Frisking the Fixtures
22 December 2025 313 comments
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Christmas is approaching and the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) deadlines are bunching together – but we have you covered when it comes to who has the best upcoming fixtures.

That’s right, it’s time for another instalment of ‘Frisking the Fixtures’. In this series, we pinpoint the teams and players with the most appealing medium-term runs of matches.

We usually have a six-game outlook – in this case, Gameweeks 18-23 – but will glance beyond that at times, if fixture swings call for it.

As always, our colour-coded Season Ticker is the primary source for this piece.

ABOUT THE FIXTURE TICKER

Gameweek 18 fixtures best

Using this tool as a Chief Member, you can sort by difficulty, rank by attacking and defensive potential or find budget rotation pairings. 

You can even set your own difficulty ratings, should you disagree with ours.

And new, as of this season, is the ability to customise the colours!

There’s the:

  • Premier League green/red colour scheme
  • Good old Scout red/blue
  • Colour-blind-friendly combo
  • Option to set your own colours – if you fancy pink and purple, you absolutely can!

SEASON TICKER OVERVIEW: NEXT SIX GAMEWEEKS

Gameweek 18 fixtures best

WEST HAM UNITED

Gameweek 18 fixtures best

West Ham begin a fine run of fixtures in Gameweek 18 by hosting Fulham, who they’ve beaten – often by a couple of goals – in all but one iteration of this fixture since 2010.

The Hammers’ two most recent victories this season have been earned at the London Stadium and they made life difficult for in-form Aston Villa there in Gameweek 16. So, Nuno Espirito Santo will be pleased that four of his side’s six upcoming games are on home soil. After the Cottagers, their other three opponents in those matches – Brighton, Nottingham Forest and Sunderland – have all played comparatively worse on the road this season. 

Even when West Ham must venture further afield in this run, it’s only to face Wolves and Tottenham, who have two of the worst home records in the division.

Wins have been few and relatively far between for the Hammers, so FPL managers likely won’t be going big on West Ham representation. Talismanic skipper Jarrod Bowen (£7.6m), however, is someone who has prospered in Fantasy over the years, regardless of the quality of teammates around him.

The defence is still an issue, and Nuno will be missing first-choice full-backs Aaron Wan-Bissaka (£4.2m) and El Hadji Malick Diouf (£4.1m) for as long as the pair are at the Africa Cup of Nations (AFCON). They’ve yet to keep a clean sheet since their current manager took over, indeed. That’s a 12-match shut-out drought. Kyle Walker-Peters (£4.2m) is assured of stars while AFCON is playing out, for those after a bench fodder option – but really, there’s little incentive to move for a Hammers defender.

There’s little to appeal in midfield, too. Neither Lucas Paqueta (£5.9m) nor Mateus Fernandes (£5.5m) has reached 1.0 xG since Nuno took over! Freddie Potts (£4.4m), who has started seven of the last eight games, is at least a cheap fifth midfielder option for those FPL managers moving to a 3-4-3 to accommodate Hugo Ekitike (£8.8m).


EVERTON

Gameweek 18 fixtures best

Another team enjoying a fixture swing at the moment is Everton, who begin this six-match run with a trip to Burnley. 

It’s Forest after that, who the Toffees beat 3-0 a fortnight ago, followed by three home matches in four. Those are against Brentford, Wolves and Leeds, three teams with just three away wins between them all season.

The Gameweek 22 trip to Villa Park is a tricky task, but overall this stretch should provide ample opportunity for David Moyes and co to solidify their status in the top half of the table by the end of January.

They’ll, of course, have to embark on the majority of this run without influential Senegal pair Iliman Ndiaye (£6.3m) and Idrissa Gueye (£5.4m), while summer signing Thierno Barry (£5.7m) is yet to really get going up top and Beto (£5.0m) isn’t any better. Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall (£5.0m) is also currently injured. Might we see some reinforcements arrive on the blue half of Merseyside during the winter transfer window?

So, then, it may be a case of defence-first football for the time being unless replacements Tyler Dibling (£5.3m) or Dwight McNeil (£5.5m) can pick up the slack. It’s far too early to be punting on those two, leaving Jack Grealish (£6.5m) as the sole viable attacking option for now. Even then, there are probably better options out there in FPL land.

At least defensive contribution (DefCon) earners Michael Keane (£4.7m) and James Tarkowski (£5.5m) haven’t gone anywhere, with Jordan Pickford (£5.5m) still raking in returns at a fairly reliable rate behind them. Those three are averaging a very respectable 5.1, 4.5 and 4.1 points per match in 2025/26, and are the stand-out targets from the Toffees.

