Spot the Differential
18 December 2025 363 comments
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Our Gameweek 17 differentials column brings a trio of low-owned Fantasy Premier League (FPL) assets for your consideration.


RAYAN CHERKI

Buy, keep, sell? Transfer trends ahead of Gameweek 17 4

  • FPL ownership: 5.8%
  • Price: £6.5m
  • GW17-21 fixtures: WHU | nfo | sun | CHE | BHA

Flourishing as a differential, Rayan Cherki (£6.5m) looks like a great option for Saturday’s home encounter with West Ham United.

The Frenchman, who sits just over our usual differential threshold of 5%, has produced seven assists in as many Gameweeks, totalling 40 points.

He’s also chipped in with goals against Borussia Dortmund and Brentford in cup competitions since the start of November.    

Discussing his Carabao Cup strike earlier this week, Pep Guardiola said:

“Close to the 18-yard box of the opponent he is an exceptional player. It was a fantastic goal, a blind guy, a blind woman can realise, it is not necessary to be a journalist or a manager to realise he is a fantastic, fantastic player. I saw it many times with Phil [Foden] this type of goal, with Kevin [De Bruyne] before, so I am happy that it opened the game.” – Pep Guardiola on Rayan Cherki

The only drawback was the fact that Cherki was substituted off after an hour due to fatigue. However, his early withdrawal does at least hint at another start in Gameweek 17.

Meanwhile, Cherki’s underlying numbers over the last seven Gameweeks further highlight his role as Manchester City’s creator-in-chief.

No teammate has produced more expected assists (xA) over that period, while only Nico Gonzalez (£5.9m) and Phil Foden (£8.8m) have amassed more touches in the opponent’s half.

Saturday’s match at the Etihad Stadium could be very profitable for the City attack. West Ham have failed to keep a clean sheet under Nuno Espirito Santo, conceding at least two goals in seven out of their 11 matches.

City also benefit from a decent upcoming schedule, with clashes against Nottingham Forest and Sunderland to come.  

Setting us back only £6.5m, Cherki is a hugely enticing differential option and could represent the ideal punt, particularly with positional rivals Doku, Omar Marmoush (£8.3m) and Oscar Bobb (£5.1m) unavailable.


MATHEUS NUNES

  • FPL ownership: 1.7%
  • Price: £5.3m
  • GW17-21 fixtures: WHU | nfo | sun | CHE | BHA

Another option for Manchester City is Matheus Nunes (£5.3m), who has now started his side’s last 11 Premier League matches.

During that run, he’s delivered one goal and four assists, with all but one of those attacking returns arriving at the Etihad Stadium.

Nunes has also created six chances over the last six Gameweeks, more than any other City defender.

Furthermore, no defensive option at the club can beat him for successful crosses, final-third touches or defensive contributions (DefCon) in that timeframe.

“Matheus is growing all the time. He can be an incredible full-back. He is adapting and the cross is really good and that is Erling’s [Haaland] strength.” – Pep Guardiola on Matheus Nunes in Gameweek 16

Nunes was benched in midweek, which should ensure he features against West Ham in Gameweek 17.

Crucially, the Hammers will be without both first-choice full-backs on Saturday, with Aaron Wan-Bissaka (£4.2m) and El Hadji Malick Diouf (£4.1m) away at the Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON).

They also have a vulnerability down their left flank that Nunes could potentially exploit. Indeed, West Ham have conceded more key passes down that side of the pitch than any other club in 2025/26.

Above: West Ham’s chances created conceded map (assists in green) in 2025/26

Admittedly, it’s teammate Nico O’Reilly (£5.3m) who carries the superior box threat.

However, Nunes has the platform to deliver assists and clean sheets, with Pep Guardiola’s side only conceding six times in their eight home matches thus far.


