Pro Pundits
14 January 2021 4296 comments
Az Az
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Like most Fantasy Premier League managers, I am finding it very hard to plan for Double Gameweek 19.

In light of Thursday’s updated fixture list, here is my latest plan for transfers and chip strategies ahead of Saturday’s deadline.

But, you could not have caught me in worse spirits about the way this season is going. Oh, Raz, what have you done to me. 

I know it really shouldn’t matter with everything going on, but Raheem Sterling’s (£11.4m) penalty miss has to go up there with one of my worst ever moments in FPL. 

My Free Hit team was built around him being my key differential, and not content with a spot on the bench until the 82nd minute, Sterling had to go and make things even worse.

Using the brilliant “what if” machine over at LiveFPL.net, I worked out that if Sterling had scored, I would have been catapulted into the top million ahead of my Arsenal contingent facing Crystal Palace.

Even if Kevin De Bruyne (£11.8m) had shaken off his fatigue and scored, I’d have still gone up a few hundred thousand places. If ever a moment summed up my season, it happened last night.

With the pain of the miss still fresh in my mind, I now have to turn my attention to planning for the upcoming Gameweeks. We have never known anything like it. Double Gameweeks have dropped off the table, with both Leeds and Southampton now only having one game. There go four players that I had in place ready for Double Gameweek 19.

Aston Villa v Everton is off now too. So, there goes Dominic Calvert Lewin (£7.7m). Dean Smith’s men have earned a fixture back though, hosting Newcastle at the back-end of the Gameweek, although we still don’t know which of their plays have been dealing with coronavirus (COVID-19). And let’s not forget that top target Jack Grealish (£7.7m) is on four yellow cards. Another one against Manchester City and he would miss the second Double Gameweek 19 fixture.

Let’s add to that problem. Bruno Fernandes (£11.3m) is also one booking away from a ban and faces what is likely to be a fiery encounter against Liverpool to come, before playing Fulham. Mohamed Salah (£12.5m) is off form. Manchester City are proving rock solid in defence but a bit of a lottery in trying to work out how many goals they will score, even against so-called ‘inferior’ opposition. Are they back, or were good performances against Newcastle and Chelsea just the result of playing teams in poor form?

I am finding it very hard this season and I know I’m not the only one. It feels almost impossible to plan for things when so much is in flux. But, we must try. I’m not going to give up hope, but I am looking at this season through the lens of what it is. No matter what rank I end up with, I will know what went on. I am allowing myself this season as a freebie, whatever happens.

I think I want to have a bit of fun at this stage. I want to give my squad a bit of a freshening up once Double Gameweek 19 is out of the way. I am interested in Percy Tau (£5.5m), mostly due to my Brighton bias, but also because he presents an intriguing cheap option as a potentially out-of-position option. 

Let’s face it, with competition such as Neal Maupay (£6.1m) it’s hard to imagine Tau won’t feature – and his most natural position is as an attacking midfielder. I expect to see him cementing a regular spot in the team going forward, given our lack of real goal threat over the last few months.

Barring any drastic news from the West Ham camp, I am going to finally make a move for Michael Antonio (£6.2m). West Ham have the best Double Gameweek schedule of the lot, hosting Burnley and West Bromwich Albion. 

The reason why I am so keen is because the Hammers have sold Sebastien Haller (£, his only direct competition, to Ajax. While I don’t expect a full 180-minute outing in Double Gameweek 19 for Antonio, it looks like he has returned from injury at a good time, and got minutes in the FA Cup. With Sterling’s penalty miss making one of my low points of FPL, Antonio’s four goals against Norwich was certainly my high point. If he can get close to replicating this then I’ll be a happy man again.

Speaking of West Ham, this seems a great time to invest in their defence. I know a lot of people have got Vladimir Coufal (£4.7m) and he seems a great option for the double – but a double up with Aaron Creswell (£5.4m) could be gold. I’d back West Ham for at least one clean sheet and Creswell has already registered 6 assists in the league.  No defender has got more. Historically, defenders are often great picks in Double Gameweeks with the likes of Branislav Ivanovic, Aymeric Laporte and Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.2m) all registering huge returns in seasons gone by. It wouldn’t surprise me to see a West Ham defender as the top-scoring player for the Gameweek.