Be aware that Tarkowski is on four bookings, so is one away from a ban.


NEWCASTLE UNITED

Newcastle’s home record (P9, W5, D2, L2) stands in pretty stark contrast to their away record (P8, W1, D3, L4). It’s in large part due to their lack of firepower – the Magpies have conceded 10 goals both home and away, but scored just seven on the road compared to 14 at St James’ Park.

Thankfully, Yoane Wissa (£7.3m) is finally available to help Nick Woltemade (£7.3m) with the burden. The ex-Brentford striker has already scored on his first start for the Magpies.

The upcoming double-header at Old Trafford and Turf Moor is followed by three home games plus a visit to bottom side Wolves. They plus Leeds have well-documented defensive deficiencies, while Crystal Palace are haemorrhaging goals at present and Man Utd have kept just one clean sheet all season!

Newcastle are unbeaten in four home Premier League encounters (W3, D1) with Palace, winning the last two by a combined score of 9-0. They are unbeaten in a staggering 17 home league games against Aston Villa, too, last losing to the West Midlanders at St James’ Park way back in 2005. 11 of those results have been wins, the last three by a combined score of 12-1!

History suggests the Magpies should be confident even ahead of those trickier-looking games, then.

As for transfer targets, Howe will freshen up his squad over the holidays and most players will probably experience at least one benching. Malick Thiaw (£5.0m) will likely be one of the exceptions, although the 10-match clean sheet drought is not a great advert for the Magpies’ defence.

Further forward, Anthony Gordon (£7.3m), Woltemade and Bruno Guimaraes (£7.0m) are the three names that leap off the page. None of them will be free of rotation risk over Christmas and New Year (and often subbed off early) but the Friday-Tuesday-Sunday-Wednesday turnaround is on the generous side, so we’d expect that trio to start at least three of those fixtures. Gordon looked particularly lively in Saturday’s draw with Chelsea and is on penalty-taking duties.


LIVERPOOL/MANCHESTER UNITED

Based on an initial glance at the main Fixture Ticker at the start of this article, you might wonder why we’re choosing to highlight Liverpool or Manchester United here. After all, neither rank particularly highly overall between Gameweeks 18 and 23. However, you’ll find that this has much to do with both teams facing Arsenal away from home.

Take out Gameweek 21, when Liverpool make that trip to the capital, and the Reds jump from ninth to first in the Fixture Ticker over the remaining five rounds. Do the same for United’s Gameweek 23 trip to the Emirates, and suddenly the Red Devils jump from fourth from bottom to fourth from top between Gameweeks 18 and 22.

The Gunners game aside, both clubs have at least four appealing fixtures.

For Liverpool, that run starts brilliantly with two home ties against leaky Wolves and Leeds. Gameweek 20 opponents Fulham have also conceded their fair share of goals recently, and after the Arsenal match, it’s back to Anfield to host struggling Burnley before a trip to Bournemouth, another porous backline that Arne Slot’s men already knocked four past this season.

For United, Gameweek 18 may not be as hard as it initially appears given Newcastle’s poor away form. After that, it’s Wolves at home, who Ruben Amorim’s men recently made light work of on the road, followed by promoted duo Leeds and Burnley.

Both clubs could be without their AFCON players for most of this period, which for Liverpool means no Mohamed Salah (£14.0m). However, Hugo Ekitike (£8.8m) is in strong form and Florian Wirtz (£8.0m) is playing an increasingly pivotal role. Dominik Szoboszlai (£6.7m), annoyingly for his owners, misses Gameweek 18 due to suspension.

Virgil van Dijk (£5.9m) and Ibrahima Konate (£5.4m) appear safe bets from the backline, capable of combining DefCons with some attacking threat – and maybe even the odd clean sheet, if their defensive numbers continue trending in the right direction.

United-wise, the loss of Bryan Mbeumo (£8.1m) and Amad Diallo (£6.3m) to AFCON may be felt more keenly, while FPL all-rounder Bruno Fernandes (£9.4m) looks set for a spell out.

The absences could open the door for someone like Mason Mount (£5.9m) to excel alongside versatile attacker Matheus Cunha (£8.0m), who has had a league-best 22 shots in the last three Gameweeks. Diogo Dalot (£4.4m), who registered three attacking returns in as many games between Gameweeks 14 and 16, could be a decent differential, but we wouldn’t expect many shut-outs from this side on current evidence.


