Scout Notes
28 April 2023 788 comments
FPL Marc FPL Marc
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We end our analysis of the Gameweek 33 Fantasy Premier League (FPL) action in our Scout Notes series.

Here, we focus on three Thursday night matches – Everton v Newcastle United, Southampton v Bournemouth and Tottenham Hotspur v Manchester United.

Any numbers you see in this article are taken from our Premium Members Area, where you can access Opta player and team data from every single Premier League fixture.




WILSON ROTATION DENTS ISAK APPEAL

In a match of contrasting moods, Everton look in deep trouble as they try to prevent their first relegation since 1951. A spirited start turned into a 4-1 defeat against this jubilant Newcastle side now on the verge of returning to the Champions League.

One popular route for purchasing Mohamed Salah (£13.0m) continues to be the downgrade of Harry Kane (£11.5m) to Alexander Isak (£6.8m). Not only did the Spurs forward bag 11 points in his match – taking him to eight returns from seven matches – but the Swedish superstar is sharing game time with Callum Wilson (£6.9m).

It’s a luxurious position for Newcastle to be in, having two in-form forwards to pick from, not that it helps FPL managers at all. Wilson’s brace probably won’t stop Isak from starting at home to Southampton this weekend but Double Gameweek 36 could easily see Eddie Howe repeat the rotation of both tonight and Double Gameweek 29.

Adding to the frustration, Isak’s cameo produced a breathtaking solo run that seemed to assist Jacob Murphy’s (£4.1m) tap-in. However, it was ruled that his diverted pass was intended for Wilson and therefore he ended on one point.

FPL review: Bruno on pens, XX

JOY FOR RASHFORD AND FERNANDES

Seeing Bruno Fernandes (£9.5m) start for Man United felt superhuman, considering Monday’s photo of him in a protective boot. Subsequently ditched or benched by many owners, the Portuguese playmaker set up Marcus Rashford’s (£7.1m) goal and later hit the crossbar.

Recently back from his own injury, Rashford excelled as the forward at Spurs and infuriated the near-two million managers that recently sold him by assisting Jadon Sancho (£7.1m) before his own strike.

Double Gameweek 34 looks tricky on paper versus Aston Villa and Brighton and Hove Albion but our Season Ticker rates Man United as having the second-best fixture run over these final weeks and a lot of late transfers will look to get at least one of this elite attacking pair.

Where have Newcastle's clean sheets gone? 5

STILL NO NEWCASTLE CLEAN SHEET

Ultimately, Man United threw away their 2-0 lead in the second half, denying a clean sheet for Luke Shaw (£5.1m) and David De Gea (£5.0m). As for Spurs, the main defensive positive was that this time they weren’t 5-0 down after 21 minutes, with new interim boss Ryan Mason returning them to a wing-back system that was rewarded by Pedro Porro’s (£4.8m) goal.

Meanwhile, once again, Newcastle somehow found a way to lose a secure-looking clean sheet. They’re still the season’s best defence for total number of goals conceded but they have just one successful shut-out from their last 12 matches.

A warning came late in the first half when Dominic Calvert-Lewin’s (£7.9m) goal was deemed offside but owners of Kieran Trippier (£6.2m), Nick Pope (£5.4m), Sven Botman (£4.5m) and Fabian Schar (£5.1m) will be furious that, when coasting 3-0, they allowed Dwight McNeil’s (£5.1m) corner kick to somehow go straight past the goalkeeper.

Trippier’s FPL ownership is almost unanimous but his freakish streak of returning in 17 of this season’s first 20 matches has been followed by ten blanks from the latest 12. He was denied an assist when a corner led to Schar’s attempt being cleared off the line, before his Swiss teammate saw a beautiful long-range curler ruled out in the 90th minute. A bad night for the owners of both Schar and Isak.

FPL Gameweek 33 differentials: Olise, Willock + Solanke

BITS AND PIECES

Adding to the Isak problem is that anyone looking towards an alternative differential like Anthony Martial (£6.3m) will notice his minutes are also being managed. Named as a substitute tonight, he witnessed Rashford be excellent up front and it’s hard to have confidence that the Frenchman will start twice in either of Man United’s upcoming double gameweeks.

Let’s also mention the night’s third encounter, pitting south coast sides Southampton and Bournemouth against each other in a crucial basement battle. Cheap forward Dominic Solanke (£5.6m) had an earlier assist taken away for offside reasons but succeeded when setting up the game’s only goal.

It’s the Cherries’ fifth win from eight league matches and their third successive away success. They’ve reached 36 points and will be confident of securing survival at home to Leeds United on Sunday.

Making things even worse for Southampton is that captain James Ward-Prowse (£6.2m) was taken off at half-time because of illness.


