Pro Pundits
6 July 2023 409 comments
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With Fantasy Premier League (FPL) live for 2023/24, we’ll be welcoming back our team of Hall of Famers and guest writers for the new campaign.

We’ll be hearing from a different contributor every day in the aftermath of the FPL relaunch, to get their thoughts on the pricing and to see their initial picks.

Our writers will be providing regular articles and team reveals throughout the new season, with only Premium Members able to access every single one.

You can sign up here for the new campaign – once you’re aboard, you’ve locked in the price of your Premium Membership for good, so long as you don’t cancel!

Next up, five-time top 1k finisher Tom Freeman shares the first draft of his FPL team.

... 2

In this article, I’ll share my very early thoughts on the players and teams that have caught my eye since launch, alongside my first draft.

I guarantee it’ll change, with pre-season/transfers/the Community Shield etc adding crucial information, but it’ll at least allow me to start thinking about the kind of squad I want to create.

GOALKEEPERS

I usually prefer a £4.5m/£4.0m ‘keeper pairing to start the season and having scanned the new prices, see no reason to deviate this year.

Jordan Pickford (£4.5m) kept five clean sheets from Sean Dyche’s appointment onwards in January – the same amount as David Raya (£5.0m) and Aaron Ramsdale (£5.0m) – and also ranked fourth for saves. I expect Everton will benefit defensively from a full pre-season under Dyche and they have some pretty decent fixtures between Gameweeks 1-8.

If I can find a spare £0.5m, I could pair Pickford with Fulham’s Bernd Leno (£4.5m), who plays Luton Town and Crystal Palace in Gameweeks 5/6 respectively.

Other options I will consider are West Ham United’s Lukasz Fabianski (£4.5m) and Alphonse Areola (£4.0m), plus Crystal Palace’s Sam Johnstone (£4.5m).

DEFENDERS

Trent Alexander-Arnold (£8.0m) was a very different proposition after Jurgen Klopp started using him as an ‘inverted full-back’ last season. From that point onwards (Gameweek 30), he racked up seven assists in 10 games, with nine of the 25 ‘big chances’ he created in 2022/23 coming in that period. If he continues in a hybrid role, he could easily reach 15 assists, perhaps more.

Above: Trent Alexander-Arnold’s touch heatmap Gameweeks 30-38 2022/23

Chelsea could be a great source of value next season and the upside is there for Reece James (£5.5m) and Ben Chilwell (£5.5m) playing under Mauricio Pochettino. Admittedly, there are a lot of unknowns, but I genuinely see points at both ends of the pitch for these players, especially with their fixtures from Gameweek 3 onwards. There is no Europe either, hopefully reducing the chance of fatigue/injuries.

Elsewhere, we probably don’t need to be taking unnecessary punts on promoted defenders like Anel Ahmedhodzic (£4.5m) – who I’d singled out as ‘one to watch’ pre-launch – when Sven Botman (£4.5m) is available at the same price, which is a bit annoying.

My five picks in my draft are therefore Alexander-Arnold, James, Nathan Ake (£5.0m), Botman and George Baldock (£4.0m). Other players on the ‘maybe’ pile are Luke Shaw (£5.5m), Pervis Estupinan (£5.0m), Gabriel Magalhaes (£5.0m), Matty Cash (£4.5m) and Rico Henry (£4.5m).

MIDFIELDERS

VIDEO LATEST

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  1. Boofhead
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    I find Pickford's popularity discomforting.
    If you have him you have put up with watching him carrying on like a pork chop, waving his arms around and shouting at his defenders that it was all their fault.
    I wouldn't have him if he cost sixpence halfpenny.

    1. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      He's playing for Sean Dyche. I suspect Everton will have one of the best defences come next May.

      1. Boofhead
        • 3 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        I get that. I can't go Bruno F neither. Similar reasoning. Horrible.

      2. 3 A
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        What so good about Sean Dyche defence?

