Spot the Differential
4 April 2025 310 comments
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Arsenal, Aston Villa and Newcastle United assets are on our differentials radar in Gameweek 31.

At the time of writing, these three players all have an ownership of 5.0% or less in Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

FPL Gameweek 31 team news: Isak, Kluivert + more injury updates

GABRIEL MARTINELLI

  • FPL ownership: 2.1%
  • Price: £6.5m
  • GW31-35 fixtures: eve | BRE | ips + CRY | – | BOU

Following a superb display in Arsenal’s 2-1 win over Fulham on Tuesday, Gabriel Martinelli (£6.5m) is our headline selection.

The Brazilian produced an assist at the Emirates, when his deft flick teed up Bukayo Saka (£10.3m) for his goal.

He almost scored himself, too, but was deemed marginally offside when his effort hit the back of the net.

A constant threat down the left, Martinelli racked up three shots in the box, five chances created (see below) and 12 penalty box touches, the most of any other Arsenal player. He also enjoyed nine crosses from open play.

Above: Gabriel Martinelli’s key passes v Fulham in Gameweek 30

“Martinelli was superb. You see how much we missed him, that threat, that attacking purpose that he has every time he’s on the ball.” – Mikel Arteta

You’d think the return of Saka will galvanise Arsenal’s attack, too, as the Gunners prepare to visit Goodison Park in Gameweek 31.

The Toffees have been in decent form under David Moyes, but have failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last seven matches.

It should also be pointed out that only Southampton and Nottingham Forest have conceded more key passes than Everton from their right flank in the last six Gameweeks, with just four clubs allowing more crosses from that zone.

In addition, Arsenal have a Double Gameweek 33 on the way, when they face Ipswich Town and Crystal Palace.

MARCO ASENSIO

  • FPL ownership: 3.1%
  • Price: £6.1m
  • GW31-35 fixtures: NFO | sou | NEW + mci | – | FUL

It’s a risky pick this, underscored by the fact that Marco Asensio (£6.1m) has started just two Premier League games for Aston Villa.

But having been benched in midweek and with some tasty fixtures on the horizon, the Spaniard potentially fits the bill as a differential gamble.

The reason Asensio has entered our thinking in Gameweek 31 is that he has been on fire since his Villa debut.

In just four starts and six sub appearances, he’s plundered eight goals and one assist in all competitions.

“The adaptation is going quick with Asensio because he’s playing his position. Some teams don’t play with a No 10, but we do and it’s easy for him.” – Unai Emery

Asensio could return to Unai Emery’s first XI for Saturday’s home clash with Nottingham Forest.

It’s one of the toughest match-ups an attacker can face this season, but Villa are unbeaten in 14 league matches on home turf, so he’ll fancy his chances.

Asensio then faces Southampton in Gameweek 32, before enjoying a Double Gameweek 33, when Villa take on Newcastle United and Manchester City.

In an ideal scenario, he starts against Forest on Saturday, is a substitute for the midweek trip to Paris Saint-Germain, and subsequently comes back into the first XI against Southampton.

You can then probably expect one start and one sub appearance in Double Gameweek 33.

Given his impact off the bench since arriving at Villa Park, it’s a gamble which could potentially pay off.

FABIAN SCHAR

  • FPL ownership: 2.0%
  • Price: £5.4m
  • GW31-35 fixtures: lei | MUN + CRY | avl | IPS | bha

Having recorded a clean sheet in their previous away fixture, Newcastle United look a decent bet for a second successive shut-out on the road in Gameweek 31.

That’s because opponents Leicester City have failed to find the back of the net in seven successive league games, while no side has scored fewer goals in 2025.

Ruud van Nistelrooy’s side are also bottom for attempts on goal, shots on target and expected goals (xG) since the turn of the year.

What potentially sets Fabian Schar (£5.4m) apart from his cheaper team-mates, such as Dan Burn (£4.4m) and Tino Livramento (£4.5m), is his goal threat.

