Spot the Differential
9 October 2026 250 comments
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Names from Ipswich Town, Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa feature in our differentials column this week.

All three players have a Fantasy Premier League (FPL) ownership of 5% or lower.

JULIO ENCISO

  • FPL ownership: 0.8%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW6-10 fixtures: FUL | mci | NFO | hul | BOU

While he has failed to deliver any attacking returns in each of his last three matches, we feel that Julio Enciso (£5.5m) shouldn’t be written off ahead of Saturday’s home encounter with Fulham.

The Paraguayan is only £5.5m in FPL and has an ownership of under 1%.

Although he is yet to score this season, he started the campaign with back-to-back assists against Sunderland and Manchester United.

Enciso has impressively racked up 17 shots over the first five Gameweeks, the joint-fourth most of any FPL midfielder…

With a knack for finding the back of the net from outside the box (11 of his 17 shots have come from distance), Enciso’s ability to create attacks is equally important.

Primarily as a No 10, he’s created six chances for his teammates so far this season.

That could be important, too. Fulham are in the bottom four for key passes conceded from the centre of the pitch in Gameweeks 1-5, with 20.

As for Ipswich Town, they surprisingly rank fourth for open play expected goals (xG), with 7.32.

After they host Fulham, who have conceded more big chances than any other side (20), Gary O’Neil’s men have a pretty decent schedule…

Enciso could warrant consideration as a fourth/fifth midfielder, then.

MURILLO

  • FPL ownership: 2.3%
  • Price: £5.5m
  • GW6-10 fixtures: cry | ARS | ips | bre | MCI

One of the standout defensive contribution (DefCon) performers over the first five Gameweeks, Murillo (£5.5m) could be a decent under-the-radar pick.

The Nottingham Forest centre-back is one of only two FPL defenders to have secured eight DefCon points in 2026/27 so far…

With an average of 10.7 DefCons per 90 minutes, Murillo also carries a bit of goal threat.

He’s had five shots in his last four matches, with four of those attempts from set plays.

Sunday’s opponents, Crystal Palace, have notably conceded 25 attempts from dead-ball situations this season, the fifth-most of any team.

Above: Murillo’s shot map in 2026/27

After five Gameweeks, Nottingham Forest have conceded only 4.77 xG, the second-lowest of any team.

No side in the division can better their tally of only six big chances conceded, either.

Oliver Glasner’s men will subsequently be optimistic about securing away clean sheets at Palace and Ipswich Town over the next three Gameweeks, given that they tend to perform well on the road.

However, Murillo’s ability to rack up DefCons means he could still return points even in the tougher upcoming fixtures against Arsenal, Brentford and Manchester City.

Certainly, without Europe or the EFL Cup, Murillo should be a nice ‘set-and-forget’ option right through until the end of the year.

JOHAN MANZAMBI

FPL notes: Manzambi haul, Porro injury + goals for Spurs 2

  • FPL ownership: 0.5%
  • Price: £5.9m
  • GW6-10 fixtures: BRE | new | MCI | FUL | mun

After an impressive full debut in Aston Villa’s 3-2 win over Tottenham Hotspur prior to the international break, Johan Manzambi (£5.9m) is a differential name to consider.  

The 20-year-old scored and supplied an assist in Gameweek 5, amassing 13 points.

Dovetailing beautifully with Nicolas Jackson (£6.5m), he racked up four shots and two chances created in north London. It offers an exciting glimpse into what Unai Emery could potentially develop with his new group of players.

Above: Aston Villa’s average position map v Tottenham Hotspur in Gameweek 5, featuring Manzambi (No 44) and Jackson (No 11)

After the match, Emery added…

“Manzambi played a good match, but he does not understand everything that we want in terms of positioning. His qualities go beyond the tactical idea that I want to achieve with him because he is a fantastic player. Sometimes he must feel free to play and exploit his qualities, but always within our structure.” – Unai Emery on Johan Manzambi

It’s clearly early days for Manzambi. However, he now looks likely to keep his starting berth against Brentford, who have conceded in both of their away matches in 2026/27 so far.

Notably, three of the Villans’ next four matches are on home turf, too.

