Spot the Differential
28 August 2025 334 comments
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Spot the Differential puts the spotlight on three players who all have an ownership of 5% or less in Fantasy Premier League (FPL).

This time, we’ve selected low-owned picks at Tottenham Hotspur, Nottingham Forest and Manchester United, who we think have the potential to make an impact.



PAPE MATAR SARR

Is Sarr the answer to Spurs' problems - and a good FPL pick? 1

  • FPL ownership: 2.8%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW3-7 fixtures: BOU | whu | bha | WOL | lee

Pape Matar Sarr (£5.0m) looks like a player reborn under new Tottenham Hotspur boss, Thomas Frank.

Currently sitting in just 2.8% of FPL squads, he’s the only central midfielder to have started all three of Spurs’ competitive games this season.

In last weekend’s 2-0 win at the Etihad Stadium, Sarr pushed up right alongside centre-forward Richarlison (£6.7m), as you can see in the image below:

Prior to that, from a deeper role, he provided the assist for Brennan Johnson’s (£7.1m) strike against Burnley.

Sarr’s position and the extent of attacking freedom afforded to him will vary based on the opponent, but his capacity to make late runs into the box will remain.

It’s also worth noting Sarr has nearly reached the defensive contributions (DefCon) threshold in both matches this season, with 10 (BUR) and nine (mci).

While it’s Johnson and Mohammed Kudus (£6.6m) who are understandably dominating most FPL managers’ thoughts when assessing Tottenham’s midfield options this week, there is certainly value to be found elsewhere, particularly in the case of Sarr.

It suggests he could be the perfect differential enabler, with Spurs facing very favourable fixtures beyond Saturday’s home clash with Bournemouth.

DAN NDOYE

  • FPL ownership: 2.6%
  • Price: £6.0m
  • GW3-7 fixtures: WHU | ars | bur | SUN | new

Arriving from Bologna in a deal worth £34m this summer, Dan Ndoye (£6.0m) appears to be the perfect winger for Nottingham Forest.

The Swiss international has the ability to provide quality crosses into target man Chris Wood (£7.7m), while he also possesses reasonable goal threat, having scored eight times in 30 Serie A appearances in 2024/25.

Ndoye, who provided the assist for Callum Hudson-Odoi’s (£6.0m) equaliser last week, should be presented with further opportunities to get amongst the points against a West Ham United side that allowed seven big chances in their 5-1 defeat to Chelsea, the most of any team in a single match this season. 

Looking further ahead, Nuno Espirito Santo’s side face newly-promoted Burnley and Sunderland in Gameweeks 5 and 6:

For a team not known for its attacking play, Forest have totalled a very respectable six big chances across their first two matches (see image below), with Ndoye playing a direct role in two of these clear-cut opportunities.

It suggests a punt on the overlooked winger, who undoubtedly has the fixtures to excel, could pay off. 

Above: Team sorted by big chances (BCT) in 2025/26

MATTHIJS DE LIGT

  • FPL ownership: 3.2%
  • Price: £5.0m
  • GW3-7 fixtures: BUR | mci | CHE | bre | SUN

Although Patrick Dorgu (£4.5m) has attracted the majority of transfer interest this season, his Manchester United teammate Matthijs de Ligt (£5.0m) is a viable alternative.

The Dutchman has banked DefCon points in both matches of the 2025/26 season:

He’s yet to record any attacking points; however, he did take three shots against Arsenal in Gameweek 1 and poses a significant threat from set plays. 

Additionally, de Ligt secured three bonus points in the recent match against Fulham, thanks in part to six clearances, including one off the line.

The United centre-back is currently sitting in just 3.2% of FPL squads, but with clean sheet potential in three of the next five Gameweeks (BUR, bre, SUN), along with the capacity to accumulate DefCons in the other two (mci, CHE), he could prove to be a valuable differential asset.

United players admittedly won’t appeal to everyone following their unexpected midweek defeat to Grimsby Town in the Carabao Cup; however, in regard to de Ligt, there is at least rationale behind the selection.

334 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Salarrivederci
    • 10 Years
    9 months, 22 hours ago

    For GW3 only which midfielder would you bring in for Palmer (-4) ? (can get all but Salah)

    Gonna WC in the IB:

    Sels
    Porro - Tosin - Dorgu
    Bruno (C) - Wirtz - Kudus - X
    Watkins - Ekitike - Pedro

    (Bizot, Rutter, Struijk, De Cuyper)

      1. MJF
          9 months, 22 hours ago

          TF..

