634x258 Preamble
24 May 2015 3813 comments
Mark Mark
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What a difference a year makes.

Just under twelve months ago I was lamenting my worst ever campaign in eight years of playing the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) game. I’d limped over the line, recording a rank of 192,837 – a pretty miserable result for someone who sleeps with the fixture list etched onto the back of his eyelids.

While there was no obvious excuse, it’s fascinating to reflect on the lessons I’d identified back then. It’s even more enlightening to see if I’ve really learnt anything from those struggles, and whether that’s helped me turn things around.

React as quickly as possible to form players and don’t be shy to use hits.
The stubbornness which prompted the slow reaction to the form of Aaron Ramsey and Yaya Toure last season was well documented. This term I’ve been fortunate in that there have been no real equivalents.

I got on Harry Kane in Gameweek 15 and he scored 17 goals in the following 14 weeks. I guess I can take some credit for that. Other than Kane, it’s difficult to identify a bandwagon that got close to surprising us by maintaining form over a long spell. Charlie Austin is probably one I missed for a while – more on him in a moment.

It would have been interesting if, for some reason, I’d resisted Kane, missed the early goals and then allowed my stubborn nature to keep me from acquiring him. That might still be a weakness of mine – this season didn’t really test that too much, although the Austin situation hints that I’ve still got work to do.

As for hits, I’ve certainly used them sparingly, taking just three all season. I’ve no doubt that they can be effective and, as I wrote last weekend, coupling them with a banked transfer to make three changes will be a tactic I will definitely take into next season.

Apply that rule to bandwagaons and hunches alike – if there’s form, back it.
I have had more conviction with my hunches. I backed Sadio Mane the moment he arrived and, while it took me some weeks to acquire him, once he was in, he stayed in. We know how that worked out.

Similarly, I adopted his team-mate Dusan Tadic off the back of his impressive early season statistics and held him long enough to ride out that Gameweek 8 haul.

These were both major turning points in the season but behind all that, my conviction that Eden Hazard would eventually surpass Cesc Fabregas and faith in Branisalv Ivanovic, Diego Costa and early investment in Kane, meant that I ticked over.

I still bought Aleks Kolarov for one Gameweek – just as a Christmas treat.

Don’t beat yourself up about chasing points when signing form players you’ve missed.
For a few weeks, I thought I’d made the wrong decision on Fabregas but Hazard did, by Christmas, emerge as the better option.

I missed some opportunities but, in the main, I jumped on bandwagons around the right time and never really suffered from missing huge hauls.

Charlie Austin hurt me for a while – I was slow on that one, mainly because I felt that, eventually, he and QPR would be worked out. I was right to an extent, but I still missed out on some value hauls that would have probably benefited my season.

I’m not convinced I’ve learnt this lesson yet, then.

Don’t take unnecessary gambles with the captaincy in a bid to make ground.
I think this made an impact. The Gargatron tells me that I used just 10 different captains this time around, indicating that I’ve been more cautious.

For weeks I kept the armband with Diego Costa, lured in by his consistency. It hurt me on occasions and benefited me on others. Following his departure, I’ve largely turned to Sergio Aguero and Eden Hazard.

I think I’ve taken risks two or three times with the armband – it’s hard to say if that’s been a factor in the turnaround. Despite lacking the Luis Suarez option, I’ve been surprised that the captaincy has seemed to be a straightforward decision in the main. With Hazard around, it may well be even easier next season.

Sign dominant centre-backs who win headers
Sign full-backs if they have an outstanding statistic in their favour – normally, crosses or tackles.
These two combine and, in many ways, highlight how a subtle change in rules can change the FPL landscape.

For a good part of last season, I’d backed the attacking full-back over the dominant centre-back and was punished by the bonus system which clearly favoured the latter. I actually doubled on Southampton (Calum Chambers and Luke Shaw), only to eject that tactic when it was clear it was failing miserably.

A year on, the double Southampton full-back has undoubtedly been one of the key strategies when forming our defences. For a good portion of this season, having both Nathaniel Clyne and Ryan Bertrand proved a mini-league game changer.

Overall, the bonus point system was tweaked, raiding full-backs no longer suffered heavily from failed dribbles and, suddenly, there was bonus balance at the back.

I didn’t have to adjust my tactics – the FPL put things right on my behalf.

There’s the new lesson to consider: if there are rule changes for next season, don’t underestimate how they can influence our strategies – however subtle they appear to be.

Don’t be shy spending money on defenders if they also offer goal threat.
Defenders scored 104 goals last season, which has declined to 90 so far this term.

The Chelsea pairing of John Terry and Branislav Ivanovic have benefited most from their attacking menace at set-plays and, by owning the latter all season, I guess I put this one straight.

By prioritising full-backs last season, I turned my back on the points earned from set-piece threat. Given that Seamus Coleman and Leighton Baines have declined in goal output this season, there’s good reason to say that this has been more important than ever.