GAMEWEEK 33 LINE-UPS

Everton XI: Pickford; Godfrey, Keane, Tarkowski, Mykolenko; Iwobi, Doucoure, Gana (Garner 83′), Onana (Maupay 73′), McNeil; Calvert-Lewin (Simms 83′)

Newcastle United XI: Pope; Trippier, Schar, Botman, Targett (Burn 68′); Longstaff (Isak 74′), Guimaraes, Willock (Anderson 87′); Almiron (Murphy 68′), Wilson (Gordon 87′), Joelinton

Southampton XI: McCarthy; Walker-Peters, Bednarek, Caleta-Car, Perraud (Maitland-Niles 36′); Elyounoussi (S Armstrong 61′), Ward-Prowse (Lyanco 46′), Lavia, Alcaraz; Walcott (Adams 61′), A Armstrong (Sulemana 76′)

Bournemouth XI: Neto; Kelly, Mepham, Senesi (Zabarnyi 68′), Vina; Lerma, Rothwell; Christie, Billing (Ouattara 90′), Tavernier (Smith 78′); Solanke (Moore 90′)

Tottenham Hotspur XI: Forster; Romero, Dier, Lenglet; Porro (Danjuma 77′), Hojbjerg, Skipp, Perisic (Davies 77′); Richarlison (Kulusevski 61′), Kane, Son (Tanganga 87′)

Manchester United XI: De Gea; Wan-Bissaka (Malacia 71′), Lindelof, Shaw, Dalot; Casemiro, Eriksen (Fred 61′); Antony (Weghorst 71′), Fernandes, Sancho (Martial 61′); Rashford



FPL Marc Broadcaster, writer and overthinker. Hoping that ‘differential potential’ will catch on.

788 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. FCSB
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Strugging this week as I've been priced out of my initial plan, now 0.1 short... current options are:

    1. Kane Odegaard Ake >> Greenwood KDB TAA (-4)
    2. Kane Odegaard Shaw >> Greenwood Salah TAA (-4)
    3. Kane Odegaard Ake Watkins >> Greenwood Salah TAA Isak (-8)

    Which one, or any other ideas?

    1. gart888
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I'm looking at similar moves. My question with 3: Why include the Watkins to Isak part? Is Isak really going to be a huge upgrade over your 10th outfield player this year? If not, just wait until closer to their double and do that move for free.

      1. gart888
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Oh, I just realized that it's to raise the funds so that you can keep Shaw over Ake. Fair enough.

        I don't suppose you have a Saka to sell instead of Odegaard?

        1. FCSB
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          No I don’t unfortunately, Ode is the only single GW midfielder I have…

          I’m kinda leaning towards 3 purely because I’d like Isak for 36 anyway…

          But -8 is a big hit

          1. gart888
            • 11 Years
            2 years, 10 months ago

            The other option, and it's not pretty, is Gakpo instead of Salah. Opens up a lot of possibilities.

      2. FCSB
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks for your reply… so with 3 the Watkins >> Isak part allows me to do Ake >> TAA rather than using Shaw

        My preference would be 1 but with Salah over KDB but I’m 0.1 short…

        What would you go for?

    2. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Would be tempted by 3..

  2. Ruinenlust
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    When will Kane’s first “assist” be removed?

    1. gart888
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Never? It's a textbook FPL assist.

    2. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      It won't because that's an fpl assist

    3. MFC86
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Never

      If a shot at goal is blocked by an opposition player, is saved by a goalkeeper or hits the woodwork, and a goal is scored from the rebound, then an assist is awarded. The shot does not have to be on target to result in an assist.

      1. Duncs
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        How does this count as an assist, but then Isak's (a pass with a slight deflection) does not? Madness

    4. Steve Stiffler
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      joke i know should be gone

  3. Denver Omelette
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Which one would you start:
    A. Martinelli vs chelsea(h)
    B. Watkins vs Man United (a)
    C. Botman vs Southampton (h)

    1. Sailboats
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      A

    2. gart888
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Probably Martinelli. Botman was really close to 8 points today though.

    3. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      A

      1. WATERMELONS
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Its an annoying conundrum and I have the same. I think they all haul

    4. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I’m the order you have them

    5. Denver Omelette
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Cheers all!

  4. lilmessipran
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Rp, looking for suggestions, best option to start this gw-

    A Watkins
    B Burn
    C Henry
    D Watkins to Jota -4
    E Watkins to Isak -4

    1. gart888
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      A or D I think.

    2. Denver Omelette
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      D

    3. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      A

  5. WATERMELONS
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Not free hitting as generally happy with the below team. But I am fearful of not owning Rashford.

    What are your thoughts on Martinelli > Rashford until end of season?

    Still have FH left.

