Spot the Differential
9 October 2026 247 comments
avfc82 avfc82
Share:

Names from Ipswich Town, Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa feature in our differentials column this week.

All three players have a Fantasy Premier League (FPL) ownership of 5% or lower.

JULIO ENCISO

  • FPL ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW6-10 fixtures: FUL | mci | NFO | hul | BOU

While he has failed to deliver any attacking returns in each of his last three matches, we feel that Julio Enciso (£5.5m) shouldn’t be written off ahead of Saturday’s home encounter with Fulham.

The Paraguayan is only £5.5m in FPL and has an ownership of under 1%.

Although he is yet to score this season, he started the campaign with back-to-back assists against Sunderland and Manchester United.

Enciso has impressively racked up 17 shots over the first five Gameweeks, the joint-fourth most of any FPL midfielder…

With a knack for finding the back of the net from outside the box (11 of his 17 shots have come from distance), Enciso’s ability to create attacks is equally important.

Primarily as a No 10, he’s created six chances for his teammates so far this season.

That could be important, too. Fulham are in the bottom four for key passes conceded from the centre of the pitch in Gameweeks 1-5, with 20.

As for Ipswich Town, they surprisingly rank fourth for open play expected goals (xG), with 7.32.

After they host Fulham, who have conceded more big chances than any other side (20), Gary O’Neil’s men have a pretty decent schedule…

Enciso could warrant consideration as a fourth/fifth midfielder, then.

MURILLO

  • FPL ownership: 2.3%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW6-10 fixtures: cry | ARS | ips | bre | MCI

One of the standout defensive contribution (DefCon) performers over the first five Gameweeks, Murillo (£5.5m) could be a decent under-the-radar pick.

The Nottingham Forest centre-back is one of only two FPL defenders to have secured eight DefCon points in 2026/27 so far…

With an average of 10.7 DefCons per 90 minutes, Murillo also carries a bit of goal threat.

He’s had five shots in his last four matches, with four of those attempts from set plays.

Sunday’s opponents, Crystal Palace, have notably conceded 25 attempts from dead-ball situations this season, the fifth-most of any team.

Above: Murillo’s shot map in 2026/27

After five Gameweeks, Nottingham Forest have conceded only 4.77 xG, the second-lowest of any team.

No side in the division can better their tally of only six big chances conceded, either.

Oliver Glasner’s men will subsequently be optimistic about securing away clean sheets at Palace and Ipswich Town over the next three Gameweeks, given that they tend to perform well on the road.

However, Murillo’s ability to rack up DefCons means he could still return points even in the tougher upcoming fixtures against Arsenal, Brentford and Manchester City.

Certainly, without Europe or the EFL Cup, Murillo should be a nice ‘set-and-forget’ option right through until the end of the year.

JOHAN MANZAMBI

FPL notes: Manzambi haul, Porro injury + goals for Spurs 2

  • FPL ownership: 0.5%
  • Price: £5.9m
  • GW6-10 fixtures: BRE | new | MCI | FUL | mun

After an impressive full debut in Aston Villa’s 3-2 win over Tottenham Hotspur prior to the international break, Johan Manzambi (£5.9m) is a differential name to consider.  

The 20-year-old scored and supplied an assist in Gameweek 5, amassing 13 points.

Dovetailing beautifully with Nicolas Jackson (£6.5m), he racked up four shots and two chances created in north London. It offers an exciting glimpse into what Unai Emery could potentially develop with his new group of players.

Above: Aston Villa’s average position map v Tottenham Hotspur in Gameweek 5, featuring Manzambi (No 44) and Jackson (No 11)

After the match, Emery added…

“Manzambi played a good match, but he does not understand everything that we want in terms of positioning. His qualities go beyond the tactical idea that I want to achieve with him because he is a fantastic player. Sometimes he must feel free to play and exploit his qualities, but always within our structure.” – Unai Emery on Johan Manzambi

It’s clearly early days for Manzambi. However, he now looks likely to keep his starting berth against Brentford, who have conceded in both of their away matches in 2026/27 so far.

Notably, three of the Villans’ next four matches are on home turf, too.

Manzambi’s arrival at Villa Park was greeted with much anticipation after he produced three goals and two assists in four matches for Switzerland at the World Cup.

With his fitness on the rise and another goal for Murat Yakin’s team against North Macedonia over the international break, he certainly looks like a player who could be worth taking a gamble on if you’re looking for a high-impact differential.


247 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Meta12345
    • 2 Years
    3 hours, 43 mins ago

    Odegaard or gonzalo for the next 5 gwks?