ALSO CONSIDER

Brentford and Tottenham Hotspur, meanwhile, are ranked above Liverpool and United on the Ticker overall for Gameweeks 18-23. On second glance, however, some of their respective fixtures may not be as nice as they first appear.

The Bees do at least have four games at home, where they’ve been markedly better (P8, W5, D2, L1) than on away days (P9, W2, L7).

Gameweek 18 opponents Bournemouth haven’t been great on the road either, despite Gameweek 16’s trip to Old Trafford showing they certainly still have goals in them. Spurs, who come to the Gtech in Gameweek 19, have actually won more away games than home games so far this season. Sunderland and Forest, meanwhile, have both played better on their own turf than away from it but are both tough teams that will test Brentford’s resolve.

The other two matches in here for Keith Andrews to navigate are trips to top-half clubs Everton and Chelsea. With the trouble-making Dango Ouattara (£5.9m) off to AFCON, the west Londoners will need striker Igor Thiago (£7.1m) to stay fit and firing during this period, particularly given clean sheets haven’t really been the team’s forte so far this year. Keane Lewis-Potter (£4.8m) is at least playing ‘out of position’ on the right wing.

As for Spurs, four away days in six might be enticing for a team with a torrid home record. Still, London derbies on enemy soil versus Palace and Brentford – the latter out to avenge this month’s loss against their old gaffer – mightn’t be easy. Nor should the Gameweek 21 trip to Bournemouth, who’ve lost just once at home all season and beat the Lilywhites in the reverse tie.

The West Ham and Burnley matches are more appealing but are a little while away.

Another team we’ll mention here is Manchester City, who have a 3-3 split of home and away matches.

Dyche’s Forest will undoubtedly try to make things difficult for the Sky Blues. As will Sunderland, who are unbeaten at the Stadium of Light in 2025/26. We all know that anything can happen on a derby day, especially away from home (at United, Gameweek 22).

Mixed in with those road games are the visits of Chelsea, Brighton and Wolves.


FPL Scoop London-based freelance journalist and editor, frequently with The i Paper, The Standard, Fantasy Football Scout, and BBC Sport. Follow them on Twitter

313 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Gazzpfc
    • 9 Years
    3 months, 22 days ago

    Would you

    1 Sell Semenyo for Cunha
    2 Sell Saka and Wilson for Rice and Cunha

    Semenyo next 5 after Brentford are tough

    1. GreennRed
      • 14 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      When Semenyo's in good form he can get decent attacking returns against any opposition and decent for Bournemouth baps. So many mids nn good form is head turning. I prefer 2 but Wilson's in good form for an enabling price.

    2. Alexis Nonsense
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      1. No. Cunha is not an upgrade on Semenyo, especially now that the creativity is gone at Man U with Bruno.
      2. No, to me this doesn't look too exciting, I'd give Wilson this gw, and Saka vs. Brighton should be good

    3. chilli con kone
      • 12 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      I’d prefer 2 but not massively keen on either move

  2. Il Capitano
    • 5 Years
    3 months, 22 days ago

    Raya Dubravka
    O'Reilly Chalobah Senesi Andersen Alderete
    Saka Foden Cunha Semenyo Bruno G
    Haaland Ekitike Guiu

    Which two defenders would you bench this GW?

    1. chilli con kone
      • 12 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      Andersen and Chab

    2. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      Andersen and Senesi by FAR

    3. Il Capitano
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      Cheers both

  3. Alexis Nonsense
    • 10 Years
    3 months, 22 days ago

    Gordon an option now?

    Amazing fixtures, and don't want Guimares though hes been good.
    I like the higher potential in Gordon, if he's nailed...?

    1. chilli con kone
      • 12 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      You know full well he’s getting rotated and subbed early so if you’re fine with that he’s not a bad option. Not scored yet from open play though this season

      1. Alexis Nonsense
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 22 days ago

        Yes, but been rotated due to ongiong hip issue.
        Would guess he's nailed for 90 minutes when fit?

        1. Utopsis
          • 6 Years
          3 months, 22 days ago

          No he will be rotated even when fit - Murphy, Barnes, Elanga all excellent players who deserve to play and will eat his minutes

    2. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      Nope. Rotation risk. Avoid.

  4. Tibbs
    • 15 Years
    3 months, 22 days ago

    How does this look for free:

    Szoboszlai | Woltemade | Thiago >>> Ekitike | DCL | Harry Wilson?