    2. KanuLenoMeeMoCash
      • 5 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Most of the time it is the defenders fault
      He's also Captain when Coleman not playing so it helps that he shouts at them
      Not a fan of the yellow cards from time wasting though
      , probably costs a few baps each season
      Can't see it changing though coz it's probably necessary against better teams sometimes

  2. Joyce1998
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Bottomed

    Hows this looking?

    Pickford
    James, Trent, Shaw
    Mbeumo, Enciso, Rash, Ode, Saka
    Gakpo, Haaland

    Areola, Botman, Bell, Semenyo

    1. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Mostly good, but the arrival of Kai Havertz may lead to rotation amongst Arsenal's attacking midfielders, which may affect Ode and Saka's minutes. Plus I'd have Virginia as my bench goalie and not Areola.

      1. WALOR
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        I think Ode and Saka are nailed - Jesus is the one most likely to be affected by Havertz

        1. Baps Hunter
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          2 years, 5 months ago

          Xhaka gone now. Havertz is going to replace him imo.

    2. Oliver (Know_fpl)
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      looking good

  3. Definitely not sleeping
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Ok! Draft pick is up! Next transfers made will be based on the preseason fixtures.

    Not too bad a start eh?

    Leno Pickford
    James Shaw TAA Bell Baldock
    MacAlistor Odegaard Rash Mitoma Mbuemo
    Halaan Jesus Morris

    1. Enedixe12
      • 2 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      What about my picks
      Pickford (leno)
      TAA Gabriel James estup (bell)
      Rashford mbeumo enciso saka (mitamo)
      Halland nkunku (semeyo)

      1. Definitely not sleeping
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        Not bad. Leaning to Encisco myself. Preseason will be my deciding factor. Also debating on Kane as well.

  4. Zenith UK
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    I see everyone racing for Trent again (even though he rose - for some bizarre reason) but nobody is talking about Robertson? Hear me out... I've always rated Robbo as an FPL asset and enjoyed using him as a differential.

    Stat breakdown/comparison

    Robertson;
    Season - Pts - Mins - Mins per Point (lower is better)
    17/18 - 111 - 1940 - 17.48
    18/19 - 213 - 3216 - 15.10
    19/20 - 181 - 3111 - 17.74
    20/21 - 161 - 3384 - 21.02
    21/22 - 186 - 2537 - 13.64
    22/23 - 121 - 2579 - 21.31
    Totals; 973 - 16,767 - 17.23 av

    Trent;
    Season - Pts - Mins - Mins per Point (lower is better)
    17/18 - 83 - 1573 - 18.95
    18/19 - 185 - 2460 - 13.30
    19/20 - 210 - 3173 - 15.11
    20/21 - 160 - 3029 - 18.93
    21/22 - 208 - 2853 - 13.72
    22/23 - 156 - 2922 - 18.73
    Totals; 1002 - 16,010 - 15.98 av

    Robbo averages 162.16 points a season (across the last six) if you take out his worst and best seasons then he averages 162.25 points a season. Robbo earns (on average) a point for every ~17mins 15seconds played. Alternative view is 16,767 / 90 mins (full game) = 186 games which in turn is approx 5.23 points per game.
    Trent averages 167 points a season (across the last six) if you take out his worst and best seasons then he averages 177.25 points a season. Trent earns (on average) a point for every ~16minutes 0seconds played. Alternative view is 16,010 / 90 mins (full game) = 178 games which in turn is approx 5.63 points per game.

    Is the extra 1.5M on Trent really worth it? For an extra 15 points a season? Trent to > Robbo allows you to do 4.0 DEF > James/Chilwell/Shaw/White, as an example, who will definitely outscore a 4.0 fodder by more than 15 points across the season.

    Just curious people's thoughts on this?

    My only thoughts are, yes Trent MIGHT play higher this season, Robertson MIGHT get rotated more again (largely diminished minutes in the last two seasons, but no UCL for them this year) and I still don't think Tsimikas is a threat to him. Maybe I've missed something off? Anyways, hope you enjoyed this read. 🙂

    1. Definitely not sleeping
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Not an and analysis. I actually have Trent but have been looking at his price tag and am figuring those funds need to go somewhere else.

