Spot the Differential
11 September 2020 2172 comments
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The Gameweek 1 deadline is now upon us which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some differential options for the start of the season.

As always, we’ve selected three players with an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing, who represent viable alternatives to some of the more popular assets out there.

Christian Pulisic

Willian and Pulisic make case for Chelsea double-up with Norwich on horizon
  • FPL ownership: 6.6% (4.8% at the time of writing)
  • Price: £8.5m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: bha | LIV | wba | CRY | SOU

Despite a slow start, Christian Pulisic (£8.5m) enjoyed a fine first season at Chelsea, and hit top gear upon the Premier League’s resumption back in June.

The United States international contributed a combined eight goals and assists in just nine league appearances during Project Restart, and went on to score in the FA Cup final defeat to Arsenal.

That kind of output suggests a big campaign lies ahead.

In yesterday’s press conference, manager Frank Lampard confirmed Pulisic is in contention for Monday’s trip to Brighton, and with an ownership of just 4.8% at the time of writing, could be an explosive differential for those willing to gamble on him starting. Saying that, an appearance off the bench might not be the end of the world for owners, considering his ability to haul from limited minutes, as evidenced at Anfield last season.

The Blues’ opponents in Gameweek 1, Brighton and Hove Albion, head into the season with plenty of optimism themselves after a busy transfer window, though it’s worth noting they shipped 11 goals in just three home games against Liverpool, Manchester City and Manchester United during the restart, while doubts linger over their ability to keep things tight against the best attacking setups in the league. 

Following the arrivals of Kai Havertz (£8.5m), Hakim Ziyech (£8.0m) and Timo Werner (£9.5m), competition for places at Chelsea is fierce right now. However, we think this could have a positive effect on Pulisic, who could now take his game to another level and thrive alongside such quality.

James Ward-Prowse

  • FPL ownership: 4.7%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: cry | TOT | bur | WBA | che

James Ward-Prowse (£6.0m) may only have registered nine attacking returns last term, but with the Saints going from strength-to-strength, we’re backing the England international to kick on this season.

A product of the Saints academy, Ward-Prowse has become a vital part of manager Ralph Hasenhüttl’s midfield unit, and played every minute of the club’s 2019/20 Premier League campaign. 

It has been suggested the departure of Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (£5.0m), and re-introduction of Oriol Romeu (£4.5m) to the starting XI, will give the Southampton captain a bit more freedom to get forward, which is encouraging, but there is no getting away from the fact his ability from set-pieces and delivery from wide areas is the main attraction.

Ward-Prowse whipped in a massive 72 crosses from Gameweek 30+ onwards, more than any other player, while his 20 shots ranked joint-ninth amongst midfielders. Add to that free-kicks, corners and a share of penalties with Danny Ings (£8.5m), and we think there is a lot to like here. 

After a disappointing start to last season, Southampton performed well once Hasenhüttl had settled on his 4-4-2 / 4-2-2-2 system. Their away form was only bettered by Liverpool and Manchester City, while just the Manchester clubs collected more points during Project Restart.

The Saints are unbeaten in their last five league matches on the road, and take on a Crystal Palace side in Gameweek 1 who have won just four games all calendar year, all of which bodes well for Ward-Prowse and Southampton’s prospects this weekend.

Dele Alli

  • FPL ownership: 3.3%
  • Price: £8.0m
  • GW1-5 fixtures: EVE | sou | NEW | mun | WHU

This season feels like a defining moment for Dele Alli (£8.0m), after another disappointing campaign last time round.

However, his performances under Jose Mourinho in the early weeks of his tenure offers hope he may be able to find his best level again. 

Under Mourinho’s stewardship, there was an immediate improvement in Alli’s output, which saw him go on a run of four goals and three assists in five matches, while his underlying statistics suggest he may be being overlooked.

