no longer active.

Additionally, it’s where a lot of people are striving to finish by the end of the season.

It’s also worth noting that these ownership levels are taken from Gameweek 36+. Any transfers before Gameweek 37+ won’t be included so it’s possible that ownership levels could be higher or lower, especially if a player has performed well, or poorly in the recent Gameweek, and of course dependent on upcoming fixtures. But either way, it’s still a good indicator.

Lets take a look at some of the most popular teams first.

FPL Lessons Learned From Gameweek 36+

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  1. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 9 days ago

    Morning, which move?

    A) Aurier to Tarkowski

    B) Aurier/Vardy to Tarkowski/Jesus -4

    C) Aurier/Vardy to Tarkowski/Auba -4

    1. Boo Ya Ka Sha
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      A or C, up to you.

    2. NestorC
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      A

    3. sminkypinky
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      As TM previoslu replied to me, Jesus would be a seventh start, so if playing really safe A, little more carefully C and the riskien option B

      1. Pukki Party
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 9 days ago

        This

    4. tucaoneo
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      I did A.

  2. Gringo Kid
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 9 days ago

    Chasing 30 points in my major cash league, what would you change here guys

    Martinez (McCarthy)
    TAA, Maguire, Saiss (Ritchie, Taylor)
    Salah, Foden, KDB, Fernandes (Pulisic)
    Ings, Jimmy, Greenwood

    0 FT, 2.8 ITB

    Thanks

    1. Boo Ya Ka Sha
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      Tough. Save the hit for next week. Jesus for Jimmy 38

  3. sminkypinky
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 9 days ago

    Will I get 3 starters out of
    Doherty TAA Aurier Holgate Robinson?

    Probably not, right?

    1. Sgt Frank Drebin
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      Doherty, TAA and Aurier should play I think.

      1. n14mul
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 9 days ago

        I thought aurier was in France???

        1. Sgt Frank Drebin
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 9 days ago

          Oh so, maybe not, didn't know that. I thought that if he played the last game he should also start the next one.

        2. sminkypinky
          • 14 Years
          6 years, 9 days ago

          Could stay there or come back for todays practice according to Jose

      2. sminkypinky
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 9 days ago

        Would you risk Aurier? Since probably not getting help from bench.

    2. Whats the Huth
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      Yep. Doherty. TAA. Robinson starts

      1. sminkypinky
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 9 days ago

        Jack Robinson? Really?

  4. Boo Ya Ka Sha
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 9 days ago

    1ft- 3.1itb - What would you do?
    A) Son > Sterling
    B) Nketiah > JRod/Wood
    C) Greenwood > Ings
    C) Antonio > Dilva this week then Son to Mane the following.
    D) Other

    Henderson
    TAA, Doh, Egan
    KDB, Son, Bruno, Martial, Antonio
    Jesus, Greenwood
    (Nketiah, Justin, Lund)

    1. jimski
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      B or C, I think

      1. Boo Ya Ka Sha
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 9 days ago

        cheers

  5. FPL Pillars
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 9 days ago

    Hey all,

    How’s this for a -4, will FH38

    Jesus Pulisic DDG out Ings Martial Any GK (Hendo/Pope/Pat)

    Think Jesus maybe starts benched v Watford

    Rest of team:

    TAA Doherty Saiss
    Salah KDB Fernandes
    Kane Greenwood

    Foden Kiko Lacelles

    Appreciate feedback

    1. Sgt Frank Drebin
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      I wouldn't so it personally, especially for -4. Too sideways and can backfire. From what I understand you need to sell DDG to get Martial?

      1. FPL Pillars
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 9 days ago

        I need to sell a Utd yeah. What would you do with 2FTs then just for 37?

    2. NestorC
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      Big moves, not sure it is worth it. Would try to get Martial for Pulisic though

      1. FPL Pillars
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 9 days ago

        I can only do for -4

        1. NestorC
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 9 days ago

          Only If you think Jesus won't start. I personally am holding him.

  6. NestorC
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 9 days ago

    Salah or Rashford more essential for the next two games?

    1. FPL Pillars
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      How many It’s do you own at the moment. I would prefer Salah

      1. FPL Pillars
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 9 days ago

        Utd*

        1. NestorC
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 9 days ago

          I own Martial, Bruno and Greenwood.
          It's either Willian to Salah and bench Greenwood or Greenwood to Rashford which is differential in my ML since I am chasing, and bench Willian.

          1. FPL Pillars
            • 9 Years
            6 years, 9 days ago

            Does the leader have Salah?

