FPL
29 October 2025 552 comments
FPL Marc FPL Marc
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Two weekend goals have caused Bryan Mbeumo (£8.2m) to be the most-bought Fantasy Premier League (FPL) player in the run-up to Gameweek 10. By Wednesday afternoon, he’s already reached 750,000 purchases.

However, while he’s ahead of costlier Manchester United teammate Bruno Fernandes (£8.9m) for points, committing to the Cameroon international isn’t a straightforward decision.

Using basic numbers, deeper stats from our Members Area and some additional context, let’s try to determine which midfielder is best.


RECENT FORM

It’s not just Mbeumo’s brace, but also his Gameweek 8 goal at Anfield, which followed an assist against Sunderland. Whereas Fernandes has only one attacking return over the last four Gameweeks.

During this period, Mbeumo dominates his colleague for both goals and points, while both have created the same number of big chances (two).

[GAMEWEEKS
6 TO 9]
FPL POINTSATTEMPTSSHOTS ON
TARGET
BIG
CHANCES
CHANCES
CREATED
xG (DELTA)xGI (DELTA)
FERNANDES14104291.54 (-1.54)2.17 (-1.17)
MBEUMO3286471.05 (+1.95)1.82 (+2.18)

Fernandes’ shots are more about quantity than quality, as Mbeumo makes up for his fewer efforts by having a high accuracy (85.7%).

Yet here we have a case of overachievement versus underachievement when it comes to expected goals (xG) and expected goal involvement (xGI) tallies.

Despite the worse FPL output from Gameweek 6, Fernandes has still outdone Mbeumo for both. Still, it’s worth remembering that the latter, when at Brentford, had 2024/25’s biggest xG Delta (+7.74), showing a recent history of beating the data.

GOAL THREAT


defensive contributions

FPL Marc Broadcaster, writer and overthinker. Hoping that ‘differential potential’ will catch on.

552 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. mitchtyson__
      1 month, 14 days ago

      A) Bowen Jp Stach- Mateta Kroupi Sarr -4
      B) JP Bowen- Mateta Woltemade
      C) Bowen JP Stach- Mateta Thiago Minteh -4

      1. Boberella
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 13 days ago

        B if Stach is your 8th bench attacker. Can fix him later

    • Qaiss
      • 9 Years
      1 month, 14 days ago

      So if there’s a DGW16 and blank in GW17 for one or two teams, it means we all use the same chips at the same time again

      When the addition of extra chips was meant to bring more variety to the game…

      1. Qaiss
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 14 days ago

        Hopefully there won’t be any postponements !

      2. Dubem_FC
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 14 days ago

        A lot of "engaged" managers have used their TC and BB. The only chip majority will use is FH.

    • Hazz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 14 days ago

      Eddie Nketiah could face another spell on the sidelines after suffering a hamstring injury in Crystal Palace's Carabao Cup win over Liverpool. #CPFC

      https://www.newsshopper.co.uk/sport/25582440.eddie-nketiah-suffers-hamstring-injury-liverpool/

      “We gave Jean-Philippe Mateta a rest,” said Glasner. “But unfortunately, we had to bring him on at half time because Eddie Nketiah injured his hamstring again.

      “Eddie’s injury is really tough, especially for him. It’s the next one after he missed the whole of pre-season and the start of the season. Hopefully, it is not too serious.”

      1. Hazz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 14 days ago

        Also at News Shopper being the source :mrgreen:

    • BBC_TF
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 14 days ago

      On a wc should i pick:
      1/ munoz mukiele
      Or
      2/ guehi burn

      The rest is gabi timber rodon

      1. Qaiss
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 14 days ago

        Pick Munoz and have fun

      2. Baps Hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 14 days ago

        Gabi, Timber and Munoz + rotation sounds like more fun supposing you are lucky.

        1. Baps Hunter
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 14 days ago

          2 is going to give you more bench points and benching headaches, unless there is some sort of perfect rotation.

    • Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 14 days ago

      - 26.88% of managers in the top 10k have played the FH

      - 13.28% of managers overall have used the Free Hit.

      https://plan.livefpl.net//chips

      1. Baps Hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 14 days ago

        Still over 70% in top 10k can play their FH.

