Captain Sensible
27 October 2022 374 comments
Hibbo Hibbo
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Were it not for a midweek injury update, Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers would no doubt be again looking towards Erling Haaland (£12.2m) for the Gameweek 14 captaincy.

But with the Norwegian withdrawn at half-time against Borussia Dortmund in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday, the armband decision perhaps isn’t so clear-cut.

Friday’s press conference will hopefully tell us more (or not – this is Pep Guardiola we’re talking about) but we’ll need to at least think very carefully about our vice-captain this week, on the offchance that Haaland misses out.

So Captain Sensible is perhaps more Vice-Captain Sensible this week, at least until we hear more about the limping striker closer to Saturday’s 11:00 BST deadline.

As usual, we will assess the fallout of the on-site captain poll before then analysing the best options, Rate My Team (RMT) and the Premier Fantasy Tools ratings.

Haaland’s own credentials will be examined, too, not that they need much introduction…

THE CAPTAIN POLL

Erling Haaland dominates the captain poll, with just under 60% of the total votes cast by users at the time of writing.

A caveat here is that the poll was launched a day before Haaland picked up his knock, so the Norwegian’s advantage over others has dwindled since then. We’ll reset the results of the poll after Pep Guardiola’s presser on Friday and we have the latest – as ambiguous as it might be from the City boss – on FPL’s runaway points scorer.

Mohamed Salah (£12.8m) is currently in second place, backed by just over 15% of our users and rising.

Harry Kane (£11.5m) occupies third place with a little over 6% of the vote, followed by a cluster of five players who each have between 2% and 3% backing.

THE MAIN CANDIDATES

ERLING HAALAND/KEVIN DE BRUYNE

Erling Haaland rewarded droves of managers who backed him with the armband in Gameweek 13 by scoring twice in Manchester City’s 3-1 win over Brighton – taking his tally for the season to 17 goals. 

Haaland’s brace and fifth double-digit haul of the season continued an incredible start to life at Manchester City. 

Notably, City’s Norwegian continues to produce a division-leading goal threat, ranking best over the last six matches for shots (25), shots inside the box (23), and shots on target (15). 

A screenshot of a computer  Description automatically generated

Above: Erling Haaland leads the division over the last six matches for shots (25), shots inside the box (23), and shots on target (15)

Haaland’s division-leading dominance extends to expected goals (xG) and expected goal involvement (xGI), with 4.38 and 5.65 respectively. 

Haaland’s half-time replacement in Manchester City’s goalless draw at Borussia Dortmund in the UEFA Champions League on Tuesday throws potential doubt on the Norwegian’s expected minutes ahead of the champion’s visit to Leicester City. 

Pep Guardiola explained Haaland’s half-time removal in his post-match press conference:

“Three things: I saw him so tired, second one, he had a little bit of influenza in his body. Like Joao – Joao had a fever. Then the third, he had a knock in his foot. That’s why he was not able to play the second half.”

Kevin De Bruyne climbed to the summit of FPL’s midfielder rankings with a sublime right-foot strike from outside the box against Brighton – the Belgian’s 11th attacking return of the season. 

De Bruyne was instrumental against the Seagulls, registering two shots and creating three chances in Gameweek 13, in a performance which deserved more than a nine-point haul. 

The playmaker continues to deliver division-leading creativity over the last six matches, ranking best for big chances created (eight) and expected assists (xA), with 3.14. 

Manchester City travel to Leicester City in Gameweek 14 with the Foxes enjoying something of a renaissance following a seven-game winless start to their Premier League season. 

Defensively, Brendan Rodgers’ side are much improved and rank best in the division for clean sheets (four) in their last six matches.

However, Leicester City rank eight-worst for expected goals conceded (xGC), with 8.33, during a favourable run of fixtures which has included Bournemouth, Leeds United and Wolverhampton Wanderers. 

Notably, the Foxes conceded the second-highest expected goals conceded tally in Gameweek 13 (xGC, 2.12) against a Wolves side that rank worst for goals scored (five) this season. 

MOHAMED SALAH



Hibbo Author of Captain Sensible. I write Fantasy Premier League articles, focusing on stats and strategy. Four top 10k finishes. 22/23 Rank - 6123.  Follow them on Twitter

374 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Is this team GTG this week...?

    Kepa
    Gabriel Cancelo Trippier
    Salah Foden Martinelli Saka
    Toney Mitro Haaland
    Subs Ward Almiron Guehi Neco

    Captain Hasland, VC Mo.

