Big Numbers
11 January 2023 1483 comments
Skonto Rigga Skonto Rigga
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With three more Gameweeks’ worth of Premier League player and team data available to assess after the Boxing Day restart, it’s time to once again wheel out the Big Numbers article ahead of Double Gameweek 20.

If you’re new to the site, this article series looks at the key Fantasy Premier League (FPL) statistics ahead of the upcoming Gameweek.

These cherry-picked Opta stats can all be found in our Premium Members’ Area.

Only subscribers can read the full article; those wishing to sign up to our site and continue reading, as well as see a list of the benefits that Membership brings, can do so by clicking here.




33 goals conceded by Gavin Bazunu (£4.5m) this season, a whopping 11.3 more than what Opta deem he should have shipped (21.7) based on the quality of shots he has faced. Southampton, despite being bottom of the league, actually have the eighth-best expected goals conceded (xGC) average in the division in 2022/23.

337 baseline bonus points registered by David Raya (£4.6m) in 2022/23, the most of any goalkeeper. It’s not just saves that are boosting his bonus points potential (he has 21 save points this season, the highest in the league) but he also leads the way for recoveries, which covers things like crosses claimed and loose balls pounced on. Having relatively easy, score-boosting stops to make can be important for an FPL goalkeeper, and Raya has that perfect blend in west London: the Bees are 20th for shots on target allowed but joint-eighth for big chances conceded.

7 shots in the box attempted by Fabian Schar (£5.0m) since the restart, the most by any FPL defender and more even than the likes of Marcus Rashford (£7.0m) and Anthony Martial (£6.6m) have managed – albeit without scoring. Over the course of 2022/23, the Switzerland international is the leading Fantasy defender for both goal attempts (23) and big chances (four). Ironically, his only goal came from 25 yards out.

6 big chances created by Kieran Trippier (£6.0m) since play resumed in Gameweek 17. That’s a tally that only one other defender, Trent Alexander-Arnold (£7.3m), has managed to beat in the whole of 2022/23, let alone the last three Gameweeks.

FPL Gameweek 10: Saturday’s goals, assists, bonus and statistics

98% of Premier League matches started by an available Joao Cancelo (£7.2m) between August 2021 and November 2022, with his only benching during that time coming in Gameweek 25 of last season when many other City regulars made way. Cancelo has played just 67 minutes since the post-World Cup restart.

14 penalty area touches in three Gameweeks recorded by Matt Doherty (£4.6m), the most by any FPL defender since Premier League football resumed in December. Only the aforementioned Schar beats him for shots in the box (six) in that time. It’s a Double Gameweek up next for Doherty and Spurs, although whether Antonio Conte’s semi-frequent rotation at wing-back deprives the Irishman of the chance to start two games is another question. A minutes-per-shot-in-the-box average of 61.1 is the best of any Fantasy defender this season (min. five appearances), to show what he can do when he is given the chance. Similarly…

239.4 minutes per expected goal involvement (xGI) is Ivan Perisic‘s (£5.5m) defender-best average in 2022/23 (min. five apps). The problem, again, has been game-time guarantees: of the combined 29 appearances made by Doherty and Perisic this season, 11 of them have been as substitutes and only five have lasted 90 minutes.


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  1. lilmessipran
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Double rest for Lewis alongside Kdb and Haaland, add Pep's singsong about him and maybe we are overlooking that he is definitely first choice now.

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Yep

    2. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Possible. But we have seen Pep praising rhe likes of Mahrez and Foden in the past and immediately benching them

      1. BENOIT
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        We have tonight's team news to help though

        1. AC/DC AFC
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          anything can happen in the next game

      2. Botman and Robben
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Howdy, how is your team looking?

    3. Union_Jacks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      A benching 3rd game running is almost unthinkable

    4. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I think for the price all you are losing is the virtually impossible to guess 3rd City spot. Think im in

      1. KUNingas
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Agreef

    5. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I thought this too, but I think we're forgetting how good Walker is defensively at RB and how important he may be in these next few big games

    6. Bubbles1985
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Cancelo to Lewis for a hit...?

      1. No Professionals
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Not in isolation, but yes if it facilitates a major upgrade somewhere else

        1. Bubbles1985
          • 8 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          It was going to be to Stones instead but Lewis looks nailed and is cheaper

          Yes, will allow Rashford and/or Kane.