Sky Fantasy Football: Sticks and Stones? Who to bring in before the Overhaul? 2

Another strong consideration for me is to double-up with Manchester City defenders. John Stones (£5.0) has finally come into my reckoning due to the consistency of strong performances from himself and the rest of the backline. 

At this point, I don’t think the extra £0.8m is worth it for fellow centre back Ruben Dias (£5.8m) and I think not only does Stones keep his place, but he matches the Portuguese internationals points from now until the end of the season. 

That said, I am very glad to have moved for João Cancelo (£5.8m). I am completely and utterly convinced that this man is going to hit a double-digit return soon. Could it be this week? Is he actually an outside captaincy option with other big-hitting players flattering to deceive?

One player who I think I will be keeping is Son Heung-min (£9.8m). His 62.5% ownership means that I’m not getting much benefit from his returns, but it feels amiss to be selling him before a run of games that includes Brighton, West Brom and Sheffield United. 

I had earmarked a swap for him to De Bruyne, but with Pep Guardiola citing fatigue as the reason he didn’t take Manchester City’s penalty – combined with the fact that his side are still playing without a recognised striker AND that he only has one goal from open play this season, decimating my team and taking out the number one point scorer in the game just feels a bit of a luxury transfer when there are other moves I could be making to try and climb the rankings.

So, with fixture rescheduling putting any plans I had for a Bench Boost on hold, I am considering which chip I should use if any. With Fernandes on four yellow cards, I don’t feel confident enough captaining him this week – which makes Salah the obvious choice. 

The trouble is, I’m just not sure how the Manchester United game is going to pan out. I think it might be a very cagey affair. While I think Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s men have the firepower to put a dent in Liverpool’s title charge, a point would suit them. 

Do I really think Liverpool’s incredible home record of 53 wins and 11 draws in the last 64 games will come to an end against United? I’m just not convinced. At this point, I am strongly considering not using a chip at all and saving them for a bit later in the season. There is the guarantee of further Double gameweeks, and maybe a player will emerge as a stronger Triple Captain option on paper then.

Whatever you decide to do this week, good luck! Double Gameweeks are always something to get excited about. My advice is don’t be afraid to chuck a few hits to bring in some more players and make the most of it. 

Az One half of the FPL BlackBox YouTube series with Mark Sutherns.Former Membership Strategy Manager for FFS  Follow them on Twitter

4,296 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Van der Faart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 6 months ago

    Is it worth moving James out for someone? Had to hold him thru his injury and now hes back for the DGW, do we think he play both games?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      He could well play both games and then gets a rest in the cup

    2. MarkoSD
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Hold

    3. marcos11
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Would hold

  2. Miguel Sanchez
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 6 months ago

    Morning all - have the following team for the DGW and 1FT where I really want to bring in Soucek for Saka. Who should I bench?

    Martinez
    Cancelo Stones Coufal
    KDB(TC) Bruno Rashford Son
    Martial Wilson Antonio

    Areola Saka Holding Mitchell

    If Martial is out it would make decisions a bit easier but right now it looks a case of bench one from

    A) Wilson (ars, avl)
    B) Son (shu)

    1. ☈☾
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      No BB?

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 6 months ago

        Used that in week 1

    2. alsybach
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Bench Wilson

    3. Buck The Trent
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Tom Hanks

    4. MarkoSD
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Hard decision, don't do it

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 6 months ago

        Don’t bring in Soucek? Yeah would make it easier for sure but I actually can see a scenario where Soucek is the highest scorer this GW (despite not captaining him)

    5. Tanaka'd
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      What's the latest on Martial?

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 6 months ago

        Injury not as bad first feared and should be fine for Liverpool game

        1. Tanaka'd
          • 9 Years
          5 years, 6 months ago

          Cheers, trying to decide what to do with him too.

          1. Miguel Sanchez
            • 9 Years
            5 years, 6 months ago

            Think he’s a hold but suspect Ole won’t want to give too much away in the press conference today

            1. Tanaka'd
              • 9 Years
              5 years, 6 months ago

              Yeah true, but is he worth the risk if I also have Kane and Bamford who are both SGW? Or move for Antonio?