MARCUS TAVERNIER

Goals + assists imminent! Who is 'due' in FPL Gameweek 17? 2

  • FPL ownership: 2.2%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW17-21 fixtures: BUR | bre | che | ARS | TOT

A home fixture against a Burnley side that has failed to keep a clean sheet away from home this season prompts us to consider Marcus Tavernier (£5.5m).

The 26-year-old has produced 46 points in his last nine matches for Bournemouth, a decent return for a £5.5m midfielder.

It included a standout performance in Gameweek 16, when he scored and assisted at Old Trafford.

Tavernier has created 23 chances this season, the most of any Bournemouth player, while he is second only to Antoine Semenyo (£7.5m) among teammates for shots and Opta-defined ‘big chances’, with 31 and five respectively.

He will consequently fancy his chances this weekend, particularly with Burnley’s flaky defence in town.

Scott Parker’s side have conceded 23 goals on the road in 2025/26, the joint-most of any team. They are also bottom for expected goals conceded (xGC).

That will offer encouragement to a Bournemouth outfit that have generally performed well at the Vitality Stadium in this season, winning four, drawing three and suffering only one defeat in eight home matches.

So, with an ownership of only 2.2%, Tavernier can be an effective differential fourth or fifth midfield option for the festive period.


363 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Neto to semenyo ? Y or N

    1. MIGHTY JOE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Y 😀

    2. Amartey Partey
      • 6 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Nah. Neto has good fixtures for attacking players in the next 3. Semenyo only really has the Burnley one.

  2. MIGHTY JOE
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 months, 11 days ago

    Current team with 5 FT & 1.2 ITB:

    Raya (Dubravka)
    VVD Hincapie Andersen O’Reilly (Rodon)
    Bruno Gordon Foden Saka (Stach)
    Thiago Haaland (Guiu)

    Exact funds for:
    Raya -> Verbruggen
    Stach -> Semenyo
    Gordon -> Schade

    Y/N?

    1. tuturututu
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      No

    2. I have no Wirtz
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Y.
        Promising punt. Could pay off handsomely.

      • Blueberg
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        With 5ft I probably would...

      • Ray85
        • 8 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Schade is too expensive for what he offers.

      • Amartey Partey
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Not Verbruggen

    3. tuturututu
      • 5 Years
      2 months, 11 days ago

      Looking ok?

      Raya
      Timber, Guehi, Clyne
      Saka, Foden, Bruno, Kudus
      Mateta, Haaland(c), Thiago

      Dubravka, VdV, Esteve, Miley

      1. bso
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Kudus and Mateta poor. Clyne unlikely to start...need some positive changes mate.

    4. BR510
        2 months, 11 days ago

        TC:

        17: Haaland
        17: Foden
        18: Ekitike
        19: Bruno
        19: Cunha

        Cheers all!

        1. BUZZBOMB ♡
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          Seriously would be tempted 17 Foden or 19 Bruno

        2. Yes Ndidi
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          I don't think there's any reason at all to not TC Haaland this week.

        3. Amartey Partey
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          I’m TCing Haaland but I’m tempted by Bruno

      • Emiliano Sala
        • 9 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Considering selling haaland after west ham to be different…
        More risk and more fun maybe?
        15 is too much if you don’t want to C him

        1. Amartey Partey
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          It depends how you use the cash. There aren’t many strikers worth getting

          1. Haa-lala-land
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 11 days ago

            Ill be doing that, down to Isak for Wolves and Leeds, and to get Palmer for Bournemouth
            OR1 here I come

      • RoyaleBlue
        • 14 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Thiago + Rice -> Ekitike + Tavernier?

        Too punty? A week early?

        1. Here is Cash, give McGinn
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          I wouldnt transfer Thiago out. Brentford has better fixtures coming up, they have form in The homegames

        2. Amartey Partey
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          Could work, but I'd say yes, a week early.

      • hawkeyes
        • 11 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Tavernier in for Rice. I already have Saka and Timber from Arsenal.

        Y/N

        1. Ciro Di Marzio
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          No

      • DavidKent
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        What do we think about Reijnders minutes for the next 5 or so games?