    Steele
    Trip Bot TAA
    Mitoma March Salah Grealish Martinelli
    Haaland Solanke

    Subs: Raya, Watkins, Mings, White

    1. gart888
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      No brainer move if you can afford it. The 2 doubles alone make it easy.

      1. WATERMELONS
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Yes can easily afford. Dont you see Martinelli hauling against a rubbish chelsea team? And probably in most games Arsenal score?

        The other option is March to Rashford but that seems a bit silly.

        Would you consider a defender upgrade here? Who am I missing?

    2. Nightf0x
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Already did this transfer this gw and paid off

      1. WATERMELONS
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        Fair

    3. Denver Omelette
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Rashford is a must imo

      1. WATERMELONS
        • 8 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        This was conclusive then thanks

  6. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Steele (raya)
    Malacia trip konate (guehi mings)
    March mitoma salah rash grealish
    Haland toney (kane)

    Which? (Itb 0.2)

    A) malacia to awb/4.4 def.
    B) konate to akanji
    C) kane malacia konate -8 to jota robbo akanji, bench toney/mitoma/march
    D) kane malacia

  7. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Wrongly posted above

    Steele (raya)
    Malacia trip konate (guehi mings)
    March mitoma salah rash grealish
    Haland toney (kane)

    Which? (Itb 0.2)

    A) malacia to awb/4.4 def.
    B) konate to akanji, start guehi for malacia
    C) kane malacia konate -8 to jota robbo akanji, bench toney/mitoma/march
    D) kane malacia konate -8 to jota taa awb, bench toney/mitoma/march
    E) kane malacia konate -8 to isak taa/robbo akanji/stones

    1. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      A I suppose

    2. Hy liverpool
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Kane Malacia Konate to Isak TAA Dias/Stones.

  8. WATERMELONS
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    None of these mate. You cant bench Toney Mitoma and March for a minus 8 unless this is BB?

    I like your team. Roll.

    1. WATERMELONS
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Mis replied to NIGHTFOX

  9. Bruno Commando
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Which move should I prioritized? 1FT...

    1) Henry to Estu
    2) Martinelli to Grealish
    3) Both for a hit

    Steele
    TAA Shaw Tripp Henry
    Salah Bruno Rashy Mitoma Martinelli
    Haaland

    Raya Watkins Mings Greenwood

    1. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      1

  10. WATERMELONS
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Start:

    a) Watkins
    b) Solanke
    c) Mings

    1. WATERMELONS
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Watkins + Mings vs Man U (a)
      Solanke vs Leeds (h)

    2. Denver Omelette
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Watkins

    3. Hy liverpool
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Solanke.

  11. yeahbuddy
    • 14 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Chasing ML that's all Rashford
    Going Bruno instead, reasonable punt against the crowd?

    1. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Nah what other differentials could you choose?

    2. Haalander
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Try gapko as a differential

  12. Bggz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Anyone bringing in a city mid?
    Who, who for and why?

    1. Fellaini's Fro
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Have Grealish, bought Kdb.
      City in super hot form stepping on the gas to win the league

  13. Ian Davis
    • 16 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    A) Gabriel > Stones (4-4-2)

    B) Andreas > March (3-5-2)

    1. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I get the impression Brighton are on the way down

  14. Ruinenlust
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    A) Grealish

    Or

    B) KDB (-4)?

    1. Bggz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Who you removing?

  15. Roy Rovers
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Which one would you go with??

    A - Shaw
    B - Stones
    C - Any other

    DDG
    Estupian Trippier ???
    Salah Rashford Grealish March Mitoma
    Haaland Isak

    Raya Watkins Mee Schar

    1. Hy liverpool
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Taa?

  16. The FPL Units
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    I had planned to remove Kane to facilitate getting Salah & TAA. But thinking Ill keep Kane now and not getting TAA.

    Looking at these moves for a -4

    Watkins, Saka, Chilwell => Greenwood, Salah, Stones

    To give:

    Steele
    Stones Shaw Trippier
    Salah Rash Mac Mitoma Grealish
    Haaland Kane

    Raya Botman Pinnock Greenwood

    1.2m itb

    What do you reckon?

    1. Fellaini's Fro
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Looks great

  17. The Philosopher
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Isak not getting an assist for the 4th goal is a crime against culture

  18. Origi-nal
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    A) Gakpo & Isak
    B) Almiron & Jota

    1. Hy liverpool
      • 12 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      A for me.

    2. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Joelinton Jota 😛

  19. My heart goes Salalalalah
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Good morning. Was hoping to wake up to a Trippier haul to go with my Rashford points...

