Scout Notes
20 October 2020 1379 comments
DavidMunday815 DavidMunday815
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Leeds 0-1 Wolves

  • Goals: Raúl Jiménez (£8.5m)
  • Assists: Max Kilman (£4.0m)
  • Bonus points: Kilman x3, Jiménez x2, Romain Saïss x1 (£5.2m)

A View to a Kil

Max Kilman (£4.0m) has made a meteoric rise to the top of the budget defender pool with a second successive start and second successive points haul.

The Wolves centre-back has only played two from a possible five matches this season but has already scored 21 points, the joint-most of any defender priced at £4.5m or below.

Incredibly, the player has secured maximum bonus points in each of his two performances so far and he added an assist in the 1-0 win over Leeds.

“He deserves (the man of the match award). He’s been brilliant. He’s been with us for years. He’s listened. He’s a great lad. He gives us a bit of balance on that left-hand side. All the time. He loves having battles with Adama. Nobody goes near Adama in training but he full-on fights with him.” – Conor Coady

“He has become stronger as time has gone by. I’m proud of the response he has given and the credit goes to him. When the chance comes, you have to respond, and Max did that.” – Nuno Espirito Santo

The question facing Fantasy managers is now whether or not Kilman can nail down a regular starting berth in the Wolves side.

Even though he has been praised by captain and manager alike, unfortunately, it is difficult to say with certainty that Kilman will retain his place. This particular issue certainly one that requires more data.

The reason why Kilman has enjoyed starts in each of the last two Gameweeks is that regular centre-back option Romain Saïss (£5.2m) has been forced to cover the left wing-back role in light of injuries to Jonny (£5.4m) and Marçal (£4.9m) as well as the departure of Ruben Vinagre (£4.3m).

With the arrival of Rayan Aït-Nouri (£5.0m) and Marçal returning from his knock on Monday night, there are more options for Nuno Espirito Santo to choose from in that position moving forward.

While Saïss has enjoyed his time bombing forward as a wing-back, which we’ll highlight in more detail shortly, he has looked exposed at times playing in a wider role, caught out by the pacier wingers and full-backs.

Therefore, with left wing-back reinforcements on the way, Nuno looks set for a tough decision between Saïss or Kilman to start in the back-three alongside Conor Coady (£5.0m) and Willy Boly (£5.5m) long-term.

Do as the Romains do

While there remain uncertainties about Wolves best back-five, Saïss continues to offer excellent value for his increasing ownership.

Nuno’s men have kept a clean sheet in three of their five matches this season, and the Moroccan has walked away with bonus points on each of those occasions, even though he only has one attacking return to his name. A total of six in that department puts Saïss behind only Lucas Digne (£6.2m) on seven among defenders after five Gameweeks.

That has taken him to a tally of 31 points for the season thus far, more than any other defender and sure to induce more price rises ahead of home meetings with Newcastle and Crystal Palace.

Saïss was unfortunate not to walk away with attacking returns at Elland Road, whose incredible rifled effort into the bottom right-hand corner of Illan Meslier‘s (£4.5m) goal was chalked off for an offside in the build-up.

He was also denied an assist in the first half when Leeds’ youthful goalkeeper produced an impressive stop from a Daniel Podence (£5.6m) effort.

However, while Saïss has looked exciting in the last two matches, we have to bring Wolves’ selection dilemma at the back into the conversation. If Aït-Nouri or Marçal slots in at left wing-back against Newcastle and Saïss returns to the back-three, he will almost certainly enjoy much less time in the opposition half.

Dear Podence

Podence owners were asked to show a little more patience once again as he proved one of Wolves’ most dangerous players at Elland Road but came away with a second successive blank.

His powerful first-half shot forced an impressive save out of Meslier, who sprawled to stop a left-footed curling effort in the second half too.

While neither of those chances went in, the fact that a Newcastle that has conceded seven goals in the last two Gameweeks is up next for Wolves is perhaps enough to hold Podence. 