Arguably I made the right choice. Ivanovic has had that threat at set-plays, whilst also being an attacking full-back providing crosses. With Terry ageing, the Serb will be one of the first names in my 2015/16 squad.

If you think a player is injury prone, he’s likely to eventually live up to that tag.
I need to remind myself of this one over the summer: my Diego Costa habit almost de-railed my season at one point. Eventually, the Chelsea man repaid my faith but, at several stages, I questioned whether I was making a fatal error by holding him too long. I got away with it. Just.

I’ll resist Costa next season. I certainly won’t touch Daniel Sturridge.

Of course, as I also stated this time last year, every season hands us a set of different challenges that will ultimately decide the fate of our campaigns.

Sometimes single transfers like Mane and Tadic can make a major difference, sometimes it’s having conviction in a player like Ivanovic or Hazard that tips the balance. Alongside this, we have to enjoy some fortune – the right injuries at the right time, penalty saves, points from the bench. These can all conspire for and against us and sometimes, they just fall in place.

I’m not sure how much of my season has been down to this luck over my own judgment. I do know that it’s followed on from my worst ever campaign and that, in some ways, that may have helped. Perhaps this will come as some comfort to those who look on this season’s rank and flinch.

While I’ve spent this morning reflecting on the story of my own campaign, much of my focus today will be on the very top of the FPL rankings. Once again, we’re blessed with seeing members of our community competing for the top prize.

Simon March, aka “Dufflinksâ€, looks well placed to seal the title as he seeks to protect a 34-point lead. The likes of Kev Gleave, Jack Wain, Jon Sumner, Stuart Greenacre and AbuBakar Siddiq give chase – all either members of the FFS Leagues, posters on our pages or both.

It’s this that makes me most proud and convinces me that 2014/15 has been a season to savour.

I’ll be pre-ambling your way again in August.

Good luck to all.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

  1. Weasel Boy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Play PVA or Alder?

    Thanks in advance

    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Top of page
      sorry

    2. Viper
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      PVA

    3. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      PVA for possible assist value

    4. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      P.V.A attacking points is the only way you are getting anything out of either of those defenders

    5. Spencer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Keep switching my mind on this too (I have PvA and Bertie). Currently on PvA as I have no Chelsea midfielders or forwards. Poor logic I know.

  2. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Giroud to Benteke worth a hit? I lean towards not . . .

    1. Viper
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Nah

    2. The Nuttmxn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Not for me.

    3. meerlight
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      nope

    4. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Thanks guys

  3. Viper
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    A. Ozil -> Walcott

    B. Ozil -> Bolasie

    C. Ozil -> Mata

    Please help 🙂 Such a tough decision!

    1. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Walcott's exciting but I think I might do Mata

    2. QPR expects... glory!
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      C

    3. The Nuttmxn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      C

    4. meerlight
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      ^ what they say

  4. GuillermoDickero
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    My midfield is:
    Silva Sanchez Ozil Grealish Hazard

    Who to transfer out of those??

    Was thinking Hazard ----> Bolasie
    OR Hazard -----> Bolasie + Ozil -----> Young
    OR Hazard -----> Bolasie + Kane ----> Costa

  5. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    What a great Preamble! Thanks, Mark! Thanks too, for all the comments on my Captaincy earlier this morning - much appreciated! 🙂
    I have taken a hit, because Lukaku rose and Kane fell more than I expected. However, following advice, I am Captaining Lukaku, which I hope will pay for the hit, and then some!
    My moves were:
    Benteke to Lukaku
    Kane to Gomis
    - thus selecting five of the top six in my "Deadly Assassins" table, which has served me so well! 🙂
    Despite my illness, I have had a wonderful Season. More importantly, I have enjoyed, with my wife, the support of this amazing, vibrant community. 😀
    So, I wish you all good luck, and send my love, "agape", to all!

    1. Mílanista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Good luck Doos, see you soon 🙂

    2. Reedy
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      I did Kane to Gomis too. Good luck! 🙂

    3. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      All the best Doos

    4. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Good luck to you good sir

      doing Benteke -- Lukaku you will need it 🙂

    5. Rasping Drive
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Good luck fella!

    6. Chris_White
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Good luck Doos, catcha ya on the flipside 😉

    7. QPR expects... glory!
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Hope you're right on Gomis. Doos. I remembered your table and earlier in the week bought him in for Wickham. Great differential if he pays off today 😀

    8. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Good luck .

    9. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      GL Doos. I'm all about agape, but I can't help thinking of a shocked face with mouth hanging open. 😉

      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Hahaha!!!

    10. Captain Hindsight
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Nice one Doos

    11. meerlight
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      great stuff, but tekkers to lucky luke?

      atb

    12. Every Dog Has Its Day
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Goodluck Doos 🙂

      I also got in Lukaku along with Young!

    13. Saint & Reevesy
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Good on you Doos.

      Glad to see you bounce back, although I have the armband on Bentekkers, so I hope that bit doesn't go to plan.

      Congrats on a decent season.