      Only thing truly stopping me is Trent’s new mid role in which I figure he will only get better as seasons go on. Still, not a full argument to keep him.

      I may make the switch, but those preseason fixtures have a funny way swaying me.

      1. Definitely not sleeping
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        Meant nice analysis.

    2. 3 A
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      This is like people compare Gross to Mtoma and March without understand the real context.

      1. Andy_Social
        • 13 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        You're going on historical evidence, but I think it's more important to try to understand and anticipate how Klopp's going to set up this coming season.
        Moving Trent to inverted wingback on the right inevitably affects the rest of the defence. Other teams who do this have the fullback on the other side tuck in as a hybrid fullback/centreback; for me, that means Robbo will have to play more cautiously than he traditionally has.

        1. 3 A
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 5 months ago

          You should talk to him... Not me....

          1. Andy_Social
            • 13 Years
            2 years, 5 months ago

            I was. I clicked 'reply' to the OP.

            1. Sheffield Wednesday
              • 5 Years
              2 years, 5 months ago

              It appears you clicked 'Reply' to 3 A. You need to click 'Reply' in the white area of Zenith's OP so that your reply lines up far left of this column.

              1. Andy_Social
                • 13 Years
                2 years, 5 months ago

                Ugh, I'll come back later when people read serious posts rather than pick hairs over trivia 🙄

                1. Sheffield Wednesday
                  • 5 Years
                  2 years, 5 months ago

                  * splitting hairs 😉

      2. asiodplkdh
        • 2 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        Sorry, could you explain the real context with those Brighton mids?

        1. 3 A
          • 10 Years
          2 years, 5 months ago

          If we look just for last season stat, overall points and minutes, we maybe will think Gross is the one but we cannot choose him because he get many goals and assists when play as 10 earlier last season. He play AM until gw13. Gw14 he started as a RB.

          Mac10 play as CDM when Gross as 10.

          Gross good for Brighton, versatile but his versatilty effect him as FPL target. He play everywhere, SS, AM, CDM , RB and at last game , gw38 Gross play as LB!

          The same as Robbo.

          Their role now different from the times they get so many points.

          So Gross and Robbo is not a good target for FPL. At least for now.

          Wait for pre season and see if other new pattern / tactical / new roles for some player emerge.

          For now, many choose Mitoma as their Brighton player. But maybe Enciso is the beast if he get enough game time.

          1. asiodplkdh
            • 2 Years
            2 years, 5 months ago

            cheers mate, thanks. I'll definitely keep an eye on pre-season, for some reason I just don't have a great feeling about Mitoma because I think he could struggle without Mac Allister and might contend with Joao Pedro for minutes. Even if Gross doesn't have a nailed on position, I'm sure he'll start

            1. 3 A
              • 10 Years
              2 years, 5 months ago

              Yeah.. but if Gross start as RB , LB or CDM, he is not worth his price. As a mid, he doesnt get clean sheet and rarely score or assist from that far position.

    3. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      The only problem is that when Trent's position was changed to partial/inverted mid (or whatever), Robertson had to defend more and he was least attacking. His minutes were also reduced. So not a good trend. Another thing worth noticing is that because Trent wasn't the widest player on rights side attack, Salah had to play wider. That's why he got least points than during previoys season. As a real football player he wasn't in decline imo, but Kloppos tactics hurt him as fpl assets. VvD would be interesting option at 5.5, but 6.0 is unfortunately too much imo.

  5. SmasherLagru
    • 6 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    What do we think of this

    Pickford Virginia
    TAA Estu Gabriel Roberts Bell
    Rashford Odegaard Mbeumo Saka Enciso
    Haaland Nkunku Morris

  6. bso
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Alvarez or Wissa?

    1. gart888
      • 11 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Wissa, unless you're confident that Alvarez starts more than half the time.

      1. bso
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        I am hopeful he will have more starts than not...will see what happens in pre season.