That said, he was replaced by Adama Traoré (£6.4m) in the 64th minute with Pedro Neto‘s (£5.5m) involvement continuing until the 89th.

Leeds United XI (4-1-4-1): Meslier; Dallas, Struijk (Hernández 75′), Koch, Ayling; K Phillips; Harrison (Raphinha 82′), Rodrigo, Klich, Costa (Poveda-Ocampo 71′); Bamford.

Wolves XI (3-4-3): Patrício; Kilman, Coady, Boly; Saïss, Moutinho (Neves 82′), Dendoncker, Semedo; Neto (Marçal 89′), Jiménez, Podence (Traoré 65′).

PREMIUM MEMBERS ANALYSIS

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LESSONS LEARNED FROM FPL GAMEWEEK 5

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  1. FOMFF
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    6 years, 4 days ago

    On a WC

    a. McCarthy & Zaha
    b. Martinez & Foden

    1. Dannyb
      6 years, 4 days ago

      B

    2. DA Minnion (Former great)
      6 years, 4 days ago

      Martinez and Zaha. Get the extra from somewhere.

      1. FOMFF
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        6 years, 4 days ago

        Would mean Rashford or Chillwell downgrade

        1. DA Minnion (Former great)
          6 years, 4 days ago

          Do you want to share your team and money in the bank.

          1. FOMFF
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            6 years, 4 days ago

            Martinez, Button
            Chillwell, Targett, Saiss, Kilman, Mitchell
            Salah, Son, Rashford, Foden, Stephens
            Kane, DCL, Jimi

            .1 ITB

            1. DA Minnion (Former great)
              6 years, 4 days ago

              Maybe downgrade Jimmy.

            2. Puncheon Guly
              6 years, 4 days ago

              Downgrade one of your 4s to a 3.9?

    3. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      6 years, 4 days ago

      B

    4. FPL Daniel
      6 years, 4 days ago

      Not Zaha. Fluke. I got fooled too

      1. FourLokoLeipzig
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        6 years, 4 days ago

        This. Was happy to wave him goodbye on my WC this week

  2. MidTableFantasy
    6 years, 4 days ago

    How did Werner look?

    1. Fred54
      6 years, 4 days ago

      No high line, no party.

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      6 years, 4 days ago

      Ok movement but failed to properly connect with the shots he took

    3. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      6 years, 4 days ago

      Through his eyes

  3. TheDragon
    6 years, 4 days ago

    Does Magnus Carlson actually know?

    His performance last 2 seasons and now start of this one has been unbelievable. Obv he is a decent FPL manager but is there more to it? Is he just experiencing huge positive variance or is he doing things the majority of ‘good’ FPL managers aren’t?

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      6 years, 4 days ago

      How could he know?

    2. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 4 days ago

      He's a good manager. I think FPL is so high variance though that it's hard to tell if he's exceptional or lucky especially this early on in a season.

      1. TheDragon
        6 years, 4 days ago

        But last season he was top 10 and the season before he was top 100 fairly late in the season. In a 7 million+ player game that is several standard deviations above the mean.

        He is off to an absolute flyer again this season.

        I’ve put it down to good manager with huge amount of luck on his side up to now but. The data is building to a point it needs to be asked is he approaching the game differently to other good managers?

        1. Magic Zico
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          6 years, 4 days ago

          Not being here is a start 😉

          1. Gnu
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            6 years, 4 days ago

            Hahaha
            This

        2. 11SPECIALONE11
          6 years, 4 days ago

          Anyone have his teams code? I want to see what's all the fuss about...

      2. Gnu
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        6 years, 4 days ago

        In other words it's probably just luck?

    3. Zimo
      6 years, 4 days ago

      He's definitely a smart lad. Has to be doing some kind of research and planning

      1. Zimo
        6 years, 4 days ago

        U don't become chess grandmaster and champion at his age if you're not a genius

    4. Eat my goal!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 4 days ago

      Plays the odds, stats and has patience

      1. TheDragon
        6 years, 4 days ago

        That is what most ‘good’ FPL managers do - that’s not new

        His results over past 3 seasons have been extraordinary - so is it just that with a large side of luck or has he found a ‘different’ way to look at things other than pick players with highest xG etc

        1. Eat my goal!
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          6 years, 4 days ago

          Do you tho, or do you settle early on a decision and look for confirmation bias?

