FPL

The best budget FPL forwards for 2022/23

Next up in our price list dissection is Fantasy Premier League (FPL) forwards that cost between £4.5m and £6.0m. We pick out the best options in a category that looks sparse.

With unlimited transfers allowed during the World Cup downtime and a Wildcard to use before then, we’re focusing mostly on Gameweeks 1-8 for these articles.

Opta stats on the players featured in these articles are available in our Premium Members Area, where you can now get a full year’s subscription for just £2.49 a month.

BRYAN MBEUMO (£6.0m)

As of now, very little stands out in the £6.0m-and-under category of forwards due to a mixture of poor teams, poor fixtures and the uncertainty of rotation. Bryan Mbeumo slays those demons, at least.

Two goals from his first two pre-season outings looks good, following a solid FPL season of four goals, seven assists and 119 points. A league-high six of Mbeumo’s shots hit the woodwork, suggesting more than a degree of bad luck, while he was also seventh amongst midfielders for shots on target (56).

Yet his poor shot accuracy (26%) and goal conversion (5.2%) rates were a problem. Combine that with his reclassification as a forward, where penalty-taking teammate Ivan Toney costs just £1m more, and his appeal starts to drift a tad.

Since Thomas Frank switched to a 4-3-3 in the final quarter of 2021/22, he’s also been playing in a wider role rather than up top in a 3-5-2.

Another factor is Brentford’s form without Christian Eriksen (£6.5m). Before the Dane made his full debut in Gameweek 28, they had just one win from their previous 11 encounters and were spiralling down the league. With Eriksen now at Manchester United, the Bees will need a new creative source.

BRENNAN JOHNSON / TAIWO AWONIYI (£6.0m)

Nottingham Forest use a 3-4-1-2 system, so both Brennan Johnson and Taiwo Awoniyi are expected to start up top ahead of new signing Jesse Lingard (£6.5m) in the hole. It’s a formation that brought 70 goals during Steve Cooper’s 41 league and play-off matches, with Johnson scoring 15 times in the final 28 of those games.

On penalties and heavily involved in set plays in pre-season, he also ended the campaign with ten assists, although some of the FPL community were disappointed to see him labelled as a forward.

Positional data from Transfermarkt

24-year-old Awoniyi has arrived in a deal believed to be worth £17m. As mentioned in our recent Scout Report, he is a strong dribbler and finisher, having also played in a similar formation at Union Berlin to end last season on 15 goals from 31 appearances. He’s looked a tad off the pace in pre-season, however, so may take a while to get up to Premier League intensity.

As a newly-promoted side that has lost several significant loanees from last year, it feels like Forest need to be watched before a purchase is made, especially with back-to-back Gameweeks against Tottenham Hotspur and Manchester City. Gameweek 6 could be a good time to pounce, if the signs are encouraging.

DOMINIC SOLANKE (£6.0m)

If it wasn’t for the freakish number of Aleksandar Mitrovic (£6.5m) goals in last season’s Championship, the exploits of Dominic Solanke would have gained much more attention.

The one-cap England international initially gained Premier League experience during his first year at Liverpool but, halfway through the 2018/19 season, grabbed headlines with an eye-watering £19m move to Bournemouth.

His reputation was damaged by only netting three times in one-and-a-half top-flight seasons but the 24-year-old has slowly rebuilt it with 15 goals in 2020/21 and another 29 in 2021/22.

He has been a nailed starter under Parker to date, is on penalties (he converted four of the five spot-kicks he took in 2021/22) and is something of a talisman, having played a direct part in just under 50% of the goals that the Cherries scored in their promotion-winning campaign – and that’s without looking at ‘Fantasy assists’ for things like shot rebounds.

For a player whose game involves dropping into deeper positions, all 29 of his league goals came from inside the opposition area, with the vast majority being close-range strikes.

The Cherries aren’t attracting attention from FPL managers and a difficult start is likely part of this with trips to Man City and Liverpool to come by Gameweek 4. As is the case with Forest, the fixtures look better once we get towards September.

OTHER CANDIDATES

If Deniz Undav (£5.5m) and Julio Enciso (£5.0m) were the clear first choices at Brighton and Hove Albion, they’d be extremely popular picks amongst the community. Signed by the Seagulls in January, Undav continued the season in Belgium with Union SG to eventually finish on 25 goals.

This followed two successive campaigns with 17 strikes, showcasing a wonderful scorer’s instinct. However, the FPL problem regards Graham Potter’s rotation tendencies.

There are also occasions where Leandro Trossard (£6.5m) is deployed as a false nine. Minutes continue to be shared during pre-season, as Brighton’s first friendly saw separate XIs for each half and the second – a 4-1 win over Estoril – brought a goal for Undav but also two for Neal Maupay (£6.5m).

It’s similar at Crystal Palace, although their difficult run of early fixtures can at least give managers time to observe. Between them, Jean-Philippe Mateta, Odsonne Edouard and Christian Benteke (£5.5m) bagged 15 goals and six assists but only Edouard ever started more than four consecutive games.

Many FPL managers are planning to start with at least one £4.5m forward, such is the number of defensive and midfield temptations. Unless Liam Delap (£4.5m) moves to Southampton, as rumoured recently, there aren’t any real stand-out names.

Sam Greenwood (£4.5m) could continue to see minutes as a substitute at Leeds (often deeper than his Fantasy position suggests), while Cameron Archer (£4.5m) is a promising talent but ultimately at least third in line for a striking spot at Aston Villa.

Elsewhere, Adam Armstrong (£5.5m) could benefit if the Saints fail to buy another forward but the likelihood of Patson Daka (£6.0m) or Chris Wood (£6.0m) getting significant game time is small as things stand.


FPL POINTS PROJECTIONS

Our algorithm-generated FPL points projections for the 2022/23 campaign have been refreshed for the first time.