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 10 Years
      2 hours, 1 min ago

      Prefer midfielders, so Odegaard

    2. Efe Ambrose
      • 10 Years
      7 mins ago

      Easy Odegaard, just compare Arsenal and Fulham going forward

  2. Il Capitano
    • 6 Years
    3 hours, 42 mins ago

    2FT 0 ITB

    Trafford
    Calafiori Hall De Cuyper
    Palmer Rogers Odegaard Szob
    Haaland Isak* JP

    Dub - Konsa Egan Slater

    Isak + Szob to Groß + Gonzalo?

    1. jonnybhoy
      • 13 Years
      2 hours, 43 mins ago

      Yep

    2. brianutd-why always we? 20
      • 15 Years
      2 hours, 39 mins ago

      Yes

  3. zdrojo187
    • 11 Years
    3 hours, 36 mins ago

    On WC...
    A) Mbeumo/Cherki/Gonzalo
    B) Semenyo/Schade/Wissa

    Verbruggen/Steele
    Calafiori/Gvardiol/Konsa/Davis/Thomas
    Rogers/Saka/Größ/???/???
    Halaand/JP/???

    1. brianutd-why always we? 20
      • 15 Years
      3 hours, 20 mins ago

      B but not Semenyo

    2. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 10 Years
      2 hours, 41 mins ago

      Mbeumo, Schade, X

  4. AD105
    • 10 Years
    3 hours, 35 mins ago

    A) Roll
    B) Odegaard + Isak > Saka + Gonzalo

    Kinsky
    Califiori Hall DeCuyper
    Odegaard Barnes Gross Palmer Rogers
    Haaland JPedro

    Dubravka Konsa Isak Egan

    1. jonnybhoy
      • 13 Years
      2 hours, 44 mins ago

      B

    2. brianutd-why always we? 20
      • 15 Years
      2 hours, 41 mins ago

      B

  5. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    3 hours, 34 mins ago

    Draft FPL, who scores most this week?

    a) Eze (LEE)
    b) Tavernier (che)
    c) Bobby (ips)

    1. Efe Ambrose
      • 10 Years
      7 mins ago

      B

  6. Joyce1998
    • 10 Years
    3 hours, 32 mins ago

    Thoughts on this wc draft?
    0.1 itb

    Raya
    Calafiori, Hall, De Cuyper
    Bruno.F, Rogers, Barnes, Gross
    Haaland, J.Pedro, Gyokeres

    Dubravka, Davis, Egan, Slater

    1. ebb2sparky
      • 15 Years
      2 hours, 48 mins ago

      I like it although id swap Gyokeres, Davis and Egan to a 6.0 forward, a 5.0 defender and Thomas.

    2. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 10 Years
      2 hours, 39 mins ago

      Prefer some squad depth myself. Gyökeres might not start even if Havertz is out.

  7. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 16 Years
    3 hours, 30 mins ago

    MGW becomes a much worse pick now with both full backs being doubts particularly Williams. Regretting buying him, should have just gone Manzambi

    1. AC/DC AFC
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 hours, 28 mins ago

      I sold Semenyo to MGW last time out!

    2. JBG
      • 8 Years
      3 hours, 16 mins ago

      So what you're saying is, I should bench him for Barry?

    3. Esraj
      • 10 Years
      3 hours, 10 mins ago

      Is Munoz injured? Didn't see anything in the team news. He usually played 90 minutes for palace after coming back from Colombia.

  8. jonnybhoy
    • 13 Years
    3 hours, 26 mins ago

    What do you think? Roll this or think its worth replacing Scott? 4FT 0.1m ITB

    Hornicek
    Calafiori Konsa De Cuyper
    Saka Palmer Rogers Gross
    Haaland Wissa J Pedro

    4m Scott** Muhremovic Egan

    Whos the best replacement for A Scott?

    A) Tavernier
    B) Barnes
    C) King

    1. brianutd-why always we? 20
      • 15 Years
      3 hours, 17 mins ago

      Tough one but King has the fixtures

    2. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 10 Years
      2 hours, 38 mins ago

      A

  9. brianutd-why always we? 20
    • 15 Years
    3 hours, 23 mins ago

    I’m really looking closely at Gross as captain v Sunderland. His form is very good and Sunderland have injuries. Views?

    1. JBG
      • 8 Years
      3 hours, 19 mins ago

      Could pay off tbh, Brighton and Groß on fire.. Hard to tell if this long break ruined that though.

      1. brianutd-why always we? 20
        • 15 Years
        3 hours, 16 mins ago

        Yes but worth a punt I think for this week at least

        1. JBG
          • 8 Years
          3 hours, 15 mins ago

          I agree, punting on Mbuemo, so mine is probably worse XD.

          1. brianutd-why always we? 20
            • 15 Years
            3 hours, 7 mins ago

            Groß has outperformed his data more than any other players so far this season... followed by Joao Pedro!

            Top xGI over performers after 5 weeks!

