FPL
23 February 2026 247 comments
avfc82 avfc82
Share:

Gameweek 28 presents various transfer dilemmas for Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers.

Based on fixtures, form and injuries, these players are being transferred in/out the most.

PlayerTransfers in (round)PlayerTransfers out (round)
Nico O’Reilly229,082Enzo Fernandez129,762
Virgil van Dijk173,872Trevoh Chalobah126,896
Dominik Szoboszlai87,058Jurrien Timber85,803
Igor Thiago81,846Bruno Guimaraes83,992
Antoine Semenyo75,110Marc Guehi70,929
James Hill60,805Joao Pedro61,443
Harry Wilson52,807Marc Cucurella57,514
Joao Pedro50,678Maxence Lacroix54,305
Hugo Ekitike49,067Florian Wirtz43,413
Bruno Fernandes35,798Declan Rice43,106
Bryan Mbeumo33,218Cole Palmer38,394
Rayan32,475Igor Thiago37,855
Caoimhin Kelleher32,219Nordi Mukiele36,860
Dango Ouattara31,221Morgan Rogers36,400

But whether it’s a good idea remains open to debate.

Here, we share our thoughts on who to buy, keep and sell in Gameweek 28.

We’ll try to avoid repetition with previous weeks. For example, Virgil van Dijk (£6.0m) and Rayan (£5.6m) were both ‘buys’ last week, so we’ll not cover those two again.

ENZO FERNANDEZ

FPL notes: Salah up top, Enzo 10, Sanchez boost + Palmer injury 7

Saturday was one of Enzo Fernandez’s (£6.8m) worst performances of the season. Wasteful in possession, he ended the match against Burnley with just one shot and zero chances created, even in a No 10 role.

Prior to that, the box-to-box midfielder blanked against Leeds United and Wolverhampton Wanderers. He’s now failed to produce a return in over 270 minutes of football.

His value has consequently dropped to £6.8m, yet he is still owned by 21.6% of Fantasy managers.

This is partly because Enzo is the top FPL midfielder for expected goals (xG) in 2025/26. He’s also on penalties when Cole Palmer (£10.6m) isn’t on the pitch and has been playing an advanced role since the appointment of Liam Rosenior.  

“I enjoy it a lot I’ve been able to add goals and assists to my game. I’ve been feeling good; the coach gives me freedom. He gives me freedom to express myself in the final metres of the pitch and I’ve been feeling good.” – Enzo Fernandez

It’s also important to mention that Enzo is averaging 88.8 minutes per appearance under his new head coach, so he’s clearly an integral part of the new set-up.

However, Chelsea have some really tough fixtures on the way, especially from a defensive perspective, with five of their next six opponents all in the top half for fewest expected goals conceded (xGC) in 2025/26.

You could therefore switch Enzo out for any of Harry Wilson (£5.9m), Dango Ouattara (£5.9m) or Rayan, who are not only cheaper, but also have higher-upside fixtures to target.

VERDICT: SELL

NICO O’REILLY

Who are the best Gabriel replacements in FPL? 1

Highlighted in last week’s Spot the Differential column, Nico O’Reilly (£5.0m) has been the standout Fantasy performer over the last two Gameweeks, with 30 points.

It’s coincided with his ‘out-of-position’ role as a left-sided No 8 in Pep Guardiola’s 4-1-3-2, which you can see below.

Across those two encounters with Fulham and Newcastle United, O’Reilly has found the net three times.

He’s also racked up seven shots, the most of any Manchester City player in that timeframe. His eight penalty box touches are only surpassed by Erling Haaland (£14.8m) and Antoine Semenyo (£8.0m).

“Nico gives us in the middle that physicality that we need. He now plays in his position. He has always played that, he is so complete and so young.” – Pep Guardiola on Nico O’Reilly

So, there is clearly plenty to like, with O’Reilly’s next three fixtures (lee/NFO/whu) adding further appeal.

There is a caveat, however: Man City could potentially blank in Gameweek 31, which you need to factor in.

That could impact O’Reilly’s appeal, but like Semenyo, there are points to play for over the next three Gameweeks, which should not be overlooked.

The upside is certainly there, so if you can incorporate him into your strategy without taking multiple hits further down the line, it feels like a really solid move.

VERDICT: BUY, JUST BE AWARE OF HIS LIKELY BLANK IN GAMEWEEK 31

JOAO PEDRO

Mbeumo, Pedro, Ekitike: Buy, keep or sell in Gameweek 24?

