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Baseline Bonus Point Magnets of 2014/15

5 June 2015 36 comments
President John F. Keninnsie President John F. Keninnsie
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Here are the best defenders during 2014/15 at earning baseline bonus points under the Fantasy Premier League (FPL)’s Bonus Point System (BPS), which is used to allocate extra points to players at the end of the match.

To find the best I’ve worked out the number of baseline BPS points defenders gain per minute. The baseline points are those where goals, assists and clean sheets are removed giving an accurate figure of how their all round gameplay affects their chances of success in gaining bonus points. I have also avoided times when a player comes on in a match for only a few minutes so that it doesn’t skew the figures.

This is a particularly useful guide to which defenders are likely to gain bonus points if no defenders in their team gain attacking points.

Baseline BPS/min Results

The higher the score the higher the chance of gaining bonus points from all round play.

Arsenal
Monreal: 0.185
Mertesacker: 0.184
Koscielny: 0.178
Bellerin: 0.163

Aston Villa
Okore: 0.169
Hutton: 0.145
Vlaar: 0.123
Cissokho: 0.122

Chelsea
Azpilicueta: 0.174
Terry: 0.169
Cahill: 0.151
Ivanovic: 0.143

Note: Felipe Luis (0.190) and Kurt Zouma (0.181)  had a high BPS/min but played less than 1,000 minutes.

Crystal Palace
Delaney: 0.125
Ward: 0.118
Kelly: 0.116
Dann: 0.111

Everton
Distin: 0.206
Jagielka: 0.200
Stones: 0.186
Baines: 0.183
Coleman: 0.144

Leicester
Morgan: 0.129
Huth: 0.124
Konchesky: 0.123
Wasilewski: 0.109
Schlupp: 0.100

Liverpool
Sakho: 0.206
Skrtel: 0.185
Lovren: 0.164
Johnson: 0.155
Moreno: 0.139

Manchester City
Clichy: 0.192
Zabaleta: 0.165
Demichelis: 0.164
Kompany: 0.164
Kolarov: 0.160
Mangala: 0.150

Manchester United
Jones: 0.196
Smalling: 0.186
Evans: 0.182
Rojo: 0.174
Shaw: 0.172

Newcastle
Coloccini: 0.148
Haidara: 0.148
Janmaat: 0.134
Dummett: 0.131
Williamson: 0.125

Southampton
Fonte: 0.171
Alderweireld: 0.162
Yoshida: 0.154
Clyne: 0.148
Bertrand: 0.142

Spurs
Vertonghen: 0.171
Rose: 0.155
Walker: 0.151
Fazio: 0.150
Dier: 0.143

Stoke
Cameron: 0.148
Pieters: 0.145
Wilson: 0.141
Muniesa: 0.141
Wollscheid: 0.127
Shawcross: 0.126
Bardsley: 0.119

Sunderland
van Aanholt: 0.166
O’Shea: 0.142
Vergini: 0.134
Brown: 0.130
Jones: 0.069

Swansea
Williams: 0.182
Fernandez: 0.173
Rangel: 0.168
Taylor: 0.158
Naughton: 0.131

West Brom
Wisdom: 0.142
Dawson: 0.124
Lescott: 0.122
McAuley: 0.111

West Ham
Tomkins: 0.148
Reid: 0.139
Collins: 0.135
Cresswell: 0.125
Jenkinson: 0.124

Top 10 Baseline BPS/min earners

1) Sakho (LIV) & Distin (EVE)
3) Jagielka (EVE)
4) Jones (MUN)
5) Clichy (MCI)
6) Stones (EVE) & Smalling (MUN)
8) Skrtel (LIV) & Monreal (ARS)
10) Mertesacker (ARS)

Conclusion

One of the most striking results is that centre backs are far  better rewarded for their all round play than full backs. In the top 10 baseline BPS/min earners eight out of ten are centre backs. But in terms of actual bonus point allocation in 2014/15 the the proportion levels out, with the number of centre backs in the top ten reducing to six. This indicates a success for the BPS system to ensure centre backs can compete with full backs, who have a far higher chance of gaining BPS points through their more attacking play.

Amongst the top four sides these results could give a good indication of the players with greater potential of gaining bonus points when they have tough matches and a low scoring game is more likely.

For Arsenal Nacho Monreal continues to impress in this area, while for Manchester City Gael Clichy is something of a baseline BPS magnet, although he faces stiff competition from Aleksander Kolorov for a starting spot.

If Phil Jones can remain fit he could prove a savvy purchase next season and for Chelsea Cesar Azpilicueta’s jack of all trades, master of none accumulation of BPS marks him out as one to consider, especially if Jose Mourinho decides to bring his bus for tough away games.

36 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. J0E
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Fantastic research. Gives further depth to understanding why some defenders perform better than others in terms of FPL's bonus points.

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  2. Billy Gilmore
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Distin 😆

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  3. Pasqualinho
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    It's great and all. But only really useful if they don't change the BP system for next year.

