Spot the Differential
17 December 2021 1755 comments
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******Please not that this feature was written before the postponement of Aston Villa v Burnley on Saturday afternoon******

Gameweek 18 of Fantasy Premier League (FPL) is almost upon us, which gives us an opportunity to have a look at some more differential options.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less at the time of writing.

KIERAN TIERNEY

  • FPL ownership: 5.2%
  • Price: £4.8m
  • GW18-22 fixtures: lee | nor | WOL | MCI | tot

At 5.2% ownership, Kieran Tierney (£4.8m) sits just above our usual differential threshold, but with a vastly reduced pool of players to pick from this week, we’ve made an exception.

The 24-year-old has endured a difficult season at the Emirates, having suffered his fair share of injury problems, but now looks to have turned a corner, starting all three of Arsenal’s most recent Premier League outings. During that time, he has produced a whopping 31 points, and ranks joint-fifth amongst all defenders for passes received in the final third.

For Arsenal, it does feel like progress is being made, as they now sit in the Champions League qualification places, having taken 29 points from a possible 42 since Gameweek 4. Notably, they have kept eight clean sheets in those 14 fixtures, a total no team can better and only Manchester City and Liverpool can match.

Up next for Mikel Arteta’s side is a trip to Elland Road, followed by games against Norwich City and Wolverhampton Wanderers, the two worst performing attacks in the division this season. As a result, Tierney has potential for points at both ends of the pitch and could be a smart differential for those on the lookout for a new defender.

JACOB RAMSEY

Five-time top 1k FPL finisher Tom Freeman on Villa under Gerrard and his Gameweek 13 plans 9
  • FPL ownership: 1.1%
  • Price: £4.5m
  • GW18-22 fixtures: BUR | CHE | lee | bre | MUN

In recent weeks, Jacob Ramsey (£4.5m) has established himself as one of Aston Villa’s main attacking threats.

The 20-year-old has started five of Steven Gerrard’s six games in charge, netting against Norwich City on Tuesday, with his performance in the 2-0 win arguably his best of the season to date.

Whether deployed on the left of Villa’s midfield three, or further forward as an inside forward, Ramsey has excelled, producing a respectable six goal attempts, five shots in the box and nine penalty box touches across his last five starts.

“I never watch my stuff back unless someone else has put it on the telly! But listen, he should try and watch as much football as he can and learn off as many people as he can. That is the mentality I want, for him to keep trying to be the best version of himself. The goal was really impressive, a tight one-two and then the power and speed to get into the box and finish on his weaker side. It was a top, top goal. But I don’t want the goal to take away from the fact his overall performance was really top level. I am really excited to keep working with him.” – Steven Gerrard when asked about Ramsey’s admission that he had been inspired by watching clips of him

Under Gerrard, it’s four wins in six for Villa, having beaten Brighton and Hove Albion, Crystal Palace, Leicester City and Norwich, with their only losses arriving against the current top two: Manchester City and Liverpool. The Villans now take on Burnley in tomorrow’s Gameweek 18 opener, before appealing away trips to Leeds United and Brentford to follow.

In a short space of time, Ramsey has proven he has the physical and technical ability to thrive in the Premier League, and with minutes now more assured in the absence of Marvelous Nakamba (£4.5m), he looks ready to kick-on.

CHRIS WOOD

Scout Notes 4
  • FPL ownership: 1.4%
  • Price: £6.7m
  • GW18-22 fixtures: avl | EVE | mun | lee | LEI

With just three goals in 16 Premier League appearances, it’s been a slow start to the season for Chris Wood (£6.7m).

However, the New Zealand international has been a model of consistency since joining Burnley from Leeds United back in August 2017, scoring at least 10 top-flight goals in each of his four Premier League campaigns.

This season, he has posted team-leading totals for goal attempts, shots in the box, efforts on target, big chances and penalty area touches, and while performances have taken a dip in recent weeks, Wood is generally a dependable member of Sean Dyche’s squad who he often turns to in big moments.

Looking ahead to Gameweek 18, Burnley have a testing trip to a much-improved Aston Villa side, though fixtures against Everton (h), Leeds United (a) and Leicester City (h) to follow are all particularly appealing, given that those three sides rank 16th, 18th and 15th respectively for expected goals conceded (xGC) across the opening rounds.

Notably, Wood didn’t score his third goal of the campaign until December last year, but then went on a run, finding the back of the net nine times across his next 20 appearances. Hitting those same heights again is a big ask, but Wood has proven he can deliver consistently over the years, and could be an effective differential for our frontlines in the coming weeks.

https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2021/12/16/covid-watch-club-by-club-latest/

  1. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Would you sell Ronaldo to upgrade Sanchez to Ramsdale?