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      GTG

    2. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      maybe almiron over Mitro?

    3. banskt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I would play Almiron over Salah.

      1. Letsgo!
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Lol crazy.

        1. banskt
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Assumption 1: I want to play Almiron.
          Assumption 2: I do not want to bench players from Arsenal and City, current top teams.

          Then, I could bench only one from Salah, Toney or Mitrovic. All of them at home. All of them on penalties. All good fixtures. So, bench the ones that has scored the least FPL points: that is, Salah.

          Perfectly logical. Nothing crazy.

          1. Mambino
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            Leeds are probably the worst form team at the moment though - surely current form of the opponent comes int the equation

            1. banskt
              • 12 Years
              3 years, 1 month ago

              For me, player form matters more than opponent form. Mitrovic has scored 3 times as many goals as Salah this season.

          2. Hits from the Bong
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            Id bench Mitro, even when he scores he only ends up on 5 or 6 points. As bad as Salah has been, Leeds have been even worse, and we know he is capable of big hauls

            1. banskt
              • 12 Years
              3 years, 1 month ago

              Yeah, Ronaldo is also capable of big hauls. Play him too while you are at it. 🙂

              To each his own I guess. Good luck for the gameweek.

              1. Hits from the Bong
                • 7 Years
                3 years, 1 month ago

                Ha Salah has been poor, I sold him after just one game last week, and I'm benching Mitrovic this week. But I'm more worried about a Salah haul against Leeds than Mitro's goal and yellow card against Everton.

                Is Ronaldo still capable of big hauls? Salah is off-form, but not yet past it

                GL to you too

          3. DycheDycheBaby
            • 10 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            I'm currently benching Mitro unless Haaland is confirmed out. Everton defence don't concede too much.

            1. banskt
              • 12 Years
              3 years, 1 month ago

              Good luck for the week, mate.

              1. DycheDycheBaby
                • 10 Years
                3 years, 1 month ago

                Thanks. You too 🙂

    4. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Subject to news on Gabriel possible injury good to go

  2. Bggz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone considering TAA, Robbo or Darwin for the final three?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I'm considering Mitro to Darwin in 15. I don't like Liverpools defensive numbers

    2. waldo666
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Have Darwin, can't say I'm keen on any other Liverpool and tbh if it weren't for Arsenal's blank I would likely still have Jesus and would go with no Liverpool at all.

    3. banskt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Nope. I want players who actually score FPL points and have good fixtures.

    4. Mambino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I have Trent and Darwin

    5. cjsoccer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      yes - lots of upside for all three, but their defense hasn't been great lately. And that recent clean sheet against west ham wasn't really deserved - they only got it because Bowen missed a penalty. I'll probably wait until they have a couple of good games and then jump on the bandwagon.

  3. Bggz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Ive got 4.3m itb so I could nearly get anyone.

    (Excluding Haarland, Cancelo and Foden) who is the most important player to have for these final three gws?

    1. Zenith UK
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Kane?

      1. Bggz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Hes one of the very few i cant get in one transfer, but i agree 🙁

    2. NorCal Villan
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Shelvey

    3. banskt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      KDB (instead of Cancelo) and Almiron.

      1. Bggz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        bit sideways

        1. banskt
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Not even close to sideways in my opinion. Thise are the two best players to have for the last 3 weeks (except Haaland and Foden, of course).

          Opinions differ.

  4. Zenith UK
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Evening all, could do with some thoughts/feedback/help please?

    GW14 plans... 2FT. 0.0ITB

    Pope
    Cancelo, Trippier, Cucurella, Guehi
    Salah, Bowen, Martinelli
    Haaland (c), Kane (vc), Scamacca

    Ward, Andreas, Longstaff, Neco

    A) Salah & Longstaff > Foden & Saka (free) - bench Guehi
    B) Salah & Longstaff > Foden & Almiron (free) - bench Guehi
    C) Salah & Longstaff & Neco > Foden & Almiron & Trent (-4) - bench Guehi & Cucurella
    D) Salah > KDB (free)
    E) Your recommendations?

    1. Mambino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Keep Salah, do Bowen to Foden and roll FT

      1. Steve Stiffler
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        He doesnt have the cash to Bowen to Foden

        What about Bowen to Saka?