              1. Miguel Sanchez
                • 9 Years
                5 years, 6 months ago

                Def hold Martial - perhaps sell Bamford for Antonio instead

    6. JELLYFISH
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Keep the FT and hold....team is solid as is

    7. ElliotJHP
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Morning Miguel, long time no see.

      I am a real sucker for the DGW so would probably bench Son

      1. Miguel Sanchez
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 6 months ago

        It’s so tempting but then again it is just Callum Wilson who is my greatest FPL troll of all time.

  3. RustyBz
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 6 months ago

    Morning all. I've boiled it down to two choices, which one tickles your fancy more?

    1) [ - 12 ] with Bench Boost

    MARTINEZ,JOHNSTONE;

    TAYLOR*, ZOUMA, JUSTIN, MAGUIRE, STONES;

    Son, SALAH (C), FERNANDES, Raphinha, SOUCEK;

    ANTONIO, Kane, WATKINS

    OR

    2) [ -8 ] with TC

    MARTINEZ;

    ZOUMA, STONES, JUSTIN, MAGUIRE; (TAYLOR*)

    SALAH, KDB (TC), FERNANDES, Raphinha; (Bissouma**)

    Kane, WATKINS; (Brewster)

    1. Seamy
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      I hate both of them.
      -8 and -12? Neither are worth ripping your team up for. Maybe a WC?

      1. RustyBz
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 6 months ago

        I assume I can't WC & chip at the same time?

  4. The Mighty Whites
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 6 months ago

    Would you do a -4 to bring in Soucek for Raphinha?

    1. MarkoSD
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      No

  5. Seamy
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 6 months ago

    Repost: Is Dias worth the extra 0.8m investment over Stones?
    It would go a long way to strengthening the rest of my team in the coming weeks

    1. No Totti No Party
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      No imo, similar stats, similar goal treat. With extra 0,8 i would pick Stones every time

      1. Seamy
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 6 months ago

        Yeah thinking the same. It allows me to get Son back in next week for a -4

    2. Timon
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Dont think so. Both of them looks nailed on. with Laporte & Ake out

    3. Feed tha Sheep
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Not for me

    4. Pukkipartyy
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Yes

    5. Vlekz
      5 years, 6 months ago

      It's probably a 0.8 mil investment for mental peace more than anything else

  6. Timon
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 6 months ago

    Feels like, Cancel is a decent captaincy shout for the DGW?

    1. Timon
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      *Cancelo

    2. Eze Really?
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Good Punt

    3. No Totti No Party
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      i think his minimum score is 8 so, not so bad for C yeah

    4. alsybach
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      I think ‘cancel’ is about right!

    5. PapaWengzz
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Until he is benched for 1 of the games

  7. BenDavies
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 6 months ago

    With us approaching the halfway point in the season, how many green and red arrows have you had?

    I've had 12 green arrows and 5 red arrows.

    1. Seamy
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      13 green thanks to a horrendous first 2 GW's

    2. Buck The Trent
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      10 G, 7 R

    3. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      8 red, 9 green. LOL

    4. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      12 greens.

  8. Nespinha
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 6 months ago

    *DGW

    Johnstone*
    Dallas, Robbo*, Balbuena*
    Salah*, Bruno*, Grealish*, KDB*, Raphinha
    Bamford, Watkins*

    McCarthy, Adams, KWP, Taylor*

    BB worth it?

    A) -4 for Coufal or Stones
    B) -8 for Cancelo + Brewster or Coufal + Antonio

    1. valurth
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Who are you transferring out Balbuena or Taylor? Balbuena lost his place and Taylor injury doubt.
      I’m transferring out both of them if I BB. Might do Kane+Son+Balbuena+Taylor > KDB + Antonio + Stones + Chillwell

      Unless there is info on Taylor playing.
      Might just do Balbuena out then

      1. Nespinha
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 6 months ago

        Balbuena has two good fixtures and may play one.
        Taylor even if playing 2 fixtures, has bad games

  9. Feed tha Sheep
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 6 months ago

    Which one this week?