Enzo’s team-mate Joao Pedro (£7.7m) appears in both the top 10 lists for transfers in and out this week, so it’s the classic form v fixtures debate which is dividing the community.

The Brazilian has flourished since Rosenior’s arrival, finding the net five times and providing as many assists in only six Premier League appearances. In that period, he’s comfortably outscored every other FPL player, with 55 points.

Predominantly leading the line as a number nine, he’s clearly in a really good moment.

“Every player works on being the best player they can be, regardless of the role they’re asked to carry out. For Joao, he’s had real rhythm. I’ve asked him to do different things and he’s taken it on board and put it into practice. He’s been outstanding. The quality has never been in doubt. The true test for Joao now – which is the exciting thing – is if he can maintain this level of intensity and this level of quality, he can be one of the best strikers in world football. I truly believe that. It’s a possibility at the moment if he maintains this level.” – Liam Rosenior on Joao Pedro

Interestingly, Pedro’s shot chart under Rosenior (see below) is looking pretty healthy, too, which hasn’t always been the case for the Brazilian during his time at Stamford Bridge.

However, it is worth noting that the ex-Brighton and Hove Albion forward is significantly overperforming his expected assists (xA) of 0.35 over the last six Gameweeks, with only one of his five assists in that period of the ‘Opta’ variety, so expect a bit of regression here.

Additionally, a trip to Arsenal in Gameweek 28 kicks off a really tricky run for Chelsea, so given the Blues’ iffy recent form, Pedro remains a viable candidate to sell.

And while it doesn’t have to be a priority move, if you don’t already own penalty-taker Igor Thiago (£7.1m), it is definitely a transfer to consider given Brentford’s fixture outlook.

VERDICT: SELL, BUT NOT A PRIORITY


MORGAN ROGERS

Zophar's FPL Gameweek 1 dilemmas: Rogers, Spurs + how sharp will Chelsea be? 1

Morgan Rogers (£7.6m) has scored just one goal in 891 minutes of football in Gameweeks 18-27.

It’s in sharp contrast to his output earlier this season, when he plundered seven goals in 10 appearances from October to December. In that period, it appeared that everything Rogers hit, in or outside the box, flew into the net.

However, not much has changed in terms of his underlying goal threat stats recently. If anything, they’ve got better.

Above: Morgan Rogers’ shot map in Gameweeks 8-17 (left) and Gameweeks 18-27 (right)

He’s still creating opportunities for his teammates, too, but Aston Villa are clearly lacking quality in the final-third right now, with Ollie Watkins (£8.6m) in particular underperforming.

Injuries to Boubacar Kamara (£4.9m), Youri Tielemans (£5.9m) and John McGinn (£5.4m) in midfield aren’t helping either.

As a result, Unai Emery’s men have scored just five times in their last eight Premier League matches, with opponents successfully marking Rogers out of the game.

A consistent starter who regularly plays 90 minutes, Rogers is likely worth retaining for Friday’s trip to Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Nevertheless, a decision will likely need to be made after, with clashes against UEFA Champions League rivals Chelsea and Manchester United in Gameweeks 29 and 30.

VERDICT: KEEP, POTENTIAL SELL IN GAMEWEEK 29


price change predictions
247 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. All Hail K
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    A nice red Valentine's Day arrow for me with Van Hecke and Wilson laughing at me from the bench.

    I thought Captain Palmer vs Burnley was gold. What to do?

    1. RICICLE
      • 3 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      What can ya do? Move on to next GW for another abysmal display from our teams, rinse & repeat hehe!!

  2. rainy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 10 Years
    1 month, 24 days ago

    Price changes 24th February

    Rise:
    Hill 4.1

    Falls:
    Reijnders 5.0
    Dorgu 4.2

    1. All Hail K
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      Cheers Rainy.

    2. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      1 month, 23 days ago

      Hill was supposed to wait until later today to go up!

  3. Airbag
      1 month, 24 days ago

      Wildcard -

      Kelleher
      Darlow

      Konate
      Gabriel
      O Reilly
      Hill
      Rondon

      Rice
      Rayan
      Semenyo
      Rogers
      Mbeumo

      Thiago
      Haaland
      Ekitke

      1. RICICLE
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        It a huge fan of Ekitike, think he’s a huge waste of funds, I reckon Wilson or Sango needs to be in there, defo wouldn’t include Rice now on a WC, Rayan is a punt too far for me personally. Has to be VVD over Konate. Hate Rogers as a lick as well.
        Overall I think much can be improved here bud imo.