Since Mourinho’s first game in charge, amongst midfielders, only Raheem Sterling (£11.5m), Mohamed Salah (£12.0m) and Sadio Mané (£12.0m) accumulated big chances at a faster rate. His expected goal data was also encouraging, and trumped that of team-mate Son Heung-min (£9.0m), despite seeing fewer minutes.

While I’m unsure how much we can read into pre-season, Alli’s displays have offered promise, having registered two assists in a 3-0 home win over Ipswich Town before scoring in a 4-1 victory at Reading.

Up first for Tottenham Hotspur is Everton. While the Toffees’ will no doubt look a much better unit with their new midfield recruits, it may take time for them to gel, while their poor away record last term saw them concede 35 goals – only five teams gave up more.

Heading into the new season, it is vital for Alli to keep himself fit and find a bit more consistency in his performances. If he can do that, while retaining an attacking midfield role, he could be in for a big season.

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2,172 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Bobby Digital
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Anyone elses captain poll broken!? It's been showing the same perrcentages for over a day now.

  2. Pep Roulette
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Thoughts on Coleman?

    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      dont bother

      1. Pep Roulette
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Why not? Good fixtures!

    2. Jafooli
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      A fine mustard....

  3. Lexi2014
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    McCarthy
    TAA / Vinagre / Justin
    Auba / Salah / ASM / Soucek
    Werner / Ings / Mitro

    Ryan / Saliba / Mitchell / Greenwood

    Leaves me 0 itb.

    Can I leave this alone now?!

    1. antis0cial
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      That's a very risky backline. Rest looks good

    2. MESSINHO
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Greenwood is a risky pick (they will most likely sign Sancho imo).

  4. Flynny
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Any need to change anything here?

    1mitb. Planning salah and antonio to Bruno and martial - 4 gw2

    Ferguson long term option

    Mccarthy 4m
    Taa saiss davies taylor Ferguson
    Salah auba havertz asm bissouma
    Werner antonio adams

    Thanks

    1. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Save imo. Nice plan.

  5. antis0cial
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Good to go? 0.5 spare for Ings to Martial

    McCarthy
    TAA Robbo Doherty
    Auba Havertz Alli Soucek
    Werner Ings Adams

    Button Mitchell Bissouma Ayling

    1. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Great no mo structure actually

      1. antis0cial
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Thanks, it's a little scary but my thoughts were to lose Salah for Bruno gw2 anyway, so going to go Tony instead gw2. Hope Salah doesn't destroy Leeds but even if he doesn't, Robbo/TAA could be involved in assists.

    2. Greative
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Bit much with two SOU in attack?

      1. antis0cial
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Do you think? It's for one week only vs that injury ravaged Palace def. Plan is to do Ings to Martial after gw1 and keep Adams. Alternative would be Jime but I don't see goals in that game.

        1. Greative
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          6 years, 14 days ago

          Personally I would spread it out a bit. Perhaps Mitro, Lacazette or Wilson.

  6. enrico.palazzo
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    First draft.

    McCarthy (XX)
    TAA - Vinagre - Dallas - (Mitchel) (Taylor)
    Auba (C) - Salah - Son - Soucek (Bissouma)
    Verner - Mitrovic - Ings.

    Feedback would be great. Ta

    1. Big Al Stankovic
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Start mitchell over Dallas. Maybe even get another 4.5 in for Vinagre, if he’s rumoured out.
      Other than that, it looks good.

      1. enrico.palazzo
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Thank you mate - any 4.5 recommendations?

        1. Big Al Stankovic
          • 14 Years
          6 years, 14 days ago

          KWP or Ayling.
          Lascelles/Lewis could also be good. Even White at Brighton.

          1. enrico.palazzo
            • 14 Years
            6 years, 14 days ago

            thanks fella

    2. antis0cial
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      First draft? hmmm 😛 Vinagre is a risky choice but great if he does nail the spot. Rest looks good

      1. enrico.palazzo
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Yep first! Thanks mate

    3. Azathoth
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Nice one,maybe Ings to DCL or Wilson and upgrade Soucek?