Manzambi’s arrival at Villa Park was greeted with much anticipation after he produced three goals and two assists in four matches for Switzerland at the World Cup.

With his fitness on the rise and another goal for Murat Yakin’s team against North Macedonia over the international break, he certainly looks like a player who could be worth taking a gamble on if you’re looking for a high-impact differential.


250 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. henrysquire
    • 8 Years
    2 hours, 45 mins ago

    Haaland cooks against a weak Pool, right?

    1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 10 Years
      1 hour, 48 mins ago

      Can

    2. Baron Penguin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      1 hour, 41 mins ago

      Could be goals on both sides. No reason not to captain him if that’s your thinking.

      1. Isak injured..hmmm

  2. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
    • 10 Years
    2 hours, 40 mins ago

    Good to go here? BB in 7

    Raya
    Califiori Hall Affengruber
    Bruno Saka Barnes Gross
    Haaland Pedro Kostoulas

    Verbruggen Egan Thomas Slater

    1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
      • 10 Years
      2 hours, 36 mins ago

      Or can pick Leno + Kadioglu + Tav instead of Verb + Affengruber + Barnes

    2. Baron Penguin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      2 hours, 32 mins ago

      Looks good to me

  3. Baron Penguin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    2 hours, 34 mins ago

    Play 2 of:

    1. Egan
    2. Konsa
    3. Mykolenko
    4. Gomez

    Or….

    5. Isak to Gonzalo and play one of the above

    1. Rbyrne95
      • 10 Years
      1 hour, 46 mins ago

      I’ve done 5

  4. Nespinha
    • 10 Years
    2 hours, 30 mins ago

    Opinions welcome, 2FT

    Verbruggen, Kinsky
    Calafiori, Konsa, Ajer, Shaw, Hall
    Fernandes, Gross, Rogers, Tzolis, Sangare
    Haaland, JP, DCL

    A) Tzolis -- Odegaard + roll
    B) Tzolis + Sangare - - Barnes + Schade
    C) WC

    1. One for All
      • 8 Years
      2 hours, 13 mins ago

      B

  5. Sijola
    • 3 Years
    2 hours, 27 mins ago

    Some advice please. I need to replace injured Scott (BOU).

    Current team:

    Raya
    Calafiori - Hall - De Cuyper
    SCOTT - Bruno - Schade - Rogers
    Wissa - JP - Haaland

    Steele - Konsa - Gomez - Ajer

    1 FT. £0.3 ITB.

    Options:

    A. Gross (BRI). I already have 3 Brighton so I'd also need to replace GK Steele with another 4.0 keeper, for a -4 penalty.

    B. Barnes (NEW).

    C. Or a different option?

    Thanks in advance.

    1. One for All
      • 8 Years
      2 hours, 14 mins ago

      B

  6. lekalatch
    • 7 Years
    2 hours, 23 mins ago

    Play WC or keep my team until next week?

    Current team:
    Pickford (Lammens)
    Calafiori Jacquet O’Reilly* (White Ballard*)
    Bruno Mbeumo MGW Rogers (Tzolis*)
    DCL JP Wissa

    1FT, so will have to use that one to get a full 11. So O’Reilly to Tarkowski or another one week punt. Who?
    Then play WC next week

    1. Rbyrne95
      • 10 Years
      1 hour, 44 mins ago

      Suppose the ‘only’ risk with hitting WC this week is if Bruno goes daft and you want him in your team next week. (If you’re removing him)

      1. Rbyrne95
        • 10 Years
        1 hour, 43 mins ago

        Next week would probably have more info on Isak though.

  7. Stranger Mings
    • 5 Years
    2 hours, 22 mins ago

    Anyone know if konsa trained today?

  8. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
    • 10 Years
    2 hours, 21 mins ago

    What do you guys think of these aggressive moves for a hit?

    Cherki Gibbs-White —》》 Saka Schade

    1. bso
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 hour ago

      Cherki to Schade fine...MGW has a good match up. Wouldn't move him this week.

  9. Feed tha Sheep
    • 14 Years
    2 hours, 19 mins ago

    Which transfer this week?

