Football Index
29 January 2021 654 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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The notion of ‘new manager bounce’ is readily applied to teams, but less so when it comes to individual players.

But one of the more interesting aspects of the arrival at Chelsea of Thomas Tuchel will be whether he can bring out the best in a number of under-performing players.

If he can, there should be a few moves to make on Football Index (FI).

If you’re new to ‘The Football Stockmarket’, it’s a real-money betting platform where you can buy and sell footballers.

On Football Index you buy shares in individual players whose value can rise or fall depending on their performance both on the field and in the media.

I’m actively using FI this season with more than a nod to FPL, seeing which aspects of each game marry up, and which don’t.

One of the more tragic sub-plots of the FPL season so far has been the form (or complete lack of it) of Chelsea striker Timo Werner.

The German started the season in around a third of all squads and, despite not scoring in the league since a Gameweek 8 mauling of Sheffield United in early November, he’s still in 11.6%.

And while not the only reason for the demise of coach Frank Lampard, he is that sorry story’s poster boy.

Lampard, after all, gave him 15 straight starts (and 1,393 minutes) to adapt to the Premier League and he responded with four goals and five assists.

Those struggles didn’t go unnoticed on FI, where Werner’s share price, which had peaked at £5.99 in early September, dropped to a chastening £1.36 late last week.

But that new manager bounce is presumably now kicking in, with the striker currently trading around the £1.80 mark.

Chelsea, like every club with a European string to their bow, have an insanely busy month ahead, with two games a week from now until the end of February.

If – and it’s big one – Tuchel can help Werner find some form, his value can only rise further, although that September high is a long, long way off.

Having said that, FI’s decision to ditch in-play dividends from early next month should encourage traders to return to the longer game that it originally was.

And further down the road is the European Championships – a competition that any number of Chelsea stars will be involved in. That should boost their attractiveness in FI in terms of share value and dividend output (both media and match day), so getting in early on key Blues assets looks sustainable.

Werner has produced a £0.93 dividend yield over the last 12 months.

Another recent signing, Hakim Ziyech (£1.26), is a lot further down the FI value chain and brought in a mere £0.12 in dividends over the past year.

But his price is also on the move upwards, as are most of the Chelsea squad’s valuations in recent days.

Lampard failed for a number of reasons, most notably for struggling to find the right team balance from a squad rich in attacking talent.

Tuchel will, of course, face the same challenge and it will be interesting to see how the younger players fit into his personal master plan considering his recent admission that he chose more experienced options to face Wolves as he felt them better-equipped to deal with a new manager.

What doesn’t seem in doubt, however, is that there is a lot of FI value waiting to be tapped into at Chelsea.

Their domestic fixtures are generally favourable until the middle of March, with Champions League action to further sweeten the deal.

Timing, as ever, will be vital for FI traders, but sooner looks wiser than later.


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654 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Silecro
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Since I have Johnstone basically rotting on my bench next to Martinez, is this the week i actually play him?

    Johnstone vs FUL
    Martinez vs sou

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      I have both GKs. WBA are still a shambles. I'm sticking with Martinez

    2. Dwotle
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      I have the same dilemma. When Johnstone plays WBA I'll consider him...

      1. GENERATION X
        • 12 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Me too can't see him conceding in that one

  2. JJeyy
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Lol I never thought Id see Gundogan winning a captain poll

    1. linkafu
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Blank week then

  3. g40steve
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    How to improve team with a -4 ( 2 transfers) or hold?

    Martinez
    Maguire, Stones, Dias
    Bruno, Son, Foden, Salah, Soucek
    Bamford, Watkins

    Johnson, Mitchell, Coufal, Kane

    3.3

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      I would sell Kane to DCL and bench Bamford

  4. damiang2233
    • 16 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Best replacement for Kane?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      DCL, Watkins and Antonio

  5. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Would you play Bamford or Adams? 50/50?

    1. Silecro
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Bam

    2. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Bamford - poor form but on pens

  6. linkafu
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Help please! Start two:

    A Bamford
    B Raphina
    C Antonio
    D Justin

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 10 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      B,C. Form

    2. Salan
      • 16 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      AC

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      BC

  7. The Red Devil
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Antonio or Watkins?
    Have soucek, don't have grealish
    Personally think Watkins this GW & get Antonio next GW

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Agree Watkins 21 and Antonio 22

  8. 03farmboy
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Calvert Lewin or Watkins?

    It’s to replace Kane

    1. HappyMonday
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      watkins

    2. linkafu
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      DCL

    3. Pukki Blinders
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      DCL

    4. FFLNeanderthal
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      DCL

    5. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      DCL

    6. HNI
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Dcl

  9. HappyMonday
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Firminho, Calvert Lewin or Lacazette??
    Many thanks

  10. HNI
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Pleasw advice, answers needed guys:

    1)Who to remove for Gundongen from
    a) Soucek
    b Grealish
    c) Bruno
    d) Salah

    On Soucek for now

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      D on form - Soucek is really a set and forget

    2. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Soucek of those

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Reluctantly Soucek even though he had a double digit haul last GW

    4. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Has to be Soucek from these players

  11. AC Pilkington
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Who would you start?

    A) Mitchel

    B) Soucek

    1. HNI
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Soucek as Wolves arent easy goerd

    2. linkafu
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      B

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      B

  12. linkafu
    • 6 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Bamford to Watkins for -4?

