Spot the Differential
11 September 2020 2172 comments
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The Gameweek 1 deadline is now upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some differential options for the start of the season.

As always, we’ve selected three players with an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing, who represent viable alternatives to some of the more popular assets out there.

Christian Pulisic

Willian and Pulisic make case for Chelsea double-up with Norwich on horizon
  • FPL ownership: 6.6% (4.8% at the time of writing)
  • Price: £8.5m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: bha | LIV | wba | CRY | SOU

Despite a slow start, Christian Pulisic (£8.5m) enjoyed a fine first season at Chelsea, and hit top gear upon the Premier League’s resumption back in June.

The United States international contributed a combined eight goals and assists in just nine league appearances during Project Restart, and went on to score in the FA Cup final defeat to Arsenal.

That kind of output suggests a big campaign lies ahead.

In yesterday’s press conference, manager Frank Lampard confirmed Pulisic is in contention for Monday’s trip to Brighton, and with an ownership of just 4.8% at the time of writing, could be an explosive differential for those willing to gamble on him starting. Saying that, an appearance off the bench might not be the end of the world for owners, considering his ability to haul from limited minutes, as evidenced at Anfield last season.

The Blues’ opponents in Gameweek 1, Brighton and Hove Albion, head into the season with plenty of optimism themselves after a busy transfer window, though it’s worth noting they shipped 11 goals in just three home games against Liverpool, Manchester City and Manchester United during the restart, while doubts linger over their ability to keep things tight against the best attacking setups in the league. 

Following the arrivals of Kai Havertz (£8.5m), Hakim Ziyech (£8.0m) and Timo Werner (£9.5m), competition for places at Chelsea is fierce right now. However, we think this could have a positive effect on Pulisic, who could now take his game to another level and thrive alongside such quality.

James Ward-Prowse

  • FPL ownership: 4.7%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: cry | TOT | bur | WBA | che

James Ward-Prowse (£6.0m) may only have registered nine attacking returns last term, but with the Saints going from strength-to-strength, we’re backing the England international to kick on this season.

A product of the Saints academy, Ward-Prowse has become a vital part of manager Ralph Hasenhüttl’s midfield unit, and played every minute of the club’s 2019/20 Premier League campaign. 

It has been suggested the departure of Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (£5.0m), and re-introduction of Oriol Romeu (£4.5m) to the starting XI, will give the Southampton captain a bit more freedom to get forward, which is encouraging, but there is no getting away from the fact his ability from set-pieces and delivery from wide areas is the main attraction.

Ward-Prowse whipped in a massive 72 crosses from Gameweek 30+ onwards, more than any other player, while his 20 shots ranked joint-ninth amongst midfielders. Add to that free-kicks, corners and a share of penalties with Danny Ings (£8.5m), and we think there is a lot to like here. 

After a disappointing start to last season, Southampton performed well once Hasenhüttl had settled on his 4-4-2 / 4-2-2-2 system. Their away form was only bettered by Liverpool and Manchester City, while just the Manchester clubs collected more points during Project Restart.

The Saints are unbeaten in their last five league matches on the road, and take on a Crystal Palace side in Gameweek 1 who have won just four games all calendar year, all of which bodes well for Ward-Prowse and Southampton’s prospects this weekend.

Dele Alli

  • FPL ownership: 3.3%
  • Price: £8.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: EVE | sou | NEW | mun | WHU

This season feels like a defining moment for Dele Alli (£8.0m), after another disappointing campaign last time round.

However, his performances under Jose Mourinho in the early weeks of his tenure offers hope he may be able to find his best level again. 

Under Mourinho’s stewardship, there was an immediate improvement in Alli’s output, which saw him go on a run of four goals and three assists in five matches, while his underlying statistics suggest he may be being overlooked.

Since Mourinho’s first game in charge, amongst midfielders, only Raheem Sterling (£11.5m), Mohamed Salah (£12.0m) and Sadio Mané (£12.0m) accumulated big chances at a faster rate. His expected goal data was also encouraging, and trumped that of team-mate Son Heung-min (£9.0m), despite seeing fewer minutes.