        1. Mambino
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Good point - do Cucerella to Ward and Bowen to Foden

          1. Mambino
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            white not ward

      2. Zenith UK
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        I don't want to lose Bowen to be honest

        1. Mambino
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          fair enough - I would be worried about selling Salah for Leeds at home though I just don't think you should do that

          1. Zenith UK
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            Said the same for NFO, look where it got me. I actually wanted to go the whole season without him, only reason I didn't was because of GW12 blank and I had to lose KDB etc or play 9

            1. Mambino
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 12 Years
              3 years, 1 month ago

              I get that but If I owned him I'd be keeping him and probably capping him for Leeds (depending on Haaland injury update). He looked good against Ajax in a front two with Nunez and I think that is how they will play against Leeds. Also they are at Anfield and Leeds are really bad at the moment. NFO have been looking more compact for a couple of GW's and the result wasn't; so shocking in the circumstances.

              1. Mambino
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 12 Years
                3 years, 1 month ago

                Although I still expected him to do well against NFO tbh

        2. cjsoccer
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Bowen is now injured. bowen to saka.

    2. salle
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I would play andreas over guehi, fulham is scoring alot.

      E) Bowen, Cucurella > foden + white/dalot/botman

    3. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Why would you sell bowen before CRY, LEI ? two plumb home games

      1. Mambino
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        because he isn't playing very well and is most likely off pens

        1. Zenith UK
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          In what world is Bowen off pens?

          1. Mambino
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            That's what a lot of folk have been saying - some are now saying he is injured too - could be rubbish but in any event he hasn't looked very good to me

            1. Zenith UK
              • 9 Years
              3 years, 1 month ago

              I'm a WHU fan, I don't think he's off of pens. I think he's played well just missing that little something right now, it's not long until Scamacca and Bowen start clicking from what I've seen

              1. Mambino
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 12 Years
                3 years, 1 month ago

                fair enough you'll have seen a lot more of him than I have then - don't sell Salah before Leeds though I think you'll regret that

                1. Zenith UK
                  • 9 Years
                  3 years, 1 month ago

                  Hmm. I just don't get who goes before him, Benny & Lazini barely get game time. Rice shouldn't go near pens.

            2. Gubby-Allen
              • 4 Years
              3 years, 1 month ago

              After tonight, if Lanzini plays he could take it. Rice has took them before too.

              1. Zenith UK
                • 9 Years
                3 years, 1 month ago

                Lanzini isn't getting near our starting XI in the PL right now IMO.

      2. salle
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        you get foden for LEI, FUL, BRE, you also have 2 west ham, i think 1 is enought they dont score alot (only 11 this season).
        You could do 1 transfer (cucu > white)and then next gw salah to foden/kdb and prey this gw for a foden blank

    4. banskt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I would try to engineer KDB + Foden for the last 3 games. At the very least, for the last 2 home games.

      1. Zenith UK
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Only way really is;

        Cancelo, Salah, Bowen > 7.4, KDB, Foden (-4)

        Not really looking to lose Bowen though, suppose this does make sense. Would probably go White and have 2.8 ITB.

        1. banskt
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          That will upgrade Salah and Bowen, and downgrade Cancelo. It would be nice to do that without a hot. For example, selling Cancelo and Bowen this week. Keep Salah and sell before Tottenham. That way, you also get him against Leeds.

          I understand the appeal of Bowen. Nailed, good fixtures. I also think Foden may play 135 minutes compared to Bowen's 270 minutes. But, Bowen's numbers have been poor this season.

          It's a risky move definitely. Upgrading two mids + downgrading Cancelo. But, I believe it is a risk worth chasing. You have to decide for yourself. I am doing it.

  5. salle
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Raya
    Cancelo, Trippier, Perisic
    Zaha, Salah, Martinelli, Andreas
    Kane, Haaland, mitrovic

    Bailey, Kilman, Williams

    2 FT 0.4 itb
    If i dont get foden this week i could get de bruyne for salah in gw15.
    A) perisic + zaha to white + foden
    B) Kilman + zaha to foden + 3.9 (toti or bueno)
    C) Perisic to white and have 2 for next (would play white over andreas)
    D) Kilman to white and have 2 for next (would play white over andreas)

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      D

      1. salle
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Its probably the right one but its the boring one bobby.
        Which 3 is different from mine? 😀

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I have 12 of your 15 players 😛

    3. Gubby-Allen
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I don't really see the attraction in Arsenal defenders.

      B seems good.

      1. salle
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Arsenal have the highest chance of clean sheet this gw 52% according to the odds. In gw16 they play wolves they have only scored 5 goals this season the odds should be something similar.

