634x258 Preamble
24 May 2015 3813 comments
Mark Mark
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What a difference a year makes.

Just under twelve months ago I was lamenting my worst ever campaign in eight years of playing the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) game. I’d limped over the line, recording a rank of 192,837 – a pretty miserable result for someone who sleeps with the fixture list etched onto the back of his eyelids.

While there was no obvious excuse, it’s fascinating to reflect on the lessons I’d identified back then. It’s even more enlightening to see if I’ve really learnt anything from those struggles, and whether that’s helped me turn things around.

React as quickly as possible to form players and don’t be shy to use hits.
The stubbornness which prompted the slow reaction to the form of Aaron Ramsey and Yaya Toure last season was well documented. This term I’ve been fortunate in that there have been no real equivalents.

I got on Harry Kane in Gameweek 15 and he scored 17 goals in the following 14 weeks. I guess I can take some credit for that. Other than Kane, it’s difficult to identify a bandwagon that got close to surprising us by maintaining form over a long spell. Charlie Austin is probably one I missed for a while – more on him in a moment.

It would have been interesting if, for some reason, I’d resisted Kane, missed the early goals and then allowed my stubborn nature to keep me from acquiring him. That might still be a weakness of mine – this season didn’t really test that too much, although the Austin situation hints that I’ve still got work to do.

As for hits, I’ve certainly used them sparingly, taking just three all season. I’ve no doubt that they can be effective and, as I wrote last weekend, coupling them with a banked transfer to make three changes will be a tactic I will definitely take into next season.

Apply that rule to bandwagaons and hunches alike – if there’s form, back it.
I have had more conviction with my hunches. I backed Sadio Mane the moment he arrived and, while it took me some weeks to acquire him, once he was in, he stayed in. We know how that worked out.

Similarly, I adopted his team-mate Dusan Tadic off the back of his impressive early season statistics and held him long enough to ride out that Gameweek 8 haul.

These were both major turning points in the season but behind all that, my conviction that Eden Hazard would eventually surpass Cesc Fabregas and faith in Branisalv Ivanovic, Diego Costa and early investment in Kane, meant that I ticked over.

I still bought Aleks Kolarov for one Gameweek – just as a Christmas treat.

Don’t beat yourself up about chasing points when signing form players you’ve missed.
For a few weeks, I thought I’d made the wrong decision on Fabregas but Hazard did, by Christmas, emerge as the better option.

I missed some opportunities but, in the main, I jumped on bandwagons around the right time and never really suffered from missing huge hauls.

Charlie Austin hurt me for a while – I was slow on that one, mainly because I felt that, eventually, he and QPR would be worked out. I was right to an extent, but I still missed out on some value hauls that would have probably benefited my season.

I’m not convinced I’ve learnt this lesson yet, then.

Don’t take unnecessary gambles with the captaincy in a bid to make ground.
I think this made an impact. The Gargatron tells me that I used just 10 different captains this time around, indicating that I’ve been more cautious.

For weeks I kept the armband with Diego Costa, lured in by his consistency. It hurt me on occasions and benefited me on others. Following his departure, I’ve largely turned to Sergio Aguero and Eden Hazard.

I think I’ve taken risks two or three times with the armband – it’s hard to say if that’s been a factor in the turnaround. Despite lacking the Luis Suarez option, I’ve been surprised that the captaincy has seemed to be a straightforward decision in the main. With Hazard around, it may well be even easier next season.

Sign dominant centre-backs who win headers
Sign full-backs if they have an outstanding statistic in their favour – normally, crosses or tackles.
These two combine and, in many ways, highlight how a subtle change in rules can change the FPL landscape.

For a good part of last season, I’d backed the attacking full-back over the dominant centre-back and was punished by the bonus system which clearly favoured the latter. I actually doubled on Southampton (Calum Chambers and Luke Shaw), only to eject that tactic when it was clear it was failing miserably.

A year on, the double Southampton full-back has undoubtedly been one of the key strategies when forming our defences. For a good portion of this season, having both Nathaniel Clyne and Ryan Bertrand proved a mini-league game changer.

Overall, the bonus point system was tweaked, raiding full-backs no longer suffered heavily from failed dribbles and, suddenly, there was bonus balance at the back.

I didn’t have to adjust my tactics – the FPL put things right on my behalf.