Only 10 FPL defenders have registered more shots than Schar this season, with the centre-half prominent at set-piece situations and taking a few direct free-kicks, too.

Crucially, upcoming opponents Leicester and Manchester United both rank among the worst four sides for set play xG conceded in 2024/25, with 12.8 and 10.7 respectively.

There is also a Double Gameweek 32 to look forward to, plus an appealing clash against Ipswich Town in Gameweek 34, when four other teams blank.

So, with Kieran Trippier (£5.6m) flagged and Burn two bookings away from a suspension, Schar could be a nice differential pick to capitalise on Newcastle’s kind fixture run.



310 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. DagheMunegu
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Play Gvardiol or sell Gabriel to Saliba ?

    1. FPL_Devil
      • 6 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      I’m selling Gabriel to Saliba for a hit. Long term it should pay off.

    2. Bucket Man
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Play Gvardiol this week

    3. ViperStripes
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Saliba > Dunk

      1. DagheMunegu
        • 5 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        I don't get it

  2. Leo14CFC
    • 1 Year
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Bench elanga or I Sarr please guys ??

    1. ct mariner
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      My dilemna as well - currently benching Elanga (see below) which cost me last GW!

      1. Leo14CFC
        • 1 Year
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Very hard , last week I had gibbs white and then I changed last second for elanga

  3. mr_jones
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    AM Arteta or Glasner?

    1. ViperStripes
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Potter

      1. mr_jones
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        i dont want to spend a AM-Transfer next week, when they face Pool

      2. Fifa las vegas
        • 13 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        In fairness my head is being slightly turned by Potter and his likely unachievable table bonus!

        1. mr_jones
          • 7 Years
          1 year, 3 months ago

          im not turned into potter. in the end they lose against bournemouth and get another 0 points vs pool. then i prefer to take the risk with glasner and get the 5 games out of this 3 gws. could probably also go wrong.

          1. Fifa las vegas
            • 13 Years
            1 year, 3 months ago

            I could see Palace losing all five tbh. But one or two decent results would be enough to make it worthwhile all the same

            1. mr_jones
              • 7 Years
              1 year, 3 months ago

              sure thats the risk we have. i could also go for ange with SOU and Wolves, if spurs wouldnt play that bad

    2. Fifa las vegas
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Legoman

    3. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      I'm currently on Glasner.

  4. Stap
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Currently on WC

    Livramento + Merino?
    Or
    Saliba + Murphy

    BB W33 means sell Livramento to sec. ? City def (already have Gvardiol).
    Or Murphy to Savinho

    Mostly wondering if Merino will get some more points next weeks

    1. Bucket Man
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Saliba and Murphy for me.

      1. DagheMunegu
        • 5 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Saliba Murphy

    2. mr_jones
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      i’ve got Livra and Merino

    3. Silecro
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Any particular reason why BB33? If you opt for BB32, you dont have to sell your Newc assets, saves you one or two free transfers

      1. Stap
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 4 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        BB33 I will have 12 doublers with a few transfers. And Westham 2 players vs Sou

    4. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Saliba Murphy

    5. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Saliba & murphy

  5. g40steve
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Budget allowed Foden & Gordon & now looking like both missing out?

    Keep or sell?

    Raya,
    Munoz, Gvardiol, Burn,
    Sarr, Salah, Saka, Gordon,
    C Isak, Marmoush, Mateta,

    Areola, Foden, Milenkovic, Timber

    .4

    1. Fifa las vegas
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Maybe swap Foden for somebody this week and keep and bench Gordon for the double?

      1. g40steve
        • 8 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Could do, just thinking might save FT ready for 32 another weeks info?

        1. Fifa las vegas
          • 13 Years
          1 year, 3 months ago

          There is that. Sort of in a simple boat myself with Foden. Have Rogers but not keen on playing him against Forest.

          Could get Murphy but it blocks AM Howe, which I’m not even sure I want to do either!