While I’m unsure how much we can read into pre-season, Alli’s displays have offered promise, having registered two assists in a 3-0 home win over Ipswich Town before scoring in a 4-1 victory at Reading.

Up first for Tottenham Hotspur is Everton. While the Toffees’ will no doubt look a much better unit with their new midfield recruits, it may take time for them to gel, while their poor away record last term saw them concede 35 goals – only five teams gave up more.

Heading into the new season, it is vital for Alli to keep himself fit and find a bit more consistency in his performances. If he can do that, while retaining an attacking midfield role, he could be in for a big season.

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2,172 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. primal33
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    How does this look?

    Ryan (Nyland)
    KWP TAA Justin Dier (Mitchell)
    Salah Havertz Auba ASM (Bissouma)
    Ings Werner (Davis)

    Salah + Ings > Bruno + Martial (after GW1)
    Auba > KdB (after GW2) so...

    Ryan (Nyland)
    KWP TAA Justin Dier (Mitchell)
    Bruno Havertz KdB ASM (Bissouma)
    Martial Werner (Davis)

    ASM > Ziyech/Greenwood/8m mid (after GW3)

  2. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    I don’t think I’ve seen a single WBA player in a RMT....are we sure they even got promoted?

    1. Jonny HOW SON?
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Button says hi

      1. Jafooli
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Does he? Is he first choice?

    2. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Diagnana?

    3. Slartibartfast
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      I'm likely to start with Perreira, for some reason.

    4. Moderately content penguin
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Briefly had the triple up

      Pen saving keeper with 4.0 deputy and talisman at 6.0

      1. Amey
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Ryan Walton Trossard ?

    5. Ser Davos
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      One of HRK, Austin ir Bamford are destined to start well

      As for WBA overall, keepers are well priced along with Pereira and Diangana as their double act

  3. Jonny HOW SON?
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Thinking of going with a little differential. Who do you like from these, if any?

    A) Alli
    B) Barnes
    C) Richarlison
    D) none

    1. Manani
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      a

    2. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Deli

    3. Pep Roulette
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      A

  4. Manani
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Already have McCarthy
    should I go Saliba or KWP?

    rest of backline
    TAA Taylor Mitchell Dier

    1. UnluckyXI
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Saliba - Luiz, Mustafi, Sokratis, Chambers all injured and Arsenal have been playing a back three so likely Tierney, Holding, Saliba.

      1. Manani
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        how long do we expect him to start for? Or is it his place to lose now?

        1. UnluckyXI
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 14 days ago

          If he does well it's his to lose and Holding will make way for Luiz or Gabriel I don't see any of those being long-term CBs.

          I think Luiz injury means he'll get the first 4-5 gameweeks to prove himself.

  5. SPFC
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Any reliable league prizes?

  6. AnyoneButLiverpool
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Anyone going for Coleman?

    1. Pep Roulette
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Coleman or Keane! One of them surely!

    2. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Not a fan of mustard

      1. Forza Papac
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        See yourself out

  7. rnrd
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    I don't really get the "southampton nice fixtures" thing.

    CRY and BUR away are two tough fixtures imo so as Tottenham home. The WBA, nice one and then chelsea and everton..

    ?

    1. AF90
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Palace missing loads of players & Southampton better away from home, easy win for me

    2. Garlana
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Palace look a mess at the back, I can see a thumping tbh

    3. Ser Davos
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Yeah, I'm a bit ambivalent with both Soton and their fixtures (Danny Ings aside, locked in)

      However, KWP as a nailed medium issue seems a safe select in the current landscape

      McCarthy I'm not sure on. Not great history and it took a 0-9 for Hassenhuttl to favour him over Gunn

  8. Pep Roulette
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Coleman or Keane? Have to pick one!

    1. One Man
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Keane.

    2. One Man
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Or even Justin.

      Then Pickford in nets.

    3. Wild Card this!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Keane

  9. AF90
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    McCarthy,
    TAA, Lascelles, Justin, ??
    Salah, Auba, Alli, ASM ??
    Werner ??

    Help me fill in the gaps please....