            1. JBG
              • 8 Years
              3 hours, 2 mins ago

              True, but as long as he keeps getting in the positions he does, he will probably continue to outperform it a bit. Hinshelswood was a great pick because of the way Brighton use their 10s.

    2. ebb2sparky
      • 15 Years
      2 hours, 47 mins ago

      Will he play in the same position now hinshelwood is back?

      1. JBG
        • 8 Years
        2 hours, 45 mins ago

        This GW yes, after that(when Hinsh is 100% back), no.

        1. ebb2sparky
          • 15 Years
          2 hours, 41 mins ago

          Would you buy him on a WC or wait a week for hinshelwood?

          1. JBG
            • 8 Years
            2 hours, 38 mins ago

            Would get him this GW tbh, can easily transfer him out if need be

  10. how now brown cow
    • 12 Years
    3 hours, 23 mins ago

    A - Szoboszlai to Gross
    B - Szoboszlai to Barnes
    C - DCL to Gonzalo

    1. brianutd-why always we? 20
      • 15 Years
      2 hours, 38 mins ago

      C

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 hours, 32 mins ago

      A

  11. ViperStripes
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 17 Years
    3 hours, 21 mins ago

    Who to bench?

    Tav, Palmer, Rogers, Ode, King
    Garcia, Haaland, Pedro

    1. brianutd-why always we? 20
      • 15 Years
      2 hours, 38 mins ago

      Garcia

    2. Esraj
      • 10 Years
      2 hours, 35 mins ago

      Garcia

  12. paulojdsc
    • 7 Years
    3 hours, 20 mins ago

    Best 4.0 defender?

    1. Esraj
      • 10 Years
      3 hours, 18 mins ago

      Thomas

    2. brianutd-why always we? 20
      • 15 Years
      3 hours, 15 mins ago

      Egan (? Price) or Thomas

    3. Bavarian
      • 8 Years
      2 hours, 41 mins ago

      Davis

  13. Harper_
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 hours, 19 mins ago

    Isak + Cherki + Konsa > Gonzalo + Saka + de Cuyper for free?

    1. brianutd-why always we? 20
      • 15 Years
      2 hours, 23 mins ago

      Good plan

    2. Three Pints of Schlager
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      2 hours, 22 mins ago

      I would only replace Isak and maybe Cherki. But keep Konsa.

    3. Evasivo
      • 16 Years
      2 hours, 17 mins ago

      Yes from me

    4. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 10 Years
      1 hour, 40 mins ago

      Yes

  14. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    3 hours, 16 mins ago

    1) Best 5.0 filler for xxx
    2) Switch Palmer & 4.5 -> Rogers & Wissa (bench Tav)

    Leno
    Calafiori, Hall, Davis
    Palmer, Saka, Mbeumo, Tavernier, Gross
    Haaland, Pedro

    Kinsky, Thomas, xxx, 4.5

    1. Moon Dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      1 hour, 43 mins ago

      1. Muharemovic
      2. I wouldn't bring in Wissa. Newcastle have looked bad, Wissa has been playing deep, and Osula might be back.

      1. Jinswick
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        1 hour, 41 mins ago

        Thanks. Reckon Muha is a better option than Silva at BOU? He has better fixtures and also goal threat and DC potential

        1. Moon Dog
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 1 Year
          1 hour, 30 mins ago

          Really like Silva, but with Europe and Scott being injured I'm just not sure atm. Muha just seems like a lock for the season - wouldn't mind playing him in any fixture tbh.

          1. Moon Dog
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 1 Year
            1 hour, 27 mins ago

            Bournemouth still have 0 clean sheets!

  15. Evasivo
    • 16 Years
    3 hours, 14 mins ago

    Final two WCT spots? £15.1ITB

    Verb Tzol
    Cala Tark DeCuyper Hall David
    Saka ……. Rogers Gross Slater
    JPedro ……. Haaland

    Favouring Ode & Wissa tbh

  16. Three Pints of Schlager
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 hours, 8 mins ago

    Crazy this long IB, so many flagged players.

    At least Joao Pedro seems to be back from the dead.

    And I'm sure there will be more surprises with momentum changes and rotation fun.

    Good luck everyone!

    That's actually what it is all about, this whole game is mainly about luck. Of course, you need to push it a little bit, but in the end you can't do anything about VAR mistakes, hitting the crossbar, early subs, other crazy manager decisions, and lucky goals as by Gross, Schade, Davis, etc.

  17. Joyce1998
    • 10 Years
    3 hours, 3 mins ago

    A- Rogers+ Mbeumo
    or
    B- Palmer + Tavernier/Barnes

    1. tissae
      • 11 Years
      3 hours, 2 mins ago

      B + Barnes

    2. Bavarian
      • 8 Years
      2 hours, 37 mins ago

      A

  18. el polako
    • 9 Years
    3 hours, 1 min ago

    J. Timber

    Any takers?