    2. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Gordon > Murphy
      Foden > Villa midfielder

  6. Aye
    • 13 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    1. Gabriel to Saliba?

    2. Kluivert to Merino?

    I have Raya in goal if that makes a difference. Or any better options? Playing BB 33 and FH 34.

    Churs.

    1. Bucket Man
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Gabriel to Saliba. Saliba nailed, I don’t know but I guess Merino will rotate and Kluivert could be back and is then a solid pick for the short term, where as Gab is done for the season.

      1. Aye
        • 13 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Makes sense. Thanks mate.

      2. mr_jones
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        as long as arsenal dont have a striker because of injuries, merino should be nailed

  7. Gudjohnsen
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Start Kerkez or Mykolenko?

    1. Bucket Man
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Kerkez

    2. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Kerkez

    3. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      K

  8. Bucket Man
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Final questions from me.

    Raya
    Gvardiol, Munoz, Livramento
    Salah, Palmer, Murphy, Sarr
    Isak, Mateta, Marmoush
    Areola, Savinho, Neco, Gabriel*

    A) Livramento and Gabriel to Konsa and who? AM Howe -4
    B) Roll FT and AM Arteta

    Captain Isak still with the injury doubt or Salah?

    1. ViperStripes
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Savinho

      1. Bucket Man
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Play him? I’m thinking at least I know Sarr starts.

        What do you think to the moves. If A may do RAN with a good fixture this week, atracking and Brighton home Gw36 when I may BB.

    2. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Keep Livramento and bring in Saliba for Gabriel. If you are starting your AM this GW, then Glasner is your man.

      Plus I would captain Isak.

      1. Bucket Man
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        I’m tripled on Palace though so would have to do Sarr to Rogers possibly?

  9. RogueBlood
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Current WC Draft 0.2ITB any suggestion what what swaps you'd make? Currently thinking Murphy to Savinho

    Raya, Sels
    Munoz, Saliba, Gvardiol, Konsa, Schar
    Saka, Rogers, Murphy, Sarr, Salah
    Mateta, Isak, Marmoush

    1. Bucket Man
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      I’d stick with Murphy for now. I have Savinho but long term expecting rotation week in week out.

  10. Wolfman180
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    A) Transfer Gabriel out (Don't know who to yet)
    B) Bench him, take the price drop hit, and play Kerkez, roll transfer

    1. Bucket Man
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      B

    2. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Gabriel > Saliba. Plus I'd look at playing Kerkez.

  11. potatoace
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Checkpoint:
    Post your WC31 teams here and I will adjudicate a winner [and then copy it]

    Entrants who aren't FH34 need not apply.

    1. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
      • 11 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      This feels like a scam.....

      1. potatoace
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Toteslegit. Each entry gets a lucky dip from the tombola

    2. Fifa las vegas
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Discrimination

      1. potatoace
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Read the Ts and Cs

        1. Fifa las vegas
          • 13 Years
          1 year, 3 months ago

          I’ve WC30 but will FH34, any use?

          1. potatoace
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 14 Years
            1 year, 3 months ago

            Maybe....
            Seriously though any help would be greatly appreciated. I've had a tough week at work and my brains scrambled

  12. Duka
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    bench one:

    1) Timber
    2) Gvardiol
    3) Pedro

    (have Saliba in starting 11)

    1. Bucket Man
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      1

    2. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      1

  13. OffsidePenalty
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Need to bench 2. But who?

    A) Munoz
    B) Gvardiol
    C) Livramento

    1) I.Sarr
    2) J.Murphy
    3) Savinho

    1. Bucket Man
      • 7 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      A3

    2. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      B3

  14. FootballRookie
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Bruno F >>> Son

    Yay or nay?

    1. Gudjohnsen
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      nah

    2. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      No!

    3. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Noooooooo........

  15. ct mariner
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Benching headache which I got wrong last GW:

    Raya
    Gvardiol Muniz Kerkez
    Salah (c) Sarr Bruno Murphy
    Marmoush Isak Mateta

    Areola, Elanga, Williams, Gabriel

    AM - Howe

    1FT

    GTG or play Elanga - if so, who to bench?