    A. Son Anguissa Dallas > Foden Grealish & Stones -8
    B. Robertson Son & Adams > Stones Foden & Vardy -8
    C. Robertson & Son > Stones & KDB -4

  10. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 6 months ago

    GTG? Anything for a hit? 0.0ITB

    Martinez
    Justin/Cancelo/Robo/Coufal
    Soucek/Bruno/KDB(c)/Salah
    Vardy/Bamford

    Martin/Dallas/Adams/Stephens

    1. PapaWengzz
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Sold on KDB (c)? Minutes could be managed

      1. Atimis
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 6 months ago

        Toss a coin really. City won't exist without KDB imo.

    2. MarkoSD
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Gtg

  11. shapply
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 6 months ago

    Coufal or Dawson from whu?

    1. MarkoSD
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Couf

    2. Tanaka'd
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Coufal

    3. House Frey Wedding Planner
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Coufal

    4. Assisting the assister
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Coufal for sure

    5. marcos11
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Coufal

  12. The Mantis
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 6 months ago

    What to do with the below? 1FT £1.4 ITB:

    Martinez (Button)
    Dallas / Dias / Cresswell (Lowton / Mitchell)
    KDB / Bruno / Son / Soucek (ESR)
    Bamford / Martial / Kane

    I'm thinking I need at least 1 or 2 of Salah / Vardy / Stones / Antonio ? Maybe Martial to Antonio then -4 Son to Salah? Think SHU against Spurs could be a tough game

  13. MarkoSD
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 6 months ago

    Son and Antonio
    Or
    Mane and Brewster for -4
    ?
    Brewster would be on the bench, Justin or Target would play
    Gw19

    1. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Son and Antonio

    2. Assisting the assister
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Mane - the standout differential

      1. Van der Faart
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 6 months ago

        Good shout and could free up funds too.

  14. Van der Faart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 6 months ago

    Salah, Bruno or KDB this week more important? Will have 2 of the 3 but which 2 is the best option? Bruno on 4 yellows worries me.

    1. No Totti No Party
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Similar value, i would say Mo

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Salah and KDB

    3. Werner Bremen
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Mo the most imortant I would say. Then KDB and then Bruno. For whom it didn't click against the big teams this season. And yeah, there is that yellow...

  15. manu4life99
    • 16 Years
    5 years, 6 months ago

    Is Rash>Salah worth a 4pt hit?

    1. Werner Bremen
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Not so sure about that. Rash likes those away fixtures. But you could, if you want to captain Mo.

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Keep Rashford- returns in every away game and has two away games in his double. Salah out of form

  16. Werner Bremen
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 6 months ago

    Dallas to Cancelo for a hit?

    1. Assisting the assister
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      No

    2. Feed tha Sheep
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Yes

  17. Aladdin Sané
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 6 months ago

    KDB and Antonio/Watkins for -4 is a lock. Should I take a -8 and get rid of Adams too?

    A) Yes - Antonio/Watkins (whichever not bought on -4)
    B) Yes - Abraham
    C) No

  18. Magic Zico
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 6 months ago

    Which one for BB?
    A. ESR Chilwell
    B. Barnes/Mount Holding

  19. gomez123
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 6 months ago

    Anyone keeping Kane & Son?

    1. djaddy
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Possibly losing one. Just can't decide which one

    2. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Yes.

    3. Assisting the assister
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Thinking Kane as need to fund KDB somehow. Tough though - don't want to

  20. Vlekz
    5 years, 6 months ago

    Anything you would change in this FH team?

    Fabianski
    Robertson cancelo stones coufol
    Salah kdb bruno lookman
    Vardy Antonio

    Forster | anguissa Davis bernado

    0.0 ITB

  21. Mweene
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 6 months ago

    Play Bamford or Justin?

    1. Assisting the assister
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Bamford

    2. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Justin

    3. JELLYFISH
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Justin

  22. djaddy
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 6 months ago

    Which transfer would you do, for -4.

    1) Dier to Creswell/James
    2) Son to Salah
    3) Kane to Vardy

    1. Assisting the assister
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      2

  23. The_FF_King
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 6 months ago

    Not seeing many people using FH on here? Is it not a good option for this week?

