Moving Target
5 July 2022 918 comments
FPL Marc FPL Marc
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Last Friday brought the news that Richarlison had made the switch from Everton to Tottenham Hotspur in a deal believed to be worth around £60m.

The 25-year-old is the Lilywhites’ fourth signing after Fraser Forster, Ivan Perisic (£5.5m) and Yves Bissouma all arrived during a busy start to the summer.

In this Moving Target report, we assess the transfer from a Fantasy Premier League (FPL) perspective – and in particular, look at how Son Heung-min (£12.0m) and Harry Kane (£11.5m) could be affected.

RICHARLISON: FPL HISTORY

Richarlison has been fairly consistent for FPL points over the last five seasons – one of which was spent at Watford. He has always brought in at least 13 attacking returns and 123 points.

SeasonTeamStarts (sub)Mins playedGoalsAssistsFPL Points
2021/22Everton28 (2)2522106125
2020/21Everton33 (1)286276123
2019/20Everton36 (0)3070135165
2018/19Everton32 (3)2662133153
2017/18Watford32 (6)281758125

He began his professional career back home with both America Mineiro and Fluminense before moving to the Hornets in 2017.

His full debut saw a goal against Bournemouth, with five arriving in his first 11 starts. Despite not netting throughout the remaining 26 matches, Richarlison brought Watford a huge profit when following head coach Marco Silva to Everton.

Three of his four campaigns at Goodison Park have ended with at least ten goals but just 11 double-digit points hauls have taken place in that time; Son managed as many in 2021/22 alone.

He is, simply, just not as good a finisher as Son or Kane (data below taken from our Premium Members Area):

SHOT-TO-GOAL CONVERSION RATE
2021/222020/212019/202018/192017/18
Son26.7%25%13.6%16.2%16%
Kane12.8%16.8%22.2%16.7%16.3%
Richarlison13.9%8.6%14.4%15.7%5.3%

The Brazilian’s most recent campaign started slowly. As the Toffees slipped closer and closer to their first relegation since 1951, Richarlison totalled four goals and four assists in his first 21 outings; he had almost twice as many yellow cards as goals.

ShotsShots in boxOn targetExpected Goals
Rank (GWs 1-30)60th65th103rd72nd
Rank (GWs 31-37)1st1st1st1st

Using data from the Members Area


Then, he suddenly found a way to drag Everton to safety. From Gameweek 31, Richarlison ranked top throughout the league for both shots (31) and touches (72) inside the penalty area, plus expected goals (6.50). Remove the final day – when he was rested versus Arsenal – and he also came top for attempts (37) and shots on target (15) between Gameweeks 31 and 37.

Ownership escalated ahead of Everton’s consecutive Double Gameweeks 36 and 37. Although 847,000 managers were disappointed with just an assist in the former, 19 points arrived in the latter for over 1.4 million.

RICHARLISON: FPL PROSPECTS – AND HOW SON/KANE MIGHT BE AFFECTED

FPL Marc Broadcaster, writer and overthinker. Hoping that ‘differential potential’ will catch on.

918 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. The Mandalorian
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 23 days ago

    While everyone is waiting let's take a moment to remember when FPL Mate used to make discriminatory videos on YouTube \0/

    https://twitter.com/Migtavius/status/1458188570850639879?t=px35rddrQmton-8CZL_UeA&s=19

    1. Herger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      I’ve absolutely no idea who he is.

        1. thegame983
          • 9 Years
          4 years, 23 days ago

          Do you honestly think you're fighting the good fight? Narcing on someone you've never met for some pointless video/comment/whatever made in the past. It's sad and says more about you than him.