            1. NestorC
              • 9 Years
              6 years, 9 days ago

              Yes

              1. FPL Pillars
                • 9 Years
                6 years, 9 days ago

                Well Salah been very unfortunate not to return lately, but getting a player he already owns doesn’t seem right this close to end of chasing

                1. NestorC
                  • 9 Years
                  6 years, 9 days ago

                  Yeah, that's what I was thinking. With Salah in my team I have 5 differentials, so it could be 6 with Rashford. Could turn things around if Salah blanks again

      2. yousunkmybattleship
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        6 years, 9 days ago

        Salah

  7. HollywoodXI
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 9 days ago

    Chasing a 50 point lead which I know is almost impossible. I need two differential captaincies to come in big. I’m captaining Ings this week as my ML rival doesn’t have him. All other options he has in his team. Good shout?

    1. tokara
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      U don't have much choice, all the best.

      Ings good choice.

      1. HollywoodXI
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 9 days ago

        I’ve got three United and three City attackers and so has he so it’s Ings or captain a player he has. Hope it works! An Ings hat trick would be 34 points and suddenly it’s doable. It’s the hope that kills you...

    2. Who are all Lukakus
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      Nice try Sam, I will bring Ings and captain him then. No hope for you

      1. HollywoodXI
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 9 days ago

        Who’s Sam? lol

    3. InvertedWinger
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      Nice try David, I'm bringing in Ings too then

      1. HollywoodXI
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 9 days ago

        I see what you did there...

  8. n14mul
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 9 days ago

    Morning,

    As bad as Liverpool have been anyone considering salah/manr captain??

    Chelsea can't afford to sit back and must win this game. Yes agreed Liverpool are not only on the beach but they fast asleep on the beach but surely they must be more switched on as they collecting the trophy and all that??

    1. tokara
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      Good choice

      1. n14mul
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 9 days ago

        hard choice as they have been so poor....

    2. Who are all Lukakus
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      Chelsea will play for a draw imo. Not that they will sit back though

      1. n14mul
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 9 days ago

        I suppose by Wednesday they will know what they have to do as utd and Leicester would have already played?

    3. yousunkmybattleship
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      Think Salah will be up for it, not a bad choice

    4. shirtless
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      I fancy Salah too.

      Full weeks rest...no FA cup worries...

      He's up against Alonso who's average position in the last match was ahead of the half way line...

      Chelsea can't defend...

      Going for the golden boot...

      Liverpool's last home game and getting the trophy. Surely they'll put a performance on..

      1. InvertedWinger
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 9 days ago

        I dont disagree with any of those things but he's going to be up against Azpi in all likelihood

  9. Legohair
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 9 days ago

    Need some help here!!!

    DeGea
    TAA-Saiss-Aurier
    Salah-KDB-Fernandes-Saka
    Vardy-Jimenez-GWood

    Martinez, Pulisic, Holgate, Taylor
    1FT 0.3 itb

    A. Taylor to Bardsley
    B. Aurier to Boly
    C. Pulisic to Traore
    D. Something else

    1. tokara
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      Save

      1. Legohair
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 9 days ago

        Im playing FH next week so defo doing some move here...

    2. orangepeel
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      Aurier to any wol/bur.

      1. Legohair
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 9 days ago

        Thanks

    3. InvertedWinger
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      Holgate/Taylor to playing BUR defender to cover Aurier in case he doesnt make the game. Boring but still.

      1. Legohair
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 9 days ago

        Thanks

  10. Aftermath
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 9 days ago

    GTG this team?

    Patricio
    TAA Doherty Long
    KDB (C) Salah Mahrez Bruno
    Vardy Rashford Wood

    Button Kiko Hayden 3.9

    0.5 itb

  11. yousunkmybattleship
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 9 days ago

    Start 2 out of:

    A) TAA
    B) Robertson
    C) Giroud
    D) Greenwood

    1. tokara
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      B c

      1. n14mul
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 9 days ago

        Kind of contradicts each other?

    2. NestorC
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      B d

    3. Boo Ya Ka Sha
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      Bummer. Between A, B, and D. It’d be easy if Robbo wasn’t starting to get attacking returns

    4. Legohair
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      A, D

  12. Papasthathopolous
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 9 days ago

    A.DCL to Wood , KDB(c) , SaintMaximin first on bench.
    B.Rashford+SaintMaximin to Martial(c) + Wood, DCL first on bench .

  13. Mo Mane No Problems
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 9 days ago

    50 points ahead in my mini league. Who is more important to cover...? I have Greenwood Bruno Mahrez Foden KDB.

    A. Rashford
    B. Sterling

    1. Pukki Party
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      I'd get Rashford

      1. Mo Mane No Problems
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 9 days ago

        Would have to be for a hit... worth it?

        1. Pukki Party
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 9 days ago

          What's the transfer?

          1. Mo Mane No Problems
            • 6 Years
            6 years, 9 days ago

            Rashford and Wood for Greenwood and Vardy.

            Or Sterling and Wood for Mahrez and Vardy.

            My thinking is that Sterling is more explosive but Watford do have something to play for and he could be easily rested. They both feel like backwards moves but it’s all about winning this league!