    A. Tzolis > Barnes (and start Diop)
    B. Ballard > De Cupper (Start DCL/Diop)

  10. Count of Monte Hristo
    • 13 Years
    2 hours, 18 mins ago

    (c) Haaland, Palmer or Gabriel?

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 10 Years
      1 hour, 23 mins ago

      Palmer

    2. Ricky - it doesn\'t ta…
      • 15 Years
      1 hour, 18 mins ago

      Rodgers

  11. BlzE_94
    • 12 Years
    2 hours, 17 mins ago

    Gtg? Captain?

    Raya
    Calafiori Hall De Cuyper
    Palmer MGW Rogers Gross
    Haaland Wissa Barry

    Bentley Konsa Gvardiol Belloumi

    1. One for All
      • 8 Years
      2 hours, 15 mins ago

      Going for Haaland

  12. One for All
    • 8 Years
    2 hours, 15 mins ago

    Verbruggen
    Calafiori, Hall, De Cuyper
    Grob, Gibbs White, Palmer, Odegaard, King
    Pedro, Haaland

    Kinsky, Konsa, Egan, Isak

    1FT

    Not sure if Pedro and Konsa will start

    A) Start Pedro
    B) Isak> Gonzalo

    Thanks

  13. FDMS All Starz
    • 11 Years
    2 hours, 14 mins ago

    Who to bench from this front 8:

    Palmer Rogers Saka Gross Szobozlai
    Haaland Pedro Barry

    1. Make United Great Again
      • 14 Years
      1 hour, 21 mins ago

      Szbo

    2. panda07
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      1 hour, 16 mins ago

      Szobo

    3. Tinfoil Deathstar
      • 6 Years
      1 hour, 7 mins ago

      Exactly the same front 8. Currently on Szob. Will change if any leaks on Pedro not starting.

  14. Make United Great Again
    • 14 Years
    2 hours, 13 mins ago

    Odegaard Rogers Palmer MGW Grob
    Wissa Haaland JP.

    Bench one: _____

    Currently benching Odegaard

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 10 Years
      2 hours, 10 mins ago

      I think Wissa

    2. panda07
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      2 hours, 8 mins ago

      Wissa

    3. Gandalf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      1 hour, 50 mins ago

      If benching Odegaard at home to Leeds, then no point having him in your team. I'd bench MGW or Wissa.

    4. it lies in the proles
      • 9 Years
      1 hour, 33 mins ago

      not wissa!

  15. Meta12345
    • 2 Years
    2 hours, 12 mins ago

    Igor thiago or gonzalo for the next two?

    1. panda07
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      1 hour, 17 mins ago

      Gonzalo

  16. Ricky - it doesn\'t ta…
    • 15 Years
    2 hours, 11 mins ago

    Bench one
    A) Palmer
    B) J.Pedro
    C) Rodgers
    D) Gross

  17. panda07
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    2 hours, 10 mins ago

    Who would you bench out of this front 8?

    Palmer MGW Rogers KDH Gross
    Haaland Pedro Barry

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 10 Years
      1 hour, 16 mins ago

      One of the Everton attackers probably

  18. Tinfoil Deathstar
    • 6 Years
    2 hours ago

    Rolling to 5FT. Bench order set correctly?

    Kinsky
    Calafiori Konsa Thiaw
    Saka (vc) Palmer (c) Gross Rogers
    Haaland Pedro Barry

    Dubravka; Szob, Egan, Muharemovic

  19. Conners
    • 7 Years
    1 hour, 59 mins ago

    Which one to start please?

    a) Szob
    b) DCL
    c) Konsa
    d) Murahemovic

    1. Tinfoil Deathstar
      • 6 Years
      1 hour, 57 mins ago

      Probably Konsa but have Szob first bench. But then I played Konsa over Gross last week in a 4-4-2 and we know how that went.

      1. Conners
        • 7 Years
        1 hour, 55 mins ago

        Yeah, I did the same 🙂

        Thanks

    2. Rbyrne95
      • 10 Years
      1 hour, 53 mins ago

      I don’t think Konsa will be 90 min. Muharemovic good defcon. So I’m debating Muharemovic myself instead of Konsa.