    4. Swanremainsthesame
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      "HAMMER TIME No Tomas Soucek, no debutants, and Ben Johnson against Allan Saint-Maximin"

  7. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Thoughts on this, i dont know what number draft this is, please?

    McCarthy
    VVD, Justin, Davies
    Auba, Salah, JWP, Son
    Werner, Adams, Wilson

    Nyland/Steer*, Ceballos, Mitchell, Taylor.

    1.0itb to assist with getting Bruno, Martial, KDB in GW2/3

    Thanks in advance 🙂

    1. Ambitious, but rubbish...
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      I would upgrade VVD to TAA, then use Auba/Salah/Son to switch to Bruno, KDB, etc dependent on form

      1. the dom 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Thanks mate - apart from that move, whats ya thoughts on the rest of the team?

  8. aapoman
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    RMT out of 10

    Ryan
    TAA Egan Davies KWP
    Salah Auba Haverts
    Werner Richarlison Mitro

    Walton; Ayling, Reed, Bissouma

    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      7/10 good for gw1

  9. The Upsetter
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Salah pre season not good. Worried?

    1. Muller Reus Corner
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      I have got Bruno, as I dont think he can be highest point scorer 4 years running

      1. Wild Card this!
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 17 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Well he wasn’t last year

    2. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Salah can light it up at anytime

      1. ilikewud
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Thid

        1. ilikewud
          • 6 Years
          6 years, 14 days ago

          *this

  10. Muller Reus Corner
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Havertz, Salah, Egan or Bruno, Pulisic and Robertson cash not an issue

    1. aapoman
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      I'm on the first choice.

      1. Muller Reus Corner
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Thanks. Is it too risky to go without Salah?

        1. ilikewud
          • 6 Years
          6 years, 14 days ago

          Yup

  11. SADIO SANÉ
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    any idea who takes corners if/when Mount isn't playing?

    1. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      use to be Willian

    2. xHaTr
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Ziyech?

    3. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      One of the new crew imo. Ziyech?

  12. CelticBhoy1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Best 5.0 defender?

    Currently got both B Davies and Egan

    1. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Saiss good too

    2. aapoman
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Reece James is a high risk high reward. Would really like to take a punt on him personally

  13. NobodyF*cksWithTheJesus
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Che Adams - is he real deal or no? Got him in but considering downgrading to 4.5 and getting a premium defender instead to play 442

    1. Muller Reus Corner
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      If no other Saints attack, then yes you should have him

    2. ilikewud
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Nah, everyone is talking about his form at the end of the season but he still only had 4 goals. Mitro has double that + some in the season he was up with Fulham. Personally I think it’s Ings or nothing from that attack.

  14. Corona is not good 4 U
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Is Joseph Gomez nailed?

    Liverpool is probably good for clean sheets and Gomez is not so expensive.

    Thank you!

    1. Muller Reus Corner
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      I believe so, but he doesnt get attacking returns

  15. AnyoneButLiverpool
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Thoughts on Eric Dier instead of Ben Davies?

    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Both suspect but would pick Davies

    2. Big Al Stankovic
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Davies probably won’t have any competition, while Dier could face rotation.

  16. Cruyff's Eleven
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Bottomed

    Is there something obviously wrong with the following?

    McCarthy
    Taa-Bavies-Holding-Saiss-Mitchell
    Son-Salah-Auba
    Mitro-Jimi

    Greenwood - Stephens - Brewster

    Switch to 442 in GW2 and 352 in GW3 with Son/Auba to Bruno/KDB.

    ARS - WOL is a rotation - might swap Holding for a BUR defender.