        • Ale Seizer
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 2 Years
          9 months, 22 hours ago

          I'm eyeing up some short-term Barnes. Two juicy fixtures and no Gordon or Charlie Big-strikers to stand in his way. Whether he takes the opportunity is entirely down to him, but he's got previous for coming up with the goods.

      2. Mother Farke
        • 2 Years
        9 months, 22 hours ago

        MGW or Ndoye to "cover" Wood going nuts?

      3. Wenger_In
          9 months, 22 hours ago

          Barnes Damsgaard Grealish are my picks outside Utd and Spurs in midfield.

        • Big Mike
          • 3 Years
          9 months, 21 hours ago

          Sarr, He has a good record against Villa. Plus after that he faces Sunderland and West Ham.

      4. The Hunt
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        9 months, 22 hours ago

        Who won the pre-season Guess the Player Prices competition? I haven't seen it mentioned anywhere.

        1. MJF
            9 months, 22 hours ago

            Mark Sutherns I hear.

            1. The Hunt
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 16 Years
              9 months, 22 hours ago

              Nice one Mark. Free membership.

              And another thing, does the "Years On Site" indicator stop at 15 or is it broke?

              1. Feanor
                • 16 Years
                9 months, 22 hours ago

                not sure

          • TallestJohn
            • 9 Years
            9 months, 22 hours ago

            I never even saw the competition!

        2. Tonyawesome69
          • 7 Years
          9 months, 22 hours ago

          Larsen to Newcastle...

          Wolves close to reaching agreement with Genk for Nigerian international striker Tolu Arokodare, who was left out of squad for tonight's Europa League play-off v Lech Poznan.
          https://x.com/RyanTaylorSport/status/1961157328012513560?t=X0-MM54yLdmaSAHZX3nkvw&s=19

          1. Baps Hunter
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            9 months, 22 hours ago

            Thx. Looks like Isak to Liverpool is going to happen. JSL to Newcastle to replace him. Who is the striker they signed, do we expect him to be 2nd choice, eased in or what?

          2. Tonyawesome69
            • 7 Years
            9 months, 22 hours ago

            Or maybe not...

            NUFC won’t sign Woltemade & Jorgen Strand Larsen — too similar
            https://x.com/SkySports_Keith/status/1961121745953325165?t=im4ieGuRW7TIcnoOO6IWqQ&s=19

            1. Baps Hunter
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              9 months, 21 hours ago

              Possibly yes. But they do also need squad depth and they play in Europe. They might still be after both Wissa and JSL, if Isak money is big enough, however I am not sure of financial fair play rule situation. And certainly they may have been looking for a cheaper Wissa "replacement" also. Wolves new signing is strong signal of JSL leaving imo.

              Newcastle transfer rumours: Jorgen Strand Larsen - BBC Sport https://share.google/N4CQCyF8YtlYbDojj

        3. CoracAld2831
          • 5 Years
          9 months, 22 hours ago

          Are you keeping or selling Palmer?

          I'm still 50/50 myself.

          1. Tonyawesome69
            • 7 Years
            9 months, 22 hours ago

            60/40 keeping and Andersen/Esteve autosub

            1. RamaJama
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 13 Years
              9 months, 22 hours ago

              Might sell

          2. Zalk
            • 14 Years
            9 months, 22 hours ago

            Me too. I'll probably make a decision at deadline...

          3. Baps Hunter
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 8 Years
            9 months, 22 hours ago

            I sold him for Cunha to beat the price rise...

          4. Feanor
            • 16 Years
            9 months, 22 hours ago

            He's 10.5m with a dicky groin and hasn't scored in open play since January

            1. Baps Hunter
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 8 Years
              9 months, 22 hours ago

              Not even in CWC?

          5. Stranger Mings
            • 5 Years
            9 months, 21 hours ago

            Sold

          6. Big Mike
            • 3 Years
            9 months, 21 hours ago

            Selling. He's too expensive to sit on the bench, even if he's only missing one game.