        1. RICICLE
          • 3 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Dango*

      2. MissouriMarten
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 23 days ago

        Five GW31 blankers - what's the plan, FH?

    • JT11fc
      • 7 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      Stuck in the Liverpool versus Brentford versus do nothing dilema.
      Currently have this having got Vvd in for Munoz before priced out.
      Thinking Thiago or Dango but a Sloboz or even DCL is tempting

      Roefs
      Gab Chalobah Vvd
      Semenyo Bruno Mbeumo Enzo Rogers
      Haaland Pedro

      Dub Timber Alderete Mane

      1. Bruno Commando
        • 11 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Thiago has been frustrating to own but the upcoming good run of fixtures can hopefully change that.

        Sloboz is a good punt given Pool's fixtures but I think Thiago has higher ceiling.

        1. JT11fc
          • 7 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Thanks, Ye I like the pens and directness of Thiago, but thats kinda why I like DCL from next too...

    • thetommy14
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      Thoughts on this team? GTG?
      0,0m ITB

      Verbruggen
      Gabriel, VVD, O’Reilly
      Saka, Bruno, Mbeumo, Wirtz, Semenyo
      Haaland, Thiago

      Dubravka, Mukiele, Rodon, Guiu

      1. Vazza
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Same as my team with the exception of the following

        Verbruggen, Saka, Semenyo
        =>
        A. Becker, Palmer, Rice

    • Vazza
      • 5 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      Which combo is better

      A. Maguire, Raya
      B. O’Reilly, A. Becker

      1. GunnerStorm
        • 11 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        A. Not sure O'Reilly keeps this up.

      2. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        A

    • Sz21
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      What would you do here?
      About 8 starters atm for 31.

      Enzo -> Dango/Tavernier possibly- leaving 1 more move.
      Then something like Timber to VVD or Cash to Hill.

      Kelleher.
      Timber, Gabriel, O'Reilly.
      Bruno F, Wirtz, Rogers, Semenyo, Enzo.
      Haaland, Thiago.
      Dubravka, Cash, Alderete, Obi.
      2ft's, 0.0m ITB.

      1. GunnerStorm
        • 11 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        I got VVD and would get Dango

        1. Sz21
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Was so tempted to go Timber - VVD last GW but thought better of it.
          Cost a nice solid points that!

      2. carlmas
        • 3 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        I'd say Dango and Hill to average better next 3 GWs
        https://fplprophet.com/ to optimize your team

      3. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Yes enzo to dango and vvd

    • SpaceCadet
      • 12 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      Team g2g for this gw? Plan to sell rice > gordon before bgw31.

      sanchez
      gabriel vvd mukiele
      bruno semenyo rice wilson
      haaland thiago pedro

      dubravka anderson vdv dioug

      1. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Gtg

    • IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
      • 8 Years
      1 month, 24 days ago

      Early thoughts on this team guys. Desperately need some green arrows

      Verbruggen
      Gabriel timber chalobah
      Bruno rogers rice wirtz enzo
      Haaland ekitike

      Dubs richards Alderete guiu

      3fts 0itb

      A) rice enzo richards to Wilson dango Virgil
      B) enzo chalobah to Wilson/dango Virgil and roll
      C)Get semenyo,mbeumo in the transfers or something else

      1. BananaDrama
          1 month, 23 days ago

          I'd probably go B. Chelsea have been poor defending set pieces, this could actually be a good week fir Rice to get a return

      2. The-Red-1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Thiaw or Tarkowski to O'Reilly for -4?

        1. GunnerStorm
          • 11 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Not for a hit

      3. GunnerStorm
        • 11 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Which Liverpool midfielder to get and why please?

        Cannot make up my mind because:
        Wirtz injury
        Szoboz not many double digit scores
        Macallister can he maintain last gw form
        Gravenbech low points ceiling
        Gakpo meh

        7.8 to spend.

        1. Miguel Sanchez
          • 9 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Wirtz if fit, if not skip

          1. GunnerStorm
            • 11 Years
            1 month, 24 days ago

            Thanks. Will wait for Wirtz news.

        2. Bobby Crush
          • 11 Years
          1 month, 23 days ago

          Wirtz, unless Szobo is released from RB.

      4. Miguel Sanchez
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Form or fixtures, start one:

        A) Rogers (wol)
        B) JPedro (ars)

        1. aleksios
          • 10 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Has to be Rogers.