          1. @persecuted_by_mods
            4 years, 23 days ago

            To me the key point isn't stuff he's said in the past necessarily (by all accounts he was in his early 20's not some child) but anyway it's that he hasn't taken those videos down

    2. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      I don't participate in the FPL Twitter stuff but whenever I saw this guy around he always seemed like he'd be the type to post and say stuff like this. Seems very cute at acting like he's a victim whenever he's called out too

    3. Andy_Social
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      I discovered him at just the wrong time. Been on his livestream all damn day 🙁

    4. KanuLenoMeeMoCash
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      Just followed your link
      So he made some poor videos and poor jokes a number of years back, seems to me he apologised to those lads who wanted a pound of flesh
      People who go crawling around in other people's social media to find something to flog them with are part of the problem, not the solution. He doesn't make discriminatory statements on his channel, but his channel's success is what is annoying those two it seems to me. Humour isn't his strongest point imo, and I don't think those jokes are that funny but have those two guys nothing better to do with their time?
      I could ask you the same question

      1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 23 days ago

        Pretty sure I remember seeing stuff last year about him harassing and sending abusive messages to a number of other users in recent years

        1. KanuLenoMeeMoCash
          • 5 Years
          4 years, 23 days ago

          honestly, you may be right about that, but all I have ever witnessed is people harassing him and as per above, trawling through his old social media

    5. Black Knights
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      I noticed him during some controversy last season and noticed he'd never even had a good OR. Not sure how some of these people even build up clout but his face winds me up now so i avoid if i can.

      1. Black Knights
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 23 days ago

        Oh he did OK in 21/22, i see.

    6. The Mandalorian
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      The hypocrisy of big virtue signalling FPL accounts who follow FPL Mate but ignore his wrong doings because he's a friend.

      You can't call out sexism, racism etc then just ignore your mates actions on these matters.

      A few gaslighters saying I'm a bad person for calling this out. There's the point I'm making.

      1. KanuLenoMeeMoCash
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 23 days ago

        He's no friend of mine and I now and again watch his stream.
        I don't think you understand virtue signalling, that's what you are doing.
        I saw nothing racist or sexist in that pathetic video that was clearly meant as humour but seems more like schoolboy humour, could barely even hear it properly and people getting all high and mighty about it, reposting it, reposting it, sharing links to it etc.
        Everybody has made a stupid joke at some point in their lives, a stupid crass joke that they realise later was bad. Holier than thou wannabe bounty hunters trawling through those PAST posts on social media, under the guise of 'calling them out' is pathetic

    7. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
      • 17 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      Regardless of his past the guy is a total waste of skills. It must melt your brain when you become a big YouTuber . I mean bear in mind he is actually live streaming as we chat for the release of FPL and has been for the last 5 to 8 hours at least. Shout out to Andy who has wasted his entire birthday hitting F5 , whilst blocking people who call him out for being sad and getting stressed at FPL because they won't release it after he's spent nearly a day and half refreshing continuously. Definitely a different breed these guys. Quite funny when you think about it .

  2. adstomko
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 23 days ago

    City-less draft. 0.5m ITB

    Henderson
    Trent, Romero, Trippier, Tierney, Castagne
    Salah, Saka, Maddison
    Kane, Vardy

    1. yousunkmybattleship
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      Brave

    2. Old Man
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      Foxes fan?

      1. adstomko
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 23 days ago

        Nope, but they are overlooked by the community. Brentford and Saints at home

    3. Haa-lala-land
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      Saka to Barnes and you're GTG

    4. Critical Observer
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      Apparently, Castagne is looking to bolt.

  3. Zladan
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 23 days ago

    I don’t have a purpose for this info… but maybe you do. Early leaked fixtures for TV:

    GW2 Liverpool v Palace MNF
    GW3 Bournemouth v Arsenal Saturday 5:30

    1. amit1964
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      where did you reat it?

  4. Old Man
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 23 days ago

    In other news, Djokovic 2 sets down.

    1. TheBiffas
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      About to get the 3rd though

    1. Hiiler
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      I think it is the same case what I wanted to ask here yesterday if anybody had more info about it. Don't know if it got posted though, since for some reason they wanted to check my post before posting it. That's good that they check it though, just hadn't had that before that's why I was suprised about it.