          7. Fiasco da Gama
              9 months, 21 hours ago

              Struggling to settle on a replacement. May just let Rodon off the bench and keep a transfer.

            • Cruyff's Eleven
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 7 Years
              9 months, 13 hours ago

              Cold is Gooone.

              See you after the IB champ.

          8. RamaJama
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            9 months, 22 hours ago

            Who do you think is more nailed and will be the best option moving forward?

            A) Sarr (from Spurs)
            B) Ndoye
            C) Dango
            D) Ndiaye
            E) O’Riley

            1. Moneymar
              • 3 Years
              9 months, 22 hours ago

              B

            2. Khark
              • 10 Years
              9 months, 22 hours ago

              BADCE

            3. NoOneCares
                9 months, 22 hours ago

                B and E are not nailed and will get the least minutes out of everyone else. Get Sarr from Palace or C.

              • Stranger Mings
                • 5 Years
                9 months, 21 hours ago

                B or c

              • Big Mike
                • 3 Years
                9 months, 21 hours ago

                A

            4. Mother Farke
              • 2 Years
              9 months, 22 hours ago

              WC squad representation:

              England x3
              Spain x2
              Ghana x2
              Serbia
              Sweden
              Denmark
              Kiwi
              Brazil
              Norway
              Slovakia
              Mozambique

              Money ITB for a certain Swede.

            5. shorey143
              • 4 Years
              9 months, 22 hours ago

              Sels Verbruggen - fine til WC

              Porro Milenkovic RAN* De Cuyper Rodon

              Gakpo Wirtz Palmer* Bruno Rutter*

              Mateta Watkins Evanilson

              8m+ rank which I’m not sweating about as a lot in the same boat. Not WC until 7 earliest. Wanted to roll past transfer window and Intl break.

              RAN is fine as his downgrade doesn’t lost value as still 6.0 in my bank so will play Rodon.

              Wirtz not looking a great pick but will let it ride over the next few fixtures.

              Rutter was going to be benched anyway.

              My dilemma is Palmer, if him and Chelsea were smart they’d sit him out at the weekend which helps justify pulling out of the England squad. Get him back on WC.

              So who to get him for and the whole question is Haaland necessary I guess?????

              So I could downgrade him to KDH and then make two moves for the Burnley game to upgrade a striker.

              Or do I go Kudus for the next 5 and wait to see if Marmoush or Foden get a run so I go for one of them and keep all 11 assets decent without compromise?

              So I guess the question is Haaland a must for Burnley but with KDH and Rutter along with a RAN downgrade or a team of semi premiums?

              1. Four Letter Wirtz
                • 10 Years
                9 months, 20 hours ago

                Yeah, you're getting a bit squeezed by going with no Salah or Haaland and then the semi-premiums all underperforming and/or getting injured.

                The main problem I see that it's not clear which striker should be sold... they all could come good still on their current run of fixtures.

                1. shorey143
                  • 4 Years
                  9 months, 9 hours ago

                  Thanks. Tbh thought same and figured they all get another couple of weeks and then the choice could be obvious

            6. Brosstan
              • 11 Years
              9 months, 22 hours ago

              Imagine there are people who own 3 United assets because they wanted to target 2 good fixtures. Lol. Imagine..

              1. Dynamic Duos
                • 12 Years
                9 months, 22 hours ago

                Have you got 3?, you can tell us , we won't laugh

              2. shorey143
                • 4 Years
                9 months, 22 hours ago

                Haha. I’ve gotta hold Bruno and as a Hammer resisted buying any of mine which I’m glad about

              3. g40steve
                • 8 Years
                9 months, 22 hours ago

                Yes imagine watching last nights game & seeing them handed their ar5e by 3rd tier team

              4. Baps Hunter
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 8 Years
                9 months, 21 hours ago

                Imagine drinking whiskey alone and not being nice to others. Everything is possible in football. None of the MU assets has failed yet vs Burnley. Surely players like Bruno, Mbeumo and Cunha are still good football players? Class is permanent, they say.

            7. The 12th Man
              • 12 Years
              9 months, 22 hours ago

              Considering Palmer > Dango and Peroe > Wood for free.