        2. GunnerStorm
          • 11 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          Yep ,A

        3. Cojones of Destiny
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 23 days ago

          B

      5. aleksios
        • 10 Years
        1 month, 24 days ago

        Good enough to save ft here? 0.9itb.

        ---Kelleher
        --VVD--Gabriel--Guehi
        --Rice--Semenyo--Bruno--Wilson--Rogers
        ---Haaland--Thiago

        ---Dubr--J.P.--Timber---Chalobah.

        Thanks guys.

        1. GunnerStorm
          • 11 Years
          1 month, 24 days ago

          LGTM

      6. The Mighty Whites
        • 11 Years
        1 month, 23 days ago

        2FT, 1.5 ITB thoughts?

        Raya - Dubravka
        Gabriel - Lacroix - Konsa - Anderson - Gudmundsson
        Bruno F - Mbuemo - Rogers - Rice - Enzo
        Haaland - Ekitike - Guiu

        A: Rice & Guiu to Rayan & Thiago
        B: Rice & Enzo to Wirtz / Semenyo & Wilson / Dango / Rayan
        C: Other

      7. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 11 Years
        1 month, 23 days ago

        When will we know if city palargoes ahead in gw31? Cheers

        1. Miguel Sanchez
          • 9 Years
          1 month, 23 days ago

          Not until the next round of the cup has concluded and we know if City have progressed or not

      8. Big Sam Time
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 23 days ago

        Morning guys, so this is my current team, is it good to go?

        Verbruggan
        Van dijk, van hecke, Gabriel
        Wirtz, Bruno Fernandes, Rogers, odango, Wilson
        Haaland, Thiago

        Bench, dubravka, Munoz, chalobah, kroupi jr

        1. Ajax Hamsterdam
          • 11 Years
          1 month, 23 days ago

          Nice

          1. Big Sam Time
            • 8 Years
            1 month, 23 days ago

            Thanks 🙂

      9. Ajax Hamsterdam
        • 11 Years
        1 month, 23 days ago

        Would you sell chalobah?

        I also have Munoz but could keep until Leeds fixture

        Cheers

        1. Miguel Sanchez
          • 9 Years
          1 month, 23 days ago

          I would sell Chalobah to Virgil if you can

      10. Brosstan
        • 11 Years
        1 month, 23 days ago

        Horror week after horror week. Neverending. Down to 650k again with OReilly laughing from the bench. I haven't had bench jam a single time this entire season. Hate this game.

        1. FPL Virgin
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          1 month, 23 days ago

          At least you have got O'Reilly. You're in a better position than non owners.

          1. Brosstan
            • 11 Years
            1 month, 23 days ago

            No Im not. I start him this GW and he gets 1 point against Leeds. Its like that every week. Theres some kind of universe bending effect at play. Whoever I have first on the bench will haul.

            1. FPL Virgin
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              1 month, 23 days ago

              It all depends on whether Pep will start his wingers Savinho and Doku (who is coming back) and change the wingerless system that pushes O'Reilly far forward. Wait for predicted line ups but Neale said "Pep likes to stick with tactical approaches while they’re working" so it is looking good for you to start O'Reilly at Leeds.

        2. Mighty Wings
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          1 month, 23 days ago

          Season over. Again...

      11. Peace-o
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 23 days ago

        Start Andersen against Tottenham?
        Or Sensei against Sunderland?

        1. GunnerStorm
          • 11 Years
          1 month, 23 days ago

          Senesi. What is the rest of your team?

      12. aapoman
        • 12 Years
        1 month, 23 days ago

        4ft and 2.2it. Willing to shake things up massively

        Kelleher
        Gabriel Timber Andersen
        Bruno Mbeumo Rice Enzo Anderson
        Haaland Thiago

        Dubravka; Tarkowski, Mane, Rodon

        Do these moves make sense? Timber + Tarkowski + Enzo -> VVD + O'Reilly + Wirtz (if fit)

        1. GunnerStorm
          • 11 Years
          1 month, 23 days ago

          Not sure about O'Reilly. Other moves look good

          1. aapoman
            • 12 Years
            1 month, 23 days ago

            Next 3 fixtures are still great for him. Also I have so many transfers I can easily sell him gw31 if they blank

        2. FPL Virgin
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          1 month, 23 days ago

          Look like good moves. Dango if Wirtz isn't fit.