    And maby even take A hit to do Gallagher to Foden and potentially field 11?

    TAA, James, Rudiger, Cancelo, White
    Salah, Jota, Raphina, Bilva

    Subs: Sanchez, Steele, Rudiger, Broja, Gallagher, Dennis

    0.3 in the bank
    2 FTs

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Sorry, Rudiger sub is Ronaldo

    2. Jeremy Corbyn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yes, for Watkins

  2. Jeremy Corbyn
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    A) Bernardo to Sterling/Gundo, start Reguilon
    B) Brownhill to Saka/Raphinha/Ramsey
    C) roll

    1. Old Wulfrunian
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B with Saka

      1. Jeremy Corbyn
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Why

        1. Old Wulfrunian
          • 9 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Mainly because of fixtures.

          1. Old Wulfrunian
            • 9 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            The more likely outcome for Reg is 1-2 points,we don't know if Sterling or Gundo will start.Stick with the one you have imo.But it's Pep roulette Sterling could easily smash it again .

  3. Life_Ban
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Feeling Invincible - not even COVID can touch me:

    Ramsdale - (Sanchez)

    Robertson - Cancelo - Rudiger - White - (Amartey)

    Salah - Foden - Son - Gray - (Brownhill)

    Laca - Watkins - (Dennis).

    1. Jeremy Corbyn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Is it a free hit? No TAA can hurt

    2. SINGH
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Son hasnt trained so doubt he will start

        1. SINGH
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Oh shiiii I wasn't aware

      1. YEAH PITCH!
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        He trained

  4. Ha.
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Vardy >

    A. Watkins
    B. Lacazaette

    Gallagher >

    1. Foden
    2. No hit

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B1

    2. Jeremy Corbyn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A1

    3. Old Wulfrunian
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A 2

      1. Old Wulfrunian
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        1

        1. Ha.
          • 10 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Ah, thanks!

      2. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Don’t think he plays?

        1. Jeremy Corbyn
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          ?

    4. KieranKA
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A1

    5. JUNITED
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B1

  5. Bobby_Baggio
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Lack of money and cheap players not playing. Suggestions welcome please? 1 FT & 0.2m ITB.

    *DDG*
    TAA - James - Rudiger
    Salah - Mount - *Gallagher* - BSilva - Raphinha
    *Hwang* - *Dennis*

    (Steele) - *Livra* - *Ronaldo* - *Dalot*

    1. Jeremy Corbyn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Get Watkins and Foden

      1. Bobby_Baggio
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        ronaldo out is the only way

    2. Not again Shirley
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I actually would consider a FH on that. As long as no more games are postponed.

      1. Jeremy Corbyn
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Not wise

    3. Norco
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Maybe Gallagher to Saka or cheaper Arsenal mid or Ramsey.

      If not, pray.

      1. Bobby_Baggio
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        last one doesnt work 🙂

  6. Not again Shirley
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Hmm indecision.

    King to Laca or Bowen to Foden/Gundo?

    Already spent FT on Tierney

    Won’t make change until tomorrow obvs.

    1. Jeremy Corbyn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Bowen

  7. King Kun Ta
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Gündogan or Foden in?

    1. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Foden

    2. Il Capitano
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Foden

  8. Nate(U)dog(ie)
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    And here I was thinking most teams looked similar before this week

    1. Mr. O'Connell
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Trying to decide if the generic Foden/Watkins picks are points chasing/group think or are there literally no other options?

      1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        I've had Foden for a fair while now so I'm OK there. I understand a few going for Watkins but it does seem crazy that he's at 17% ownership already having been pretty low last week and he'll probably be close to 20 if not past it by deadline. Foden could well be rested again, so many jumped on him after his Brighton haul then were desperate to get rid after a couple of blanks and just go for Gundogan after his haul then Bernardo after his decent run and now it's all Foden. Next week it'll be Foden out for whichever other one hauls again. Just find it crazy how much people will say going for City mids is too risky yet they're happy to jump between them again and again.

        1. SINGH
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Get me

  9. Miami Monkey
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Ramsdale Foster
    TAA Cancelo Silva Reguilon Livramento
    Salah Jota Gundogan Bowen* Brownhill
    Ronaldo* Watkins King*

    Still have 1 FT left, no cash. Currently field 10 players. Stupid to leave it as is to save more transfers for upcoming madness? Or should I use my other FT to do Bowen --> ESR or Saka?

    1. Jeremy Corbyn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yes use it

  10. dshv
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Ramsdale
    Taa James Cancelo reguilon
    Salah Foden Jota ESR
    Watkins

    Foster, Ronaldo, livra, davis, gallagher
    1ft 0.1 itb..

