FPL
29 October 2025 552 comments
FPL Marc FPL Marc
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Two weekend goals have caused Bryan Mbeumo (£8.2m) to be the most-bought Fantasy Premier League (FPL) player in the run-up to Gameweek 10. By Wednesday afternoon, he’s already reached 750,000 purchases.

However, while he’s ahead of costlier Manchester United teammate Bruno Fernandes (£8.9m) for points, committing to the Cameroon international isn’t a straightforward decision.

Using basic numbers, deeper stats from our Members Area and some additional context, let’s try to determine which midfielder is best.


RECENT FORM

It’s not just Mbeumo’s brace, but also his Gameweek 8 goal at Anfield, which followed an assist against Sunderland. Whereas Fernandes has only one attacking return over the last four Gameweeks.

During this period, Mbeumo dominates his colleague for both goals and points, while both have created the same number of big chances (two).

[GAMEWEEKS
6 TO 9]
FPL POINTSATTEMPTSSHOTS ON
TARGET
BIG
CHANCES
CHANCES
CREATED
xG (DELTA)xGI (DELTA)
FERNANDES14104291.54 (-1.54)2.17 (-1.17)
MBEUMO3286471.05 (+1.95)1.82 (+2.18)

Fernandes’ shots are more about quantity than quality, as Mbeumo makes up for his fewer efforts by having a high accuracy (85.7%).

Yet here we have a case of overachievement versus underachievement when it comes to expected goals (xG) and expected goal involvement (xGI) tallies.

Despite the worse FPL output from Gameweek 6, Fernandes has still outdone Mbeumo for both. Still, it’s worth remembering that the latter, when at Brentford, had 2024/25’s biggest xG Delta (+7.74), showing a recent history of beating the data.

GOAL THREAT


defensive contributions

FPL Marc Broadcaster, writer and overthinker. Hoping that ‘differential potential’ will catch on.

552 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. ‘Tis the Season
    • 7 Years
    9 months, 21 days ago

    Rio starts

    1. Moon Dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      9 months, 21 days ago

      And Dowman. Some exciting youngsters on show tonight.

  2. RedLightning
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    9 months, 21 days ago

    New Community Article:
    https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2025/10/29/ffs-mini-leagues-and-community-competitions-gameweek-9-2

    The latest news from Last Man Standing, the Head-to-Head Leagues, the Live Hall of Fame and many FFS community mini-leagues after Gameweek 9.

  3. Stap
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    9 months, 21 days ago

    Thiago or Welbeck?

    1. NoOneCares
      • 1 Year
      9 months, 21 days ago

      Wellbeck for me.

    2. Wenger_In
      9 months, 21 days ago

      Welbz if he can stay fit.

  4. Stranger Mings
    • 5 Years
    9 months, 21 days ago

    Is chabloah still a good pick? Chelsea have good fixs

    1. Punter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 months, 21 days ago

      Great pick and price

      1. Stranger Mings
        • 5 Years
        9 months, 21 days ago

        Cheers

    2. NoOneCares
      • 1 Year
      9 months, 21 days ago

      Chelsea def is utter garbage, avoid.

      1. Stranger Mings
        • 5 Years
        9 months, 21 days ago

        Ok cheers other options senesi burn guehi

  5. Pep Roulette
    • 8 Years
    9 months, 21 days ago

    Saka captain?

  6. Punter
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 months, 21 days ago

    Rank these picks for most points next 4 game weeks:

    A) Anthony Gordon
    B) Ismaila Sarr
    C) Bruno G

    I think it’s C, B, A

    1. Haa-lala-land
      • 5 Years
      9 months, 21 days ago

      Bit if recency bias in your order perhaps.
      I like BrunoG's box crashing, but it could equally be Tonali to take over that role.
      I hope its C though because thats who i want to bring in

  7. el polako
    • 9 Years
    9 months, 21 days ago

    Weird that Gyokeres is not starting.
    Why Arteta is putting at risk ending his hot streak of scoring for fun?