    Would give me a front 8 of:

    Saka | Rice | Wilson | Foden | Stach

    Haaland | Ekitike | DCL

    1. chilli con kone
      • 12 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      Risky imo. The last two could easily be traps I wouldn’t want to own both

      1. g40steve
        • 8 Years
        3 months, 22 days ago

        Traps check their points?

      2. Brosstan
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 22 days ago

        Ekitike a trap? With Isak injured hes one of the best picks in the game for sure.

  5. Flynny
    • 11 Years
    3 months, 22 days ago

    2fts and 0.5. Cant get to cunha without a hit. Ekitike will be coming in for thiago. What to do?

    A.....bruno and thiago to rogers and ekiteke (don't fancy rogers next 2)

    B.....bruno and thiago to ekitike and Mount

    C... bruno thiago minteh to cunha ekiteke anderson - 4

    Raya
    Calafiori oreilly andersen Richards rodon
    Saka bruno foden semenyo minteh
    Haaland thiago guiu

    1. chilli con kone
      • 12 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      Still A. Rogers scores well against bigger clubs and blanks against the minnows. That’s the obvious transfer

    2. Utopsis
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      The way Rogers is playing, he can score against any oppo. Brim full of confidence and the team is on fire too

      1. Mother Farke
        • 2 Years
        3 months, 22 days ago

        Are Rogers goals outside the box sustainable, though? I've got my doubts. Better teams will surely handle this gimmick?

        1. Flynny
          • 11 Years
          3 months, 22 days ago

          Goes against all my fpl instincts to get Rogers before chelsea and arsenal away. When his data isn't good dl

          1. Utopsis
            • 6 Years
            3 months, 22 days ago

            Haha mine too - FH19 made my decision slightly easier as means whoever I have in 18 will have to stay for 20 with no option to transfer anyone in. And I want him for NFO.

        2. Utopsis
          • 6 Years
          3 months, 22 days ago

          United defending yesterday was atrocious, agreed. But both goals were in the box I think (2nd one definitely was).

          And it's not just his long shooting - the whole team is playing well (10 wins in a row? ) and he is the main man. I want to be part of this ride.

          1. Flynny
            • 11 Years
            3 months, 22 days ago

            Villa are going to slip up soon though!

            1. Utopsis
              • 6 Years
              3 months, 22 days ago

              They absolutely will, but football is a confidence sport - so they'll be flying high until they aren't!

            2. Sir Michael Taker
              • 11 Years
              3 months, 22 days ago

              Does make me laugh people saying Rogers goals are gimicks when they are talking about buying Cunha. Did you see half of his goals last season? He will literally shoot from anywhere

              1. GreennRed
                • 14 Years
                3 months, 22 days ago

                Which any confident attacker should do. When you see the shot shy head drop after three failed attempts and another opportunity presents it's time to worry.

        3. GreennRed
          • 14 Years
          3 months, 22 days ago

          Gimmick!

          1. Flynny
            • 11 Years
            3 months, 22 days ago

            I might take a rash xmas hit

            Get cunha

            And take a hit for miteh to anderson....

  6. chilli con kone
    • 12 Years
    3 months, 22 days ago

    Boring topic based on previous attempts but I’ve got Petrovic that needs to go.

    If you wildcarded today which goalkeeper would you chose value considered?

    1. Alexis Nonsense
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      I'd get Sanchez I think.
      Chelsea been solid, and have the fixtures coming

    2. Conners
      • 7 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      I prefer Roefs to Sanchez.

    3. Utopsis
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      Verbruggen alternates well with Dubravka (!)

      1. Sir Michael Taker
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 22 days ago

        You dont want to play Dubs through choice really

        1. Brosstan
          • 11 Years
          3 months, 22 days ago

          You do if its in the games where Brighton faces Man City or Liverpool and Dub has an easy home game the same GW.

        2. Utopsis
          • 6 Years
          3 months, 22 days ago

          I take your point

    4. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      Roefs or Sanchez. Both are great.

  7. mookie
    • 12 Years
    3 months, 22 days ago

    Arteta's embargoed presser was all about Jesus. 🙁

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      Time of year

      Albeit the meaning seems to have been forgotten and it's all about Santa these days!

    2. GreennRed
      • 14 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      He's a good man going up for a cross in fairness.