              1. shorey143
                • 4 Years
                9 months, 22 hours ago

                Now downside there this week, depends what you’re thinking longer term. Palmer prob back w4 and Wood flying back across the world to face Arsenal

                1. The 12th Man
                  • 12 Years
                  9 months, 22 hours ago

                  Fhing in 4

              2. Cruyff's Eleven
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 7 Years
                9 months, 12 hours ago

                I thought Django was a Western movie

            8. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
              • 14 Years
              9 months, 22 hours ago

              Best Palmer replacement for next 4...
              A Kudus
              B Barnes
              C Cunha
              D Bruno

              1. shorey143
                • 4 Years
                9 months, 22 hours ago

                I’m on A

                1. The 12th Man
                  • 12 Years
                  9 months, 22 hours ago

                  Yeh he’s in my thoughts too but doesn’t score many.

              2. Mother Farke
                • 2 Years
                9 months, 22 hours ago

                A or B. Leaning towards A based on the eye test. Avoid the witches cauldron that is United, even if the fixture is Burnley.

                1. Lilliputian
                    9 months, 8 hours ago

                    Witches cauldron.

                2. Big Mike
                  • 3 Years
                  9 months, 21 hours ago

                  B

                3. Baps Hunter
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 8 Years
                  9 months, 21 hours ago

                  Certainly not D

              3. You've got red on you.
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 13 Years
                9 months, 22 hours ago

                For 1 week only?

                Burn or Porro

                Semenyo or Barnes

                1. Mother Farke
                  • 2 Years
                  9 months, 22 hours ago

                  Porro x Semenyo.

                2. g40steve
                  • 8 Years
                  9 months, 22 hours ago

                  PS

                3. Big Mike
                  • 3 Years
                  9 months, 21 hours ago

                  Porro and Barnes.

                  Porro and Semenyo play each other, so if one hauls the other blanks.

              4. OptimusBlack
                • 13 Years
                9 months, 22 hours ago

                Pick one to play
                A- Diouf NFO (A)
                B- KDH WOL (A)
                C- VDV BOU (H)

                1. Mother Farke
                  • 2 Years
                  9 months, 21 hours ago

                  C.

                  Not A because chances are Forest will score and West Ham look poop.

                  Nit B because KDH doesn’t look involved in the attack.

                2. Big Mike
                  • 3 Years
                  9 months, 21 hours ago

                  B. Higher upside.

              5. CoracAld2831
                • 5 Years
                9 months, 22 hours ago

                Same question, different player:

                Are you keeping or selling Wirtz?

                I'm 60/40 towards selling for Cunha or Mbeumo and capping the player i get.

                1. Big Mike
                  • 3 Years
                  9 months, 21 hours ago

                  Selling, but not this game week.

                2. Feanor
                  • 16 Years
                  9 months, 21 hours ago

                  If you were gonna sell him it should have been before his dropped in price

              6. Kodap
                • 8 Years
                9 months, 21 hours ago

                On WC currently, have 0.2m in the bank with this lot..

                Would you leave it as is, or swap Sels, Cunha & Ekitike for > Vicario, Gakpo & Gyokeres?

                Vicario
                Cucu - Saliba - Dorgu
                Salah - Kudus - Cunha - Semenyo
                Wood (c) - Joao Pedro - Ekitike

                Dubravka - Reijnders - VDV - Gudmondsson

                1. Camzy
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 15 Years
                  9 months, 21 hours ago

                  The team looks pretty good. Wouldn't go Vicario though and double up with Spurs.

                  Would probably keep Sels and I prefer Ekitike to Gyokeres too.

                  1. Kodap
                    • 8 Years
                    9 months, 21 hours ago

                    Thanks Camzy, appreciated! Will keep it as is then

                  2. Baps Hunter
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 8 Years
                    9 months, 21 hours ago

                    Do you trust Dorgu after Grimsby game? Without enough saved transfers I would avoid all possible minutes risks before itb. Ekitike may also become one later supposing they sign Isak.

              7. Flynny
                • 11 Years
                9 months, 21 hours ago

                What would you do here with 1ft? Thanks

                A....save ft
                B.....georginio to sarr and bench munoz
                C.....something else

                Sels
                Porro murillo munoz dorgu (gudmundsson)
                Salah cunha wirtz reijnders (georginio)
                Watkins pedro (guiu)

                1. Big Mike
                  • 3 Years
                  9 months, 21 hours ago

                  B

              8. gremo
                • 9 Years
                9 months, 21 hours ago

                Best 7M MID option? Have Salah, Sarr, Reijnders and Kudos. Thank you.