    Have 10 playing.. what to do? Reguilon only question

    1. Jeremy Corbyn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Reg is fine

  11. Sun God Nika
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    When's the scout pick updating

    1. Jeremy Corbyn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Too late

  12. The Frenchie
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Sale Bernardo Silva to get Foden worth it?

    1. Jeremy Corbyn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

    2. Old Wulfrunian
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

    3. The Frenchie
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Why? Do you guys think Bernardo will be bench?

    4. Yank Revolution
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      No

    5. ZTF
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Definitely no

    6. Well you know, Triffic
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      No point selling someone who might actually play.

    7. The Frenchie
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Ok thank you guys I keep BSilva

  13. Il Capitano
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    1FT 0ITB

    Guaita*
    TAA James White Cancelo
    Salah Jota Bernardo ESR Brownhill
    Watkins

    Foster* - Ronaldo* King* Livra*

    A) Ronaldo > Laca
    B) Ronaldo + Guaita > Laca + Ederson/Martinez (-4)
    C) Ronaldo + Guaita > Wood? + Ramsdale (-4)
    D) Ronaldo + Brownhill > Laca + Foden (-4) play with 10

    1. KieranKA
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I would roll, 10 outfield players isn't bad and it's good to have 2 FT next week. Who knows.

      1. Il Capitano
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Fair, just thinking this week is a good excuse to ditch Guaita

    2. The Ilfordian
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I’ve got Ronaldo and really keen to try and hold on to him due to upcoming fixtures. Might be crazy idea but how about Gelhardt for King and Guaita for Marti and go 2 strikers for future weeks?

      Not guaranteed to work as King Is great and Guaita could turn good but Gelhardt looks good and could get more minutes without Bamford

  14. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Rams
    Taa can rudi *lampty (dalot)
    Salah jota bsilva *galla (bowen)
    *Locadia watkins (denis)

    Which 2 transfers to do with a -4?.
    A) lampty to target/cash/tierny/white/tomiyasu/james
    B) bsilva to foden/kdb/raz
    C) locadia to laca
    D) galla to foden/esr

    1. Well you know, Triffic
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I would rule out B as Silva may at least get you 1 point.

      I like D

  15. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Best use of FT?

    1) Livra > Dias (already have Cancelo)
    2) Bowen > Mount
    3) Bowen > Saka
    4) Antonio > Laca

    1. Old Wulfrunian
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      If you want Antonio for the upcoming fixtures then 3.

    2. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      1 or 4

  16. g40steve
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Sitting like this without a hit, take a hit to improve?

    A Steele > Emi/ Rambo
    B Gallagher > Foden
    C Antonio > Laca

    #
    Trent, James, Cancelo, Teirney, Rudiger
    *Bilva, Jota, Salah, ESR,
    Watkins

    DDG, Steele, Antonio, Dennis, Gallagher

    1.8

    1. Well you know, Triffic
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      B

      1. g40steve
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Ta

  17. OneDennisBergkamp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Dec 14: "He had muscular niggles. Nothing injured but he was a little bit uncomfortable. After 3-0, no risk."

    Surely Bilva plays?

    1. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I think plays

    2. Mr. O'Connell
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      City are effectively starting 3-0 up against Newcastle, so he may not be risked again.

    3. KieranKA
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Apparently available

    4. Yank Revolution
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Im counting on it

    5. Herger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Might as well start him, I am. Even when fit every City Mid might as well be yellow flagged as 75% is about as likely as any of them ever are to play

  18. Vasshin
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Please help me out fellas

    I am still one of those souls who haven’t used first wildcard.

    I was initially planning to use it next week but right now i have 8 players including brownhill who play next week.

    Should i use my wildcard now or just use 1ft to transfer a player to make it 9 and use it next week.

    But i heard rumors that premier league might postpone all games till new year from this week so my first wildcard might just go waste if I don’t use it now and everything is postponed from next week.

    Thanks

    1. KieranKA
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Even if your wildcard goes to waste, (a) it's going to disappear soon anyway and (b) your wildcard will probably be stacked with Liverpool, City, Chelsea and Spurs players you'd want anyway. I would be tempted.

  19. winchester
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Evening boys, have 2ft and 6.7m itb. Can field about 9 players with three players having yellow flag.. cheers.
    Currently contemplating doing: bowen+hwang -> son/foden+watkins, worth?

    ramsdale
    taa - james - cancelo - reguilon*
    salah - bernardo* - jota
    hwang*

    (foster - antonio - bowen - livra - dennis - gilmour)

    a) hwang -> watkins
    b) bowen or gilmour -> son/foden/esr/mount
    c) combo of a+b

    1. KieranKA
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I wouldn't bring Foden in, there's a good chance they can't play vs. Leicester (and a good chance Bowen plays So'ton). I would prioritise selling Dennis (for Watkins?) and hold 2 FT for next week.