  7. SpaceCadet
    • 11 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Best 7.5m forward to start the season with?

    1. Joyce1998
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Nkunku
      Mitrovic
      Gakpo/Darwin

      1. WVA
        • 9 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        Stretch to Jesus?

    2. bso
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      All are questionable. Going with Alvarez (also questionable) till I know more. Doubt any from LIV are nailed. Who knows what CHE will show up? Mitro more miss than hit in his old age...

    3. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      I'm stretching to 8m for Jesus until more is known of Nkunku and to see if Darwin or Gakpo improve from last year.
      Mitro just too frustrating to own for me. Been burned numerous times.

      1. SpaceCadet
        • 11 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        Yea could get jesus but would have to downgrade rashford to bruno

        1. Andy_Social
          • 13 Years
          2 years, 4 months ago

          Probably Nkunku but I'd want evidence first. For GW1 I'd take Wissa and spread the difference.

  8. Joyce1998
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Time to relax and crack open a cold one

    Pickford
    Trent, Estu, Shaw
    Mbeumo, Enciso, Rash, Ode, Saka
    Jesus, Haaland

    Areola, Botman, Bell, Semenyo

    1. Boberella
      • 9 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Like it. Same as mine bar Pickford Shaw Saka (Ramsdale Stones Maddy here)

    2. G-Whizz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 8 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      Not sure about Bell myself, went Beyer...

  9. DANCING_ROSE
    • 4 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Every season whelther the bank value resets to 100 or not guys?. This is my second season playing fpl though.

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      2 years, 5 months ago

      You get 100m before GW1.

      1. DANCING_ROSE
        • 4 Years
        2 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks lad !

  10. amit1964
    • 9 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    a) rashford+ gakpo
    b) bruno+jesus
    thank you

  11. LiverpoolKG
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    Down to this at the min..........

    1. Brownhill & Sterling
    2. Mbeumo & Enciso

    Either option leaves one of them on the bench............thoughts?

  12. Oliver (Know_fpl)
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    I plan on spending only 8.5 million on two GK so Pickford + Areola
    then going without Trent only because the I don not see many CS because of mixed fixture run for Liverpool also this allows me to spend big money in midfield on two 8.5 million + one 9 million + two 6.5 Million players.
    then up front Haaland + 7.5 - 8.0 player + 4.5 player.

  13. Greenan088
    • 2 Years
    2 years, 5 months ago

    What’s your thoughts on Isak this year? Haven’t really saw him mentioned much.

    1. Stamford B
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      CL will be interesting. I’m wondering if he’ll rotate with Wilson as Wilson will struggle to play 2 games a week with his hamstrings. Maybe Isak plays CL and Wilson prem? Who knows! Personally I’d like to see how it all pans out first.

    2. Andy_Social
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      1. Stuck out left suggests Wilson might end up better value.
      2. Early fixtures - not many are prepared to invest more than 4.5 in a Newcastle asset until GW6.

  14. adesblades
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    Why does nobody seem to be picking Ben White in their squads? He was 2nd top scoring defender last year and at £5'5m doesn't exactly break the bank.

    1. Stamford B
      • 4 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      Gabriel is 5 so better value

    2. Andy_Social
      • 13 Years
      2 years, 4 months ago

      FPL Towers have been short-sighted in pricing him higher just because he got a handful of points more than other defenders. There's no great reason to suppose he'll outscore Gabriel and Saliba this season, and that's not even accounting for Timber taking his spot.

  15. Jimi Nevermind
    • 3 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    My team:

    Onana - Flekken

    Gabriel - Veltman - Tarkowski - Trusty - Beyer

    Ødegaard - Saka - Rashford - Fernandes - Anderson

    Haaland - Nkunku - Watkins

  16. Lost in fantasy
    • 5 Years
    2 years, 4 months ago

    What do you think guys?

    Onana

    Gabriel Stones Chilwell
    Salah Saka Mbuemo Diaby
    Jackson Haaland Pedro

    Areola Botman Mings Andreas