    Steele²
    Shaw² Trip Gabriel
    Salah² Mitoma² March² Rash²
    Haaland² Jota² Watkins
    Kepa Ode Chilwell Kilman

    Worth considering Gabriel, Chilwell, Ode to TAA², Dias², Andreas(benched in 442) for -8?
    *Gain good fixtures and some spare change

  20. Pylynen
    • 8 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    A) Jota+Salah+Schär
    B) Isak+Salah+TAA -4
    C) Jota+Bruno+TAA
    D) Jota+Salah+Dias -4

  21. Taegugk Warrior
    • 7 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    A.Shaw + March
    B. Dalot + Grealsh

    on FH

    1. FPL Scoop
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I’m hoping B is the right answer

  22. FPL Scoop
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Plan was bench boost, but Neco doubt thrown a spanner in the works. Only 0.3m ITB to work with. Any advice?? 1FT
    🙂

    Ederson (Iversen)
    TAA Dalit Estupiñán (Trippier Neco)
    Salah Rashford Grealish Mitoma March
    Haaland Jota (Solanke)

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Gamble on Lindelof? Or BB36/37?

    2. Dollyems15
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Coufal or zanka

  23. Sheffield Wednesday
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Had a cracked roof tile.

    I've just fixed a hole where the rain gets in
    And now my mind is wandering
    Is this good to go?

    Raya (NFO)
    STONES ESTUPIÑÁN Trippier (SOU)
    SALAH RASHFORD MITOMA MARCH Martinelli (CHE)
    HAALAND© Kane (liv)

    -Kepa Watkins Botman Guéhi £1.2M 0FT

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Only difference to my starting XI:

      Yours: Trippier Martinelli Kane 352
      Mine: TAA Jota Isak 343

      1. Sheffield Wednesday
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        So two prime extra Liverpool fixtures, which would cost me (-8) plus no easy path back to Kane. Actually wanted KdB & Newcastle forward but had a niggling doubt it would be worth it just now.

        1. Magic Zico
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          Before transfer my starting XI is almost identical to yours bar Martinelli, 2FT I plan are Kane Henry > Jota TAA

          1. Sheffield Wednesday
            • 5 Years
            2 years, 10 months ago

            Yeah my planning has gone out the window of late. Team is suffering death by tiny red arrows.

    2. La Roja
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      I’d be selling Kane Martinelli for KDB and someone if I were u

      1. Magic Zico
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        I like this actually

        1. Sheffield Wednesday
          • 5 Years
          2 years, 10 months ago

          "Niggles"

          1. Magic Zico
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            2 years, 10 months ago

            Agree that's annoying

    3. Bluetiger1
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      GTG

      GW36 DGW can look in the next two weeks with possible
      Watkins to Isak or Wilson
      Botman can then come back into defence

  24. Letsgo!
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Foden grealish mahrez. Choose one if using wc

    1. La Roja
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Has to be Grealish due to him being more nailed on

  25. Zack124
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    I am surprised no Wilson in any draft for transfer.
    I had Isak on WC in 33. Thinking of swapping him for Wilson.
    Is this side move not good idea!
    Anyone else thinking same?

    1. Sheffield Wednesday
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      It will work out nearly 50% of the time

      1. Sheffield Wednesday
        • 5 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        It will fail half the time

    2. 404_FC
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Who is more nailed Wilson or Isak ?

  26. La Roja
    • 13 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    What to do here chaps?

    Raya
    Estupinan* Trent* Tripper
    Mitoma* Salah* Rashy* Grealish* Martinelli
    Haaland*(TC) Solanke

    Kepa Watkins Zinchenko Porro

    1FT and 0.4m ITB

    A) Zinchenko ➡ Stones (bench Solanke)
    B) Zinchenko Martinelli ➡ Stones March -4
    C) Watkins Martinelli ➡ Jota March -4

    1. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Probably C

    2. 404_FC
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      C

  27. 404_FC
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    Play

    A) Ederson (ful,WHU)
    B) Steel (WOL,MUN)

    1) Maddison (EVE)
    2) Dalot/Shaw (AVL,bha) + -4
    3) Bowen/Joelinton/Sancho/Antony/Eriksen + -4

    Thanks

    1. Zebras
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Ederson & Dalot/Shaw

  28. Zebras
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    In isolation, who would you want more on FH?

    A. KDB
    B. Rashford

    Alternative
    1. Rashford
    2. March

    1. 404_FC
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      A1 If you can

      1. Zebras
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 10 months ago

        I can have Kevin & Rashford but would need to sacrifice one of my Brighton mids.

        Need to drop one from: KDB, Rashford, Grealish, Mitoma, March, Salah for my WC

    2. Magic Zico
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Rashford

  29. FPL Scoop
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    If playing TC this week, who would you pick?

    1. 404_FC
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      Haaland for sure

      Other if chasing

  30. Plumbers Pan
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 10 months ago

    0.1 short of Martinelli to Rash
    Would you do Grealish to Rash for free or -4 keep Grealish and Get Rashford ?

    1. 404_FC
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 10 months ago

      take a hit