      • Here is Cash, give McGinn
        • 6 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Woltemade+King -> Guiu+Cherki for free
        Switch to 3-5-2
        Yay or nay?

        1. Here is Cash, give McGinn
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          Triple City Haaland/Foden/Cherki

      • The Bandit
        • 15 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Lol at the boxing weigh in. Jake Paul looked like a gnome, Joshua will knock his head off, I fear for him. Game’s gone.

        1. Brosstan
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          If he isnt knocked out in round 1 there is a deal for AJ to go easy.

        2. Bushwhacker
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          You realize this is not a sporting fixture right?

      • Makin' it Reyna
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Savinho not named as a position rival here despite double the minutes of Marmoush and double the returns of both Bobb/Moush

        1. Here is Cash, give McGinn
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          He is not favoured, probably gone in January?

          1. Makin' it Reyna
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 7 Years
            2 months, 11 days ago

            that's fair. i'd thought that talk maybe died down after his spurs move didn't happen. pep seems to see a use for him lately? me talking my own book since I picked him up in a draft league punt 🙂

            1. Here is Cash, give McGinn
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 11 days ago

              Yeah in cup and Europe.... Not in PL it seems

            2. bso
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 11 Years
              2 months, 11 days ago

              He is awful. Hoping MC sell him in Jan.

      • Wonderful Wizard Hazard
        • 12 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        Enzo/Woltemade -> Bruno/Guiu for free? Will have 1FT remaining and 1M ITB.

        Raya
        Timber O'Reilly Senesi
        Saka Foden Bruno Semenyo Wilson
        Haaland Thiago
        Dubravka Guiu Esteve Gud

      • Ciro Di Marzio
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 months, 11 days ago

        If you could only own one?

        A Foden
        B Saka

        1. Sheffield Wednesday
          • 5 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          A atm

          1. bso
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 11 days ago

            +1

        2. Yes Ndidi
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          A.

        3. Amartey Partey
          • 6 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          A, but I think Saka will do well in his next few fixtures.

      • BR510
          2 months, 11 days ago

          Sell Ekitike in GW20 or Thiago next week (GW18) to buy Bowen.

          1. Yes Ndidi
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 11 days ago

            I'm planning Thiago > Bowen in 18, & keeping Ekitike until at least 22 when they host Burnley.

            If that helps

        • bso
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          Is Thiago likely to start?

          1. Yes Ndidi
            • 6 Years
            2 months, 11 days ago

            Edwards doesn't know, according to his presser today. And he's probably the most likely to know.

          2. FPL Virgin
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            2 months, 11 days ago

            The mood music from Neale is that he will start.

          3. Sheffield Wednesday
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 11 days ago

            The pattern is he's always benched midweek* anyway, so I think he starts on the weekend - and if truly unavailable it removes my benching headache.

            (*thanks mookie, https://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/2025/12/18/fpl-notes-thiago-injury-cherki-boost-pep-on-foden-oreillys-mins?hc_page=1&hc_sort_by=comment_date#hc_comment_27460710 )

          4. bso
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 11 days ago

            Thanks fellas!

        • steven8991
          • 10 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          Do we get 2 FH and 2 TC , or just 2 FH and 1 TC per season?

          1. TorresMagic™
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 16 Years
            2 months, 11 days ago

            2 each

          2. Sheffield Wednesday
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 11 days ago

            "All the chips now replicate the Wildcard and are available for both the first and second part of the season. Like the Wildcard, no chip can be carried over and must be used before the specified Gameweek deadline."

            https://fantasy.premierleague.com/help/new

        • Bob B
          • 12 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          Silly transfers?