      2. Baps Hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 14 days ago

        We should perhaps ask Ragabolly to give us more specific info. Top 100k and perhaps top .5m and top 1m would be interesting to know also. Elite also(?)

    • Kay317
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 14 days ago

      Pedro, Foden and VdV to Mateta, Sarr and Munoz a bit overkill on palace or good moves?

      1. Albrightondknight
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 14 days ago

        Good moves if I was going triple up I would have a plan for 5-6 weeks to get back to a double or less. Lots of other teams going to have fixtures too.

    • ball c
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 14 days ago

      2 FT’s remaining. Already done Gyokeres to Mateta.
      Next move will be bringing in Gabriel..
      Should it be for:
      A) Virgil
      B) Cucurella

      Raya
      Virgil - Munoz - Cucurella - Senesi
      Stach - Semenyo - Gordon - Bruno
      Haaland - Mateta

      Dubravka - Reijnders - Andersen - Muniz

      1. Albrightondknight
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 14 days ago

        Probably in for Cucu. I am going to hold VVD for the fixtures. Might not be the best call but they got to turn this mess around at some stage.

      2. Baps Hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 14 days ago

        I have Virgil and even though he has been very frustrating, there have been some good signs. When Liverpool was chasing in last game you would have expected attacking player to be subbed in. However, our commentator didn't understand Gomez coming to the field and was genuinely surprised. I knew that it meant Virgil playing number 9. He has historically been better with headers than likes of Maguire or VdV. With fixture turn also coming, I'd sell

        1. Baps Hunter
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 14 days ago

          Cucu.

    • Tonyawesome69
      • 6 Years
      1 month, 14 days ago

      With the TC chip still available, I'm leaning towards removing/delaying the Arsenal triple defence setup this GW and keeping the option open to switch Gyokeres to Saka later

      1. Baps Hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 14 days ago

        The main problem with Arsenal def triple up is that there are many other good defenders. Saka hasn't historically been explosive and TC Gabriel is worth considering. I can see scenes here when game is won and Saka lets Gyo to take the pen.

    • Albrightondknight
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 14 days ago

      How does this looks? Starting 11 and bench order correct?
      Ekitike could be Mateta for a hit but waiting on Isak injury news.

      Raya

      Gabriel Timber Burn

      Semenyo Sarr Caicedo Foden

      Haaland Ekitike Woltemade

      Dub Virgil Reijnders Senesi

      1. Baps Hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 14 days ago

        Foden to Mbeumo is perhaps one possibility.

        1. Albrightondknight
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          1 month, 14 days ago

          Yeah I might have to consider utd options and if I do he is the one. They have been bad for so long I need to see a bit more consistency to go there. Also I need to get out of the mind set of planning moves weeks in advance and be prepared to change the plan.

        2. Albrightondknight
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          1 month, 14 days ago

          Did look after your suggestion and .1 short …

    • DeeJazz
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 14 days ago

      Hi,

      Can you please advice with 3 transfers ?

      I scenario
      Gyokeres -> Mateta
      Caicedo -> Rice
      Tarkowski -> Munoz

      II scenario
      Caicedo -> Sarr
      Tarkowski -> Lacroix

      III scenario
      J. Pedro -> Mateta
      Caicedo -> Enzo
      Tarkowski -> Guehi

      Which scenario can you advice or maybe different moves should I consider ?

      Many thanks

      1. Baps Hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 14 days ago

        Pedro out is biggest priority. Caicedo to Enzo feels little sideways. Tarko to Munoz is 2nd priority imo.

    • Bob B
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 14 days ago

      Got the funds for all of these moves and no real future plans, no Liverpool but will I want them in a couple weeks?

      Brining in Sarr, who for?

      A. Kudus
      B. Reijnders
      C. King

      1. Baps Hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 14 days ago

        B, did you really even have to ask?

      2. Sun Jihai
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        1 month, 14 days ago

        Very easy B there

    • _Greg
      • 15 Years
      1 month, 14 days ago

      Maresca: “It’s a stupid red card. Delap should avoid that”.

      “After the yellow card, I told him four or five times to stay calm. When he is on the pitch, he sometimes plays the game for himself and struggles to see the others around him”, says via @BobbyVincentFL.

      Delap fallen to 6.2m...interested potentially soon.

    • Tsparkes10
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 14 days ago

      Rich, Grealish to Mateta, King (-4) with King being perma benched?