      Of the options you mention though, A

  20. camarozz
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Is Silva likely to play?

  21. Ha.
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Play Wilson or DLuiz?

  22. KieranKA
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Sánchez** // Foster**
    Trent Cancelo James Reguilón // Livramento**
    Salah Jota Bernardo Brownhill // Mbeumo**
    Watkins // Antonio** King**

    (A) Mbeumo to Mount (–4)
    (B) King to Lacazette (–4)
    (C) No hit

    I've already decided to sell Vardy for Watkins unless something goes wrong. I'm planning to keep Antonio and Livramento, they will likely play next week (if the league continues). Wary of bringing in any more City players ahead of Leicester.

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

    2. Il Capitano
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

  23. Danstoke82
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    FH this lot?

    currently have 8 playing but both Reguilon and Bilva are flagged so potentially could have have 6

    Sanchez*
    TAA James Cancelo Reguilon (flagged)
    Salah Mount Jota Bilva (flagged)
    Ronaldo* Dennis*

    Subs: Steele* Benteke* Livramento* Gallagher*

    1FT £0.1ITB

    If I make any moves I will need to shift Ronaldo which I’m unsure about doing

    Any advice greatly appreciated!

    1. KieranKA
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      If you want to hold Ronaldo, Dennis to Gelhardt frees up some cash and you'll get some points at least

  24. Rupert The Horse
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Rumours Salah and Henderson have Covid. Make sure you have a good vice.

    1. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Source ?

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Rumours

        1. Stranger Mings
          • 5 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Did he train today ?

        1. Stranger Mings
          • 5 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Ok cheers sounds like salah ok

    2. SINGH
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Neighhhhh

    3. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      And rumours from where?

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Same as the VVD source.

    4. Herger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      No-one’s captaining Henderson

    5. FirminoIsBetterThanYou
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      The Salah one appears to be false, he was at the Christmas lunch with Klopp doing a Q&A (on zoom), they both told the crowd they tested negative apparently. But the Hendo one looks like it could be legit.

      1. Zimo
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        At least for Salah

      2. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks.

  25. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    saka or foden ? I have smith rowe and b silva already. thanks 🙂

    1. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Foden

    2. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      cheers

    3. SINGH
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Similar issue man, not sure Foden will start and think Saka will underwhelm. Was going to punt Mount

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        issue with mount is chelsea has 2 blanks coming soon think we ve missed the boat on that one

        1. SINGH
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Oh, damn thanks will skip that one. That leaves me with Saka or Foden and I don't feel Foden will start. Will decide tomorrow lol

    4. KieranKA
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Arsenal have Norwich in GW19, and City have Leicester. No guarantee either gets played. My hunch is Mount, Raphinha or Jacob Ramsey might be the better pick.

      1. SINGH
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Prob is Raphina has needed penalties to score recently and haant looked attacking without Bamford upfront to play off

  26. SINGH
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Lol why Foden? Will he even start? Played a few days ago, surely Sterling and Jesus upfront and maybe Bilva or Mahrez?

  27. MGD
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    2 transfers.

    Looking at: (to field 11)
    Guita -> Ramsdale
    Livra -> Tierney
    (-4)

    Ignoring the popular Villa defence. Good transfers?

    1. antis0cial
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I’d prefer to cover 2 diff teams if possible

      1. MGD
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah but really want Tierney and Martinez so expensive haha…

  28. antis0cial
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    2ft, 1.4 itb

    Toney to Watkins then save or do another transfer to cover if silva doesn’t play?

    Ramsdale
    TAA James Alonso Cancelo
    Salah Foden Silva Mount Jota

    ****Foster Antonio Toney Livramento

    1. KieranKA
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Toney to Watkins, otherwise you're well placed, most of that team hopefully plays next week too

  29. Drip Doctor
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Does anyone have a fairly good assumption of the City mid/Attack vs Newcastle?

    1. Herger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      If you get anyone answer yes to this, assume they’re lying.

  30. Bobby_Baggio
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Evening all. How are these moves for -8. 1st WC still available as FYI. Cheers

    *DDG*
    TAA - James - Rudiger
    Salah - Mount - *Gallagher* - BSilva - Raphinha
    *Hwang* - *Dennis*

    (Steele) - *Livra* - *Ronaldo* - *Dalot*

    Ronaldo + Hwang + Gallagher >> Watkins + Lacazette - Foden

    1. We Go Again
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Great moves