          Burn to Clyne
          King to Cherki

          Team would be:
          Raya (Dubravka)
          Senesi Hincapie Lacroix (Clyne VVD)
          Saka Bruno Foden Cherki (Anderson)
          Haaland Thiago Jimenez

          1. Casual Player
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 11 days ago

            I think ok

            Clyne is a decent enabler, you don't mind if later on he's a dead spot. Or it's very easy to alive that spot with 2 FTs

            1. NoName
              • 11 Years
              2 months, 11 days ago

              Thanks. I'm down to 2 FT. Happy with the rest of the team. There is that possibility of wanting to reverse but not confident of Gordon's minutes when it gets congested.

          2. Four Letter Wirtz
            • 10 Years
            2 months, 11 days ago

            I've been wondering about King... with some players off to AFCON, maybe he gets more minutes?

        • FPL Virgin
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          2 months, 11 days ago

          Anyone know TorresMagic's current OR?

          It'd be nice to have a chance of beating him this season.

          1. Casual Player
            • 5 Years
            2 months, 11 days ago

            found it in about 30 secs googling - approx. 675k

            Is probably on TC this week

            1. FPL Virgin
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              2 months, 11 days ago

              Just found it in the good ol' mods and con league: 674,557.

              Damn. I'm screwed if he TCs Haaland. 🙁

              1. Bushwhacker
                • 6 Years
                2 months, 11 days ago

                Not if he performs like he did on most TCs

        • BR510
            2 months, 11 days ago

            GTG?

            Verbruggen (SUN)
            Timber (EVE), Thiaw (CHE), Andersen (NFO)
            Saka (EVE), Cunha (AVL), Rice (EVE), Foden (WHU)
            Haaland TC (WHU), Ekitike (TOT), Thiago (WOL)

            Dubravka, Richards (LEE), KDH (ARS), Rodon (CRY)

            Cheers all!

            1. Here is Cash, give McGinn
              • 6 Years
              2 months, 11 days ago

              Thiaw over Richards? Naaaah

              1. Casual Player
                • 5 Years
                2 months, 11 days ago

                Yeah I'd start Richards over Thiaw AND Anderson.

          • Ray85
            • 8 Years
            2 months, 11 days ago

            Szoboslai to Tavarnier worth it?

            Would free up some funds for Ekitike later.

          • NoName
            • 11 Years
            2 months, 11 days ago

            Rice Gordon to Semenyo Wilson FT, yay or nay?

            1. Casual Player
              • 5 Years
              2 months, 11 days ago

              I feel like in 2 GWs time you'll want to make those exact transfers in reverse. Which might be ok if you've got most of the 5 left now.

          • RICICLE
            • 3 Years
            2 months, 11 days ago

            Hi chaps, just looking ahead into GW 18 here

            Raya
            O’Reilly - VDB - Chalobah
            Bruno G - Saka - Bruno F - Rice - Foden
            Haaland - Thiago
            ___________________________________
            Dubravka: Guiu: Gudmundsson: Munoz

            Have come up with two scenarios should I want Ekitike or Bowen after this GW, just wondered which you’d would prefer from each option.

            Ekitike options:

            A) Raya + Thiago > Areola + Ekitike (exact funds)
            B) Munoz + Thiago > 4.3 DEF + Ekitike

            Bowen options:

            1) Bruno G + Thiago > Wilson + Bowen
            2) Munoz + Thiago > Konate + Bowen

            Just some random ideas for each player.
            Cheers gents.

            1. Bobby Digital
              • 8 Years
              2 months, 11 days ago

              B

              1. RICICLE
                • 3 Years
                2 months, 11 days ago

                Cheers BD!

                1. Bobby Digital
                  • 8 Years
                  2 months, 11 days ago

                  2 from the Bowen option

                  1. RICICLE
                    • 3 Years
                    2 months, 11 days ago

                    Agreed, favouring that one also.
                    So B2 should i opt for either, sorted cheers man!

          • BR510
              2 months, 11 days ago

              Start Thiaw or Andersen

            • Brosstan
              • 11 Years
              2 months, 11 days ago

              I think Bowen instead of Ekitike is the play when removing Thiago after Wolves.