      Would give me:

      Sanchez
      James Gabriel Richards
      Sarr Saka Eze Semenyo
      Mateta Woltemade Haaland
      (Dub, King, Senesi, Reinildo)

      1. Albrightondknight
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 14 days ago

        I say yeah it’s a hit but that looks like a tasty team post the changes

    • SpaceCadet
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 14 days ago

      Best option?

      A. Pedro > mateta
      B. Reijnders > Sarr
      C. Both for free

      1. Freshy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        1 month, 14 days ago

        I like C

        1. SpaceCadet
          • 12 Years
          1 month, 14 days ago

          Cheers

      2. yeahbuddy
        • 14 Years
        1 month, 14 days ago

        Both

    • MShalkz
      • 4 Years
      1 month, 14 days ago

      Stuck between these 2 sets of moves. Have 4 Free Transfers (0.8 ITB):

      A) Gordon and Bowen out for Mateta and Mbuemo
      B) Richards, Gyok, Gordon and Bowen out for Mukiele, Woltemade, Saka and Mateta

      1. Albrightondknight
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 14 days ago

        B looks good. All in 🙂

    • rainy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 14 days ago

      Price changes 30th October

      Rises:
      Haaland 14.8

      Falls:
      Richarlison 6.5
      Beto 5.2
      Hinshelwood 5.1
      Dewsbury-Hall 4.9
      Aina 4.7
      M.Bizot 4.3
      Scarlett 4.3

      1. Cruyff's Eleven
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        1 month, 14 days ago

        Cheers Rainy

      2. Sheffield Wednesday
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 13 days ago

        Marco Bizot no longer the answer.

      3. Timanfaya
        • 2 Years
        1 month, 13 days ago

        Cheers Rainy.

    • OverTinker
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 14 days ago

      Who should I move out for Mateta
      1. Gyokeres
      2. Pedro

      1. Freshy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        1 month, 14 days ago

        2

      2. Baps Hunter
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 14 days ago

        2

      3. RICICLE
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 13 days ago

        Either, but Pedro more the priority to shift.

      4. Yank Revolution
        • 14 Years
        1 month, 13 days ago

        2

    • BR510
        1 month, 13 days ago

        Perdro to mateta
        B. Pedro and kdh to Mbeumo and kroupi

        1. Sheffield Wednesday
          • 5 Years
          1 month, 13 days ago

          B

        2. Please Help I Don't Kn…
          • 9 Years
          1 month, 13 days ago

          Depends on if you have other Palace options. If you have Sarr and defender then probably B.

          1. BR510
              1 month, 13 days ago

              Yes I have Sarr and Munoz

        3. EL tridente
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 13 days ago

          Reijnders to Minteh for a hit? Or just wait for next GW

          1. BR510
              1 month, 13 days ago

              no

            • Please Help I Don't Kn…
              • 9 Years
              1 month, 13 days ago

              Wait

            • SpaceCadet
              • 12 Years
              1 month, 13 days ago

              wait

          2. chocolove
            • 15 Years
            1 month, 13 days ago

            Gabriel C anyone?
            6 consecutive clean sheet is unbelievable

            1. FantasyClub
              • 4 Years
              1 month, 13 days ago

              He's on the short-list for me
              Its between Mateta, Mbeumo and Gabriel...
              Who do you think is best from them 3?

              1. chocolove
                • 15 Years
                1 month, 13 days ago

                Have 3 of them as well. For me Gabriel.

            2. Sheffield Wednesday
              • 5 Years
              1 month, 13 days ago

              Yes, then in a moment of cowardice switch it back to Haaland a couple of hours before deadline.

              1. chocolove
                • 15 Years
                1 month, 13 days ago

                I'm thinking of doing it gw 10 and 11. I'm sure at gw 11 there will be a lot more Gabriel Captain
                So just want to take the advantage while it's not so "casual", especially on GW 11 when Haaland facing Liverpool.

                1. Sheffield Wednesday
                  • 5 Years
                  1 month, 13 days ago

                  I believe there is more than one option this week, do we expect Haaland (BOU) to score twice? If not then Gabriel (bur) looks a fine alternative.