      13. marcus2704
        • 15 Years
        1 month, 23 days ago

        Week in week out, I lose points on Hill just because he plays for Bournemouth. G2G, or swap out Chalobah and bring in and play O'Reilly over Hill?

        Martinez
        Gabriel | VVD | Hill (Munoz, Chalobah)
        Bruno F (C) | Mbeumo | Palmer | Semenyo (Rice)
        Thiago | Etike | Pedro

      14. it lies in the proles
        • 9 Years
        1 month, 23 days ago

        A) Palmer and G.Jesus to Rayan and Etikité

        B) Chabolah and Cherki to O’Reilly and Rayan

        C) Chabolah, Palmer, Cherki, G.Jesus, to O’Reilly, Mbeumo, Rayan and Etikité Jr -8

      15. g40steve
        • 8 Years
        1 month, 23 days ago

        Worth WC three reds?

        Used FT on Timber > Virgil

        Kelleher
        Guehi, Hill, Virgil
        Palmer, Rogers, Bruno, Rice
        Haaland, JP, Ekitike

        Dubs Wilson Gabriel Muki

        0.3

      16. corderz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        1 month, 23 days ago

        A) Rayan
        B) Ouatarra
        C) Wilson

        1. FPL Virgin
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          1 month, 23 days ago

          B.

          Worried about Bobb eating into Wilson's minutes. Rayan feels more like your gameweek one 5.5 pick.

      17. Vazza
        • 5 Years
        1 month, 23 days ago

        Which combo is better

        A. Maguire, Raya
        B. O’Reilly, A. Becker.

        1. OH... KEVIN DE BRUYNE
            1 month, 23 days ago

            a

          • Cojones of Destiny
            • 8 Years
            1 month, 23 days ago

            none tbh Id try to strech to VVD and whoever non citeh

        2. Cojones of Destiny
          • 8 Years
          1 month, 23 days ago

          who to bench lads :
          Mbeumo - Rogers - Dango - Wilson - Bruno
          Haaland - Thiago - Pedro

          1. OH... KEVIN DE BRUYNE
              1 month, 23 days ago

              pedro

            • FPL Virgin
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 9 Years
              1 month, 23 days ago

              Think you need to sell one, not bench one.

              1. Cojones of Destiny
                • 8 Years
                1 month, 23 days ago

                like which one ?

                1. FPL Virgin
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 9 Years
                  1 month, 23 days ago

                  Rogers after Wolves.

                  Then bring Pedro back in after benching him for Arsenal.

                  1. Cojones of Destiny
                    • 8 Years
                    1 month, 23 days ago

                    thx

          2. tbos83
            • 5 Years
            1 month, 23 days ago

            2ft. What to do? Chalobah, Enzo >

            A) Hill, Semenyo
            B) VVD, Wilson

            Roefs
            Gabriel Chalobah Timber
            Enzo BrunoF Rogers Rice
            Haaland Thiago Pedro

            Dubravka Rodon LeFee Keane

          3. OH... KEVIN DE BRUYNE
              1 month, 23 days ago

              is reinildo to hill worth a transfer?
              my defence is:
              gab, vvd, van hecke, richards, reinildo

              1. FPL Blow-In
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 13 Years
                1 month, 23 days ago

                If nothing else pressing why not

                1. OH... KEVIN DE BRUYNE
                    1 month, 23 days ago

                    who would you start from those five

                2. Cojones of Destiny
                  • 8 Years
                  1 month, 23 days ago

                  nah save a tranny u ve got 3 good defs for this gw

                3. FPL Virgin
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 9 Years
                  1 month, 23 days ago

                  Not unless you've got 5 of them.

              2. FPL Blow-In
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 13 Years
                1 month, 23 days ago

                I had 8 green arrows and 3 red arrows in the first 12 gw’s

                I had 2 green arrows and 13 red arrows in the following 15 gw’s

                1. g40steve
                  • 8 Years
                  1 month, 23 days ago

                  Bugger that’s unlucky

                2. FPL Virgin
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 9 Years
                  1 month, 23 days ago

                  Use your scout membership to turn things around. That's what it's there for.

              3. Brosstan
                • 11 Years
                1 month, 23 days ago

                Picking VVD as my Timber replacement feels so boring. But the fixtures dont lie..

                1. g40steve
                  • 8 Years
                  1 month, 23 days ago

                  25 points last 2 weeks, is killer not owning

                2. FPL Virgin
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 9 Years
                  1 month, 23 days ago

                  But what about the hips?