  8. Kaneyonero
    • 9 Years
    3 months, 22 days ago

    Dub (*Sels)
    VDB Anderson Timber (*Esteve Rodon)
    Saka Foden Rogers Wilson (*Bruno F)
    Haaland(C) Thiago DCL

    Would you just hold and assess after next gw? Or just get in Cunha or Rice for Bruno to capitalise on price changes? I'm also looking to touch up my def longer term

    0.3 ITB 1FT

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      I wouldn't hold Bruno

      It wouldn't be a surprise if he's out until mid-January.

      He's now red flagged.

      However, you're pretty well set.

      I'd go to Ekitike up front with the Bruno funds.

      1. Kaneyonero
        • 9 Years
        3 months, 22 days ago

        Would take a hit and would give me a benching headache bringing in Rice and Ekitike. Probably would end up benching DCL as Sunderland are decent.

        1. Over Midwicket
          • 14 Years
          3 months, 22 days ago

          DCL will score against Sunderland imo

  9. BBC_TF
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 months, 22 days ago

    Thiago/Bruno/Petrovic -> Ekitike/Rice/Verbruggen for 3 FTs? 0.0 ITB

    1. Kaneyonero
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      Looks gtg for me

    2. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      Roefs instead of Verb

  10. sirmorbach
    • 9 Years
    3 months, 22 days ago

    Bruno to
    A. Rice
    B. Semenyo
    C. Cunha

    + Thiago to Ekitike for a hit or nay?

    1. Utopsis
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      A nay

    2. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      A nay

    3. Chinese_person
      • 14 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      A.

      I probably wouldn't for a hit.

    1. Sir Michael Taker
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      Bruno F is evolving into Bruno G.

    2. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      Bruno declared fit and sellers in the mud?

      1. Sir Michael Taker
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 22 days ago

        For all the pelters he gets if he has actually torn a hammy or something he's hard as nails. They pretty much had to drag him off. Others would be crying on the stretcher

        1. Chinese_person
          • 14 Years
          3 months, 22 days ago

          Never thought I'd see someone describe Bruno F as 'hard as nails.'

          1. GreennRed
            • 14 Years
            3 months, 22 days ago

            He is though. Physically and mentally. Does some stupid things when things aren't going his way at times but detests losing.

            1. Tonyawesome69
              • 7 Years
              3 months, 22 days ago

              Pretty sure this is his first muscle/hammy injury in his career. You can't take pain killers to recover from these types of injuries...

  11. TeddiPonza
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    3 months, 22 days ago

    Two questions:

    1. Best 4,6m defender

    2. Is Thiago to Ekitike worth a -4

    Thanks

    1. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      Go cheap with Alderete/Gudmunsson.

      No, unless you (c).

  12. Von Lipwig
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    3 months, 22 days ago

    A) Bruno > anyone and -4 hit
    B) Play Guehi (TOT h)

  13. Kantelele
    • 3 Years
    3 months, 22 days ago

    Rank these under 6 mid :
    A) Caicedo
    B) Paqueta
    C) Le Fee
    D) Matheus Fernandes
    E) Xhaka
    F) Alcaraz

    1. Sir Michael Taker
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      B
      C
      E
      A
      The others aren't worth ranking

      1. Kantelele
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 22 days ago

        Why Alcaraz not worth ? Perfect fixtures, play as number 10, very cheap, nailed with over 70 minutes

        1. Sir Michael Taker
          • 11 Years
          3 months, 22 days ago

          He might be ok short term but in being more nailed Everton are probably a bit weaker as a team? Go for it though you can take punts at that price for sure.

    2. Von Lipwig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      A is best if you ask me

    3. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      Stach, Wilson, Le Fee, Potts. Everything else is a complete waste of time.

      1. Kantelele
        • 3 Years
        3 months, 22 days ago

        Stach and Wilson shitty fixtures

        1. Brosstan
          • 11 Years
          3 months, 22 days ago

          You dont pick a sub 6 midfielder for fixtures..

          1. GreennRed
            • 14 Years
            3 months, 22 days ago

            Underrated comment.

      2. Sir Michael Taker
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 22 days ago

        you'd rather have them probably than some of these flatter to decieve wingers (Minteh, Grealish etc) If you can get reasonable DC and some set pieces at around 5m you cant ask for much more really

    4. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      CE
      AB

      The top two are fine as enablers, better options than Guiu.

    5. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      Stach or Anderson

  14. evilfish
    • 10 Years
    3 months, 22 days ago

    A: Bruno to Rogers, Thiago to Ekitike
    or
    B: Bruno to Miley, Kupri Jr to Ekitike

    1. Chinese_person
      • 14 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      A

    2. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      A

  15. sirmorbach
    • 9 Years
    3 months, 22 days ago

    Thanks all for the feedback.