    14. Joga Bonito®
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Nice one dude. Good luck but I hope your Benteke to Lukaku is a fail 😉

    15. The Nuttmxn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Good luck to you too, Captained Lukaku as well myself.

      You're a top fellow and you're wisdom has been very welcome over the season in aiding me 🙂

    16. Jönny
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Good luck Doos, hope the FPL Gods smile on you today: would be very fitting if your Deadly Assasins come to your aid and push you into the top 5k.

      Considering everything you've had a pretty impressive season! 😉

    17. Optimus.
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Nice one Doos 😀

    18. In Like Flynn.
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      I look forward to having you back in full flow for the next season Doosra.

    19. Scoredelario
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Great post but stop pretending to say bye. You'll be here all summer 😉

      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 6 months ago

        So will my tables - BUT ALL SET TO THE LAST TEN TO TWELVE MATCHES! 😀

    20. FantaCity
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Nice one!

    21. Debauchy
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      May your assassins be Deadly !
      Good Luck Doos

      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 6 months ago

        😀

    22. Wishdom Teeth
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      good luck as I changed my captain costa to lukaku

      1. Wishdom Teeth
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 6 months ago

        if your gomis scores then sigurdson may have assist or two 🙂

  6. SenjorBob
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    news about hazard!

    https://imgflip.com/i/lxekw

    1. SenjorBob
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Glad i Kept HiM!

      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Ooo!

    2. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      How are the gums though 🙂

      1. SenjorBob
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Bit Sore!!

        But Ivanovic sorted him Out with some bonjela! 😀

    3. DeadStarComing
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Official...?

  7. Sol
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Ulloa or Vardy ?

    1. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Ulloa

  8. Carrick Doesn't Deserv…
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    rival had 0.6 ITB and now has 1.2 ITB

    probably done hazard to silva?

    1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Or he might be on the bench and come on with 5 mins to play . Muhahahahahaha

      1. tokara
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 6 months ago

        38 starts, that is what he wants

  9. Raheem's perm
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    So hold on a sec, shouldn't we be captaining Haz now then?!

  10. mahone24
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Ozil to Walcott?

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Yerp

  11. Judas
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    It has got to the point now that if I didnt get Bolasie + Costa I would hugely regret it.

    Lukaku and Mata my other options?

  12. Atters
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Might look simple but start cazorla or mane?

  13. Bubz
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Everybody PANICCCCC!

    1. Perthite
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Argggh!!!

  14. fplking14
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Sanchez + sterling to yaya and siggy for a hit
    And captain Bolasie???

  15. Pablitto
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    is walcot set to start???

    1. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Nobody knows

  16. YouReds
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    If chasing 8 point lead, would you (c) Aguero or Lukaku.

    I am certain he is going Aguero (c), and I think a couple of differentials are enough to close the gap

  17. Dr. Agabuse
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    I wanna sell Kane but I have Vardy and don't want to go all out on Leicester attack.
    One last advice please (with reasoning if you must)
    5,8 to spend

    1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Buy Cisse #Yolo

      1. Dr. Agabuse
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Wouldn't keeping Kane also be Yolo a little?

  18. Van Klinkert Delarosa
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Bench order: PVA, McCarthy, O'shea.

    Good?

  19. Christina.
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Min left?

    1. Judas
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      12

  20. gers23
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Sold Hazard for Charlie Adam.....

  21. #Swish41
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    21 ahead in ML do I:

    A. Giroud (both have) to Benteke

    B. Haz (only I have) to Coutinho (to cover)

    Leaning to A but b looks smart ( though he could easily get tekkers as well)

    Cheers all, and good luck Folks

  22. Weasel Boy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Ok another one.

    Play Ospina or Krul?

  23. EWH2020
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Cazorla to...

    A) Yaya
    B) Walcott

    1. Reedy
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Yaya

      Wally is sideways

  24. Sid07
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Schmcl
    Terry skrtl duff
    Haz silva caz sanchz
    Aguero vardy giroud
    (Cambiso-pva-mcshn)
    1ft 0.6 itb

    1) giroud to lukaku
    2) giroud to benteke
    3) caz to young/bolasie
    4) duff to morgan
    5) any two for a hit

  25. The Red Devil
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    start bertrand or mcshane?

    1. Reedy
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      McShane

  26. Jafooli
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Anyone playing 11:30:00am bingo?

  27. Doar1986
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    A. Schmichael + silva

    B. Courtois + Mata

    1. Reedy
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      A, Cech will 'play some part' I believe

  28. FPL Daniel
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Did he has full training or just running here and there ? Hazard that

    1. Dr. Agabuse
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Just keep now

  29. AlCapwnUK
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    any last second panicking needed?

    Mignolet
    Skrtel, Jagielka, Wasi
    Sanchez, Yaya, Ozil, Bolasie
    Aguero (C), Kane, Giroud

    Won my ML by over 150 points, trying to get back up the OR (currently 60k)

    1. The Red Devil
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      keeping both sanchez & ozil?