      And as far as I know Profile info is down for me or at least it was down yesterday here, so can't see if my post got posted and if yes then did anybody reply to it.

      1. Black Knights
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 23 days ago

        Yesterday there were deleting all the posts on the topic. Today there has been speculation all day.

        1. @persecuted_by_mods
          4 years, 23 days ago

          Did they? I didn't realise they were deleting them

    2. just a man
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      Ugh depressing

  5. Chilli Heatwave
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 23 days ago

    Taken from Baker FPL:

    how many points Perisic would’ve got last season:

    8 goals, 7 assists
    16 cleans (inc 5 where they conceded post sub)

    31 games >60, 3

    1. @persecuted_by_mods
      4 years, 23 days ago

      Something cut off?

      1. Andy_Social
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 23 days ago

        Happens to me when i c&p from Twitter - it cuts off when you copy/paste an icon.

        1. Andy_Social
          • 13 Years
          4 years, 23 days ago

          8 goals, 7 assists
          16 cleans (inc 5 where they conceded post sub)

          31 games >60, 3

          1. Andy_Social
            • 13 Years
            4 years, 23 days ago

            try again!

            1. Andy_Social
              • 13 Years
              4 years, 23 days ago

              huh - rest of post is blocked. Basically, his PPM would have been bettered only by Salah and Son.

            2. Andy_Social
              • 13 Years
              4 years, 23 days ago

              197pts pre bonus. His bonus would easily been another 30pts.

              1. @persecuted_by_mods
                4 years, 23 days ago

                Cheers

      2. Chilli Heatwave
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 23 days ago

        Yeah sorry! See below the rest essential he would have circa 190 points pre bonus

    2. Andy_Social
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      Just saw that. Astounding. I put him in my draft this morning. Now I'm banging in nails.

    3. Haa-lala-land
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      Thats above average

    4. thug
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      and haaland ... how many would he have got ?

    5. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      What's his main position?

      1. Andy_Social
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 23 days ago

        Perisic? left wingback.

    6. KanuLenoMeeMoCash
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      5 subs scare me though...with spurs playing twice a week from gw4 to WC
      Conte more likely to split minutes between WBs than rest for a game.
      Think Neale Rigga was saying he'd been subbed a lot in or around the 60min mark under conte

      1. Andy_Social
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 23 days ago

        Yeah, the point is they had the 5 sub rule in Italy.

        1. KanuLenoMeeMoCash
          • 5 Years
          4 years, 23 days ago

          good point, but when conte managed him he subbed him a lot
          I'm still tempted but could be a lot of frustrating 1pters

    7. Baines on Toast...
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      This seems to conflict with the previous post on how often he got subbed off?

      1. Baines on Toast...
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 23 days ago

        that post said 17 games he played over 60 mins, rather than 31. And only 32 appearances?

        https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2022/06/23/how-the-new-five-substitutes-rule-may-affect-spurs-wing-backs/

        This post is why Perisic is in so few drafts.

        1. @persecuted_by_mods
          4 years, 23 days ago

          The post from ffs is Perisic under Conte 20/21 season

          Bakar stats are from the 21/22 season

      2. Andy_Social
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 23 days ago

        I'm not sure that one fully took into account that 5 times he got subbed off he got CS points, and they conceded when he was off the pitch. I'll let someone more competent crunch the numbers again!

    8. TwiggsJameson
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      Perisic has been in my squad since the start.

    9. Chilli Heatwave
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      Sorry posted this without realising it cut off as Andy said

    10. Chilli Heatwave
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      The bit that cut off was he would have got circa 190 pre bonus points

  6. Ahtikullervo
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 23 days ago

    Looking like no launch today... I was so sure that there would be. Price reveals done, 1 month till the real thing, million(s) of fans waiting...

    1. @persecuted_by_mods
      4 years, 23 days ago

      Don't give up just yet, fixtures out at 4

      1. TwiggsJameson
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        4 years, 23 days ago

        Great point. The game may well launch after the TV fixtures are announced.