      1. Conners
        • 7 Years
        1 hour, 52 mins ago

        Thanks

    3. Coaly
      • 13 Years
      1 hour, 43 mins ago

      C

  20. Joyce1998
    • 10 Years
    1 hour, 58 mins ago

    Thoughts on this wc draft?

    Raya
    Calafiori, Hall, De Cuyper
    Palmer, Saka, Barnes, Gross
    Haaland, J.Pedro, Kostoulas

    Dubravka, Schade, Davis, Bogle

    1. The Mighty One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 17 Years
      1 hour ago

      Great team! Excellent usage of the 3 cheaper MF to get Saka with Palmer. impressive.

  21. Rbyrne95
    • 10 Years
    1 hour, 56 mins ago

    Just transferred Isak > Garcia, feel a bit lost having 3.4itb & 2FT.

    Would folk just leave this? Or consider say, Bruno, De Cupyer or other? (Want rid of Sangare too)

    Raya
    Cala, Hall, Konsa
    Palmer, Barnes, Gross (C), Szobo
    Haaland, Garcia, Pedro

    Steele, Egan, Muhare, Sangare

    1. Tinfoil Deathstar
      • 6 Years
      1 hour, 41 mins ago

      Another transfer will give you a benching headache. Just go with that

  22. thom830g
    • 9 Years
    1 hour, 55 mins ago

    Best Tzolis replacement? 7.2 ITB

    1. thom830g
      • 9 Years
      1 hour ago

      6,6 ITB**

  23. The Mighty One
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 17 Years
    1 hour, 54 mins ago

    Hi team. Almost done with WC. Last question please:

    A = Tark, Schade, Barnes
    vs
    B = Vuskovic, MGW, King

    Thanks!

  24. Flynny
    • 11 Years
    1 hour, 53 mins ago

    Who is the better wildcard option?

    A...silva

    B....van hecke

    Thanks

    1. bso
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      1 hour, 50 mins ago

      So many options, wouldn't chose either.

  25. bso
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    1 hour, 50 mins ago

    Bring in Tavenier or Schade? (for Sangare)

    1. Rbyrne95
      • 10 Years
      49 mins ago

      Long term would say Tav due to fixtures, but it’s up to you really. Low pricing so easy transfers from Schade - Tav

      1. bso
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        36 mins ago

        Thanks mate

  26. DagheMunegu
    • 6 Years
    1 hour, 50 mins ago

    Anything you would change ? 0.6 itb

    Raya
    Cala Hall De Cuyper
    Saka Gross King Rogers
    Haaland Pedro Gonzalo

    Schade Van Hecke Muha

    King to Barnes maybe ?

  27. Skout
    • 7 Years
    1 hour, 47 mins ago

    Odegaard to Saka or something else? Got 3 FTs, 2.7m itb

    Verb
    Califiori Konsa DeCuyper
    Palmer Rogers Ode Gross
    Haaland JPedro Wissa

    Bentley Cherki Ajayi Egan

  28. Stimps
    • 13 Years
    1 hour, 45 mins ago

    Who to Play

    A) Wissa (cov away)
    B) King (ips away)

    King has looked good and Wissa been dog poop recently, but it's Coventry...

    1. Deulofail
      • 10 Years
      1 hour, 41 mins ago

      A for me Stimps

  29. Coaly
    • 13 Years
    1 hour, 44 mins ago

    Isak to Costoulas?

    1. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
      • 10 Years
      1 hour, 39 mins ago

      Yes

  30. Deulofail
    • 10 Years
    1 hour, 42 mins ago

    A.
    GW6: Egeli > Gonzalo (exact cash), bench Konsa
    GW8: BB (Palmer [non-starter], Szobo (BHA), Konsa (EVE), O'Shea (NFO))

    B. Save FT

    Kinsky
    Gabriel Calafiori Konsa* Munoz
    Fernandes Palmer Rogers Schade
    Thiago Pedro

    Palmer | Szobo, O'Shea, Egeli

    1FT. 1.5 ITB

    1. Stimps
      • 13 Years
      1 hour, 39 mins ago

      Save imo