    A) 4-4-2 - Digne, Ings, Stephens (0.5 for Ings -> Martial GW 2)

    B) 3-5-2 - Havertz, Adams, Saiss (Werner -> Martial GW possibly)

  10. One Man
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    To start with as a place holder for Ziyech

    A. Alli

    Or

    B. Barnes ?

    1. Pep Roulette
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      A

    2. adstomko
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Rodriguez

  11. Trying to Ketchup.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Any improvements?

    McCarthy
    Alexander-Arnold - Robertson - Saliba
    Soucek - Son - Aubameyang - Mané - Saint-Maximin
    Adams - Kane

    Nyland Mitchell Johnson Davis

    1. KINGS
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Looks good

      1. Trying to Ketchup.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        rubbish bench though!

  12. MESSINHO
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    After Soucek news should reconsider this:

    A) Dier + Alli + ASM
    B) KWP + Son + Soucek

    What do u think guys?

    1. Manani
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      i still got A. Not too comfortable playing Soucek every week

      1. MESSINHO
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Yeah, I'm on the same boat for now.

  13. Malinwa
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Which team to choose? Advice needed!

    A)
    McCarthy (Nyland)
    Davies - Egan - TAA - KWP (Justin)
    Auba - Salah - Son - Soucek (ASM)
    Werner - Mitrovic (Brewster)
    itb 1.5

    B)
    McCarthy (Nyland)
    Davies - Egan - TAA - KWP (Mitchell)
    Auba - Salah - Son - ASM (Bissouma)
    Werner - Ings (Brewster)

    itb 0

    1. Gentlemens club
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      B, KWP->Taylor

      1. Malinwa
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Why would Taylor be a better pick?

        1. Gentlemens club
          • 8 Years
          6 years, 14 days ago

          Don't fancy double saints defence...Might work out thou 🙂

  14. Oooo Matron
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Rip it to shreds!

    McCarthy
    TAA VVD Justin Davies
    Son Auba Salah (C)
    Werner Adams Mitro

    Subs: Reed, Bissouma, Taylor

    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      brave to have big VVD and TAA

      1. Hansel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        What's brave about it, 170+ points for both somewhat guaranteed?

  15. TriggerHappy
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    hey gents. Need a few more people - private H2H league. Code: iio91p.
    Cheers

    1. soumyeah
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      1. soumyeah
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        that was a thumbs up. seems to have disappeared. anyway, i'm in - Gloopy Yarbles - thanks!

  16. Jimbo-Jones
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    1. Bruno, Justin, (Davis)
    2. JWP, Martial (Justin)

  17. OleGGMU
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Hi Lads
    Sorry to go of topic but i have an issue with FPL.
    I have a legit league code and there are people already in the league, but when I enter the code it always says invalid code entered.
    code has digits only and I have tried with and without the dash in the middle and it still gives the same error.
    It is an old league which has been renewed over the years but new people have been able to enter.
    Is this just a glitch and I should keep trying or something I am doing wrong?

    1. Rogue Todd
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Sounds like you have an old code

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      It's probably you. 6 characters? Any capital letters?

      1. OleGGMU
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        12 characters mate, all numbers, e.g : "123456-123456 numbers"

    3. UnluckyXI
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Have you been given the code recently or is it from old messages, its likely the code has been refreshed for the new season.

      Looked at a league I have had going for years which definitely had an old number code with a dash but now if I want to invite new member it's a 6 digit code which is a combo of numbers and letters.

      1. OleGGMU
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Cheers for the replies lads , yeah it is an old code , only numbers and 12 characters in total

        1. Brosstan
          • 12 Years
          6 years, 14 days ago

          There is a new code for the league. All old leagues have new codes and the old codes don't work

          1. OleGGMU
            • 7 Years
            6 years, 14 days ago

            Managed to get it sorted, all correct , code was updated, bugger admin mate clueless about it till I mentioned it. thanks lads for the replies really appreciated

  18. Roy Rovers
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    So many people ditching Salah after that article.....

    1. Stimps
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Keeping, can downgrade to anyone after Leeds (home)

    2. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Which?

      1. Roy Rovers
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Lateriser

    3. Warby84
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      I’m holding but tempted to replace son with Aubameyang

      1. Ser Davos
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        That's an option

  19. adstomko
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Anyone else punting on James Rodríguez?