    Boiled down to two options.

    A. Bruno to Rice, just.
    A. Bruno to Miley/Stach (and bench), Guiu to Ekitike (- 4)

    1. Chinese_person
      • 14 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      A

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 22 days ago

        It's definitely A

        But which one?

        B may pay back the hit and is more adventurous

  16. Winston.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 months, 22 days ago

    Gordon for gameweeks 18-22 and get Rice after GW22…or get Rice right away, and save transfers…
    A. Gordon (mun, bur, CPL, LEE, wol) or
    B. Rice (BHA, AVL, bou, LIV, not) ?

    1. GreennRed
      • 14 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      Rice more consistent.

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 22 days ago

        The thing with Rice

        He should have been selected Gw1 and set and forget

        I've thought about getting him most weeks and just do another option

        It's probably worth fixing that now

    2. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      Rice by a mile.

      1. Winston.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        3 months, 22 days ago

        Thanks… Gordon, anyone? On penalties and looked lively

        1. GreennRed
          • 14 Years
          3 months, 22 days ago

          Gordon has 2 CL games in January. Rice could be rested fir Arsenal's 2.

        2. Over Midwicket
          • 14 Years
          3 months, 22 days ago

          I dislike Gordon a lot. Yes he's on pens and looks "lively" but he's still got awful temperament, gets 60-70 mins, and can be benched for Barnes/Elanga etc. Also only really good at home.

          1. Winston.
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            3 months, 22 days ago

            Whatabout Woltemade? Better than Thiago with those fixtures or not?

  17. Brosstan
    • 11 Years
    3 months, 22 days ago

    xG is so flawed. Give Cunha and Rogers a shot opportunity from the same spot at the corner of the box and xG will tell you that Rogers is overperforming when he scores his while Cunha misses. When its just because Rogers is a much better shooter.

    1. Sir Michael Taker
      • 11 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      I think its outdated. How many knuckleball shots did they model it on? I dont think that technique is in there at all

    2. The Philosopher
      • 5 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      Agree. BS like xG and stuff are distorting the reality of the game for many.

    3. Nightcrawler
      • 6 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      Ur interpretation is flawed. XG is a fixed metric. It's how much u value it for players that's up to U

      It's like burnley at home for west ham and for arsenal. The fixture (the fixed metric) on paper is the same but our interpretation is it's an easier fixture for arsenal.

      1. GreennRed
        • 14 Years
        3 months, 22 days ago

        The FDR is also flawed. Set out at start of season, not reflecting current form. Good for defenders and keepers, reflects CS chance. But is for team results, not individuals. Calvert Lewin could get a goal and assist in a 2-3 defeat but many would avoid picking him because the FDR, correctly, predicts a Leeds defeat.

        1. Nightcrawler
          • 6 Years
          3 months, 22 days ago

          I've never really used fdr but you're probably right. With xg I can't watch every game so it gives an indication about how much the player is at least involved in attacks. The rest is up to me and my knowledge about a player
          An xg if 5 probably yields Haaland 10 goals but only about 4 for DCL

          1. GreennRed
            • 14 Years
            3 months, 22 days ago

            I prefer form over xG.

            Form = confidence.

            xG = opportunities but like you said Haaland will stick most of them, DCL won't. But DCL price good for returns and enables upgrading elsewhere.

        2. Tonyawesome69
          • 7 Years
          3 months, 22 days ago

          The FDR is based on a complex algorithm developed by FPL experts.

          A set of formulas process key Opta data variables, along with each team's home and away form for the past six matches, to generate a rank for the perceived difficulty of each Gameweek opponent.

          The FDR is designed to help FPL managers plan their transfer and team selection strategy. It is reviewed on a weekly basis and updated as the season progresses.

          https://fantasy.premierleague.com/fixtures/fdr

          1. GreennRed
            • 14 Years
            3 months, 22 days ago

            Cheers Tony. I thought it didn't change throughout the season.

            1. Tonyawesome69
              • 7 Years
              3 months, 22 days ago

              Yeah it changes throughout the season. I wasn't aware it's reviewed on a weekly basis

              1. GreennRed
                • 14 Years
                3 months, 22 days ago

                I'm doing crap, consistently! But I think too many are too cautious looking at FDR as a criteria for buying and selling. Form attackers will do alright against better teams. And with defcon there's still defender points opportunities without a cleansheet.