    1. tissae
      • 11 Years
      2 hours, 19 mins ago

      Price too steep

  19. tissae
    • 11 Years
    3 hours ago

    on WC:

    A) Barnes + De Cuyper + Gonzalo (potential bench headache I think)
    B) MGW + Egan + Kostoulas

  20. Skout
    • 7 Years
    2 hours, 56 mins ago

    Priority players to get rid of? Got 3 FTs, 2.7m itb

    Verb
    Califiori Konsa DeCuyper
    Palmer Rogers Ode Gross
    Haaland JPedro Wissa

    Bentley Cherki Ajayi Egan

  21. wagenbach
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    2 hours, 54 mins ago

    Worth considering Thiago as differential despite higher price than 6.0 alternatives?

    1. Gandalf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      2 hours, 48 mins ago

      Yes, he'll start regularly scoring again soon.

  22. Carroll to the rescue
    • 15 Years
    2 hours, 53 mins ago

    Szobo to Saka or Palmer? Either of those moves would cost a -4 this week so wondering if that is worth…

    1. Gandalf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      2 hours, 47 mins ago

      Not worth a hit

  23. Ohh1454
    • 8 Years
    2 hours, 51 mins ago

    Which duo from these ?
    A. Manzambi and Barry
    B. King and Evanilson
    C. Tav and Delap

    1. JBG
      • 8 Years
      2 hours, 49 mins ago

      A

  24. Make FPL Casual Again
    • 8 Years
    2 hours, 49 mins ago

    Mr JP surely a captaincy option now, no?

    1. Bavarian
      • 8 Years
      1 hour, 42 mins ago

      He will not start

      1. Make FPL Casual Again
        • 8 Years
        1 hour, 27 mins ago

        Only missed one game and is now "good to go" in a difficult match..surely starts?

  25. CRAZY TRAIN
    • 15 Years
    2 hours, 45 mins ago

    Who to play out of:
    A) De Cuyper
    B) King
    C) Barry

    1. Moon Dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      2 hours, 27 mins ago

      Only one? Yikes.

      Probably A

      1. CRAZY TRAIN
        • 15 Years
        1 hour, 27 mins ago

        Thanks, that’s who I’m on currently.

  26. Essem
    • 9 Years
    2 hours, 42 mins ago

    The perfect wildcard is here.

    Kinsky
    Gvardiol Calafiori Khalaili
    Saka Gross Schade Rogers MGW
    Haaland JP
    (Forster Gonzalo Van Hecke Thomas)

    Khalaili and Van Hecke are gonna rotate.

    1. WVA
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      2 hours, 40 mins ago

      Makes me happy I’m not wildcarding

      1. Essem
        • 9 Years
        2 hours, 11 mins ago

        Why?

      2. Essem
        • 9 Years
        2 hours, 11 mins ago

        U stuck on Szob lmao

        1. WVA
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          1 hour, 59 mins ago

          Got 2FT bru

        2. WVA
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          1 hour, 57 mins ago

          Still unsure on him

          1. Essem
            • 9 Years
            1 hour, 49 mins ago

            Sell sell sell

  27. WVA
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    2 hours, 41 mins ago

    Does it make sense to bench DCL?

    Kinsky
    Calafiori Gvardiol Hall Konsa
    Bruno Rogers Szoboszlai GroB
    Haaland Pedro
    Dub DCL Davis Slater

    1. Moon Dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      2 hours, 37 mins ago

      Yes, definitely. I would even consider putting Davis ahead of him on the bench.

      1. WVA
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        2 hours, 28 mins ago

        Thanks, tempted to start Davis over Gvardiol

  28. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 10 Years
    2 hours, 40 mins ago

    Best Cherki replacement wirh 8.2mil cash to spend? Not Rogers or Gross

    1. Moon Dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      2 hours, 29 mins ago

      Mbeumo or MGW

      Sesko is looking like a long-term sick note, so Mbeumo is going to be get a lot of time as ST.

  29. Ronnies
    • 11 Years
    2 hours, 39 mins ago

    Best Isak replacement?

    A) Thiago
    B) Garcia
    C) Wissa

    Cheers.

    1. Moon Dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 1 Year
      2 hours, 33 mins ago

      A or B, depends on your plans for money tbh.

      Probably B, there's more bang for your buck in the GK/DF/MF positions imo.

  30. Moon Dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 1 Year
    2 hours, 35 mins ago

    "In the event of a tie between teams, the team who has made the least amount of transfers will be positioned higher. Any transfers made using a wildcard or free hit will not count towards total transfers made."

    Keep rollin'

    1. Gandalf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      1 hour, 33 mins ago

      Just do what you think will get the most number of points overall. Really not worth thinking about that.