These will be updated as pre-season continues and more team news information becomes apparent.

FPL 2022/23: Can Dias or Laporte cover Cancelo?

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FPLMarc88 Newcastle fan that spends far too much time thinking about FPL.”

1,676 Comments Post a Comment
  1. The Units
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    15 days, 10 hours ago

    Thoughts on this?

    Meslier (4)
    TAA James Zinc Botman (Neco)
    Salah Martinelli Diaz Neto (Andreas)
    Haaland Kane (Archer)

    1. SonnyPikey
        15 days, 10 hours ago

        Archer will be loaned out

        1. The Units
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          15 days, 10 hours ago

          Could be any 4.5, say Greenwood.

        2. Nomar
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          15 days, 10 hours ago

          Hopefully to us!

    2. Miniboss
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      15 days, 10 hours ago

      Has Perisic featured yet in any pre-season match? Considering to swap him for Zinchenko/Trippier.

      1. ᴋiɴɢ
        • 4 Years
        15 days, 10 hours ago

        Yes 30 mins last game. I think he will start v Roma. Looked fit

      2. The Mentaculus
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 1 Year
        15 days, 10 hours ago

        Got about 30mins yesterday

      3. SonnyPikey
          15 days, 10 hours ago

          He played his first 30 min yesterday

      4. ᴋiɴɢ
        • 4 Years
        15 days, 10 hours ago

        New article

      5. Davros
        • 13 Years
        15 days, 10 hours ago

        Looking at Everton’s preseason form, I wonder if Chelsea are going to give them a bit of a spanking. Makes me lean towards Mount as an 8.0 before the bandwagon starts

        1. SonnyPikey
            15 days, 10 hours ago

            Chelsea don't have a good record at goodison so won't be a thumping

          • SonnyPikey
              15 days, 10 hours ago

              Arsenal beat chelsea 4-0 last night

            • Nomar
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              15 days, 10 hours ago

              Looking at Chelsea's pre season form, I'd wonder if Everton would be giving them a spanking!

            • aehii
              • 9 Years
              15 days, 10 hours ago

              This would make sense if Chelsea were looking as good as Everton look bad, but they're also looking bad.

            • WVA
              • 5 Years
              15 days, 10 hours ago

              This is hilarious

          • Silecro
            • 4 Years
            15 days, 10 hours ago

            Are any of you any closer to deciding which of these are better to start the season with?

            A) Son & Haaland
            B) KDB & Kane

            Feels for me like yesterday's games did nothing to settle this debate...if any, i might go Kane&Haaland. But then midfield is light

            1. Nomar
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              15 days, 10 hours ago

              A.

            2. The Mentaculus
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 1 Year
              15 days, 10 hours ago

              A was my preference but still unsure of Haaland's fitness to start

            3. WVA
              • 5 Years
              15 days, 10 hours ago

              I don't see how B can go wrong?

            4. Milkman Bruno
              • 1 Year
              15 days, 10 hours ago

              I currently have Son, Kane and Haaland with the view of Son to Kdb gw2. Very hard to decide what way to go.

              1. Milkman Bruno
                • 1 Year
                15 days, 10 hours ago

                Very dependant on Haalands fitness and how Pep manages him.

            5. aehii
              • 9 Years
              15 days, 10 hours ago

              Yeah I've got Kane and Haaland. Problem is I want a City attacker but don't trust anyone but De Bruyne and Haaland (if fit). Also not sure on Kulusevski. Been playing with downgrading Kane so up front is Jesus Haaland, then get Odegaard and Kulusevski and Van Dijk. I don't really get the 'thin midfield' angle though, when you're just prioritising forward line and defence.

          • EWH2020
            • 8 Years
            15 days, 10 hours ago

            A) Gabriel and Saka
            B) James and Martinelli

            1. Y26 Royal
              • 5 Years
              15 days, 8 hours ago

              A

          • Herman Toothrot
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            15 days, 9 hours ago

            Going footballs deep into the ticker.

            3x Liverpool, 3x City, 3x Arsenal, 2x Spurs

            Alisson
            Trent // Perisic // Zinch // Cancelo
            Grealish // Diaz // Martinelli
            Kane (c) // Haaland // Jesus

            4.0 // Bailey // Andreas // Williams

          • jayzico
            • 11 Years
            15 days, 8 hours ago

            LAST PIECE OF THE PUZZLE:

            DIAZ

            or

            SAKA

            1. Y26 Royal
              • 5 Years
              15 days, 8 hours ago

              You have any other Ars or Liv players?

              1. jayzico
                • 11 Years
                15 days, 8 hours ago

                Yup Salah + TAA
                +
                Jesus + Zink

              2. jayzico
                • 11 Years
                15 days, 8 hours ago

                I know diaz's minutes will undoubtably be less but feel the wee colombian might be a bit more exciting.

                1. Y26 Royal
                  • 5 Years
                  15 days, 7 hours ago

                  Yeah i'd go Diaz then mate

          • olicav
            • 8 Years
            15 days, 1 hour ago

            RMT please...

            Alisson
            TAA - Dalot - Tommy - Cancelo
            Sancho - Grealish - Diaz
            Kane (C) - Haaland - Jesus (VC)

            Gazzaniga - Andreas - Dasilva - Williams

          • thegab
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            13 days, 17 hours ago

            thoughts?

            Sa

            Zinch - James - Cancelo - TAA

            Diaz - Salah - Bruno G. - Grealish

            Havertz - Jesus

          • Ploughman96
              12 days, 7 hours ago

              Need some help with the last piece of my FPL puzzle...

              A. Perisic / Neto / Jesus
              B. Robertson / Dewsbury-Hall / Martial
              C. TAA / Dewsbury-Hall / Alvarez