      2. Santi sensei
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 23 days ago

        Do they have any history of launching late evening?

        1. @persecuted_by_mods
          4 years, 23 days ago

          😉

  7. ☈☾
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 23 days ago

    Website down!!

    Time is up, pens down!

    1. Andy_Social
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      Um, 'here we go'?

    2. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      Y

  8. RamaLangaDingDong
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 23 days ago

    Leicester fans - which of the 4.5m DEF's do you prefer and why?

    Justin was the new shiny toy in 20/21 before his injury.
    All the early chat was about Fofana as a 4.5m bargain
    Pereira can he ever make it back to his best after the cruciate tear (- he was 6.0m plus at one point!)

    Which way would you go...?

  9. mrodgers91
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 23 days ago

    Game updating????

    1. Black Knights
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      Yes.

  10. ☈☾
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 23 days ago

    new bannner omgggg!!!

    1. Herger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      So that’s what the delays were for!

  11. KAPTAIN KANE SERVES THE PAI…
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 23 days ago

    We’re nearly there boys!!!

    1. mrodgers91
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      Around an hour, you can't expect office workers to stay past 5pm

      1. KAPTAIN KANE SERVES THE PAI…
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 23 days ago

        Booked this week off especially! Lol

  12. Black Knights
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 23 days ago

    So what we saying? Minutes? Hours?

    1. Herger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      Seconds

      1. Black Knights
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 23 days ago

        OK will hang on at the office then. Need to make up some flexi time anyway!

        1. Herger
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          4 years, 23 days ago

          I should point out I don’t really have a clue! Got to be pretty imminent though

  13. Pukki Party
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 23 days ago

    Somethings happening

  14. KAPTAIN KANE SERVES THE PAI…
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 23 days ago

    Like the new colour scheme of the site

    1. KAPTAIN KANE SERVES THE PAI…
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      Lighter

  15. I Must Break You
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 23 days ago

    Now that it's updating, what are we thinking for when it will go live? About an hour or so?

    1. OPTA FPL
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      Last year was 45min

    2. KAPTAIN KANE SERVES THE PAI…
      • 9 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      5-10 mins

  16. ☈☾
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 23 days ago

    Script on to press f5 now

  17. Berkshire Hafaway-Line
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 23 days ago

    See you on the other side

  18. @persecuted_by_mods
    4 years, 23 days ago

    About time! Been a hell of a ride boys

  19. KAPTAIN KANE SERVES THE PAI…
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 23 days ago

    If you press the ‘Scout’ tab it loads up the new colour scheme of the site

  20. The Bandit
    • 15 Years
    4 years, 23 days ago

    Lol at everyone so sure there was no chance of it being today 😀

  21. PartyTime
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 23 days ago

    OMG I smell a lot of RMT’s already… it’s so hot in here

    1. KanuLenoMeeMoCash
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      What's an RMT? 🙂

      1. PartyTime
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 23 days ago

        Read my team

  22. Baps Hunter
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 23 days ago

    Will be long 45 mins

  23. Bury94
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 23 days ago

    Repeatedly press the Home button or F5?

    1. ☈☾
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      You need to up your game. Get a script

  24. KAPTAIN KANE SERVES THE PAI…
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 23 days ago

    First thing to do:

    Team Selection —> Forwards —> Price Max 4.5

  25. 824545201
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 23 days ago

    ID: 125 locked

  26. Kobayashi
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 23 days ago

    What did everyone get?

  27. Andy_Social
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 23 days ago

    I'm in but enter squad button tells me season's over!

    1. Black Knights
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      Sign out and back in again and start again.

    2. Andy_Social
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 23 days ago

      In

      #5817. Damn delays

      1. cutch
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 23 days ago

        Exactly the same boat here. #6641

      2. Chilli Heatwave
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 23 days ago

        287 🙂

  28. Zladan
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 23 days ago

    I got ID 1

  29. Paganoi
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 23 days ago

    Team selected!