          1. TheDragon
            6 years, 4 days ago

            No def not but it’s quite a complex game isn’t it in terms of how many weeks ahead you should look - I imagine most people focus too short term.

            Maybe he has an approach to analyse over a longer period?

            1. Eat my goal!
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              6 years, 4 days ago

              He’ll have a method for sure - chess is strategic, it has certain plays so he’ll have found his own in this game but all you can do is play probabilities. I make most my transfers under the influence, I’m pretty sure I could do much better if i didn’t play for fun

              1. Magic Zico
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                6 years, 4 days ago

                Agree

        2. FPL Theorist
          6 years, 4 days ago

          Magnus ignores ownership too. That's probably the primary difference between him and most managers on here.

      2. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        6 years, 4 days ago

        Why can't we?

        1. Eat my goal!
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          6 years, 4 days ago

          We can, no? How much time do you really put in planning your move?

          1. Magic Zico
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            6 years, 4 days ago

            Too much time, overthinking and changing mind a min before the deadline. But hey that's why I play this game, the silliness 😉

    5. Reeker
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 4 days ago

      He's obviously a smart person. Probably makes a lot of percentage based decisions.

      1. TheDragon
        6 years, 4 days ago

        But so do (I presume) most people on here. I imagine loads of people pick players / captains based on xG/ bookie clean sheet and goal scorer odds - that doesn’t explain the extremely exceptional results he is getting

        1. Tinkermania
          6 years, 4 days ago

          I doubt most people look at bookie odds for fantasy picks. Will be surprised if it's more than 5%. I for one don't.

          1. TheDragon
            6 years, 4 days ago

            If you don’t for captain picks then that’s a big leak

            1. Tinkermania
              6 years, 4 days ago

              ''If you don't for captain picks then that's a big leak''.

              What does that even mean?

    6. Brosstan
      6 years, 4 days ago

      Good manager + luck

      1. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        6 years, 4 days ago

        This, all that we need

    7. Je suis le chat
      6 years, 4 days ago

      Be interesting if other rich geniuses played the game to see how they'd do, say for example Elon Musk, Collison brothers. They wouldn't fall for the Kilman and James traps or do Son hokey cokeys like moi!

      1. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        6 years, 4 days ago

        Need to have interest on football, otherwise calibration fails

    8. Ógie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 4 days ago

      If anyone knows,Magnus knows.

    9. sully29
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 4 days ago

      He's a very clever person who is already a master at a game that depends heavily on strategy. Would be far more surprising if he was poor at FPL.

      1. TheDragon
        6 years, 4 days ago

        There’s a difference between being ‘good at FPL’ and consecutive seasons of:

        17/18: Top 2k
        18/19: Top 100 late in the season fading away slightly pushing for OR1
        19/20: 10th
        20/21: Off to a flyer

        That’s like 0.0000001% level

        1. FPL Theorist
          6 years, 4 days ago

          Yes, he's an exceptional manager similar to many of those who have been interviewed here on the "Meet the Manager" series. What is it that makes people like Joe marvel at these managers when he interviews them?

          Number one by far is not putting a lot of stock in ownership. Often ignoring it altogether, but for some it's preferring players that are low owned over those that are highly owned.

  4. Rolls-Royce
    6 years, 4 days ago

    Marcus Rashford essential.

    1. Zimo
      6 years, 4 days ago

      So many essential people. How to fit in everyone

      1. Ibralicious
        6 years, 4 days ago

        Make 2 teams... duh

  5. Ibralicious
    6 years, 4 days ago

    Bruno>>>KDB
    Rashford>>>>Sterling

    Ole>>>Pep too I guess but Pep just abysmal in the champions league so that might be an outlier

    1. TheDragon
      6 years, 4 days ago

      This is so wrong it upsets me to even read it

    2. Vlekz
      6 years, 4 days ago

      Lingard>>>>>>Ronaldinho?