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    1. The3rdTurd
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      It should be relatively straightforward to re-crunch the numbers based on any new BPS methodology they decide to introduce.

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      1. Billy Gilmore
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 6 months ago

        It depends on how he extracted the data. If, as I expect he did (as it's by far the easiest way), he used their BPS totals then subtracted 12/18/24 for each goal etc then it won't be of any use.

        But yes, I did that last season and it didn't take too long, just an enormous consolidation in excel.

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        1. The3rdTurd
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 6 months ago

          I remember! I was half way through doing a similar analysis and then you went and stole my thunder 🙂

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          1. Billy Gilmore
            • 13 Years
            10 years, 6 months ago

            Haha sorry about that 🙂

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    2. J0E
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      I can't see a change regarding defender bonus - they've pretty much perfected it this year. But as said if there is a change, it'll be minor, and it'll be straightforward to factor in.

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      1. Ziegler1988
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 6 months ago

        I wouldn't be surprised if they lower the number of BPS for defender pass percentage so we don't see repeats of Arsenal v Chelsea and Arsenal v Sunderland bap distribution

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  4. Holmes
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Boom, 8-2!!! 😎 😀

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  5. Piggs Boson
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    I've been looking forward to this.

    Dawson above Lescott :ozil:

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    1. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Lescott 5.5m
      Dawson 5.0m

      I reckon.

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  6. Van Klinkert Delarosa
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Clichy in Top 5? :ozil:

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    1. J0E
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Clichy is so annoying..he's a beast regarding the BPS , but under constant threat of rotation after a good second half of the season from Kolorov.

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      1. Billy Gilmore
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Clichy is only annoying for one reason – his presence keeps Lord Aleks in shackles.

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        1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          10 years, 6 months ago

          Or vice-versa. 😕

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      2. Van Klinkert Delarosa
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Never noticed that before to be honest.

        City backline is full of rotation risk, so hardly takes any notes in regards of their bonus potential.

        This article sure give me another perspective to some defender - Clichy, Monreal, Distin.

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  7. Billy Gilmore
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    You wouldn't be able to do Can's baseline would you Innsie? Just to see where he stands amongst his colleagues in case he's classed as a defender. Although then again if he plays in midfield like I expect then it would have limited applicability anyway...

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    1. J0E
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      I think the bigger story at Liverpool could be Sakho - if he can nail down a start and remain injury free he could do well in terms of bonus.

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      1. Piggs Boson
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 6 months ago

        Yeah, that was surprising, thought Skrtel would be the clear winner.

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    2. President John F. Keninnsie
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      I actually did have a look at Can when I did this but decided not to post it. It was very low though, somewhere been 0.120 to 0.130.

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  8. Twisted Saltergater
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Is this strictly accurate, Innsie? Baines and Coleman trail Distin and Jagielka by a massive margin so is it a myth that they favour bonus points even when they're not scoring / assisting?

    I only raise the point as all creative fullbacks seem to be scored low (Janmaat, Cresswell etc.) so am wondering if there's a problem in how you've subtracted attacking points?

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    1. President John F. Keninnsie
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Yes it is accurate. For the players whose results surprised me I made sure to double check.

      The creative fullbacks are low in comparison to centre backs mainly due to the CBs getting more clearances, blocks and interceptions. Attacking fullbacks also tend to have a lower passing accuracy - CBs knock the ball about the back 4 a lot whereas the likes of Janmaat and Cresswell are more advanced up the pitch where the opposition has more players to intercept their passes.

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  9. Bedknobs and Boomsticks
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Am I getting royalties for any of this? 😉

    Good crunching.

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    1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      😀

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  10. The Sarjeant
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Great article Innsie!

    Can't believe Lescott is that low!

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    1. Ziegler1988
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      West Brom defenders are terrible at BPS, probably because they don't reach the 30 pass mark

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  11. DeadStarComing
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Great research. Slightly away from fantasy football, I actually think Monreal was one of the best defenders in the Prem last season

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    1. Debauchy
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Well , if you look at the last part of the season agree , he was well up there. Did start slowly though

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  12. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGeniusâ…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Nice one, Innsie - although there are some flaws in this approach. I particularly don't like the "per minutes" approach. Now is probably a good time to repost this:
    http://members.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/my-stats-tables/view/5599/

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  13. the Penman
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Well, if Man City and Everton could only be relied on for clean sheets...

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    1. the Penman
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      (Not a phrase I thought I'd say this time last year...)

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  14. Gloria Kanchelskis
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Great piece of research and a few surprise outcomes too

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  15. Santi sensei
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    I'll definitely be getting Stones/Jags if fixtures go their way 🙂

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    1. Santi sensei
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 6 months ago

      Btw, Amazing research Innsie 😉

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  16. andy85wsm
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 6 months ago

    Nice write up Innsie, some interesting placements.

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