    1. Qaiss
      • 10 Years
      9 months, 21 days ago

      He scored a brace last week

      1. NoOneCares
        • 1 Year
        9 months, 21 days ago

        World class.

        1. Qaiss
          • 10 Years
          9 months, 21 days ago

          So so good

          1. NoOneCares
            • 1 Year
            9 months, 21 days ago

            Best striker in the league I reckon.

        2. el polako
          • 9 Years
          9 months, 21 days ago

          True, the scuffed shot was fully intended.

        3. Lost for Wirtz
          9 months, 21 days ago

          Almost as world class as another Scandinavian forward from Arsenal called Nicklas Bendtner.

      2. el polako
        • 9 Years
        9 months, 21 days ago

        He did.
        Why not keep the momentum going?
        Make it 3 goals in 7?

    2. Old Man
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 months, 21 days ago

      I'm not so sure. We're 9 games into a 38 match campagn. Assuming that you'll be happy to leave Raya/Timber until your next Wild Card, is 4 points such a big cost for a genuine set-and-forget defender? That's the way I'm looking at it, for I am contemplating a hit for Raya+Kroupi to give me an extra Arsenal and a team reformat.

      1. Old Man
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        9 months, 21 days ago

        Reply fail to SlinkyMinky below

        1. Old Man
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          9 months, 21 days ago

          or even sminkypinky!! 😀

          1. sminkypinky
            • 15 Years
            9 months, 21 days ago

            😀

            Cheers Old Man!

            The thing is, I tend to forgive myself easier for the things I’ve done rather than the things I left undone.
            Hits galore it is!

            1. sminkypinky
              • 15 Years
              9 months, 21 days ago

              Also, it would look like this beauty:

              Raya Dubravka
              Gab Timber Guehi Senesi Vdv
              Semenyo Bruno Mbeumo Gakpo King
              Haaland Thiago Mateta

              Screams bench boost for gw11

  8. sminkypinky
    • 15 Years
    9 months, 21 days ago

    I only have Gabriel from Ars. Silly to take a hit on either
    A) Vicario -> Raya
    B) Andersen -> Timber?

    1. sminkypinky
      • 15 Years
      9 months, 21 days ago

      Oh, defence atm
      Gabriel Vdv Guehi Senesi Andersen

      1. JT11fc
        • 7 Years
        9 months, 21 days ago

        B popular

        1. sminkypinky
          • 15 Years
          9 months, 21 days ago

          If I knew Andersen would be fit after this week I wouldn’t be interested but it looks like he’s out. And Senesi and Vdv have tough fixtures.
          Maybe I should just bite the bullet.

          1. sminkypinky
            • 15 Years
            9 months, 21 days ago

            OR….. and hear me out, go all in and do both for -8?!

            1. Old Man
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 15 Years
              9 months, 21 days ago

              See my reply above

  9. F4L
    • 11 Years
    9 months, 21 days ago

    so much rotation from the bigger sides today, didnt expect that tbh. come on brighton/palace!

    1. F4L
      • 11 Years
      9 months, 21 days ago

      * and Wolves

    2. Moon Dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      9 months, 21 days ago

      The winner of the competition gets £100,000 - that doesn't even cover a day's worth of wages for these big sides. Makes sense not to take risks.

      1. F4L
        • 11 Years
        9 months, 21 days ago

        fair enough but its still silverware. anyways give me a QF line up of:

        Brentford
        Fulham
        Cardiff
        Brigthon
        Palace
        City
        Wolves
        Newcastle

        and its happy days. let teams who actually want to win this competition win it + the chance of european football

    3. x.jim.x
      • 11 Years
      9 months, 21 days ago

      Nobody cares about this tournament until they win it - even then, it's only rated marginally above the Charity Shield (a friendly)

  10. JT11fc
    • 7 Years
    9 months, 21 days ago

    Doku starting....cmn Pep, also Im sure Arteta said White had an injury setback..