  20. Mighty Banana
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Does anyone else watch the FPL Show? Have any idea why it's not on youtube anymore and split between 3 parts on the FPL Site? :/

  21. SH1M1
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Ramsdale

    KWP TAA Doherty Justin

    AXM Salah Auba Son Barnes

    Werner

    Steer Brewster Mitchell Davis

    Team for GWK 1-4 (WC GWK5)
    £0.5 in the bank / Greenwood GWK2 & KDB GWK3

    Any changes needed ?

  22. Swanremainsthesame
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Leeds Douglas the top selected 4.0
    The six next highest I can see reasons for but not this one..... is he really expected to be a starter?

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Apparently he's a deadboll specialist.

    2. Hairy Potter
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      People confusing him with Dallas?

    3. Bobby Digital
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      He's in my team, had Struijk for a while, but a Leeds fan convinced me of Douglas.

    4. cassanata
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      I think the casuals have confused him with Dallas. I hope so at least.

  23. abcdef3
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Thoughts on this squad? Any feedback would be appreciated.

    McCarthy - Nyland
    Arnold - Van Dijk - Ampadu - Taylor - Mitchell
    Salah - Aubameyang - Son - Mount - Bissouma
    Werner - Mitrovic - Davis

    1. Sterling Malory
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Not convinced Ampadu or Mount will start

      1. abcdef3
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Mount is surely nailed for the time being. Ampadu is a risk but I just don't think Chelsea would loan him without a guarantee he will play after Leipzig last year.

  24. Stimps
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Son or Havertz?

    Have Werner

    1. Manani
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      son

  25. Quality St
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Will Kevin Long play?

  26. MaoCalzone
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    (A) Son or
    (B) Havertz (+ 0.5 ITB)?

    Already have Werner (and no other Spurs

    1. Boomerang V
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Similar to my dilema in the post bellow.

      Are we sure Havertz will start? Son seems more nailed to me. But I am not following the pre-season.

  27. Boomerang V
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Would you rather have
    A) Son & ASM
    or
    B) Havertz & JWP
    ?

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Son & JWP?

    2. MaoCalzone
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Snap!

      Injury/doubt over Ziyech has got to nail Havertz to start.

      Agree Son is nailed - but fancy Chelsea attacking assets with Lampard in charge (even against Brighton)

  28. Wrong Captain Choice - Ag i…
    • 17 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Article above makes me feel good about having Alli and JWP.

    I am not a stats man I look at what is going on in front of my eyes. It is not just an 'eye test'. It is looking at the whites of players eyes - do they mean business what is the body language like.
    Amazed JWP is not in more teams.
    Plus Alli saves me 1m on Son. I figure that 1m itb can get me more points in the short term at least!

    1. Goodfeathers
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      With you all the way

    2. tokara
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Alli is crap

      1. Wrong Captain Choice - Ag i…
        • 17 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        He could sting like a bee alright easily transferred out

      2. Wrong Captain Choice - Ag i…
        • 17 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Alternative was Barnes but I already had Vardy

  29. Goodfeathers
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Is it madness to play Soucek (NEW) over DCL (TOT) in GW1?

    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Yes

      1. Goodfeathers
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Thanks! Needed to hear that.

    2. Botman
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      No not at all.

      1. Goodfeathers
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        This was what I was thinking before I read the first comment. Better get back to overthinking this

        1. fish&chips
          • 16 Years
          6 years, 14 days ago

          I think Soucek looks good for this week. if you don't play him now, I'd rather downgrade him to a 4.5 because surely you'll bench him for the 7 after

  30. Catastrophe
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Hi,

    Current Team:

    McCarthy
    TAA, Davies, KWP
    Salah, Aubameyang, Son, ASM, Soucek
    Werner, Wilson

    (Nyland, Mitchell, Taylor, Davis)

    Any suggestions? 0.5 spare with 1.5 ITB reserved for Son -> Fernandes.

    A) McCarthy -> Ramsdale
    B) KWP -> Egan
    C) Taylor -> Egan
    D) Stick

    Cheers