    1. HappyMonday
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      No way

    2. HNI
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Yes if going to keep for dgw 29 as longterm Avl has 2 games pending

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      long term maybe or wait until next GW for free

  13. Gudjohnsen
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Best move?

    A. Tierney to Digne
    B. Saka/Soucek to Grealish
    C. Bamford to Watkins

    1. linkafu
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      C

  14. Rinseboy
    • 14 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Maguire to Digne worth a -4?

    1. linkafu
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      for GW21 yes

    2. Eleven Hag
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      No

    3. HNI
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      I wouldnt..Can advice me above mate?

  15. Miguel Sanchez
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Afternoon all, moves made, Holding and Martial to Digne and DCL (-4), just need to settle on keeper pick. GTG?

    Areola (wba)
    Digne Cancelo Stones
    Bruno Rashford Son Gundogan(c) Soucek
    DCL Antonio

    Martinez (sot) Wilson Coufal Mitchell.

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      That'll do Miguel, that'll do

    2. HNI
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Looks good! Gundongen capt maverick! Can advice me above mate?

    3. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      GTG

  16. bruuuno
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    What do you think is the best move?

    A. Wood > DCL
    B. Wood Soucek > DCL Son (-4)

    1. linkafu
      • 6 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      B

  17. Tempestic
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Kane definitely out?

    1. Ruth_NZ
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Bale-Son-Bergwijn I think. Ndombele behind.

  18. AD105
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    I’m getting rid of Kane and Bissouma this week, who to bring in?

    A) Gundo & DCL
    B) Mahrez & DCL

    1. HNI
      • 13 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Keep Kane as he will be back in a gw, bring im Gundo

      1. AD105
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Can’t afford Gundo without getting rid of Kane, could do Chilwell & Bissouma to Stones & Gundo - reckon that’s a better shout?

        1. HNI
          • 13 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          Shaee your team..Surely there must be a way to squeeze 0.4

      2. @persecuted_by_mods
        5 years, 5 months ago

        News or you're guessing?

        1. HNI
          • 13 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          He just has pain so worst came I reckon. He cant not play everytime on painkillers as he has history of ankle injuries so will wait till last min tomorrow

      3. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Hey ?

  19. Nespinha
    • 10 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Mccarthy
    Robbo, Cancelo, Stones
    Salah, Grealish, Bruno, Son, Raphinha
    Watkins, Adams

    Subs: Johnstone, Bamford, Dallas, KWP

    Pick one to bench?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Adams, play Bam

  20. HappyMonday
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Why all the love for DCL? Was on poor form before injury

    1. Tempestic
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Digne, Richarlison, James back with 2 great fixtures

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        This too

    2. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Fixtures

    3. Pompel
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Be ahead of the curve

  21. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Rashford to

    A son ( no city attack)
    B Gundo

    Thanks

    1. Dwotle
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Easy B

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks

  22. TheKeeker
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    This may sound like an odd question, but... Maddison or Lacazette?

    1. Dwotle
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Laca

    2. Eleven Hag
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Madds

  23. TeddiPonza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    This week, which option looks better?

    A. Mitchell and DCL
    B. Digne/Chilwell and Wilson

    THanks.

    1. thepancakeman123
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      B but Antonio instead of Wilson

      1. TeddiPonza
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Already have Wilson so that's not an option. It's either bringing DCL or Digne/Chilwell in.

        1. thepancakeman123
          • 8 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          I'd still go B

  24. thepancakeman123
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Shaw, De Bruyne, Kane > Dias, Sterling/Son, Antonio is a pretty risk free -8 right?

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      No way to keep Shaw?

      1. thepancakeman123
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Would you keep Shaw over Dallas and Coufal?

        1. Fulchester's New Centr…
          • 8 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          Absolutely.
          Dallas is OOP, but Leeds seem to be running through treacle now.
          I like Couf better - Moyes is partying like it is 2008.

  25. vincentwsho
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Kane, Soucek, Dallas --> DCL, Son, Digne (-8)? Yes or no?

    The 3 options on bench are Cresswell, Coufal, Brewster

    1. estheblessed
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      No!

  26. Pompel
    • 12 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Is there any Mou presser today?

  27. philleab
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Play Wood in a 442 or Mitchell in a 541? Cavani is the other attacker.

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Play Wood

    2. Eleven Hag
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Burnley have look good in last two games, keeping Wood

  28. Warby84
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Dias Capt anyone? Or Cancelo or Gundogan worth the risk

    1. Fulchester's New Centr…
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Dias (c) = 12 points - not bad, but not great

    2. Pompel
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      No risk with Gündo , Guardiola explicitly stated he'll be starting

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 11 Years
        5 years, 5 months ago

        Did he really ?

        1. Pompel
          • 12 Years
          5 years, 5 months ago

          Check tweets

    3. mezza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Sheffield do concede a lot of goals from set pieces - could work.

  29. estheblessed
    • 11 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    Son for a hit or play Anguissa this week?

    Martinez
    Dier, Cancelo, Stones
    Bruno, Gundogan, Salah, Grealish, Anguissa
    Bamford, DCL

    Forster, Kane, Alioski, Kilman

  30. NotsoSpursy
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 5 months ago

    So is Soucek now a nailed starter for our teams?

    I was actually wanting to upgrade to Mane but is this even worth it??

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 5 months ago

      Surely mane a better option