  11. Qaiss
    • 10 Years
    9 months, 21 days ago

    As a Munoz and Sarr owner, when are they going to get a rest? Munoz is quite literally a machine

    1. Moon Dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      9 months, 21 days ago

      Palace wouldn't play them unless they believed the risk was minimal. Munoz and Sarr must have high levels of fitness.

      1. Qaiss
        • 10 Years
        9 months, 21 days ago

        Must do yeah. Not much depth in their squad though

    2. JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      9 months, 21 days ago

      Thats what put me off Munoz

  12. FPL Sanky
    • 2 Years
    9 months, 21 days ago

    Eze starting today does not hold good for his involvement this weekend

    1. Gizzachance
      • 11 Years
      9 months, 21 days ago

      Was thinking same
      Eze owner

    2. Stranger Mings
      • 5 Years
      9 months, 21 days ago

      Oh was getting on wc so hope comes off earluly

  13. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 13 Years
    9 months, 21 days ago

    That Liverpool lineup stinks to high heaven, bloody awful. Palace are going to win at a canter.

    1. x.jim.x
      • 11 Years
      9 months, 21 days ago

      Nketiah's starting mate

      1. Count of Monte Hristo
        • 13 Years
        9 months, 21 days ago

        He is a decoy. Do you see Muñoz, Sarr and Pino in the lineup?

        1. x.jim.x
          • 11 Years
          9 months, 21 days ago

          No actually - very sportsmanlike of them to match Liverpool's quality though

          https://pbs.twimg.com/media/G4ag_dtW0AAgCVB?format=jpg&name=medium

  14. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 months, 21 days ago

    Howe went with a stronger starting side against Bradford City.

    https://x.com/NUFC/status/1983606011819913337?t=XtgHYFULH-33MJ9eSsLsZQ&s=19

  15. Nightcrawler
    • 7 Years
    9 months, 21 days ago

    Read somewhere we might have dgw/blank in first half of the season if palace reached quarts if this comp

    Looking likely after looking at the pool team, and more importantly, the subs

      1. Nightcrawler
        • 7 Years
        9 months, 21 days ago

        Thank you. FH or BB still u used so that would be ideal if that happens

  16. Freshy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    9 months, 21 days ago

    Pool sending out a sub optimal squad against a near optimal squad.
    Gaffer does everything for a reason.

    1. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 months, 21 days ago

      Which match will you watch???????????/

    2. x.jim.x
      • 11 Years
      9 months, 21 days ago

      Reason = he's scared of getting sacked for losing again

  17. Stevie B
    • 15 Years
    9 months, 21 days ago

    What to do with this lot?

    Pope, Dubravka,
    Gabriel, Senesi, Guehi, Rondon, Alderete
    Saka, Semenyo, Enzo, Sarr, Gordon
    Haaland, Mateta, Woltemade

    Sadly no money in the bank.

    I am not happy with Gordon, Enzo and that I have not a second Arsenal defender.

    Thank you and good luck!

    1. Atimis
      • 9 Years
      9 months, 21 days ago

      then roll

  18. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    9 months, 21 days ago

    Which one sounds better?

    1. Saka Enzo 352
    2. Saka Thiago/Welb 343
    3. Eze Bruno 352
    4. Eze Wolte 343

    1. BR510
      9 months, 21 days ago

      Rice Bruno 352

    2. NoOneCares
      • 1 Year
      9 months, 21 days ago

      2

  19. Haa-lala-land
    • 5 Years
    9 months, 21 days ago

    This season now we're a quarter of the way through, what i dont like is that defcons have lessened the impact of the value of an assist.

    A defender and a midfielder getting an assist without defcons is only ever a point ahead of the other half dozen players who pick up defcons in the same game

    And counting defcons during a game, is not as fun as it sounds 🙁

    1. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 months, 21 days ago

      Be Creative - Defcons drinking game

    2. MJF
      9 months, 21 days ago

      I can’t say DC has improved how much I enjoy the game.