        3. mookie
          • 12 Years
          3 months, 22 days ago

          FDR is misleading because it only takes into account the opponent.

          Example:
          Sunderland are playing Leeds at home this week and are projected to score 1,2 goals.
          Liverpool are playing Leeds at home next week and are projected to score 2,2 goals.
          Leeds as an opponent has the same color for both, because the strength of team playing them is completely ignored.

          https://x.com/robtFPL/status/2001210806210363889

          1. GreennRed
            • 14 Years
            3 months, 22 days ago

            Maybe the flaw is not with FDR then but in peoples interpretation that a team's predicted result can affect an individual form player's attacking potential. Good for keepers and defenders because conceding a goal impacts all of them. Mids also lose 1 point for losing a cleansheet. But them and forwards can still get attacking returns, especially if they're in form. So maybe heed it for defenders and keepers but less for form attacking players.

      2. Brosstan
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 22 days ago

        My interpretation is exactly what you said.. It is different for every individual player.

        So yea I should have said "the application of xG is flawed". But the way its applied by CCs and sites is completely at face value. Like the weekly "goals imminent" table doesnt take into account at all who the player with the xG is. If some crappy player like Chris Brunt who used to take 20 pot shots every game was still in the PL he would be amassing over 1xg per game from all his shitty shots while still having 0 chance to score, and people would own him and talk about how unlucky they are with their "stats based approach":

        1. GreennRed
          • 14 Years
          3 months, 22 days ago

          Would we hear and read so much xG clickbait without betting companies plugging it on radio, TV, podcasts, websites?

    4. GreennRed
      • 14 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      I don't think he's a much better shooter than Cunha usually but, like with Watkins before, Emery has boosted his confidence. Currently better returnd than Cunha but Amorim doesn't improve players like Emery can.

    5. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      xG is useful as a metric for the quality of a given chance and the amount across a match.

      It's a bit less useful per player, but you can modify it with consistent over performance for the better quality finishers.

      Haaland will also benefit from his positional play and where he is able to shoot from. So it is useful still.

    6. wiseguy
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      Your example shows the value of xG. It gives you a quantifiable way to see how much better Rogers is at shooting than Cunha. Not sure what the flaw is in this particular example?

      1. mookie
        • 12 Years
        3 months, 22 days ago

        xG = quality of chance before shot
        xGOT = quality of shot on target

        Since start of last season:
        Rogers: 9,5 xG > 12,0 xGOT
        Cunha: 12,9 xG > 13,3 xGOT
        *fotmob numbers

        ^based on that Rogers is the better shooter

        Outcome:
        Cunha 18 goals in 3625 minutes
        Rogers 15 goals in 4631 minutes

        If xG is nonsense, then you should definitely go for the guy scoring every 200 minutes over the one scoring every 300 minutes.

      2. Sir Michael Taker
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 22 days ago

        I think its just flawed because most of its data is historic. Penalties arent missed 22% of the time or whatever xg says, players have perfected their technique and the rules around keepers have changed. Players better at striking the ball from distance in ways that xg never accounted for. The game evolves and if you have a large amount of your model based on historic data then how relevant is that applying it to todays footballers?

      3. mookie
        • 12 Years
        3 months, 22 days ago

        Sorry wiseguy, it was meant as a reply to Brosstan.

        1. mookie
          • 12 Years
          3 months, 22 days ago

          Jeez! Reply fail to a reply fail.

  18. Sfowl123
    • 3 Years
    3 months, 22 days ago

    Best Fernandes replacement:

    Cunha?
    Rogers?
    Someone else?

    1. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      Cunha for fixtures

  19. THFC4LIFE
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 months, 22 days ago

    Who to play this week lads?

    A. Chalobah
    B. Guehi

    Cheers

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      Normally Chalabah

      Especially with the Palace schedule continuing tomorrow.

      Presumably they'll go full strength at Arsenal?

  20. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 months, 22 days ago

    Would you prioritise getting Ekitike back in, rather than Cunha with the Bruno cash if it's an either, or?

    1. GreennRed
      • 14 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      Take a hit for both if you have Rogers.

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 22 days ago

        I've got 3 FTs, but in two I can't afford both with £7.3m in midfield.

        I could downgrade Senesi or BrunoG to manage it just about without a hit.

      2. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 22 days ago

        I don't have Rogers, yet.

        So I can get him or Rice in two moves with the Ekitike switch.