              1. BR510
                  2 months, 11 days ago

                  I have Ekitike and buying Bowen next week for Thiago

                  1. Brosstan
                    • 11 Years
                    2 months, 11 days ago

                    3 forwards is out of style gramps

                    1. The Bandit
                      • 15 Years
                      2 months, 11 days ago

                      Oh, is he more, too much more than a pretty face?
                      It's so strange the way he talk - it's a disgrace
                      Well, I know I've been out of style
                      For a short while
                      But I don't care how cold you are
                      I'm comin' home soon
                      I'm gonna make you a star... yeah".

              2. rainy
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • Has Moderation Rights
                • 10 Years
                2 months, 11 days ago

                Price changes 19th December

                Rises:
                Palmer 10.4
                Semenyo 7.6
                Tavernier 5.6
                Matheus N. 5.4

                Fall:
                Lammens 5.0

                1. Sheffield Wednesday
                  • 5 Years
                  2 months, 11 days ago

                  Semenyoyo

                  Life giving you Lammens? You know what to do.

                2. FOREST FOREVER 2
                  • 1 Year
                  2 months, 11 days ago

                  Lammens bandwagon over. ManU only 1 CS i think.

              3. Defcons are for Kinnear
                • 12 Years
                2 months, 11 days ago

                I read somewhere that Thiago hasn't played 2 games a week this season. If so, is he worth shipping out during the festive period when everyone has 4 GWs in 2 weeks?

                1. Sheffield Wednesday
                  • 5 Years
                  2 months, 11 days ago

                  Unless he's picked up a new injury then I think he only misses starting the Everton away match.

                2. The Bandit
                  • 15 Years
                  2 months, 11 days ago

                  Do it, and tell everyone you know to do the same

                3. HellasLEAF
                  • 16 Years
                  2 months, 11 days ago

                  Will he even start 'this' GW?

                  What's the general feeling. Yay or nay a start.

              4. SpaceCadet
                • 12 Years
                2 months, 11 days ago

                Need to take a hit with Thiago a doubt. Best option here? Leaning towards B or C and get in Bowen next gw.

                A. Thiago > Bowen
                B. Diouf > senesi
                C. Diouf > Guehi

                Sanchez
                Konate Hincapie o’reily
                Saka Bruno Foden Bruno Anderson
                Haaland Thiago

                Dubravka vdv Guiu diouf

                1. Bushwhacker
                  • 6 Years
                  2 months, 11 days ago

                  Plum fixture worth the risk IMHO ; have someone decent first on bench

                  1. SpaceCadet
                    • 12 Years
                    2 months, 11 days ago

                    Vdv first sub currently. Thinking of getting in senesi/ guehi and playing 4-4-2 with Anderson first sub.

              5. BR510
                  2 months, 11 days ago

                  Sell who for Bruno F: (Next week)
                  1. Saka
                  2. Cunha (only differential)
                  3. Rice
                  4. Don’t buy him with Cunha and Rice to cover

                  1. Holmes
                    • 12 Years
                    2 months, 11 days ago

                    Rice I guess

                • Taegugk Warrior
                  • 7 Years
                  2 months, 11 days ago

                  To bench
                  A. BrunoG
                  B. Raul
                  C. Thiago

                  1. BR510
                      2 months, 11 days ago

                      B

                  2. Drop Dead Tsimikas
                    • 14 Years
                    2 months, 11 days ago

                    Rapidly losing interest, but maybe the festive period restores faith.

                    Roefs
                    Chalobah | Timber | Senesi
                    Foden | Bruno G | Wilson | Eze | Semenyo
                    Thiago | H(a)aland

                    Dubravka, Woltemade, Mukiele, Livramento

                    Would you change the bench at all?

                    2.3I TB, 2 FT. Considering Woltemade > Ekitike and benching Bruno G.

                    1. Holmes
                      • 12 Years
                      2 months, 11 days ago

                      Fine bench, fine moves

                      Just ride the wave till season ends. Many of us oldies are just playing for the sake of it.