    1. Rbyrne95
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Think Elanga is playing up top. Honestly a flip a coin situ between him and Sarr IMO

      1. ct mariner
        • 7 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Yep - agree - I called it wrong last week

  16. DRINKWINE
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Probably I am missing something (had a rough week) but why no one is considering WC in GW32? I have all chips left except AM, and in principle, it is not bad option (assuming I dont use triple C next week), more clarity on some assets and 1st leg of Champions league played.

    1. potatoace
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      I'm sure many people are. Those of us with teams in shambles are doing it now

  17. Rbyrne95
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    BB in 33. Swap out Gabriel for:

    A)Saliba - 0.1itb after
    B) Timber - 0.8itb (Allows Sav to Rashford then same with all below)
    C) Milenkovic
    D) Villa or pool def?

    1. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      A

  18. COYR
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Start Gordon or Sarr?

    Less confident about Gordon's minutes now...

    1. jonnybhoy
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Starting gordon sarr first sub

      1. COYR
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        What I have currently gone with too. Not going to make any ranks playing it too safe I guess at this stage!

    2. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Probably Sarr because he's likely to play more minutes. Gordon will likely share minutes with Barnes.

  19. The-Red-1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Play 1 from each pair, please

    1) Gvardiol Burn
    2) Sarr Savinho

    1. Silecro
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Burn, Sarr

      1. Stranger Mings
        • 5 Years
        1 year, 3 months ago

        Same

    2. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Gvardiol
      Sarr

  20. DagheMunegu
    • 5 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Bench one

    A Mateta
    B Eze
    C Savinho
    D Murphy

    1. Rbyrne95
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Do you have any palace mids and marmoush? Probably just a spreading points decision

    2. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      C

  21. mr_jones
    • 7 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Pope or Sels to start? actually on Sels because i have Livramento

    1. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Sels

  22. Rbyrne95
    • 9 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Best differential Captain? (Not Salah or Isak)

    A) Saka
    B) Mateta or Eze
    C) Marmoush

    1. Fifa las vegas
      • 13 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Mateta

    2. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      C

    3. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Mateta

  23. jonnybhoy
    • 13 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Roll FT here or do anything?

    Raya
    Livramento Gvardiol Munoz
    Salah (C) Saka Gordon Savinho
    Isak Mateta Marmoush

    Areola Sarr N Williams Gabriel**

    1. Rbyrne95
      • 9 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Roll

    2. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Gabriel >v Saliba

  24. potatoace
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Are WCers jumping off Timber to Saliba

    1. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      No keeping

  25. vova
    • 15 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Bench 1:

    A) Munoz
    B) Gvardiol
    C) Konsa

    1. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      C

    2. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      C

  26. Big Mike
    • 3 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Who is more likely to keep a clean sheet?

    A) Man City (United away)
    B) Wolves (Ipswich away)

    1. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      A

    2. TAnderson
      • 1 Year
      1 year, 3 months ago

      A

  27. The Reptile
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    nee to sell CP player to get in Glasner

    Munoz, Sarr or Mateta?

    1. Baps Hunter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Not Sarr imo

  28. Baps Hunter
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    RMWCT draft no 17! I tried to be little different. BB33, FH34, 0.2 mitb.

    Raya/Ederson
    Saliba, VvD, Muñoz, Trippier, Burn
    Saka, Salah, Savinho, Rashford, Sarr
    Isak, Mateta, Marmoush

  29. BazingtoN
    • 1 Year
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Do people think Saka will start vs Everton?

    1. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Yes

  30. YoungPretender
    • 11 Years
    1 year, 3 months ago

    Gordon or Murphy if money is not an issue?

    1. Big Mike
      • 3 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      Murphy

    2. g40steve
      • 8 Years
      1 year, 3 months ago

      If both were defo playing Gordon