  20. BR510
    9 months, 21 days ago

    A. JP, KDH to Kroupi, Mbeumo
    B. JP to Mateta (have sarr)
    C. JP, Andersen, Enzo to Mateta, Mukiele, Mbeumo (-4)

    1. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 months, 21 days ago

      B

    2. Atimis
      • 9 Years
      9 months, 21 days ago

      B but would be tempted by C

  21. Stranger Mings
    • 5 Years
    9 months, 21 days ago

    Chabolah injured , dtopped or just rested toniht?

    1. Cruyff's Eleven
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      9 months, 21 days ago

      Who's this Chabolah people talk about?

      1. Stranger Mings
        • 5 Years
        9 months, 21 days ago

        Condidering on wc

      2. Haa-lala-land
        • 5 Years
        9 months, 21 days ago

        The Cheslea defneder

        1. Stranger Mings
          • 5 Years
          9 months, 21 days ago

          Wolves & burnley up soon

        2. Cruyff's Eleven
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          9 months, 21 days ago

          Haha. That's funny. You made me laugh, thank you Sir.

  22. Amartey Partey
    • 7 Years
    9 months, 21 days ago

    Did I see correctly that Haaland might have a niggle?

    1. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 months, 21 days ago

      Yes
      Still my permacap

  23. F4L
    • 11 Years
    9 months, 21 days ago

    liverpool playing wing backs with a back 3. wonder if its something slot might use in the league to help defensive issues

  24. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 months, 21 days ago

    Swansea 1

    Man City 0

    1. Haa-lala-land
      • 5 Years
      9 months, 21 days ago

      I was about to post great to see Ait Nouri back starting. Dont think I will now..

      1. Count of Monte Hristo
        • 13 Years
        9 months, 21 days ago

        Bald fraud no longer does defensive training with his players.

    2. F4L
      • 11 Years
      9 months, 21 days ago

      nice

  25. Brosstan
    • 12 Years
    9 months, 21 days ago

    Why is Alderete still flagged. He was flagged before the weekend and played, but still flagged?

    1. Haa-lala-land
      • 5 Years
      9 months, 21 days ago

      I dont think he did play did he? I think Ballard might have played from memory

      1. Brosstan
        • 12 Years
        9 months, 21 days ago

        Oh thats right. My page showed he played "last game" but "last game" was the wolves game.

    2. NoOneCares
      • 1 Year
      9 months, 21 days ago

      Try again.

  26. estheblessed
    • 11 Years
    9 months, 21 days ago

    Am I G2G here? Correct subs?

    Raya
    Alderete, Gabriel, Geuhi
    Mbeumo, Semenyo, Sarr, Saka, Minteh
    Mateta, Haaland

    Dubravka, Thiago, Rodon, Senesi

  27. Prinzhorn
    • 5 Years
    9 months, 21 days ago

    What are we Richards owners doing this week?

    1. MJF
      9 months, 21 days ago

      Am just gonna bench for Mukiele.

    2. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      9 months, 21 days ago

      Have him as first sub

      1. Prinzhorn
        • 5 Years
        9 months, 21 days ago

        Start Guiu or Doku instead?

        1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
          • 9 Years
          9 months, 21 days ago

          Hmm, start Richards with Doku first sub
          Either Richards will start or not play at all imo

          1. Prinzhorn
            • 5 Years
            9 months, 21 days ago

            Agree

  28. Baps Hunter
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    9 months, 21 days ago

    Barnes missed great Wolte A

  29. Wolfman180
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 months, 21 days ago

    Play Semenyo or Kudus?

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 9 Years
      9 months, 21 days ago

      Semenyo

  30. JT11fc
    • 7 Years
    9 months, 21 days ago

    Acheampong could be 1st choice starter by Christmas