          I might go all out for -12

        2. Vovhund
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          How do you like Cancelo/Darwin to Lewis/Kane for a hit?

  2. Tcheco
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Scary stats for Schar in this article. I went for Botman at the restart for the kinder price but this makes me want to make a sideways move for the former.

  3. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Which option:

    A) Mitro to Martial
    B) Foden to Rashford

    1. Hy liverpool
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      B easy.

    2. Botman and Robben
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      B 4 sure

  4. Karan_G14
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Best option out of these?

    A) Akanji
    B) Ake
    C) Schar
    D) Botman

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      C

  5. Hy liverpool
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    The Question should be is Ake/Stones or even lewis worth it over Botman/Schar rather than which city defender... And i guess it's Botman/Schar.

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Schar if you want to go all in on Newcastle atb

  6. Hazz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    John Stones misses out on the squad as he's not fully fit. #mcfc

    https://twitter.com/_joebray/status/1613252289522978817

    Lol

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      cheers

      see above too

  7. Dynamic Duos
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Is Grealish an option?

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      for a new hair do or shenanigans?

  8. Union_Jacks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Akanji must be absolutely nailed now.

    Really tempted by Cancelo > Akanji -4

    1. RICICLE
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Probs doing the same now with the Stones situation

  9. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    1 free transfer

    Almirón to Rashford?

    yay or nay...

    1. Botman and Robben
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Someone else to Rashford?

  10. BENOIT
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    I'm in 2 draft leagues. One has 6 teams the other has 8 teams.

    I own Cancelo I'm both... would you?

    A) Sell for Ake or Lewis
    B) Hold and hope he gets his place back

    Just worried someone else snaps him up and he regains his first team place

    1. Serresiete
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      same here. Am keeping for now.

  11. Flynny
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    What moves would you look to make here please? 2.3mitb...1ft... Heading for B as things stand

    A.....darwin and cancelo to kane and stones - 4

    B.....mitro and cancelo to kane and botman - 4

    C....something else

    Kepa
    Cancelo trippier shaw (white patterson)
    Kdb martinelli rashford almiron (andreas)
    Haaland darwin mitro

    1. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Yes think B best of these given Stones news

      1. GC123
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        What’s the news on Stones? Injured?

        1. dunas_dog
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Look up

          1. Flynny
            • 10 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            Cheers....only other option is getting Lewis rather than botman

            But I'm still not convinced on Lewis long term. Thanks

            1. dunas_dog
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 10 Years
              3 years, 1 month ago

              I am thinking as only way to get KDB and Kane- see below but would be -8 and would have to do tonight pre Kane price rise ……

    2. Zladan
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      If you can keep LFC players do. They have a double or two coming up.

      1. Flynny
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers.

  12. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Exact cash for Cancelo Salah Mitrovic to Lewis KDB Kane - 8

    Yes or No?

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      no

      not for minus 8 points

    2. Red Star Toro
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Hate such hits but I’d be tempted

      1. Flynny
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Looks good but feels a big step to take - 8

    3. artvandelay316
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Well it's not really -8 as the DGW should pay for at least 4 points. So if you're feeling confident they score big then yes.

    4. Jambot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      just just do Mahrez and Kane in for Salah and Mitro for the -4 instead?

  13. Fellaini's Fro
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    WC team, 2.9m itb, who would you upgrade here?