    1. Assisting the assister
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      already wasted it

      1. as33
        • 10 Years
        5 years, 6 months ago

        Im thinking to do: Show me your FH team 🙂

  24. Loðbrók
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 6 months ago

    Bench boosting! (Already on -4 to catch Fodens price rise (got exactly the money for 1 of the possible moves))

    Johnstone Martinez
    Justin TAA Robertson Coufal Ogbonna
    Fernandes Salah (C) Soucek Foden Grealish
    Werner Bamford Adams

    1m in the bank
    Bamford and Adams the only ones with only 1 game, what would you do?

    A) Ogbonna + Adams -> Antonio + Cancelo (-8)
    B) Adams -> Watkins/Wilson/Wood/Decordova-Reid (-4)
    C) Bench boost with no more hits.
    D) Other?

    Leaning towards A because I want Cancelo long term, but -8 (-12 total) hurts obv....

    1. ElliotJHP
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      C

    2. More Cowbell
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      I like Adams > Watkins for -4
      Villa have 3 decent fixtures after the double where watkins could easily pay you back

      1. Loðbrók
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 6 months ago

        Thanks, just worried about VIlla and the Covid situation. Do we know anything about whos fit?

  25. More Cowbell
    • 16 Years
    5 years, 6 months ago

    Hi All,

    I think this is the best move I can do. Any other thoughts?

    Son, Adams > KDB & Watkins (-4) leaves 0.0 ITB

    Forster
    Konsa, Justin, Coufal
    Salah, Bruno, KDB, Soucek
    Vardy Bamford, Watkins

    McCarthy, Dallas, Phillips, Bissouma

  26. ElliotJHP
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 6 months ago

    Morning all, think i'll just go James -> Dias and ignore the BB. How does it look? Martinez v Johnstone a tough call. Wood over Bamford feels wrong too.

    Martinez
    Coufal Dias Stones Cancelo
    Salah Bruno Son Grealish
    Wood Vardy

    Johnstone Bamford Dallas Burke

    1. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Triple City is ballsy but I like it

    2. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Anything ITB? I would upgrade Burke and BB

      1. ElliotJHP
        • 14 Years
        5 years, 6 months ago

        Think I could go Burke to Anguissa and still BB

    3. JELLYFISH
      • 14 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Looks good, but Wood over Bamford is a tough call. I got a feeling Brighton might frustrate Leeds though so I think you got it right

  27. JELLYFISH
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 6 months ago

    Robbo > Dias for a hit?

    Looks daft, but I want rid of Robbo and doing it this gw gives me a real chance of offsetting the -4 (think Man C CS odds are better)

    1. PapaWengzz
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Nah just do it after this Gw

    2. Vlekz
      5 years, 6 months ago

      City might have a better cs odds but a hit offsets that and plus Robbo can easily get one cs and attacking return(s)

  28. PapaWengzz
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 6 months ago

    Son, Kane > Salah, Vardy (-8)? Spurs fixtures are not great even after the Dgw

    1. marcos11
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      Would get rid of one but maybe not both

  29. Bishopool
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 6 months ago

    I am Kane and Son owner.

    Although it is extremely tempting to stay with them, but at the same time isnt it obivous that we should prefer guys who play 180 minutes (Vardy, Salah etc.), not 90 minutes? It is 2-3 extra points guaranteed (mostly) and yeah more 90 minutes to make stats.

    There is no right or wrong, but just to think about it in general, isnt it common sense that DGW players must be picked in that situation 😀

    We see that weaker teams tend to park the buss.. so Mourinho guys wouldnt have simple win..

    1. PapaWengzz
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 6 months ago

      2-3 more yes, but it also gives Salah and Vardy another full game to haul, like son kane they get 1 goal or assist. Salah and Vardy could get (2, 16) kind of scores as they have 2 games to haul.

  30. Fernandito
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 6 months ago

    Have 11 dgw players and 3 singles with great fixtures on the “bench”...would you BB Bamford Raphinha & Neto? Cant afford a playing 2nd keeper