      1. Ibralicious
        6 years, 4 days ago

        Some would say so, yes

    3. No Professionals
      6 years, 4 days ago

      KDB is on a different planet to fernandes.

      Rashford and sterling are close though.

      1. Tinkermania
        6 years, 4 days ago

        The best players play for the best teams. Best teams win trophies. Trophies I said, IBRA.....

    4. xHaTr
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 4 days ago

      This is why everyone hates united fans. Delirious

      1. Brosstan
        6 years, 4 days ago

        Come on it's an obvious troll... I swear most of the trolls on here are people pretending to be united supporters

      2. Zimo
        6 years, 4 days ago

        Can this be regarded as a subsection of prejudice and discriminatory generalization?

      3. Zimo
        6 years, 4 days ago

        r/woosh

  6. The Train Driver
    6 years, 4 days ago

    Play Felipe or keep 4 pts?

    1. bitm2007
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 4 days ago

      I've got the same dilemma with Hummels (4), I've got Hateboer from Altanta coming in who have you got ?

      1. The Train Driver
        6 years, 4 days ago

        I'm playing Gomez and Gosens instead of 2 3pts players but then I have Felipe on the bench as well and would have to sub him in for a 4pts player.

        1. bitm2007
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          6 years, 4 days ago

          Sounds like you've had a decent night if you've got the option to take out a 4, 63 from 8 here will be taking out two 3's and 4.

      2. The Train Driver
        6 years, 4 days ago

        Also, I would play Hateboer...

    2. bitm2007
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 4 days ago

      sorry misread that I'd keep the 4, Bayern away is hard as they come.

      1. The Train Driver
        6 years, 4 days ago

        Cheers

  7. Rolls-Royce
    6 years, 4 days ago

    No player made more tackles in the Champions League this evening than Aaron Wan-Bissaka (6).

    Spider-Wan shuts down a left-hand side worth more than €400m.

    1. The Train Driver
      6 years, 4 days ago

      Never knew tackles could be so beautiful...

  8. EL_FENOMENO
    6 years, 4 days ago

    Tuanzebe is our best CB

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 4 days ago

      Keep him fit is key

    2. Rolls-Royce
      6 years, 4 days ago

      Agreed. What a beast.

    3. Make United Great Again
      6 years, 4 days ago

      Facts

    4. No Professionals
      6 years, 4 days ago

      Until he has a shocker in the prem

  9. FPL Daniel
    6 years, 4 days ago

    Hey lads 0 ITB, anything worth a hit or keep it and reassess with 2FT next week?

    The team
    Martinez
    TAA Robbo Lamptey
    Barnes Zaha Salah Son
    DCL Antonio Kane
    Bench: Justin Mitchel 4.4m

    1. FPL Daniel
      6 years, 4 days ago

      No clear way to get Rodriguez, Grealish or Bruno, the guys that I like.

      Thoughts?

      1. FPL Daniel
        6 years, 4 days ago

        Anyone?

      2. Gentle_Turks
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        6 years, 4 days ago

        Robertson to Saiss and Zaha to Rodriguez.

        1. Zimo
          6 years, 4 days ago

          Horrible move to get rid of robertson. He plays so far up basically as a winger and on a lot of corners and indirect freekicks too now

    2. Zimo
      6 years, 4 days ago

      Can u do Zaha to Grealish? Don't like palaces chances of scoring outside of penalties

      1. FPL Daniel
        6 years, 4 days ago

        No, I can't . 0 ITB. Grealish with 1FT is not possible unfortunately. No chance selling Robbo before Sheffield at home.

        Other suggestions m

  10. Zrinkec
    6 years, 4 days ago

    62 points before Foden, Papu Gomez, Gosens and Kimmich

    1. The Train Driver
      6 years, 4 days ago

      81 pts with Kimmich, Gomez, Gosens and Så left 🙂

      Almost better than after 5 gws in FPL.