              2. Please Help I Don't Kn…
                • 9 Years
                1 month, 13 days ago

                I haven't captained Haaland three times this season, and on two occasions he blanked and the other he natched Saka's return. So it is doable!

              3. FantasyClub
                • 4 Years
                1 month, 13 days ago

                I went Senenyo over Haaland last week.

          3. Rasping Drive
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            1 month, 13 days ago

            Which is the better pick to add to Richards and Mateta for a Palace triple up: Sarr or Muñoz?

            1. Please Help I Don't Kn…
              • 9 Years
              1 month, 13 days ago

              Sarr

          4. Please Help I Don't Kn…
            • 9 Years
            1 month, 13 days ago

            Hi everyone, would appreciate some feedback.

            Raya
            Porro - Geuhi - Senesi - California
            Mbeumo - Ndiaye - Saka
            Haaland (C) - Mateta

            Dubravka - Cucurella - Dewsbury-Hall - King

            Made three transfers this week. Planning to BB next GW. Do you think the subs are in the right order?

            1. SpaceCadet
              • 12 Years
              1 month, 13 days ago

              I would start cucu over senesi.

          5. Obi 1 Kenobi 0
              1 month, 13 days ago

              So, what does Palace’s win last night mean for this potential double GW 16?

              1. chocolove
                • 15 Years
                1 month, 13 days ago

                Blank come first
                Possible dgw in the future

            • SpaceCadet
              • 12 Years
              1 month, 13 days ago

              Repost. Best option here? 1ft, 1.7m itb.

              a. vdv > timber
              b. reijnders > sarr
              c. save ft

              sanchez
              gabriel munoz vdv
              saka semenyo enzo reijnders
              haaland mateta wolte

              dub senesi anderson gudmundsson

              1. Please Help I Don't Kn…
                • 9 Years
                1 month, 13 days ago

                Tough one. Personally not a fan of tripling on Palace but getting Reijners out is more of a priority. After all my rambling, probably C.

                1. Please Help I Don't Kn…
                  • 9 Years
                  1 month, 13 days ago

                  Would Ndiaye ever be a consideration?

                  1. SpaceCadet
                    • 12 Years
                    1 month, 13 days ago

                    Nah, prefer sarr anyday

              2. Dazzler
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 14 Years
                1 month, 13 days ago

                Both good options. Probably B

              3. Count of Monte Hristo
                • 12 Years
                1 month, 13 days ago

                B

            • Count of Monte Hristo
              • 12 Years
              1 month, 13 days ago

              Morning folks, anything you would change here on Free Hit?

              Pope

              Timber Gabriel Muñoz

              Mbeumo Sarr Eze Minteh

              Woltemade Mateta Haaland

              1. Count of Monte Hristo
                • 12 Years
                1 month, 13 days ago

                Worth adding Schar/Burn to take advantage of West Ham’s non defending?

                Eze or Rice?

                Haaland TBC but I’m guessing he will be fine for the weekend.

                Is Minteh a wasted pick? Can be up to Cunha value instead.

              2. Over Midwicket
                • 13 Years
                1 month, 13 days ago

                Think Newcastle will concede so I'd definitely go for a Roefs 10 pointer or even Ballard to try and spike a 17 pointer.

                Also prefer another mid over Eze - he's so peripheral and Burnley are no mugs at home.

                Someone on pens like Enzo or Bruno.

                1. Count of Monte Hristo
                  • 12 Years
                  1 month, 13 days ago

                  You think Pope > Roefs is a better option? Roefs has been majestic right enough.

                  How about triple Arsenal defence instead of Eze? Inclined to agree with you on Eze and Arsenal being pragmatic is can easily be a Trossard, Rice, defender goal as opposed to Eze.

                  Mbeumo + Bruno you like?

                  Not keen on Chelsea at all just now. Not seen them win a single penalty so I doubt Enzo will even take any before Palmer is back.

                  1. Over Midwicket
                    • 13 Years
                    1 month, 13 days ago

                    Yes, would 100% do Pope to Roefs.

                    Yeah triple arsenal defence is 18 poinst + baps + attacking returns + defcons banked. Would 100% do that. Maybe play 4-4-2 with Eze replaced by Calafiori.

                    Bruno is a good pick this week I feel but it's more of a gut feeling.