  21. -GK22-
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    3 months, 22 days ago

    Worth -4 to get Bruno out or bench for M.Fernandes

    Raya
    Timber, VVd, Chalobah
    Rice, Wilson, Foden, Bruno*
    Haaland, Thiago, Ekitike

    Dub, Feenandes, Andersen, rodon

    1. GreennRed
      • 14 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      Yes.

  22. shirtless
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 months, 22 days ago

    I was happy with my team but in two weeks I've lost KDH and now Bruno. Luckily still have my wildcard!
    Should I switch to 3-4-3 and get Ekitike, or stay in 3-5-2 and go Cunha?
    I need a keeper too..
    Did Bruno>Rogers last night who I regret selling for Saka two weeks ago so now have 2.4m ITB.
    Any thoughts on the best way to set-up..?

    Dubravka
    Cucerella Gvardiol VanDeVen
    Saka Foden Rogers Semenyo KDH
    Haaland(c) Thiago

    Darlow Guiu Rodon Hartman

    1. ran
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      Definitely Ekitike.

      Two awesome games to play consecutively at home. Can't get any better than that.

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      I'd wildcard to Haaland and Ekitike there.

      Possibly with DCL as the third striker but you may have missed his purple patch.

      If wildcarding you can chose Cunha over Saka if you prefer.

      There's an advantage to wildcard now.

      1. shirtless
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        3 months, 22 days ago

        Thanks all. I'm thinking Ekitike too as he has no competition. I still have 4 FTs too after the wildcard.

  23. ran
    • 4 Years
    3 months, 22 days ago

    Is BrunoF confirmed to be out?

    1. GreennRed
      • 14 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      No. But speculated return date of January 7th.

      https://www.premierinjuries.com/injury-table.php

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      Red flagged.

      Hamstring, or soft muscle injury.

      Would be pretty unusual for him to be able to play soon

      Unless it was just a twinge and a precautionary benching?

    3. ran
      • 4 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      It will be mind boggling if it was just a safety precaution and he miraculously plays this weekend lol.

      How insane that would be!

  24. Khalico
    • 10 Years
    3 months, 22 days ago

    Would you have

    A. Virgil, Saliba, DCL
    B. Chalobah, Guehi, Woltemade

    1. GreennRed
      • 14 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      Can you get Saliba, Guehi, DCL?

  25. FlyingCanary
    • 7 Years
    3 months, 22 days ago

    Do we have pressers before the 26th deadline?

    1. Tonyawesome69
      • 7 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      Yes, we will likely have the majority of the pressers on 26th Dec before 6:30pm deadline

      1. AC/DC AFC
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        3 months, 22 days ago

        There may be short ones

        Even though the teams will be in for training

        You'd think a lot of the media would value a day or two off

        On 25 and 26 December.

        Maybe there will be some on Wednesday instead?

        1. FlyingCanary
          • 7 Years
          3 months, 22 days ago

          Great! Cheers both! … yeah wasn’t sure if they would have a day off either

  26. aapoman
    • 12 Years
    3 months, 22 days ago

    4ft and 0.0itb. Do these moves make any sense? BrunoF + Rodon + Anderson -> Cunha + Tarkowski + Le Fee. Team would then be:

    Raya
    Timber VVD Tarkowski
    Saka Foden BrunoG Cunha LeFee
    Haaland Thiago

    Dubravka; Andersen, Richards, Guiu

    Or do I just have to get Ekitike?

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      Looks okay

      If happy to play LeFee each week.

      Guiu does restrict a squad structure and options for the attacking 7.

    2. GreennRed
      • 14 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      Can you go Bruno and Thiago to Wilson and Ekitike?

  27. Khalico
    • 10 Years
    3 months, 22 days ago

    Best 4.5m keeper? Kelleher, Verbruggen, Petrovic

  28. AC/DC AFC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 months, 22 days ago

    3 FTs

    Just use them all and ignore Rogers and Rice for now, can always sell Semenyo in a few weeks for one of them.

    Senesi to Bijol.
    B.Fernandes to Cunha.
    Thiago to Ekitiké.

    £0.2m to play with. Have Mukiele in my backline already.

    Worth it?

  29. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    3 months, 22 days ago

    Senesi is a DC beast but BOU are awful away from home and have some very tough games coming up including the next two away from home. Would you ditch him for Keane for free?

    1. GreennRed
      • 14 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      No.

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      He's close to going in my squad

      1. Jet5605
        • 11 Years
        3 months, 22 days ago

        You're buying him or ditching?

    3. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      3 months, 22 days ago

      Yes