      1. Zrinkec
        6 years, 4 days ago

        Wow GJ bro.

        1. The Train Driver
          6 years, 4 days ago

          Thanks

      2. bitm2007
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        6 years, 4 days ago

        Excellent score 51 after i've subbed out 11 points but still have 7 to play.

        1. The Train Driver
          6 years, 4 days ago

          Yeah I didn't count the - 7 for subs so 74 points.

      3. Firmino
        6 years, 4 days ago

        Angelino captain?

  11. FCRS BGD
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    6 years, 4 days ago

    Hi guys
    In FPL Draft , long term, who is better option?
    1) Antonio
    2) Martial
    Thanks

    1. The FPL Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 4 days ago

      2

      1. FCRS BGD
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        6 years, 4 days ago

        Thanks

  12. The FPL Units
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    6 years, 4 days ago

    Have now been broken and looking at WC.

    What do we think of this crack?

    Martinez
    Robbo Targett Balbuena
    Sterling Son Bruno Salah
    DCL Wilson Brewster

    Steer Romeu Vestergaard Kilman

  13. Tim LFC Fan
    6 years, 4 days ago

    What should I do?

    A) Jimi to Kane (free transfer)

    B) Brewster & Bruno to Kane & Grealish (-4)

    My team

    Pickford
    Sais Lamptey Justin
    Salah Bruno Son Prod Rodriguez
    DCL Jimi

    Brewster Lewis Mitchell

    1. The FPL Units
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 4 days ago

      A

    2. JakeTheRed
      6 years, 4 days ago

      A 100%

      JTR.

    3. Weak Become Heros
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 4 days ago

      A

  14. JakeTheRed
    6 years, 4 days ago

    A 100%

  15. bitm2007
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    6 years, 4 days ago

    Messi captain (11 points goal and assist) stick or twist for Lewandowski home to Athletico ?

    1. FPL Daniel
      6 years, 4 days ago

      Twist

    2. Firmino
      6 years, 4 days ago

      Stick

  16. Weak Become Heros
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    6 years, 4 days ago

    Jimi to Aguero for -4? Long term transfer I think he’ll bang more than Jimi. I dont own Sterling.

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      6 years, 4 days ago

      Nope

    2. Gentle_Turks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 4 days ago

      I wouldn't. Keep Jimenez for the Newcastle home game first and monitor Aguero.

  17. Make United Great Again
    6 years, 4 days ago

    United starting to play. Brilliant performance. Rashford and Bruno will be start getting very popular on here again

    1. No Professionals
      6 years, 4 days ago

      Bruno will be flavour of the month, which is why you have to be careful on here, saw a few people advising those thinking about putting fernandes in that it was a moronic move.

      1. Zimo
        6 years, 4 days ago

        Those people think too emotionally and let their united hate take over

        1. No Professionals
          6 years, 4 days ago

          It’s easily done

          1. Zimo
            6 years, 4 days ago

            Yup

        2. Make United Great Again
          6 years, 4 days ago

          Happens all the time. He’ll be right up there points wise regardless

    2. gooberman
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 4 days ago

      Had them both in my team since GW2.

  18. FPL-Albion
    6 years, 4 days ago

    Podence and Wilson to Kane and Bissumoa

    I have 0.1 spare do it tonight or wait

  19. Champions League Varane
    6 years, 4 days ago

    GGGMUUUUU

    1. Make United Great Again
      6 years, 4 days ago

      SIUUUUUUUUU

      1. Seanigula
        6 years, 4 days ago

        STFUUUUUU

  20. jam sandwich
    6 years, 4 days ago

    Saiss to Bellerin GW8

    who is with me?

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      6 years, 4 days ago

      Creswell

    2. leo_messi
      6 years, 4 days ago

      Robertson or Creswell
      for me

  21. No Professionals
    6 years, 4 days ago

    Love some of the random transfers, 14 people have transferred in otamendi this week. He plays for benfica.