                1. Mother Farke
                  • 2 Years
                  9 months, 21 hours ago

                  Elanga/Barnes punt while Gordon is out?

                2. Big Mike
                  • 3 Years
                  9 months, 21 hours ago

                  Short term, Barnes. Long term, probably Dango or Rogers.

              9. Count of Monte Hristo
                • 13 Years
                9 months, 21 hours ago

                Dorgu or Cash?

                1. Big Mike
                  • 3 Years
                  9 months, 21 hours ago

                  Cash

                  1. Feanor
                    • 16 Years
                    9 months, 21 hours ago

                    Tango

              10. Randy_Marsh
                • 15 Years
                9 months, 21 hours ago

                Wildczrd

                Sanchez
                VanDeVen Chalobah dorgu
                Salah, cunha, Johnson, rejnders
                Haaland, Pedro, wood

                Hope thos will do well

                1. Baps Hunter
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 8 Years
                  9 months, 21 hours ago

                  Dorgu being subbed off at HT vs Grimsby is a red flag for me. There has to be serious risk that it may happen again or before 60 minutes.

              11. Ginola
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 5 Years
                9 months, 21 hours ago

                My (premium) membership was not automatically renewed this year. Is this the case for other people as well, or is this the new policy?

                1. Denis Tueart on the wing
                  • 16 Years
                  9 months, 21 hours ago

                  It's a no reply fpl ghost town on here. Nobody is answering

                2. Baps Hunter
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 8 Years
                  9 months, 21 hours ago

                  Mine was, but at quite high price... There have been some earlier issues and personnel has changed.

              12. Denis Tueart on the wing
                • 16 Years
                9 months, 21 hours ago

                I have been on here for a load of years, but never seen such basic out-of-date info. What has happened?

              13. Sir Burtenshaw
                • 10 Years
                9 months, 21 hours ago

                Semenyo or Sarr?

              14. Ady87
                • 12 Years
                9 months, 21 hours ago

                Palmer to

                1) Semenyo
                2) Johnson
                3) Kudus

                Leaning 2. Team:

                Sanchez (Dub)
                VDV Aina Gab (Diouf Esteve)
                PALMER Salah Bruno I.Sarr Reijnders
                Wood Watkins (Guiu)

                Probably WC soon.

                1. Baps Hunter
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 8 Years
                  9 months, 21 hours ago

                  Coin toss category. I might get Kudus. I wouldn't WC that before you want triple Arsenal.

              15. Silva Bilva Tilva Pilva
                • 7 Years
                9 months, 21 hours ago

                Hi mates, some advice here would be great.
                I'm going to FH4 and want to replace Palmer and Guiu (my other ones are Wirtz, Gakpo, Kudus, Reijnders, Haaland and Watkins).

                Guiu will be Wood.

                What would be the best option for Palmer (7.3m itb)?

                A - Johnson
                B - Ndoye
                C - Elanga
                D - Semenyo
                E - PMSarr
                F - Dango
                H - CHO

                1. CherryBoys
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 9 Years
                  9 months, 21 hours ago

                  D but I’m biased!

              16. Digital-Real
                • 9 Years
                9 months, 21 hours ago

                With Isak moving to Liverpool imminent, goals will be shared in that forward line. Is Salah still worth the 14.5m price? We also have Haaland knocking around at 14m.

              17. Mr.What?
                • 14 Years
                9 months, 17 hours ago

                Porro Sarr Guiu
                Or
                Van De Ven King Wood

                Really want Wood but too much sacrifice?

                1. Baps Hunter
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 8 Years
                  9 months, 17 hours ago

                  For how long? Guiu and King are just bench fodders? No other route?

              18. Tinslinger
                • 4 Years
                9 months, 13 hours ago

                Very keen on Pape Sarr but with the Xavi Simmons signing looking like it’s going ahead. I’m a bit worried about minutes.

                1. Cruyff's Eleven
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 7 Years
                  9 months, 13 hours ago

                  Simmons won't start on the weekend champ

              19. OneArseneWenger32
                • 5 Years
                8 months, 29 days ago

                Anyone captain on Cunha?