  17. Gizzachance
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    thoughts
    macarhy/nyland
    taa saiss davies justin taylor
    salah auba son asm bissouma
    werner c wilson c adams

    1. Muller Reus Corner
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Looks good, Justin is a transfer waiting to happen down the line, though

      1. Gizzachance
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        yeah true, may put in dallas/ayling ?
        thanks

  18. Positive vibes
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    A or B?
    A. Son, Vinagre
    B. Alli, Mitro
    Cheers.

    1. El-Kloppico
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      B

  19. DRIZ ✅
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Anyone with Private leagues? Happy to join a few 🙂

    1. Qaiss
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      yeah same here pls

  20. WVA
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    A. Bavies
    B. Dier

  21. El-Kloppico
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Explode me with your suggestions.. GTG?

    McCarthy - Nyland
    TAA - KwP - Ayling - Mitchell - Vinagre
    Salah - Auba - Son - Kebano - Bissouma
    Vardy - Werner - Davis

    1. Muller Reus Corner
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Defence seems a bit weak and not sure on Kebano. You could downgrade Vardy to Ings to free some cash?

  22. abaalan
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Mccarthy, 4.0
    TAA, Lascelles, Lamptey, (Taylor, Mitchell)
    Auba, Son, Havertz, Periera, (Soucek)
    Kane, Werner, Nketiah

    Any thoughts on this lot?

    Periera could be ASM, Nketiah could be Wilson

    1. Big Al Stankovic
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Rather have Wilson. And i would start soucek if I’d own him.

      What’s your Manchester plan?

      1. Swanremainsthesame
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Well if Soucek somehow gets out of isolation from C19 quarantine he'd indeed be a good pick

      2. abaalan
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Lacking to be honest 😀
        Probably one of Kane/Son to Martial/Rashford
        Then Auba to KDB/Sterling gw2 (standard)

  23. TriggerHappy
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    hey gents. Private H2H league. 2 knock out rounds. Code: iio91p.
    Join in the fun!

  24. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Alli or Havertz?

    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Dele

    2. Big Al Stankovic
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Start with Alli. Then change him for the best Chelsea mid in gw4.

    3. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Thx lads

  25. iL PiStOlErO
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Think I am going with 2 premiums up top. Like most of their opening games.

    Ramsdale
    TAA Justin KWP Mitchell
    Salah(C) Auba(v) Son Bissouma
    Vardy Werner

    Nyland Romeu C. Taylor Davis

    Good luck to all.

  26. Klopp it
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Would you change anything with this team? Plz help

    Mccarthy
    Taa, egan, kwp
    Salah, Abumayang, alli, asm
    Werner, ings, mitrovic

    Bench, nyland, Vinagre, Gordon, Douglas

    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      mitro for adams and ings for DCL

    2. Oooof
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      GK: Brighton

      DEF: Robbo Doherty Tierney KWP Mitchell

      MID: Salah Auba Pereira Pulisic Saka

      FWD: Werner Antonio Brewster

      Any thoughts please lads/lasses?

  27. Powers106
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Okay, just the issue between choosing between Nketiah or Che, but then I think I'm set until I change everything in the final hour tomorrow!

    1.5 itb

    McCarthy (Button)
    Robertson - TAA - KWP (Vinagre - Mitchell)
    Auba (c) - Salah (v) - Son - Soucek - Bissouma
    Werner - Nketiah (Davis)

  28. Bubz
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Did Nuno say anything interesting?

    1. DRIZ ✅
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      Was positive on Vinegar

      1. Bubz
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Do you know where I can see the quotes? Nothing on ffs twitter

  29. Colonel Shoe 肝池
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    Repost
    A. Son and dcl
    Or
    B. Alli and richarlison

    1. Big Al Stankovic
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      A

  30. Cynical
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 14 days ago

    A. Michy, Son, JWP
    B. Ings, James Rod, Soucek

    1. Big Al Stankovic
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 14 days ago

      B out of those, but dont really fancy either.

      1. Cynical
        • 10 Years
        6 years, 14 days ago

        Hmm. Thanks for your reply mate. If you don't mind me asking, would you go for with 21m?