There’s the new lesson to consider: if there are rule changes for next season, don’t underestimate how they can influence our strategies – however subtle they appear to be.

Don’t be shy spending money on defenders if they also offer goal threat.
Defenders scored 104 goals last season, which has declined to 90 so far this term.

The Chelsea pairing of John Terry and Branislav Ivanovic have benefited most from their attacking menace at set-plays and, by owning the latter all season, I guess I put this one straight.

By prioritising full-backs last season, I turned my back on the points earned from set-piece threat. Given that Seamus Coleman and Leighton Baines have declined in goal output this season, there’s good reason to say that this has been more important than ever.

Arguably I made the right choice. Ivanovic has had that threat at set-plays, whilst also being an attacking full-back providing crosses. With Terry ageing, the Serb will be one of the first names in my 2015/16 squad.

If you think a player is injury prone, he’s likely to eventually live up to that tag.
I need to remind myself of this one over the summer: my Diego Costa habit almost de-railed my season at one point. Eventually, the Chelsea man repaid my faith but, at several stages, I questioned whether I was making a fatal error by holding him too long. I got away with it. Just.

I’ll resist Costa next season. I certainly won’t touch Daniel Sturridge.

Of course, as I also stated this time last year, every season hands us a set of different challenges that will ultimately decide the fate of our campaigns.

Sometimes single transfers like Mane and Tadic can make a major difference, sometimes it’s having conviction in a player like Ivanovic or Hazard that tips the balance. Alongside this, we have to enjoy some fortune – the right injuries at the right time, penalty saves, points from the bench. These can all conspire for and against us and sometimes, they just fall in place.

I’m not sure how much of my season has been down to this luck over my own judgment. I do know that it’s followed on from my worst ever campaign and that, in some ways, that may have helped. Perhaps this will come as some comfort to those who look on this season’s rank and flinch.

While I’ve spent this morning reflecting on the story of my own campaign, much of my focus today will be on the very top of the FPL rankings. Once again, we’re blessed with seeing members of our community competing for the top prize.

Simon March, aka “Dufflinks”, looks well placed to seal the title as he seeks to protect a 34-point lead. The likes of Kev Gleave, Jack Wain, Jon Sumner, Stuart Greenacre and AbuBakar Siddiq give chase – all either members of the FFS Leagues, posters on our pages or both.

It’s this that makes me most proud and convinces me that 2014/15 has been a season to savour.

I’ll be pre-ambling your way again in August.

Good luck to all.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

  1. thunder_mike
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Play two out of
    PVA
    Skrtel
    Trippier
    Bertie

    1. dberb9
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Skrtel PVA

  2. Christina.
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 8 months ago

    NOOOOOO!

    1. tw
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      what?

    2. Chris_White
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      No Mata?

    3. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Sold hazard?

    4. Billy Gilmore
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      The Thai girl wasn't what you expected?

  3. dberb9
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Vardy + Ulloa -> too much LEI ?

    1. dberb9
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      rest is

      Sanchez Cazorla Silva Grealish Hazard
      Aguero Vardy Wickham

      A) Wickham -> Ulloa
      B) Hazard -> Mata
      C) Both

  4. Jonny Bananas
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 8 months ago

    34 points to make up, benteke, yaya 0r silva?

    1. tw
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      benteke

  5. Snapes on a Plane
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 8 months ago

    REPOST!
    GTG?
    A lil help please

    Mignolet
    schlupp koscielny terry
    sanchez bolasie mata silva
    Augero ulloa lukaku

    (jagielka,wasilewski,boyd)

  6. Dr. Agabuse
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Play Coutinho or Cisse (who might not start)?

    1. Amateur Pundit Zan
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Got to go for cisse

    2. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Cisse . We can have a laugh about it later

    3. QPR expects... glory!
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Coutinho.

  7. Hedgehog
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Aguero captain or Sanchez. Holding a lead not chasing

    1. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Aguero

      1. Hedgehog
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 8 months ago

        Ty

    2. Reedy
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Aguero

  8. Baggers
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Lukaku (c)

    Good luck everyone

    1. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Ballsy, good luck !

  9. tw
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 8 months ago

    walcott or mirallas?