    Raya Ederson
    Trip Saliba Perisic WanBissaka Burn
    KdB Rashford Odegaard Almiron Mitoma
    Haaland Kane EFerguson

    Am thinking about :

    Shaw vs AWB
    Schar vs Burn vs Botman
    Mitoma vs MacAllister
    E Ferguson vs Nketiah

    1. Plumbers Pan
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Bench boost ?

      1. Fellaini's Fro
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Can't on WC but plan to in a few weeks

    2. KUNingas
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Shaw
      Botman due to price
      Mitoma on fire
      Nketiah

      1. Fellaini's Fro
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers mate. Was leaning this way except being stubborn about Luke Shaw

    3. Taribo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Ferguson to Nketiah (should find out before the deadline if Arsenal double soon).

      Burn to Schär.

      And keep .4 ITB for KDB to Salah if Liverpool also double soon.

      1. Fellaini's Fro
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Good points thanks
        Do like Nketiah but would be committing to him until GW23 with a bench headache
        Ferguson let's me do Rash to Gakpo/Saka for Liv/Ars doubles, if stick with Nketiah I am probably just moving kdb to salah and back. Not certain yet on the best approach to navigate these. Brighton may double?

  14. Red Star Toro
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Martinelli to Mahrez for second FT and a final City spot?

    1. Ajax Hamsterdam
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      not for me I would keep martinelli

    2. Zladan
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Yep

    3. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Yes YOLO

    4. Rainer
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      You think he starts the next 3 Prem matches?

      Jump on if so!

  15. Ajax Hamsterdam
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    is bruno and rashford too much? owns rashford already but could do mount to bruno for free. cheers.

    1. Zladan
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Yep. Bruno given pens to Rashford for now until streak ends.

      Bruno is bad value.

    2. Hy liverpool
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      If united have dgw22 then yes worth it.

      1. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        cheers. thats my thinking but when will we know?

  16. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    For DGW only which is better ?
    A- Martial
    B- Mbeumo

    1. Zladan
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      A

  17. Rainer
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone else just want to avoid City defenders now and get Ederson in ahead of DGW23?

    Telling myself that clean sheets this week are less likely helps...

    1. Eat my goal!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Don’t sell don’t buy

      1. Rainer
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Cancelo needs one hell of a performance to fall back into that way of thinking.

        1. Eat my goal!
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Potentially he’s just working his way back to fitness after fatigue

          1. Scratch
            • 16 Years
            3 years, 1 month ago

            The bigger concern is that he hasn't been used at left back since the defeat to Brentford in November, seems to be Ake's place for the time being.

    2. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I avoided them since the restart, about the only thing that I've gotten right. I don't expect many clean sheets in the next few weeks, think I'd rather Pope than Ederson despite the extra fixtures

    3. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      For DGW they wouldn't keep CS i feel that best 3
      Mahrez KDB Haaland

    4. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I have Lewis, might get Akanji

  18. antis0cial
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Go with this or take a hit to get Cancelo out?

    Kepa
    Cancelo* Shaw* Trippier
    KDB* Rash* Martinelli Almiron
    Haaland* Kane* Mitro

    Ward Andreas White Bueno

    1. Eat my goal!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Keep

  19. Gommy
    • 16 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    No need to panic with Stones - He’s fit, just not fully 🙂

    1. Rainer
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Fully helps start 3 in a row, starting Wolves at home is as important as the DGW games.

    2. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Not to panic is right, but I was wary on seeing the lineup that Pep started someone that is nominally a RB instead of a CB at RCB tonight. Silly to guess Pep of course but given City's issues in defence, it makes me think he's worried / he knows Stones might not make Sunday

      1. Gommy
        • 16 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Agreed. Although based on Pep’s even bizarre quote in the last 24 hours, this all could be part of the ‘ridiculous’ things that he hinted at experimenting with?

        Only time will tell, but in all seriousness, something tells me Stones will be ok and his absence tonight errs more on the side of caution.

  20. GENERATION X
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Every time I try and decipher Pep I feel a bit like the cop trying to interrogate Keyzer Soze in the Usual Suspects

  21. Zladan
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Feels like the more casual players who just get straight up get Lewis might be the winners this week.

    The rest of us are the overthinkers.

    1. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Id just be getting him for Patterson which is a win regardless

    2. Bubbles1985
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      I'm going Cancelo to Lewis for a hit to allow Kane purchase, i think!