    1. Zimo
      6 years, 4 days ago

      They know something we don't 😛

    2. JakeTheRed
      6 years, 4 days ago

      LOL

    3. Seanigula
      6 years, 4 days ago

      It was 13 family members and Fudgy

  22. gart888
    6 years, 4 days ago

    On my WC

    Martinez - Steer
    Robbo - Chilwell - KWP - 4.5 - Kilman
    Salah - Son - James Rodriguez - Grealish - Zaha
    Kane - DCL - Brewster

    Best 4.5 to fill this slot? Wanted to go Targett, but he'd be my 4th villa player. Too risky to take a 4.0 keeper that isn't Steer?

    1. No Professionals
      6 years, 4 days ago

      No not really, if Martinez gets injured transfer him out

      1. gart888
        6 years, 4 days ago

        I guess Steer offers autosub protection in case Martinez gets injured after the gameweek locks.

        1. No Professionals
          6 years, 4 days ago

          Yes I understand the logic, I have him as back up, but the blocking of a 3rd viable villa could be an issue.

          I’d have thought the injury cover for Martinez is not worth it.

          1. gart888
            6 years, 4 days ago

            Gotcha. Who do you rate as the best 4.5 defenders right now?

          2. Seanigula
            6 years, 4 days ago

            Villa are nothing special, 1 attacker is enough, and the best value may not be Grealish

            1. gart888
              6 years, 4 days ago

              Best 4.5 defender then?

              1. Seanigula
                6 years, 4 days ago

                KWP, Ayling/Dallas

                1. gart888
                  6 years, 4 days ago

                  You're not concerned about Ayling/Dallas short term outlook with Philips out?

  23. Feloh
    6 years, 4 days ago

    Some people were making fun of me for claiming Messi gets 2 pts for gaining a pen even if he converts it himself.

    1. Tinkermania
      6 years, 4 days ago

      Where did you claim and who laughed? Link please.

      1. Seanigula
        6 years, 4 days ago

        It’s true

  24. EL_FENOMENO
    6 years, 4 days ago

    Really tempted of doing TAA to Robbo as i can see TAA sitting deeper now with VVD out. Is it wishful thinking or there is some reasoning?

    1. Zimo
      6 years, 4 days ago

      I don't see why that'll happen honestly. Fabinho will play cb probably now. He's great defensively

    2. Tinkermania
      6 years, 4 days ago

      It's wishful thinking.

  25. Je suis le chat
    6 years, 4 days ago

    Looking at Trent: 50k net transferred him out between gw 3 and 4 yet his ownership went up. Doubting he'll go down 0.1m despite 170k transfers out sofar this gw.

    1. FPL Daniel
      6 years, 4 days ago

      And Mark has him too 😉

  26. BlzE_94
    6 years, 4 days ago

    Play one (Martinez in goal):

    A) Targett vs Lee
    B) Kilman vs New
    C) Mitchell vs Ful

    1. No Professionals
      6 years, 4 days ago

      Kilman

  27. mitro
    6 years, 4 days ago

    Who to get rid of for Kane?
    A) Kai (2ft)
    B) Jimi (1ft)

    1. ZeBestee
      6 years, 4 days ago

      B

  28. ZeBestee
    6 years, 4 days ago

    Keep 1;

    1) Werner
    2) Jimi

  29. Bennyboy1907
    6 years, 4 days ago

    Martinez

    Lamptey Robbo Saiss (C.Taylor) (Mitchel)
    Salah Son Hamez Grealish Pulisic
    jiminez DCL (Davies)

    2mil ITB

    Any hits or g2g? Was thinking Kane but need a -8 for that? Is he essential

    1. gart888
      6 years, 4 days ago

      Davis? Replace with Brewster.

  30. Kragbaek
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    6 years, 4 days ago

    I'm confused for the coming round. Stick with Havertz, or switch to Willian, Bilva/Foden, Lucas or even Grealish? (Favour the latter the least)