    2. InvertedWinger
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      Sterling surely. Higher ceiling, possibly starting ST vs WAT

  14. Pukki Party
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 9 days ago

    Bench two out of following:

    A) Alonso (liv)
    B) Digne (shu)
    C) Greenwood (WHU)
    D) Pulisic (liv)
    E) Willian (liv)

    1. jimski
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      A and E

      1. Pukki Party
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 9 days ago

        Thanks

    2. n14mul
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      wow alot od chelsea....alonso and digne maybe?

      1. Pukki Party
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 9 days ago

        Yeah got Alonso Willian and Pulisic in for a -8 last gw, expected more in that game.

        1. n14mul
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          6 years, 9 days ago

          shame...think last gw was a big let down for such an amazing week on paper...

          I'm on a -8 this week for the 1st time in my life....time to roll the dice!

          1. Pukki Party
            • 9 Years
            6 years, 9 days ago

            Yeah it was my first -8 this season, only had 2x-4 before that. The patience strategy hasn't worked after restart and red arrow after red arrow. Thinking i'm taking hits and attacking teams playing Norwich for rest of season.

  15. azahr007
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 9 days ago

    Anybody else fancy wood captain this week

    1. n14mul
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      think alot do. But I feel having him is good enough

  16. The Final Boss
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 9 days ago

    Guys what to do here?

    Lascelles kiko Simpson are the defenders I have got apart from my starting ded taa doh

    So should I do

    A) lasc to burnley defender
    B) start kiko and save ft or do one attacking transfer like puli to Silva or vardy to auba?

  17. fuzzymike
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 9 days ago

    Currently got TTA on bench. AWB, Boly & Saiss on pitch. Seems weird... but TTA form poor & playing CHE, right decision??

    1. Whats the Huth
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      Nope. Big week for Liverpool

      1. fuzzymike
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 9 days ago

        Whilst I'd like CHE to lose (I'm UTD fan), you really see LIV clean sheeting this one??

        1. Whats the Huth
          • 10 Years
          6 years, 9 days ago

          Yeah. Why not

  18. Whats the Huth
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 9 days ago

    I reckon Liverpool will haul this week.

    Trophy presentation.

    4-0 to liverpool

    1. n14mul
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      keep a clean sheet?? Seriously?

      1. Whats the Huth
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 9 days ago

        Seriously

  19. KingZZ
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 9 days ago

    Van Dijk to Tarkowski /Bardsley? Got two Liverpool defenders.

    1. Pukki Party
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      I like Tarkowski

  20. dansmusen
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 9 days ago

    Pulisic to McNeil or do a -4 to get Martial ?

  21. Wake me up before sanogo
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 9 days ago

    Right so Eddie Nketiah - surely he starts as he will be fully rested, great fixtures, seems a great shout for those who still have him right? Am I missing something?

    1. Papasthathopolous
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      Yes, youre missing that Lacazette is in great form .

  22. Jebiga
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 9 days ago

    1. Save FT and play Vardy
    2. Vardy to Jesus for free
    3. Vardy to Auba for free

    ?

    1. orangepeel
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      I was toying with this but he's looking good atm. Depends if you think your FT will be better used next week.

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      3

  23. Gringo Kid
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 9 days ago

    What do you think about Jimmy as a differential captain?

    1. Whats the Huth
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      As good as any

  24. Hotdogs for Tea
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 9 days ago

    Is Salah ‘due’ ?

    1. FPL Pillars
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      Definitely

    2. fuzzymike
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      It's been 9months, so any day now...

    3. Gianluca Busio's Hair …
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      lord i hope so. my faith is failing me.

  25. Costa Nostra
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 9 days ago

    Martial, Bardsley -4 or
    Pulisic, AWB

    Who scores more?

    1. melvinmbabazi
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      Martial, Bardsley -4

  26. pol
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 9 days ago

    Best transfers for -4:

    A- Alonso + DCL > Tarkowski + Ings
    B- Alonso + Pulisic > Tarkowski + DSilva
    C- Alonso + DCL > Pieters + Laca
    D- Alonso + Pulisic > Tarkowski + Son

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      A

    2. orangepeel
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      Prob A. I think Pulisic will do OK against pool. (says he who has just sold him!)

    3. pol
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 9 days ago

      Thanks

  27. Moderately content penguin
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 9 days ago

    Jeez

    Just checked my goalie performance this season. Think I know why I'm off season goal. Before 30+

    6 cs
    6 save fuelled 3 pointers!
    6 goal fuelled one pointers
    11 2 pointers

    Anyone do worse?

  28. Boo Ya Ka Sha
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 9 days ago

    Worth a -4 to bring in Tark and Sterling for Son and Lundstram?
    Would end up benching Egan. Have Hend in net.

  29. Steve McCroskey
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 9 days ago

    Play 2 from

    A. Pulisic
    B. Foden
    C. Greenwood

  30. Cojones of Destiny
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 9 days ago

    play
    a. Puli
    b. Nketiah

    thx and gl