      1. Zladan
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        That could be the biggest upside.

        Jealous, but would mean I take a -12 to do so.

      2. No Professionals
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Same

  22. Shark Team
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    The fact that Pep rotates again today imo means that he is starting like this vs ManU:
    Ederson
    Lewis, Stones, Akanji, Ake
    Rodri KDB Bilva
    Mahrez Haaland Grealish

    1. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Walker for his pace v Rashford?

      1. Shark Team
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        I think Lewis starts personally. He is also very fast and with Ake at LB Pep needs someone to get into midfield position when attacking which is what Lewis does. Walker plays CB today so if there’s an issue with Stones then he may start CB along with Akanji

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      doesn't compute

  23. Bubbles1985
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Who is more important to get?

    Kane or Rashford?

    They will cost me -4 each.

    1. Rainer
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Can't go without Rashford!

  24. Zladan
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Without wanting to wish injury on anyway, the best outcome for Cancelo owners from the City game today is a 2 week hamstring injury to Walker. Would all but secure Cancelo’s starting position, especially with Stones now out.

    1. Rainer
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Lewis is Walkers back up though.

      1. Zladan
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        It would mean reduce options leaving:

        Lewis Ake Akanji Cancelo

        Lewis has been RB, so Cancelo would be LB, as opposed to tonight’s RB.

    2. _Ninja_
      • 15 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Stones is just not fully fit for tonight. I'm guessing rested.

    3. Nate(U)dog(ie)
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Don't know for sure Stones is out, might just not have been able for today as well as the next batch of games. Still, Lewis and Akanji can play at RB

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        yep

      2. Zladan
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Yes but would mean Cancelo goes on the left. Ake then CB as opposed to LB where he has found himself recently.

        1. Nate(U)dog(ie)
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Ake, Laporte and Gomez can play at LB though, and from what I read Gomez played the inverted CM role really well against Chelsea on Sunday. Not saying Cancelo definitely won't or can't start but even in your scenario he'd be far from all but secure

  25. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Which is better ?
    A- Mee Mahrez Almiron
    Bench( Mitro)

    B- Cucu Mahrez Mbeumo /Martial
    Bench (Almiron)

  26. FootballRookie
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Would you change anything with this team or leave for now? I have 2 free transfers...

    Raya (Ward)
    Trippier, Shaw, Walker (White, Van Dijk)
    Rashford, Salah, Andreas, Martinelli (Dasilva)
    Kane, Haaland, Mitrovic

    I was thinking Salah to KDB for 1 trf at least. But 2nd transfer ..
    A) Van Dijk to a DGW defender?
    B) Change Mitrovic to Mbeumo maybe?
    C) Keep 2nd transfer

  27. _Ninja_
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    2FT 2.6m ITB

    Best move here? James to

    A. City Defender Stones/Akanji/Lewis...
    B. Schar

    Kepa
    Trippier White Shaw
    KDB Martinelli Rashford Almiron
    Haaland Kane Mitrovic

    Ward Andreas Bueno James

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      B if you look at the fixtures beyond the dgw

    2. g40steve
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      City double 20 & 23?

      1. _Ninja_
        • 15 Years
        3 years, 1 month ago

        Not sure who's going to play most games though mate, anyone could be rotated.

        1. g40steve
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 1 month ago

          Hence me going Ederson, might not get huge scores but at least he plays.

          Akanji looks classy, but who can guess what Pep thinks.

  28. SMOOTH
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    A. Stones Mitrovic Almiron
    B. Dalot Mitrovic Mahrez -4
    C.Dalot Kane Almiron -4

  29. Dollyems15
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Which is better,
    Ederson, white and Boly
    or Ward, Stones and Gabriel. Other keeper is kepa and other defenders are tripper, Shaw and Mee

    1. Bobby Digital
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 1 month ago

      Latter

  30. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 1 month ago

    Let’s hope Cancelo is deliriously happy on Saturday!

    https://twitter.com/City_Xtra/status/1613259708219158530