        1. Gubby-Allen
          • 4 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Wolves definitely, but I see better clean sheets for Newcastle, Palace, Liverpool and Brentford this week.

  6. Bobby Digital
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Who else is planning to do Mitro to Scamacca in GW15?

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Yes or keeping eye on DCL

    2. banskt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I will sell Mitrovic next week. I want to buy DCL but not sure yet.

  7. Bobby Digital
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Or do we think Mitro is fixture proof

    1. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Bit of a homeboy I thought

    2. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      He could certainly score against UTD at home and Im struggling to see a replacement

    3. banskt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I agree that Mitrovic scores against every other team, including top teams. But, will I play him against Man City? Probably not, because there would be nench players with higher point potential. For example, in my team, I think Saliba has higher chances of scoring FPL points against Chelsea away than Mitrovic against City.

  8. Athletic Nasherbo
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Targett + Bowen > TAA + Andreas (-4)?

    Allows me to do Kilman > Cancelo next week.

    Remember, Targett doesn’t play because of Burn.

    1. Mambino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I'd avoid taking hits now until after Work Cup

      1. Athletic Nasherbo
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Even for players that won’t play?

        Rumours Bowen injured, too.

        1. Mambino
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          I'd personally manage with a weak bench. I'd probably sell Bowen (injured or not) for Saka, or Foden if you have funds, but wouldn't take a hit unless you can't field a strong 11.

  9. Steve Stiffler
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Choose 2 to bench out of:

    A) Guehi
    B) Reed
    C) Solanke

    Already playing Zaha and Guita

  10. sirmorbach
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Please, lads:

    Pope (Ward)
    Cancelo, Trippier, Saliba (Perisic, Dunk)
    Salah, Foden, Zaha, Martinelli (Andreas)
    Haaland, Mitrovic, Toney

    A. Save transfer for next week, use WC as a free hit on GW16
    B. Save WC, but use ft — any suggestion?
    C. WC now

    1. Mambino
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      C

    2. Gubby-Allen
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      How have you got to now without using a WC?.

      Team doesn't need much tinkering for this week, but there are better looking clean sheets available, eg Palace, Liverpool, whoever are playing Wolves.

      If that doesn't appeal, then do FT next week and then WC the last week.

  11. Gubby-Allen
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Just got back from Asda at midnight, all for a ****ing drink.

    Found it though, so now to get on with planning my transfer.

    1. DycheDycheBaby
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      What was the drink? 😀

      1. Gubby-Allen
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Prime. It is called.

  12. FPL Marc
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Absolutely no idea how to use these 2 free transfers.

    Guaita
    Cancelo - Trippier - Dier
    Salah - Foden - Zaha - Martinelli
    Haaland - Toney - Mitrovic

    I'd love to have Saka, Kane, an Arsenal DEF etc but these lot have outstanding fixtures.

    1. squ1rrel
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Maybe Zaha -> Saka

    2. banskt
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Outstanding fixtures, yes.

      But Salah and Zaha are not scoring points irrespective of the ease / difficulty of fixtures: they are fixture proof this season.

    3. Gubby-Allen
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Team is very good but not sure either City player will play though and I fancy Leicester and Nottm Forest to both score.

      I would get a Liverpool defender in, but hard to know who their back four will be.

  13. banskt
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    I gather Haaland is doubtful. Anything else to be concerned about the Arsenal and City players for the weekend?

    Especially for KDB, Foden, Cancelo, Jesus, Martinelli, Saka, Gabriel, White, Saliba, Odegaard, Xhaka.

    1. Letsgo!
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Might as well name the full squad lolll

      1. banskt
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Lol, yes. But do I need to be concerned about the playing time of any of them?

        1. Letsgo!
          • 9 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Tbh i feel cancelo due a rest. Foden should start. Hoping martinelli start as well.
          The rest should all start too except maybe gabriel?

          1. banskt
            • 12 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            Thanks for the summary. Appreciate it.

            Just came across Gabriel injury. Why is Martinelli starting "hopefully" and not guaranteed?

  14. Blanka
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Toney to Jesus for free ?

  15. Lallana_
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 5 months ago

    Any idea?

    Lunin / Verbruggen
    TAA / Tah / Mittelstadt / Di Marco / Faes
    Trossard / Saka / Gundogan / Fernandes / Chakvetadze
    Lukaku / Kane / Mbappe

    Thinking...

    Mbappe>Griezmaan
    Chakvetadze>F. Ruiz

    Thoughts?

    Di Marco a concern but can just hold him