            • WVA
              • 9 Years
              1 month, 13 days ago

              Sarr is such a troll, owned him last 10 game weeks of last season and did absolutely nothing except score in every cup game, doing exactly the same this season to me!

              1. Rasping Drive
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 16 Years
                1 month, 13 days ago

                When Luke was bigging him up at the start of the season on Blackbox I checked his numbers and found in something like 25 games out of 38, he blanked. I guess he’s the definition of a feast or famine player if ever there was one.

            • Pomodoro
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              1 month, 13 days ago

              Is it time to chat about Semenyo ans Senesi?
              Potentially bank the money earned on both and invest elsewhere?

              I am genuinely considering Semenyo to Mbeumo this week.

              1. The 12th Man
                • 12 Years
                1 month, 13 days ago

                Maybe if you have no other issues. I don’t have that luxury.

              2. Rasping Drive
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 16 Years
                1 month, 13 days ago

                Have you considered downgrading a forward to a Kroupi or Guiu? Then you could afford to upgrade a cheaper mid if you want Mbeumo.

                1. Pomodoro
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 9 Years
                  1 month, 13 days ago

                  The thought has crossed my mind. Thiago in particular. I have Haaland/Woltemade/Obi currently. Holding my FT this week and doing Woltemade/Enzo > Thiago/Mbeumo next, and keeping Semenyo is an alternative.

                  Midfield currently
                  Saka/Semenyo/Enzo/Sarr/Gakpo

                  1. Pomodoro
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 9 Years
                    1 month, 13 days ago

                    Now feels the time for Mbeumo thougj with the African Cup of Nations coming up in 4 weeks time.

                  2. Rasping Drive
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 16 Years
                    1 month, 13 days ago

                    I’d actually be tempted to keep that midfield. It’s sound.

              3. Drizzle
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 2 Years
                1 month, 13 days ago

                Yes it's time. Been staring particularly at Semenyo for a couple of weeks now. Was suddenly accepted that he's become an elite finisher. Is it not just as likely he went on a 6 game hot streak and will regress to the mean at some point.

                I'm giving him 2 more games and will decide then.

                1. Punned It
                    1 month, 13 days ago

                    This. Which means he'll score four the match after I get rid.

              4. The 12th Man
                • 12 Years
                1 month, 13 days ago

                Taking a -4 to switch out some deadwood and switch Gyorkores > Gabriel

                Anderson,Xavi Simons,Gyorkores > Gabriel,Sarr,Woltemade -4?

                1. Rasping Drive
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 16 Years
                  1 month, 13 days ago

                  Good moves, should pay off quite quickly. Unless Gyökeres and Xavi start firing in which case it will be “WTF were you thinking?”

                  1. The 12th Man
                    • 12 Years
                    1 month, 13 days ago

                    Yup always the risk. I’ve been patient enough with Xavi and Gyorkores .

                    Gabriel is killing me every week.

                    1. Rasping Drive
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 16 Years
                      1 month, 13 days ago

                      Aye, I got rid of Xavi a couple of weeks back and also brought in Gabriel the other night for Calafiori. I couldn’t bear to watch another Arsenal match without owning him.

                2. Boz
                  • 13 Years
                  1 month, 13 days ago

                  Yeah I like it

              5. OverTinker
                • 7 Years
                1 month, 13 days ago

                Gyokeres + J.Pedro + Gordon to Mateta + Wolt + Mbeumo for a hit?
                Yes or No?

                1. Philosopher's Stones
                  • 5 Years
                  1 month, 13 days ago

                  Don't under the urgency to get Mbeumo for a hit, with 2 tricky away games coming, both of which United could lose. Would rather get him for free in GW12.

                  1. Rasping Drive
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 16 Years
                    1 month, 13 days ago

                    FOMO is stronger than the lure of the ring of power. I think I’ll get on board, choo choo!

                2. Boz
                  • 13 Years
                  1 month, 13 days ago

                  I would take this opportunity to take money out of the forwards and move to def and mid so one of Mateta or Wolt to Kroupi

              6. Boz
                • 13 Years
                1 month, 13 days ago

                Anything worth doing or roll? 3FT, 0.2itb

                Raya / Dub
                Gab /VDV / Thiaw (Senesi / Rodon)
                Bruno / Ndiaye / Enzo / Semenyo (Stach)
                Haaland / JPM / Gyok