    1. Amateur Pundit Zan
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Wallcott

    2. Reedy
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Mira

  10. Areid13
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Alright transfers done for the year. Here's my team

    Schmeichel
    Bellerin lovren smalling
    Sanchez Ozil hazard young Fellaini
    Aguero (c) Tekkers

    Hamer Kane fonte alderweireld

    0 itb

  11. Gideons Rolling Another One
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Take an -8 and bring in Costa and Morgan for Giroud and Bertrand?

  12. mahone24
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 8 months ago

    To hell with it im captaining Kolarov

    1. Chris_White
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Thatta boy.

    2. Mílanista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Good man.

  13. Wardinator
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Is Walcott gonna start?

  14. Aussie_Toon_Lad
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Start ozil or Coutinho??

    1. Reedy
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Cout

    2. The Nuttmxn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Coutinho.

  15. FPL Daniel
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Ok lads. I am 1 pt ahead. Tell me what to do. He already made the transfer. Not sure what he has done, probably he sold Cazorla.

    My team:
    Mignolet
    Ivan Morgan Kosc
    Haz Alexis Caz Silva
    Kane Vardy Kun (c)
    Bench:PVA

    His team
    Mignolet
    Ivan Stones Jags Kolarov
    Cazorla Mata Punch Ozil
    Kun Kane
    Bench: Boyd

    Thinking of maybe Haz to Yoyo.or block his Mata?

    Appreciated.
    Thanks,

    1. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Caz to Mata

    2. Baines on Toast...
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      I would do alexia to yaya

    3. Billy Ketsu
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      He's got double Everton defence!! Crikey, he really is a machine. Haz to Yaya, why not. Good luck.

  16. JayBomb
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Tick Tock, Tick Tock, Tick Tock, Tick Tock, Tick Tock, Tick Tock, Tick Tock, Tick Tock, Tick Tock, Tick Tock, Tick Tock!!!!!

  17. The Ligs
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 8 months ago

    A. Hendo to Mata
    B. Giroud to Costa

  18. pundit of punts
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Any Hazard news?

    I'm about to do my transfers.

    1. Christina.
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Haz->?

    2. Mílanista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      See stickies

    3. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Keep

    4. tw
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      he trained yesterday apparently

      1. snowman
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 8 months ago

        bollocks i got rid of him!

        1. Perthite
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 8 months ago

          Just traded him out no matter the training talk.

  19. denial
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Can't see a way of playing Albright now. Bugger

  20. Captain Hindsight
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 8 months ago

    I'll see ye later

    1. Gamoriola of the Galaxy (Eu…
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      You should have kept Hazard . . .

  21. Billy Ketsu
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Hazard. What?

    http://imgur.com/Z0OkeLu

  22. Spencer
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Oooh, just realised... Play:

    A. Schmeichel
    B. Ospina

    1. Every Dog Has Its Day
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Kasper!

      1. Spencer
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks man.

    2. Mílanista
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Won't matter when Hamer and Sir Chesney start 😉

      B

    3. meerlight
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      ospina

    4. The Nuttmxn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Schmeichel

  23. Baines on Toast...
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 8 months ago

    My differential this week is the top scoring player in the game. Have fun everybody.

  24. GreenWindmill
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Lovely preamble, applying those lessons learnt is the tricky bit though 🙂

  25. Sol
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 8 months ago

    A) kane > costa -4

    B) Kane > Banteke -4

    C) keep Kane

    1. Gazza2000
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      C

      1. Sol
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 8 months ago

        thank you GAZZA

  26. Every Dog Has Its Day
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Would you get rid of Coutinho for a hit if you have already taken a hit?

    1. Old Schoolᴼˢ “disa…
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      no

    2. QPR expects... glory!
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Nope

    3. The Nuttmxn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      Nope, still is putting up the stats, just gotta hope he converts.

  27. LMFAO
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Kun or Silva If chasing 10pts?

    1. LMFAO
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      For captain!

  28. Raheem's perm
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 8 months ago

    With that tweet is anyone changing captaincy to Haz? Could be a great differential now?

    1. andy85wsm
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 8 months ago

      What Tweet?!

        1. andy85wsm
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 8 months ago

          Wish I'd seen that a few hours ago 🙂

          I got rid!

  29. mayofc2000
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Benteke or Lukaku for Giroud

    Hazard for yaya toure or walcott

    I have silva and Sanchez

    1 FT

    pls help

  30. Judas
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 8 months ago

    Guys the FPL site is really slowing down so id suggest make your transfers now just incase you miss your chance